Documented Plays
There have been three distinct periods over the course of multiple NFL seasons where I decided to showcase my abilities and post plays for free on the internet. The plays are in black and white, allowing no room for misinterpretation. All of my computer system and personal play records shown on the "Records" page are legitimate and without grading error.
In efforts to perfect the computer program, it is counter productive to falsely report its records because if the plays were to lose, I would need to know why, so that I can make the necessary adjustments to achieve future success. Fortunately, once the computer program was perfected in 2005, it has not lost yet and thus I have left it alone to perform its calculations and selections.
But to show you concrete evidence and proof of my records, for those who believe it impossible to achieve such success over the course of multiple seasons, here are the instances where I fully documented my plays, with links to the documentation below each record.
Below I have posted direct links to the plays, which in:
51-12-2 (81%)
There is no way to "not believe" that mark, because it is right there, in black and white, linked to each play below. All of these links are located on websites which I don't run/operate, and are out of my control and thus, completely unbiased. In addition, all of the posts on the message boards are time stamped. As I indicate above, all of my records are 100% accurate and truthful. However, not everyone will "take my word", even though those who have done business with me and who know me know my word is rock solid. So please read on below, click on each and every link, visit each and every page to tally them up and you will see that I have indeed posted a 81% mark in these documented plays, and perhaps then you will realize that when I say that the computer is 65% lifetime, I am telling you the honest truth. These documented plays are a "subset" of plays tracked and accumulated into my "Records" page.
But remember, my full and complete record is on the records page. These documented plays are a mere subset of my entire performance starting in 2005 thru the present!
2008-09
In the 2008-09 NFL season, I shared all my plays free of charge and posted on various message boards from Week 1 thru Week 9. The plays and analysis during 2008-09 are representative of my current format for my Personal Plays that I issue, although I currently provide about twice as much information as is provided in these writeups. The proof is on their message board. The record for these plays:
23-9-2 (72%) for 08-09 (from Week 1 thru Week 9; starting in Week 10 I launched this website and no longer posted plays on message boards.)
Links:
2008 Week 1 Plays
2008 Week 2 Plays (7-1 YTD)
2008 Week 3 Plays (11-1 YTD)
2008 Week 4 Plays (12-3 YTD)
2008 Week 5 Plays (14-4 YTD)
2008 Week 6 Plays (17-4 81% YTD)
2008 Week 7 Plays (18-6 75% YTD)
2008 Week 8 Plays (19-8 70% YTD)
2008 Week 9 Plays (21-8-2 72% YTD)
2007-08
During the 2007-08 NFL season, I shared both my personal plays and my computer's plays on a message board for the entire season. The plays and analysis in 2007-08 are not representative of my current format. In 2007, I posted no writeups, just plays and miscellaneous analysis in a thread which I started on a weekly basis. The threads are a lot more active than those above, with many other plays and opinions from other posters, so it will require more effort to find my plays on some occasions but they are all there. The proof is on their message board. The record for these plays:
58-36-3 (62%) for Personal Plays
41-24 (63%) for Computer ATS Plays
21-1 (95%) for Computer Overs Plays
33-24 (58%) for Computer Unders Plays
for a total of:
153-85-3 (64%) for 07-08
Links to each thread can be found on my blog at www.sharpfootballanalysis.blogspot.com
However, I will link to the most "unbelievable" record of this season, to prove in black and white that I did achieve this mark, and that was the 21-1 (95%) Computer Overs run. I will post direct links to my plays, posted most often (especially as the format became consistent midway thru the season) on Tuesday morning for the Sunday games (thus, posted over 5 full days prior to kickoff). Of the 21-1 record, I did not post the system plays for weeks 1-3 or week 17 (on vacation). During these two stretches, the Overs went 6-0 and 3-0 respectively. So I can technically only "document/prove/validate" a record of 12-1 (92%), which itself is quite good, but I assure you, the 21-1 record is 100% accurate. So below are the links to the Overs plays to prove my record.
Links:
2005-06
I won 1st Place in the Wagerline.com NFL Playoff competition. Not only was did I finish #1 out of 6,000 contestants, no Wagerline Champion in any sport for any year since inception (1999) has hit 89% in winning any contest except for me. That is, there have literally been hundreds of thousands of entries in all competitions, and not one has matched or exceeded my win percentage. The proof is on their website. The record:
16-2 (89%) for 05-06 NFL Playoffs
Link:
Wagerline's Hall of Fame: 2006 NFL Playoffs Champion 16-2 (89%)
In efforts to perfect the computer program, it is counter productive to falsely report its records because if the plays were to lose, I would need to know why, so that I can make the necessary adjustments to achieve future success. Fortunately, once the computer program was perfected in 2005, it has not lost yet and thus I have left it alone to perform its calculations and selections.
But to show you concrete evidence and proof of my records, for those who believe it impossible to achieve such success over the course of multiple seasons, here are the instances where I fully documented my plays, with links to the documentation below each record.
Below I have posted direct links to the plays, which in:
- 2008, I went over half the regular season going 23-9-2 (72%) thru Week 9 with my Personal Plays
- 2007, my Computer Overs system went 21-1 (95%)
- Note: In 2007, Computer Overs system went 21-1 (95%). It was 6-0 thru week 3 and went 3-0 in week 17, for a total of 21-1 (95%), but I did not post documentation for the first 3 weeks nor for week 17 on the messageboard. Therefore, since the full 21-1 record is not documented, I won't include it in the "documented" record, and will only add a record of 12-1 (92%) to the documented record in red below, and you can see the links to all 12 wins and 1 loss below.
