Two of the most popular NFL bets this season are First Touchdown Scorer and Anytime Touchdown Scorer.
Every week during the NFL season, our experts will give you their prediction on which player they think will score the first TD for every game.
These prop bets can be difficult to predict, but they are a fan favorite among many NFL bettors.
What is a first touchdown scorer bet?
To win this bet, you must correctly pick the player to score the first touchdown in the game — the first player who receives a touchdown pass or crosses the goal line with the ball.
A touchdown scorer is defined as the player in possession of the ball in the end zone and not the player who throws the TD.
What is an anytime touchdown scorer bet?
To win this NFL bet, you must correctly pick a player who will score a touchdown. Similar to first touchdown bets, the player is the one who crosses the end zone himself, not the QB who throws to that player.
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First & Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions & Bets for Week 16
Seahawks vs. Rams 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR, Seahawks) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+850)
There are a lot of options on both teams for first touchdown, so let's take the best receivers on the home team at what look like decent odds. Smith-Njigba did not get a touchdown in the first meeting with the Rams, but he did earn an end zone target. He has 4 total touchdowns in the four games since.
Seahawks vs. Rams Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Colby Parkinson (TE, Rams) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+230)
With Davante Adams unlikely to play on Thursday night, the Rams should lean even more heavily into their big formations. That should result in routes for Parkinson, who is tied for the league lead among qualified tight ends in target rate per route. Parkinson has found the end zone in five of his last six games, with 4 end zone targets over that span.
Commanders vs. Eagles 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Jalen Hurts (QB, Eagles) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+700)
Hurts enters the week with 8 rushing touchdowns, but he has not found the end zone with his legs since Week 12 against the Cowboys. He did get more involved as a runner last week, though, with 5 designed runs on a limited number of snaps in the blowout win over the Raiders.
Commanders vs. Eagles Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Dallas Goedert (TE, Eagles) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+175)
Goedert scored 2 touchdowns last week, and it probably should have been 3. Those were his first scores since back in Week 8, but he has been a consistent factor in the scoring area. While he only has 2 end zone targets this year, he has been the target on 7 of Philly's 16 attempts in goal-to-go situations.
Bears vs. Packers 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Josh Jacobs (RB, Packers) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+550)
There is never any value on Jacobs as an anytime scorer, so you have to take the shot on first touchdown to get decent odds. Jacobs has scored in 10 of 13 games this season including each of his last two. If the Packers score first in this game, there is a solid chance Jacobs is the one who finds the end zone.
Bears vs. Packers Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Olamide Zaccheaus (WR, Bears) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+255)
Rome Odunze (foot) and Luther Burden III (ankle) have both been ruled out of Saturday’s game against the Packers, forcing the Bears to look for answers further down the depth chart. In the last two games without Odunze, Olamide Zaccheaus has run routes on 78.9% of his dropbacks, ranked second on the team behind only D.J. Moore. Zaccheaus caught two of three targets for seven yards and his second touchdown of the season two weeks ago in Green Bay.
Browns vs. Bills 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Khalil Shakir (WR, Bills) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+1400)
Buffalo’s passing attack has flowed through Khalil Shakir this season. He’s led the unit in receiving yards in five separate games (including last week in New England), and he ranks first on the team in total receiving yards (650), receptions (62), and targets (83). Cleveland has played slot receivers tight this season, but when they do allow receptions to them, they go for a 21st-ranked 11.1 yards on average.
Browns vs. Bills Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Dawson Knox (TE, Bills) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+310)
Dawson Knox has participated on an average of 82.6% of Buffalo’s dropbacks in games Dalton Kincaid has missed. He accumulated eight catches on 12 targets through those four games, cashing those in for 87 yards and his first of three touchdowns on the season. His other two scores came just this past week in New England. Despite ranking just fourth on the team in total receiving yards, Knox has found his scoring stride thanks to a second-ranked 17.3% of Buffalo’s targets in the red zone. With the Browns ranked 18th in yards per target allowed to tight ends (7.4), we could be in for a repeat of his Week 15 performance.
