Two of the most popular NFL bets this season are First Touchdown Scorer and Anytime Touchdown Scorer.
Every week during the NFL season, our experts will give you their prediction on which player they think will score the first TD for every game.
These prop bets can be difficult to predict, but they are a fan favorite among many NFL bettors.
What is a first touchdown scorer bet?
To win this bet, you must correctly pick the player to score the first touchdown in the game — the first player who receives a touchdown pass or crosses the goal line with the ball.
A touchdown scorer is defined as the player in possession of the ball in the end zone and not the player who throws the TD.
What is an anytime touchdown scorer bet?
To win this NFL bet, you must correctly pick a player who will score a touchdown. Similar to first touchdown bets, the player is the one who crosses the end zone himself, not the QB who throws to that player.
Before placing your anytime TD or first TD bet, be sure to check out our BetMGM Sportsbook bonus code
First & Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions & Bets for Divisional Round
Broncos vs. Bills 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Josh Allen (QB, Bills) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+600)
The Broncos have been a difficult team to gain ground yards against in 2025, ranking second overall in defensive success rate against the run (65.2%). However, that success rate falls to just 41.9% (ranked 21st) against running quarterbacks. They allowed rushing scores to Trevor Lawrence, Jaxson Dart, and Daniel Jones in the regular season, all of whom rank below Josh Allen in overall rushing attempts and yards. They also pale in comparison to Allen’s astonishing 14 rushing touchdowns on the season (5 more than the next-closest rushing QB).
Broncos vs. Bills Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Courtland Sutton (WR, Broncos) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+190)
Sutton’s team-leading rates in routes run per dropback (92%) and air yards (35.2%) will set him apart as Denver’s most reliable wideout against this Buffalo defense, especially based on the Bills’ weaknesses against outside receivers. Buffalo ranked 26th in yards per target (8.6) and 25th in touchdown rate (6.3%) allowed to outside wideouts this season, as if Bo Nix needed any more reason to trust his WR1.
Seahawks vs. 49ers 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Christian McCaffrey (RB, 49ers) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+600)
McCaffrey has found himself restricted in the rushing attack against this Seahawks’ defense, held to just 92 yards on 30 attempts in their first two meetings. He found much more success through the air in those games, racking up 107 yards on 15 total receptions. The veteran back’s passing usage is expected to increase even more in George Kittle’s absence, as he’s seen 25.5% of the team’s targets without their starting tight end on the field compared to 21.5% with him. McCaffrey has notched 6 of his 7 receiving scores on the season when Kittle was held out of the lineup.
Seahawks vs. 49ers Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Jake Tonges (TE, 49ers) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+340)
Tonges will step back into San Francisco’s starting role after George Kittle’s season ended with a torn Achilles in Philadelphia last week. When Kittle missed Weeks 2 through 6 with a hamstring injury, Tonges ranked third with a 15.7% share of the team’s targets, which he cashed in for 209 yards and 2 of his 5 total touchdowns. His return aligns with one of Seattle’s few soft spots on defense. Tight ends account for 28% of all the receptions Seattle has allowed this season (8th-most in the league), which they’ve taken for 7.5 yards per target (ranked 23rd).
Patriots vs. Texans 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Hunter Henry (TE, Patriots) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+850)
Overall, Henry controls just 18% of New England’s total target share on the season, but that jumps up to a 33.8% share in the red zone, which has translated to a team-high 8 touchdown receptions. That red zone target share leads all tight ends this season, which matches up well with a potential weakness in Houston’s rock-solid defensive backfield. The Texans have allowed a 6.2% touchdown rate to tight ends this season, ranked 22nd in the league.
Patriots vs. Texans Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Christian Kirk (WR, Texans) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+250)
Kirk’s usage has been trending upward for the last month now, seeing an increase in routes run per dropback in each of the last three games leading up to Week 18. His massive resurgence in Wild Card Weekend was a surprise, however, as Kirk took his season-high 9 targets for 114 yards. We haven’t seen Kirk hit a receiving total this high since Week 1 of the 2022 season, when he registered 117 yards on just 6 catches in Washington as a member of the Jacksonville Jaguars. While Nico Collins recovers from a concussion, Kirk’s role could increase even more in the Divisional Round, especially as the Patriots allow a 7.7% touchdown rate to slot receivers (ranked 26th). Kirk has run a team-high 70.8% of his routes from the slot this season.
Bears vs. Rams 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
D'Andre Swift (RB, Bears) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+950)
In 2025, we saw a relatively even split of backfield usage between Swift and Kyle Monangai, with Swift controlling a majority 50% share to Monangai’s 46.2% in the final half of the season. In the red zone, however, Swift has seen 43 touches to Monangai’s 28 through the last seven weeks, scoring 6 touchdowns in the process. Swift has also accounted for all 4 of Chicago’s carries inside the 10-yard line through their last two games. Swift also has an advantage based on his increased rate of outside zone runs. Swift has run outside zones at the league’s third-highest rate (51.3%), while the Rams rank 24th with 4.7 yards per carry allowed against those runs.
Bears vs. Rams Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Blake Corum (RB, Rams) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+275)
While Corum did see fewer snaps than Kyren Williams through the regular season, the Rams’ tendency to run the ball whenever Corum is on the field benefits the young back’s potential value. LA opts to run on 47.7% of Corum’s snaps compared to just 38.1% of the time with Williams. Since their bye week, Chicago has ranked just 18th in success rate against the run (60.2%), and their limited experience against 13 personnel sets this season (from which Corum averages 5.0 yards per carry) could leave them even more vulnerable on the ground.