At Sharp Football Analysis, my number one goal is winning for my clients. Keeping accurate and honest records is the only way to prove that. When you have a solid track record of covering NFL point spreads, you want to share that record. Win or lose. Every handicapper deals with variance. But only truly reliable services will have high long term win percentages. How many handicapping sites have you have visited that display no records at all? Or only records sharing their latest "streak"? At Sharp Football Analysis, there is nothing to hide, and in an otherwise secretive industry, our accurate and honest record keeping is a breath of fresh air.

This season, you will see each and every play I give to clients appear in the ledger just minutes after the game's kickoff. This self-monitoring is completely transparent.There will be no need for shady monitoring services pumping up records in exchange for money. Very few of the so-called "best handicappers" out there are willing to track this information, because there is no way to hide their losses. But here at Sharp Football Analysis, my records are my calling card, it's my resume for my work. Preview my YTD records since I started publicly handicapping games and follow along with the 2011 NFL record as the games are played. You'll soon agree: when you want accurate records full of winning plays that cover the NFL spread pick Sharp Football Analysis.


Recent Games

Game Date Team Spread Play Type Units Release Date Result




Records

Week 12 Adds:
7 point teaser (-130) (1 unit):  Chargers+6/Redskins PK = WIN
Latavius Murray (MIN) over 54 rushing yards -120 (0.5 units) = WIN






2017 RECORDS


NFL (Through Week 10):

All Totals: 24-17 (59%)
Computer Totals = 14-10 (58%)
Season Overall:  38-33 (54%)


Personal Plays = 24-23 (51%)
[Personal Play Totals = 10-7 (59%)]


1.5 unit = 1-0 (100%)
1.0 unit = 25-23 (52%)
0.75 unit = 1-3 (25%)
0.5 unit = 11-7 (61%)


CFB Totals (Through 10/28):

24-23 (51%)

1 Unit = 4-3 (57%)
0.75 Unit = 1-7 (13%)
0.5 Units = 19-13 (59%)


2017 NFL Player Props [graded separately] = 1-1



2016 RECORDS


NFL (Regular Season + Playoffs):

Totals: 28-14 (67%)
Overall:  69-51 (58%)
2.0 unit = 1-0 (100%)
1.0 unit = 47-40 (54%)
0.75 unit = 9-3 (75%)
0.5 unit = 12-8 (60%)


NFL (Regular Season):

61-47 (56%)*

2.0 unit = 1-0 (100%)
1.0 unit = 42-37 (53%)
0.75 unit = 7-2 (78%)
0.5 unit = 11-8 (58%)

Computer Totals = 22-12 (65%)
Personal Plays = 39-35 (53%)

Final - Through Week 17


*Excluding Player Props
Player Props = 1-4 (0.5 unit), 0-1 (0.75 unit)


NFL (Playoffs):

1.0 unit = 5-3 (63%)
0.75 unit = 2-1 (67%)
0.5 unit = 1-0 (100%)

Totals = 6-2 (72%)
All Sides/Totals = 8-4 (67%)


CFB Totals (Regular Season):

35-29 (55%)

1.0 unit = 11-5 (69%)
0.75 unit = 6-9 (40%)
0.5 unit = 18-15 (55%)





2015 RECORDS


HIGHLIGHTS

NFL Regular Season Computer Totals + Playoff Totals = 34-13 (72%)
Overall [NFL+CFB] on > 0.5 unit recommendations = 94-54 (64%)

2015 Records by Type


NFL (Regular Season + Playoffs):

Totals: 34-13 (72%)
Overall:  76-49 (61%)
1.5 unit = 1-0 (100%)
1.0 unit = 62-40 (61%)
0.75 unit = 3-2 (60%)
0.5 unit = 10-11-1 (48%)


NFL (Playoffs):

Regular Recommendations: 8-5 (62%)
NFL Totals: 6-0 (100%)
1.5 unit = 1-0 (100%)
1.0 unit = 5-3 (63%)
0.5 unit = 2-2 (50%)
NFL Props: 13-8 (62%, graded separately)



NFL (Regular Season):

Overall: 68-44 (61%)
Computer Totals: 28-13-1 (68%)
NFL Totals Overall: 37-20-1 (65%)
NFL Sides: 18-15 (55%)
NFL Teasers: 9-8 (53%)
NFL Props: 2-0 (100%)
1.0 unit = 57-35 (62%)
0.75 unit = 3-2 (60%)
0.5 unit = 8-9-1 (47%)


CFB Totals (Regular Season + Bowls):

