Super Bowl 59 is an exciting rematch between the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles in New Orleans. Saquon Barkley looks to complete his incredible rushing season with a ring on his 28th birthday while the Chiefs will be prepared after the bye week to win one more game for the unprecedented Super Bowl three-peat. Let's dig into the key storylines, matchups, and betting tips to help you with your first wager after signing up with the Caesars Sportsbook Promo Code SFA1000.

  • Spread: Chiefs -1.5
  • Total: O/U 49
  • Defense Advantage: The Eagles allowed the fewest yards and first downs this season.
  • Offensive Mismatch: Dallas Goedert could parlay his impressive postseason with a huge Super Bowl against a defense that is vulnerable to tight ends.
  • Caesars Sportsbook promo code SFA1000: Get up to $1,059 back in bonus bets if your first bet loses.
  • Risk Factors: No quarterback has won a Super Bowl after losing their first appearance since John Elway in 1997.

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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Philadelphia Eagles Best Bet Prediction

It is unprecedented but the Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs are meeting for the fourth season in a row despite being non-conference rivals. The Chiefs lead 2-1, but the Eagles were able to come back and win a sloppy 21-17 game in Arrowhead last season. Both teams look different this year with the speed added in Saquon Barkley and rookie Xavier Worthy.

The Chiefs are a 1.5-point favorite at Caesars Sportsbook with a total of 49 points. Our Sharp Focus is on the spread as the Chiefs aim for the three-peat in New Orleans, a moneyline bet to consider for your Caesars Sportsbook promo code and Super Bowl offer.

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How to Slow Down Saquon Barkley?

The Chiefs are going to have their hands full with Saquon Barkley behind that great offensive line:

  • Barkley has already rushed for 2,005 yards in the regular season and 442 more yards in the playoffs.
  • Barkley has the second-best odds of winning Super Bowl MVP on his 28th birthday.
  • The Chiefs rank No. 7 in rushing yards per carry allowed.
  • The Chiefs have allowed only three rushing touchdowns longer than 7 yards (62, 26, and 13 yards).
  • The Chiefs have already allowed 149 and 147 rushing yards in their playoff wins.

How to Slow Down Patrick Mahomes?

Patrick Mahomes is 17-3 in the playoffs with two losses in overtime, but there is one pattern that's emerged to beat him:

  • Mahomes is 19-15 when he holds the ball for an average of 3.0 seconds or longer.
  • Mahomes is 88-11 when he holds the ball under 3.0 seconds.
  • Quarterbacks are getting the ball out on average 2.69 seconds against the Eagles, the third fastest in 2024.
  • Philadelphia must do a better job of getting Mahomes flustered and holding the ball.
  • The Eagles do a great job of forcing fumbles and have already recovered five this postseason.
  • Mahomes has not been intercepted since Week 11 in Buffalo.

Defensive Edge: Chiefs

At this point, can you bet against the Chiefs? They've won 17 straight games decided by one score and 23-1 in their last 24 games with starters.

  • Andy Reid is 14-4 after a bye week with the Chiefs (3-1 in Super Bowls).
  • Steve Spagnuolo (Chiefs) is the only defensive coordinator to win four Super Bowls, including holding the 2007 Patriots to 14 points.
  • The Chiefs' only defensive return touchdown in a playoff game in this era was the Hurts fumble in Super Bowl 57.
  • Kansas City getting corner Jaylen Watson back will give them a better shot at slowing down A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith.

Exclusive Super Bowl 59 Betting Offer with the Caesars Sportsbook Promo Code: SFA1000

New customers have an exciting offer on NFL bets for Super Bowl Sunday if they use the Caesars Sportsbook promo code SFA1000 that pays them back in bonus bets if their first bet settles as a loss.

Get Up to $1,059 Back in Bonus Bets If Your First Bet Loses

  • Minimum deposit: $10
  • Bet $10 on an NFL game like Chiefs vs. Eagles
    • You could bet on a game prop or player prop like Saquon Barkley going over in rushing yards
    • With first bet insurance, get a little bolder with Jalen Hurts scoring two touchdowns but the Chiefs still winning the game
  • If your bet loses, you will receive 100% of your stake in bonus bets
  • Bonus bets will expire 14 days after they were added to your account

How to Claim the Bonus Before Kickoff

  1. Go to the Caesars Sportsbook app or mobile site
  2. New users must enter Caesars Sportsbook promo code SFA1000 when creating account
  3. Deposit a minimum $10
  4. Place a bet (minimum $10) on the sportsbook, and if that bet loses, you receive 100% of the wager back as a bonus bet token (maximum value of $1,059).
  5. Once your bet settles and you receive your bonus bet token, you have 14 days to use it before it expires.
  6. The bonus bet token is single use and is not withdrawable for cash.

⚠️ Must be 21+ and physically present in AZ, CO, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, ME, MD, MA, MI, NJ, NY, NC, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY or Washington, DC to claim Caesars Sportsbook promo code. Please gamble responsibly.