The stage is set for an electrifying finale to the NFL’s 2024 regular season as the Detroit Lions host the Minnesota Vikings in a game that promises to be one for the history books. Both teams enter this high-stakes matchup with identical 14-2 records, vying for the NFC’s coveted No. 1 seed. Let’s dive into the key factors, player matchups, and betting angles to help you make your first bet after signing up with the Caesars Sportsbook Promo Code SFA1000.
- Spread: Lions -3
- Total: O/U 56
- Defense Advantage: The Vikings are ranked No. 2 in points per drive allowed and are tied for the NFL lead with 31 takeaways.
- Offensive Mismatch: Minnesota superstar receiver Justin Jefferson could eat against a Detroit secondary that is banged up as the Lions have allowed three straight 300-yard passers.
- Caesars Sportsbook promo code SFA1000: Get up to $1,000 back in bonus bets if your first bet loses.
- Risk Factors: The Lions are one of the most injured defenses in the league but also keep an eye on running back Aaron Jones, who was injured last week in Minnesota’s win over Green Bay.
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Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings Best Bet Prediction
The last game of the NFL’s 2024 regular season is arguably the biggest as history is about to be made between the Detroit Lions and Minnesota Vikings. Both teams are 14-2 in the same division, which will produce the best records ever for the top two teams in a division. The Lions are a 3-point home favorite with a total of 56 points at Caesars Sportsbook, but the Vikings have arguably been the stronger and healthier team down the stretch.
The winner is the No. 1 seed and the loser will fall to the No. 5 seed and have to play on the road next week despite 14 wins. This is a big one, but our Sharp Money is backing the underdog here with the Caesars promo code.
Sam Darnold for MVP?
Minnesota was expected to be one of the worst teams in the league this year, but they are a win away from a 15-2 season and No. 1 seed with journeyman Sam Darnold turning in one of the greatest, most unexpected late-bloomer seasons in NFL history as he throws to Justin Jefferson and reaps the benefits of Brian Flores’ defense.
- Minnesota’s 14-2 record is already the best in the salary cap era for a team with a preseason win total of no more than 6.5 wins.
- Sam Darnold has already led three fourth-quarter comebacks and five game-winning drives this season, doubling his career totals from 2018-23.
- The Vikings have only trailed by more than 11 points for seven snaps this year, the second fewest in the league (Chiefs, zero).
Are the Lions Too Injured for a Super Bowl Run?
We should give the Lions their flowers as they have been a dominant team this season:
- Detroit’s scoring differential (+200) leads the NFL by 36 points over the next closest team (Buffalo).
- The Lions are averaging 3.11 points per drive on offense, one of the highest averages in NFL history.
- Jared Goff is having his best season and is the starter for the NFC Pro Bowl roster.
But the Lions are looking very vulnerable with so many defenders on injured reserve, including star pass rusher Aidan Hutchinson. They have been allowing a lot of points and yards in recent weeks, and that could easily expose them Sunday night and in the playoffs, especially if they falter at home here and have to go through the playoffs as a No. 5 seed.
Offensive Edge: Lions
You still have to give the offensive edge to the Lions, because their offensive line is great, Jared Goff has a bit more skill at navigating a pass rush than Darnold, and Jahmyr Gibbs has been money since David Montgomery injured his ACL. They are a balanced offense and great in situational play. But they will have their hands full with the Vikings on both sides of the ball again:
- Darnold completed 81.5% of his passes (22 of 27) in Week 7 when this defense was healthier for Detroit.
- Gibbs rushed for 116 yards and two touchdowns against the Vikings, and he has gone over 100 yards the last two weeks.
- Detroit has already lost twice at home this year to the Buccaneers and Bills, and they were pushed to the edge by the Bears and Packers in 3-point games.
Exclusive NFL Week 18 Betting Offer with the Caesars Sportsbook Promo Code: SFA1000
New customers have an offer on NFL bets this weekend if they use the Caesars Sportsbook promo code SFA1000 that can reward them should their first bet lose.
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- Bonus bets expire 14 days after they were added to your account
How to Claim the Bonus Before Kickoff
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