Overall:  56-40 (58%)
1.0 unit  =  19-9 (69%)
0.75 unit = 9-5 (64%)
0.5 unit = 28-26 (52%)


CFB Totals (Regular Season):

Overall:  43-35 (55%)
1.0 unit  =  16-8 (67%)
0.75 unit = 4-2 (67%)
0.5 unit = 23-25 (48%)

CFB Totals (Bowls):

Overall: 13-5 (72%)
1.0 unit = 3-1 (75%)
0.75 unit = 5-3 (63%)
0.5 unit = 5-1 (83%)
CFB Props (both 0.5 unit) = 0-2 (0%)

All Postseason Recommendations (NFL Playoffs + CFB Bowls):

Overall: 21-10 (68%)
1.5 unit = 1-0 (100%)
1.0 unit = 8-4 (67%)
0.75 unit = 5-3 (63%)
0.5 unit = 7-3 (70%)

_________________________________________


LIFETIME RECORDS thru 2014:


Lifetime NFL Record
Totals: 405-272 (60%)
Sides (Personal Plays): 462-336 (58%)
Lifetime NFL Playoffs Record: 107-61 (64%)
Lifetime Super Bowl Record: 14-6 (70%)

Lifetime College Football Record
Totals: 556-458 (55%)

At A Glance
9 NFL Seasons, 9 Winning Seasons
4 CFB Seasons, 3 Winning Seasons
A total of 13 seasons of recommendations, and 92% ended with profit.
59% in 1,750 NFL recommendations over 9 years
55% in 1,000 CFB recommendations over 4 years





2014 Records:

2014 POSTSEASON RECORD (NFL+CFB):   30-17 (64%)

  • 23-5 (82%) on games where total position is 1.5+ units

2014 NFL PLAYOFF RECORDS: 12-6 (67%)


SUPER BOWL RESULTS:
2-1 on 1 unit recommendations
Click HERE for FULL list + FULL 6-page Game Write-up (free preview)

2014/15 CFB BOWL RECORDS: 18-11 (62%)

Read 2015 National Championship
CFB Recommendation + Write-up


2014 NFL REGULAR SEASON FINAL: 100-78 (56%)

  • NFL Computer Totals: 33-21 (61%)
  • Past Month:  29-15 (66%)
  • "Late Season Run" since week 12: 43-28 (61%)
Thru NFL Wk 17:  2U=1-2 1.5U=2-5; 1.0U=73-59; 0.75=3-3; 0.5U=21-9
2014 CFB REGULAR SEASON FINAL:  2U=0-2, 1.5U=0-3, 1.25=0-1, 1U=35-29, 0.75U=39-45, 0.5U=48-52



Final "Overall" 2013 Football Records



Recent Highlights - Since Thanksgiving:

NFL:  44-24 (65%) on ALL Plays, including 37-16 (70%) on standard 1 Unit Plays & 3-2 (60%) on 1.5+ Unit plays
NFL Totals: 16-8 (67%) and 59% in 2013 (since the start of this season
)

CFB:
  80-61 (57%) on ALL Plays, including 2-0 (67%) on 1.5+ unit plays

COMBINED:  124-85 (59%) on ALL plays including 103-66 (61%) on plays > 0.5 Units

NFL Season Win Plays:  6-2 (75%), and in 2012 hit 6-2 as well; now 12-4 (75%) in the ONLY 2 yrs I've released
Wins = Atl U 10, Chi U 8.5, Min U 7.5, Car O 7, Oak U 5.5, KC O 7.5; Losses = Phi U 7.5, NYJ U 6.5
Read Season Win Plays Breakdown HERE

Complete & Final YTD "Regular Season" Only Records Below:












This study looks at the important aspect of beating the closing number. When you beat the closing number, you know the majority of the large money wagered on a game agreed with your bet after you placed it. In addition, when getting good line value, you have the option to middle a game if you want to bet around a key number. But you can only do this if you are able to get good line value. In 2011, Sharp's NFL totals beat the closing number in 71 bets meaning Sharp beat the closing number almost 4 times more frequently than he lost to it.