- Note: In 2007, Computer Overs system went 21-1 (95%). It was 6-0 thru week 3 and went 3-0 in week 17, for a total of 21-1 (95%), but I did not post documentation for the first 3 weeks nor for week 17 on the messageboard. Therefore, since the full 21-1 record is not documented, I won't include it in the "documented" record, and will only add a record of 12-1 (92%) to the documented record in red below, and you can see the links to all 12 wins and 1 loss below.
- 2005, I went 16-2 (89%) in the playoffs and won 1st out of 6,000 in the Wagerline Competition
51-12-2 (81%)
There is no way to "not believe" that mark, because it is right there, in black and white, linked to each play below. All of these links are located on websites which I don't run/operate, and are out of my control and thus, completely unbiased. In addition, all of the posts on the message boards are time stamped. As I indicate above, all of my records are 100% accurate and truthful. However, not everyone will "take my word", even though those who have done business with me and who know me know my word is rock solid. So please read on below, click on each and every link, visit each and every page to tally them up and you will see that I have indeed posted a 81% mark in these documented plays, and perhaps then you will realize that when I say that the computer is 65% lifetime, I am telling you the honest truth. These documented plays are a "subset" of plays tracked and accumulated into my "Records" page.
But remember, my full and complete record is on the records page. These documented plays are a mere subset of my entire performance starting in 2005 thru the present!
2008-09
In the 2008-09 NFL season, I shared all my plays free of charge and posted on various message boards from Week 1 thru Week 9. The plays and analysis during 2008-09 are representative of my current format for my Personal Plays that I issue, although I currently provide about twice as much information as is provided in these writeups. The proof is on their message board. The record for these plays:
23-9-2 (72%) for 08-09 (from Week 1 thru Week 9; starting in Week 10 I launched this website and no longer posted plays on message boards.)
Links:
2008 Week 1 Plays
2008 Week 2 Plays (7-1 YTD)
2008 Week 3 Plays (11-1 YTD)
2008 Week 4 Plays (12-3 YTD)
2008 Week 5 Plays (14-4 YTD)
2008 Week 6 Plays (17-4 81% YTD)
2008 Week 7 Plays (18-6 75% YTD)
2008 Week 8 Plays (19-8 70% YTD)
2008 Week 9 Plays (21-8-2 72% YTD)
2007-08
During the 2007-08 NFL season, I shared both my personal plays and my computer's plays on a message board for the entire season. The plays and analysis in 2007-08 are not representative of my current format. In 2007, I posted no writeups, just plays and miscellaneous analysis in a thread which I started on a weekly basis. The threads are a lot more active than those above, with many other plays and opinions from other posters, so it will require more effort to find my plays on some occasions but they are all there. The proof is on their message board. The record for these plays:
58-36-3 (62%) for Personal Plays
41-24 (63%) for Computer ATS Plays
21-1 (95%) for Computer Overs Plays
33-24 (58%) for Computer Unders Plays
for a total of:
153-85-3 (64%) for 07-08
Links to each thread can be found on my blog at www.sharpfootballanalysis.blogspot.com
However, I will link to the most "unbelievable" record of this season, to prove in black and white that I did achieve this mark, and that was the 21-1 (95%) Computer Overs run. I will post direct links to my plays, posted most often (especially as the format became consistent midway thru the season) on Tuesday morning for the Sunday games (thus, posted over 5 full days prior to kickoff). Of the 21-1 record, I did not post the system plays for weeks 1-3 or week 17 (on vacation). During these two stretches, the Overs went 6-0 and 3-0 respectively. So I can technically only "document/prove/validate" a record of 12-1 (92%), which itself is quite good, but I assure you, the 21-1 record is 100% accurate. So below are the links to the Overs plays to prove my record.
Links:
- Weeks 1-3: Not Documented online but system generated plays went 6-0
- Week 4 (YTD 6-0): Bal/Cle Over Win LINK
- Weeks 5-6 (YTD 7-0): No plays qualified for system
- Week 7 (YTD 7-0): Ari/Was Over Win LINK
- Week 8 (YTD 8-0): Jac/TB Over Win LINK
- Week 9 (YTD 9-0): Was/NYJ Over Win , Bal/Pit Win LINK
- Week 10 (YTD 11-0): No plays qualified for system
- Week 11 (YTD 11-0): Car/GB Over Win LINK
- Weeks 12-13 (YTD 12-0): No plays qualified for system
- Week 14 (YTD 12-0): Was/Chi Over Win LINK
- Week 15 (YTD 13-0): No plays qualified for system
- Week 16 (YTD 13-0): Chi/GB Over Win, Mia/NE Over Loss, NYG/Buf Over Win LINK
- Week 17 (YTD 15-1): Not Documented online but system generated plays went 3-0
- Wildcard Round (YTD 18-1): Pit/Jac Over Win LINK
- Divisional Round (YTD 19-1): GB/Sea Over Win LINK
- Conference Championship Round (YTD 20-1): NYG/GB Over Win LINK and LINK
- Week 7 (YTD 7-0): Ari/Was Over Win LINK
2005-06
I won 1st Place in the Wagerline.com NFL Playoff competition. Not only was did I finish #1 out of 6,000 contestants, no Wagerline Champion in any sport for any year since inception (1999) has hit 89% in winning any contest except for me. That is, there have literally been hundreds of thousands of entries in all competitions, and not one has matched or exceeded my win percentage. The proof is on their website. The record:
16-2 (89%) for 05-06 NFL Playoffs
Link:
Wagerline's Hall of Fame: 2006 NFL Playoffs Champion 16-2 (89%)