Cowboys vs. Chargers 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Ladd McConkey (WR, Chargers) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+1000)
Ladd McConkey’s streak of scoring every other week has come to a close as he failed to find the end zone on three targets against the Chiefs, but this week’s matchup provides as good a chance as any to get back on the horse. The Cowboys rank 31st with a 10% touchdown rate allowed to slot receivers, and 23rd with 8.4 yards per target allowed to them. McConkey ranks 14th in the league, lining up in the slot on 62.1% of his snaps.
Cowboys vs. Chargers Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Tre' Harris (WR, Chargers) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+270)
Quentin Johnston did return to practice this week, although as a limited participant. If Johnston is impeded in any way heading into Sunday’s trip to Dallas, we could see Tre’ Harris receive a similar boost in involvement as he did with him out last week. Harris ran the second-most routes on the team in Week 15, 81.1% behind only Ladd McConkey. He caught three of his season-high five targets (tied with his Week 6 performance) for 49 yards (which trailed only Oronde Gadsden’s 61 on the day).
Titans vs. Chiefs 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Tyjae Spears (RB, Titans) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+1200)
While Spears’ impact on the rushing attack has been inconsistent, he did manage a season-high 11.3 yards per carry last week in Santa Clara to make up for his lowest receiving total since Week 1. Spears saw just two targets in Week 15, also a low since Week 1. Spears averaged 4.25 targets per game between weeks 2 and 14, and his involvement in the passing attack should be to his benefit again this week, as Kansas City allows a 23rd-ranked 8.3 yards after the catch to running backs.
Titans vs. Chiefs Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Xavier Worthy (WR, Chiefs) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+285)
With Rashee Rice stuck on concussion protocol for yet another game, Xavier Worthy is expected to step back into a more prominent role in his absence. Without Rice, Worthy sees targets on 21.9% of his routes. This falls to just 15% when Rice does play. He’ll get a boost from this matchup as well, as the Titans allow a 29th-ranked 170.7 yards per game to wideouts.
Dolphins vs. Bengals 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Samaje Perine (RB, Bengals) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+1400)
Despite trailing Chase Brown by 11 rushing yards on the day, Perine did see a majority share of the Bengals’ rushing carries in Week 15 (a season-high 14, tied with his Week 13 total). Since Week 7, Perine has seen 36% of Cincinnati’s rushes in the red zone. Miami has allowed just 3.9 yards per carry in that window, but they’re coming off of their worst game against the run since Kimani Vidal rolled up 124 yards on 18 carries in Week 6.
Dolphins vs. Bengals Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Darren Waller (TE, Dolphins) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+255)
Waller carried what little scoring the Dolphins’ offense could muster on Monday night, catching a team-leading seven of eight targets for 66 yards (one yard shy of De'Von Achane’s lead) and a pair of fourth-quarter touchdown receptions. He now trails only Jaylen Waddle with seven end zone targets in his seven games played.
Saints vs. Jets 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Chris Olave (WR, Saints) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+850)
Devaughn Vele’s shoulder injury is expected to keep him sidelined this week, leaving this Saints receiving room more shortstaffed than ever. This leaves Chris Olave, who controls a team-high 28.2% of New Orleans’ targets with a route run on 93.4% of their offensive dropbacks, alone at the top of the depth chart. Olave saw a 39% share of the team’s targets after Vele exited the game last week, and he finished the day with his highest receiving totals since Week 10.
Saints vs. Jets Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Juwan Johnson (TE, Saints) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+235)
Juwan Johnson is another Saint who could benefit from the thinner-than-average receiving room this week. Since Tyler Shough took over as the starter in New Orleans, Johnson ranks third on the team in target share (behind Chris Olave and Rashid Shaheed, who was traded to Seattle), with a 12.5% share of their end zone targets. He shares a team-high 25% of red zone targets with Olave in that window, which should contribute favorably against a Jets team ranked 26th with a 7.2% touchdown rate allowed to tight ends.