Highlights By Year


2013 Season Highlights


  • Like 2012, this was the 2nd season using units to grade in addition to win percentages, to give accurate accounting for bankroll increases.
  • All plays issued for the 2013 Football Season won a total of +41.2 units
  • All plays issued for the 2013 Football Season, including Bowls and NFL Playoffs, hit 55%: 244-196
  • Just like 2012, 2013 saw a 6-2 (75%) mark on NFL Regular Season Wins issued prior to the season
  • Personal Plays went 60-44 (58%)
  • NFL Totals went 38-26 (59%) the entire season
  • Ended the season from Thanksgiving onward w/ a 124-85 (59%) run on all plays issued
    • 44-24 (65%) in NFL
    • 16-8 (67%) on NFL Totals
    • 80-61 (57%) on CFB Totals
  • Historically I have a lifetime record from Week 12 through the end of the Regular Season of 391-250 (61%).
    • I went 91-59 (61%) during this span in 2013, increasing that late season hot mark to 482-309 (61%)
  • To read more about my 2013 year in review, click HERE

Playoff Highlights

  • My in-depth Super Bowl writeup was right on point yet again, predicting that pundits were unfairly scrutinizing Russell Wilson’s play to close the season. I believed that Lynch would struggle to run against the Broncos, and the burden would fall to Wilson for Seattle, but that he would rise to the occasion and perform well
    • Although the Seahawks didn’t even need Wilson to perform well, but that didn’t stop him from posting a 123 passer rating with 72% completions, 2 TDs and 0 Ints, while Lynch was held to just 2.6 ypa and a mere 39 total yards.
  • My release of my recommendation toward the Over moved the Super Bowl total.
    • The line was 50/50 split between 47 and 47.5 prior to my release, and after my release, the line eventually topped out as high as 49.5. I projected 50 points in the game, and even though sharper money came in on Saturday and game day Sunday to bet the game back to the under (making plenty of 47/47.5 available at kickoff), the game landed 51 (almost exactly my projection), and the “sharp under money” lost while my lean and plays to the over paid off.
  • My larger Super Bowl plays went 1-1 but I was 4-2 overall on the day across all recommendations
  • The final 3 rounds of the postseason, my releases hit 14-7 (67%), and all NFL playoff plays went 16-11 (59%)

2012 Season Highlights


  • For the first time, used units to grade in addition to just win percentage
  • All plays issued for the 2012 Football Season won a total of +48.7 units
  • All plays issued for the 2012 Football Season, including Bowls and NFL Playoffs, hit 56%: 283-226, not including 6-2 (75%) on NFL Regular Season Wins issued prior to the season
  • For the 3rd straight year, Personal Plays exceeded 58%: 66-46 (59%)
    • NFL: 114-103, CFB 169-123
  • Ended the season from Thanksgiving onward w/ a 96-48 (67%) run on all plays issued

Playoff Highlights

  • For the first time since playing the Super Bowl years ago, my computer predicted the line on SF vs. Bal was perfectly set by the linesmakers, and there was no inherent value in the number.
  • In other words, the computer did not have a play on the game. Based on my own handicap, I felt the game would be very close, likely decided by turnovers, and liked both SF to win and the game to go over.
  • As I thought the game would be close, I played SF ML and a Bal/Over teaser. I also graded two props: Flacco MVP (+275) and Kaepernick MVP (+160)
  • Overall these 4 plays went 2-2 and lost a total of 1 unit.
  • All NFL playoff plays went 13-8 (62%)

2011 Season Highlights


  • Introduced CFB Totals
  • All plays issued for the 2011 Football Season hit 57%: 239-180
    • NFL: 143-116, CFB 96-64
  • Computer Totals went 40-24 (63%) thru Week 11 before finishing the season 55-50.
  • Personal Plays exceeded 58% for the 2nd straight year: 73-52 (58%)

Playoff Highlights

  • Computer predicted the Giants were evenly matched with the Patriots, and thus there was value in taking NYG +3
  • In addition to recommending NYG +3, Sharp recommended clients tease NYG with the Under, a play that easily covered the spread.
  • Sharp issued both plays as part of a 6 page, detailed .pdf writeup to clients a full week before the Super Bowl.

2010 Season Highlights


  • 12 winning weeks
  • Computer totals hit 59% for the season;
  • Computer program hit 54% for the season;
  • Only 4 losing weeks out of 17 total weeks;
  • 3 times more winning weeks than losing weeks;
  • All plays issued in the 2010 regular season hit 57%;
  • 16 strongest valued Overs went 16-0 (100%). Some were "Overs Plays", some were "Overs Leans".
  • Personal Plays: 59-42-3 (58.4%)

Playoff Highlights

  • Computer predicted the Green Bay Packers would pull out a narrow win
  • Sharp split the wager and put half on a Pit/Over teaser and half on Pit plus the points, and thus went 1-1 on the two large plays.
  • After a losing week in the Wild Card round of the playoffs, Sharp went on to record a 8-3 (73%) record thru the Super Bowl on plays.
  • Computer ATS went 5-1 (83%) in the entire postseason