Giants vs. Vikings 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Wan'Dale Robinson (WR, Giants) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+1200)
Robinson snagged a 16-yard yard touchdown just inches above the ground on his third-to-last of ten targets on Sunday, cutting New York’s deficit to within one score. This was one of Robinson’s team-high five receptions against Washington, which he took for 54 total yards. Robinson leads the team in target share with 28%, but that jumps to 33.3% over the last two weeks when Jaxson Dart is blitzed. Minnesota’s defense blitzes at the NFL’s highest rate, at 47% through 15 weeks.
Giants vs. Vikings Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Jalen Nailor (WR, Vikings) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+290)
In the last two weeks, Jalen Nailor ranks third on the team (tied with TJ Hockenson) with 17% of Minnesota’s passing targets, with two of the team’s eight end zone targets in that timeframe. Both of those end zone targets came in Dallas last week for his third and fourth touchdowns of the season. He now leads the team with three touchdown passes from J.J. McCarthy, and the pair could continue to build their rapport this week as the Giants rank 21st with 15 passing touchdowns allowed to wide receivers this season.
Panthers vs. Bucs 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Bucky Irving (RB, Bucs) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+750)
Bucky Irving has led the team in rushing for three consecutive weeks since returning from injury. He’s registered a pair of touchdowns in that time, one on the run against Arizona and one through the air against New Orleans. While he’s struggled to generate consistent yards on the ground, this week’s matchup has a chance to swing that momentum, as the Panthers rank 20th in success rate against the run (just 58.9%),
Panthers vs. Bucs Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Emeka Egbuka (WR, Bucs) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+205)
Egbuka was Baker Mayfield’s first read on 23.8% of his passes on Sunday, ranked second on the team, despite seeing his fewest targets in a single game since Week 6. Through 15 weeks, the rookie wideout maintains a healthy lead on the team’s end zone targets with 10 total. Carolina has been relatively soft on wide receivers this season, allowing 13.1 yards per reception to the position on average (ranked 24th).
Broncos vs. Jaguars 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Courtland Sutton (WR, Broncos) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+950)
After a blockbuster 113-yard receiving day against the Packers, Cortland Sutton has now led the Broncos in targets and yards in each of the last two weeks. Sutton was Denver’s most frequently used wideout on Sunday, running a route on 97.2% of the team’s dropbacks. One of which went for his sixth touchdown of the season, a 14-yard grab in the third quarter that whittled the Packer lead down to 2. His hot streak is expected to continue against a Jaguars team that ranks 17th with a 5.6% touchdown rate allowed to outside receivers.
Broncos vs. Jaguars Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Troy Franklin (WR, Broncos) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+205)
Despite Courtland Sutton’s recent burst of productivity, Troy Franklin maintains a majority share of the Bronco's targets at 23%. He also leads with 26.7% of the team’s red zone targets. With Carolina ranked 30th with a 73.1% completion rate allowed to wide receivers in the red zone, this kind of volume screams ‘end zone’ (as it has in four of the last eight weeks).
Cardinals vs. Falcons 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Michael Wilson (WR, Cardinals) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+950)
Even with Marvin Harrison Jr. ‘s return imminent, the slice of Arizona’s offense that Michael Wilson has carved out for himself in his absence is hard to ignore. In his four games as the Cardinals’ WR1, Wilson has accounted for 32.5% of the team’s passing targets and 56.2% of their total air yards, all while Jacoby Brissett attempts passes at a league-leading pace. Brissett could continue to lean the rapport he’s built with Wilson against a Falcons’ team ranked 27th with 11.9 air yards per target allowed to wide receivers.
Cardinals vs. Falcons Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Darnell Mooney (WR, Falcons) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+310)
Although he ranks just fourth in terms of total target share, Darnell Mooney is second to only Drake London with 28.1% of Atlanta’s air yards. Since Kirk Cousins took over for Michael Penix Jr. as the starting quarterback, Mooney leads the team with a route run on 94.9% of all offensive dropbacks. Arizona ranks poorly defending against wide receivers, ranking 29th in touchdown rate (8.3%) and 26th in yards per target (8.8) to the position.
Lions vs. Steelers 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR, Lions) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+700)
Amon-Ra St. Brown posted season-highs in targets (18), receptions (13), and yards (164) in last week’s trip to Los Angeles. He also managed a pair of touchdowns on the day, a 17-yard grab to open the scoring in the first followed by a dump-off pass that he took eight yards to the house late in the second. After Week 15, St. Brown now controls a league-high 44.8% of his team’s looks in the red zone, which should worry this Steelers’ defense. Pittsburgh ranks 28th with 8.7 yards per target allowed to slot receivers, where St. Brown plays 46.8% of his snaps.
Lions vs. Steelers Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Darnell Washington (TE, Steelers) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+450)
Pittsburgh’s tight end room is always a toss-up, with three members of the group sharing the bulk of the work. Washington came out on top last week in terms of involvement, however, seeing action on 56.7% of dropbacks. Washington also leads the unit in targets against man coverage, which the Lions run at the league’s second-highest rate (34.3%).
Texans vs. Raiders 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Dalton Shultz (TE, Texans) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+900)
Shultz caught eight of nine targets against the Cardinals in Week 15, accumulating 76 yards (his highest total since Week 9) and his second touchdown of the season (first since Week 10). He now ranks among the top 10 tight ends in targets (93), receptions (70), and total yards (650). The Texans may consider looking to him in scoring territory again this week as the Raiders allow 7.5 yards per target to tight ends (ranked 19th).
Texans vs. Raiders Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Ashton Jeanty (RB, Raiders) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+230)
The Raiders are getting some much-needed support on the offensive line heading into Week 16, as Kolton Miller has been cleared to play for the first time since sustaining an ankle injury in Week 4 against the Bears. Those first four weeks of the season marked one of Ashton Jeanty’s more productive stretches, capped off by his only career 100+-yard rushing performance in that fateful game against Chicago. With Miller back, Jeanty may be able to restore some gravitas to his lackluster rookie season.
Ravens vs. Patriots 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
TreVeyon Henderson (RB, Patriots) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+700)
TreVeyon Henderson leads the NFL with four 50+-yard runs on the season. He currently ranks 5th in the league with 4.2% of his runs breaking 20 yards. He’ll have another shot to break a long one this week as the Ravens have allowed runs of 10 or more yards at the league’s 9th-highest rate this season (12.1%).
Ravens vs. Patriots Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Mack Hollins (WR, Patriots) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+370)
Mack Hollins led New England with a season-high 36.4% share of the team’s targets in Sunday’s loss to Buffalo. He also saw the team’s only end zone target of the day. If this level of volume continues, he may just be able to cash in on the next end zone target as the Ravens rank 21st with a -60.41 defensive EPA against passes targeting wideouts.
Colts vs. 49ers 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Jauan Jennings (WR, 49ers) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+900)
With a pair of touchdown receptions against Tennessee last week, Jauan Jennings has now scored six touchdowns in as many games since the start of November. Since the streak began, Jennings leads the team with a 30.6% target share in the red zone, and he ranks third in the NFL with 54.5% of their end zone targets.
Colts vs. 49ers Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Tyler Warren (WR, Colts) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+255)
Tyler Warren led the Colts in Philip Rivers’ return to action with a 23.1% target share. This week provides an opportunity for the rookie tight end to get more meaningfully acquainted with his veteran starting quarterback, as the 49ers have ranked 23rd with 5.9 yards per reception allowed to tight ends since Week 6.