2009 Season Highlights


  • 10 winning weeks;
  • Computer totals hit 60% for the season;
  • Computer program hit 56% for the season;
  • Only 4 losing weeks out of 17 total weeks;
  • 2.5 times more winning weeks than losing weeks;
  • All plays issued in the 2009 regular season hit 54%; In 9 of the 10 winning weeks, we hit 63% or better in all plays.
  • Computer program hit a rough 4 week stretch wks 8-11. In the other 13 weeks of the 17 weeks this season, the computer program hit 65% (43-23 from ATS+totals combined);
  • Ended the season on a solid run, posting 5 winning weeks and just 1 losing week, with the winning weeks going 4-2 (67%), 5-3 (63%), 6-3 (67%), 7-3 (70%) and 4-3 (57%).
  • Personal Plays: 34-34-3 (50%)

Playoff Highlights

  • Computer predicted a New Orleans Saints outright victory as the underdog over the Indianapolis Colts in the Super Bowl;
  • Following the computer, which predicted a Steelers win but Cardinals cover last Super Bowl...
  • Sharp played the Saints +6 and posted the writeup (above) 7 days ahead of the Super Bowl;
  • Sharp also played the Under, and thus went 2-0 on those big plays;
  • Had clients take future bet on the Saints to win the Super Bowl before their game w/ the Vikings at +215 odds;
  • Prop bets hit 4-4;
  • Sharp did not lose an ATS bet since the WC round: 3-0 Divisional round and 1-0 in Super Bowl.

2008 Season Highlights


  • 13 winning weeks;
  • Computer totals hit 67% for the season;
  • Computer program hit 65% for the season;
  • Only 4 losing weeks out of 17 total weeks;
  • 3 times more winning weeks than losing weeks;
  • All plays issued in the 2008 regular season hit 66%;
  • In 12 of the 13 winning weeks, we hit 62% or better in all plays.
  • Personal Plays: 39-20 (66%)

Playoff Highlights

  • Computer predicted a 4 point victory by the Pittsburgh Steelers victory over the Arizona Cardinals in the Super Bowl;;
  • Sharp released the predicted 4 point victory to clients two full weeks before the game;
  • Thus, we played Steelers on the ML and Arizona plus the points;
  • Pittsburgh Steelers won by exactly 4 points (just as the computer predicted) 27-23, winning both bets for us;
  • Sharp released 7 prop bets and went 5-2.

2007 Season Highlights


  • 12 winning weeks; Computer totals hit 69% for the season;
  • Computer program hit 66% for the season;
  • Only 2 losing weeks out of 17 total weeks;
  • 6 times more winning weeks than losing weeks;
  • In 11 of the 12 winning weeks, we hit 67% or better in all plays.
  • Personal Plays: 58-36-3 (62%)

2006 Season Highlights


  • 11 winning weeks;
  • Computer totals hit 70% for the season;
  • Computer program hit 72% for the season;
  • Only 2 losing weeks out of 17 total weeks;
  • 5.5 times more winning weeks than losing weeks;
  • In 11 of the 11 winning weeks, we hit 63% or better in all plays.

2005 Season Highlights


Looking back at 2005, I did not track my W-L record as my system was in the "testing" phase. However, the one contest I did participate in was the Wagerline Playoff Competition. Out of 5,900 contestants, I finished in 1st Place. Playing sides and totals for most games, I finished 16-2 (89%) and +6630 Units. Looking at all Wagerline contest results in their Hall Of Fame from 1999 thru present, no one has won one of the Wagerline contests (in any sport) with a higher win % than 89%. See link for proof on the documented plays page. Note on Records: System records from 2007-2008 were and posted on message boards online on a weekly basis for verification, as were all personal plays. Personal plays from 2008-2009 were posted on message boards and e-mailed to subscribers on a weekly basis thru Week 9, where they went 23-9-2 (72%). These were also posted each week on my blog, to which I can provide a link upon request. System plays from weeks 7-9 were sent to Fox Sports Network's "First Team on Fox" for validation, during which they went 11-6-1 ATS (65%). Past results will not guarantee future performance.


Note on Record:
System records from 2007-2008 were and posted on message boards online on a weekly basis for verification, as were all personal plays. Personal plays from 2008-2009 were posted on message boards and e-mailed to subscribers on a weekly basis thru Week 9, where they went 23-9-2 (72%). These were also posted each week on my blog, to which I can provide a link upon request. System plays from weeks 7-9 were sent to Fox Sports Network's "First Team on Fox" for validation, during which they went 11-6-1 ATS (65%).

Past results will not guarantee future performance.