Two of the most popular NFL bets this season are First Touchdown Scorer and Anytime Touchdown Scorer.
Every week during the NFL season, our experts will give you their prediction on which player they think will score the first TD for every game.
These prop bets can be difficult to predict, but they are a fan favorite among many NFL bettors.
What is a first touchdown scorer bet?
To win this bet, you must correctly pick the player to score the first touchdown in the game — the first player who receives a touchdown pass or crosses the goal line with the ball.
A touchdown scorer is defined as the player in possession of the ball in the end zone and not the player who throws the TD.
What is an anytime touchdown scorer bet?
To win this NFL bet, you must correctly pick a player who will score a touchdown. Similar to first touchdown bets, the player is the one who crosses the end zone himself, not the QB who throws to that player.
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First & Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions & Bets for Week 11
Dolphins vs. Commanders 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Chris Rodriguez (RB, Commanders) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+1200)
Rodriguez may have seen just 6 touches against Detroit last week, but that was mostly due to a shoulder injury that took him out of the game in the second half. Week 10 was Rodriguez’s second straight with a touchdown, his third in four weeks, courtesy of all 3 of Washington’s handoffs inside the five-yard line in the past month. He was a full participant in practice on Wednesday and is expected to rival Bill Croskey-Merritt for control of this Commanders' backfield again in Week 11.
Dolphins vs. Commanders Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Malik Washington (WR, Dolphins) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+200)
Washington caught two of his three looks last week, including a nine-yard touchdown reception from Tua Tagovailoa on the game’s opening drive. That’s Washington’s second score in three games, with a target share of just 12.9% in that time. He’s run 49.7% of his routes from the slot this season, where the Commanders are giving up 10.4 yards per target (ranked #32).
Falcons vs. Panthers 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Tyler Allgeier (RB, Falcons) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+900)
As impressive as Bijan Robinson’s numbers have been so far this season, Tyler Allgeier remains Atlanta’s most valuable asset in short-range scoring situations. He’s seen eight more touches inside the 10-yard line and two more inside the five, with six touchdowns on the year already. Two of those scores came on goal-line touches in Berlin just last week.
Falcons vs. Panthers Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Tetairoa McMillan (WR, Panthers) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+205)
McMillan led the team with eight targets the last time the Panthers faced Atlanta, and it stands to reason that he’ll be able to repeat that as he’s seen target rates of 34.8% and 31.6% in the last two weeks. He’s also drawn a lower rate of off-target passes from Bryce Young than both Xavier Legette and Hunter Renfrow (Carolina’s No. 2 and 3 wideouts in terms of target rate). The volume is there; he’ll just have to overcome his comparatively low 28.6% of Carolina’s end zone targets.
Bills vs. Bucs 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Sean Tucker (RB, Bucs) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+1100)
Sean Tucker’s share of carries has seen a significant upturn in the last two games. Before Week 8, he’d registered just 34 yards on 11 total carries. He’s taken his 21 carries in the two games since for 95 yards, including a 1-yard score on fourth down in New Orleans. In those two games, he’s outperformed Rachaad White with a success rate 8.5 percentage points higher and 1.3 more yards per carry on average.
Bills vs. Bucs Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Keon Coleman (WR, Bills) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+170)
Despite just three catches on the day, Keon Coleman saw his highest target count since Week 1 in last Week’s battle with the Bills. He did manage a 35-yard touchdown reception in Week 10 (his third of the season), and he maintains a team-high 28.1% of the team’s air yards on the season. Tampa’s defense sits tied with the ninth-most plays of 30+ yards allowed (14).
Titans vs. Texans 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Woody Marks (RB, Texans) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+500)
Marks found the end zone twice when these two teams last met, once by land and once by air. He played a career-high 80% of Houston’s snaps last week, racking up 81 total yards and his fourth touchdown of the season. Marks is walking into another favorable matchup as the Titans are surrendering the fifth-most yards per carry (4.9) and the seventh-most yards per game (135.3) to running backs.
Titans vs. Texans Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Jayden Higgins (WR, Texans) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+380)
Higgins is coming off his biggest game of the year, catching a season-high five of seven targets for 42 yards and his third touchdown of the season. While he was targeted just once against the Titans back in September, it went for a 24-yard touchdown.
Vikings vs. Bears 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Kyle Monangai (RB, Bears) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+1000)
D’Andre Swift is still in charge of this backfield, but Monangai’s role inside the ten cannot be ignored. He’s seen just one fewer goal-to-go rush than Swift with a pair of scores in the last month. Minnesota’s average rate of 3.20 goal-to-go rushes per touchdown ranks 20th in the league.
Vikings vs. Bears Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Jalen Nailor (WR, Vikings) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+390)
Nailor finished Sunday’s loss to Baltimore with the highest target total of his career, catching 5 of 6 for a massive 124-yard day and his first touchdown since Week 4. Nailor still managed to outgain Justin Jefferson despite seeing just half his targets, thanks to four of his five receptions going for 10+ yards. Chicago’s defense surrenders receptions of 10+ yards at the NFL’s third-highest rate (22.5%).
Giants vs. Packers 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Romeo Doubs (WR, Packers) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+1000)
Romeo Doubs fully participated in Wednesday’s practice after exiting Monday night’s game against Philadelphia with a chest injury. Matthew Golden, Christian Watson, Dontayvion Wicks, and Savion Williams also picked up injury designations in Week 10, but Doubs is the only Packers passcatcher to completely shake his entering Week 11. He still controls a team-high 21% of targets, and his eight end zone targets sit tied for 10th-most through ten weeks.
Giants vs. Packers Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Theo Johnson (TE, Giants) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+230)
Theo Johnson ranks seventh among tight ends with 27.8% of the Giants’ red zone targets. Even without Jaxson Dart to target him on 20.1% of his passes (between Weeks 4 and 10), New York will likely look to capitalize on Green Bay’s average of 6.7 receptions per game allowed to tight ends.
Steelers vs. Bengals 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Chase Brown (RB, Bengals) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+850)
Samaje Perine is expected to sit out in Week 11 with an ankle injury he sustained against Chicago in Week 9. If he does sit out on Sunday, Brown could be the back to take advantage of a Steelers’ defense allowing 3.29 yards after contact per rush (ranked 22nd).
Steelers vs. Bengals Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Kenneth Gainwell (RB, Steelers) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+310)
Although Kenneth Gainwell hasn’t outgained Jaylen Warren on the ground since Week 4, he has run more routes in the receiving game than Warren in each of the last two games. With Cincinnati giving up a 27th-ranked 8.7 yards per reception to running backs, this could be Gainwell’s best chance to get back on the scoresheet through the air for the first time this season to complement his three rushing scores.
Jaguars vs. Chargers 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Ladd McConkey (WR, Chargers) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+850)
After a slow start to the season, McConkey has scored a touchdown in four of his last six games. Sunday was his second time hitting triple-digit yards in a single game this season, bringing him into the team lead with 631 total. That’s 92 more yards than Keenan Allen on one fewer reception (both with 80 targets on the year).
Jaguars vs. Chargers Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Parker Washington (WR, Jaguars) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+245)
After seeing just 25 targets in his first six games, Parker Washington has exploded for 26 looks in his last three, leading the team with 25.2% of Jacksonville’s targets in that time. He’s pulled in 15 of those passes for 175 yards and the opening touchdown of last week’s contest in Houston. Washington plays most of his snaps out of the slot, and the Chargers are giving up a 20th-ranked 5.4% touchdown rate to slot receivers.
Rams vs. Seahawks 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR, Seahawks) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+950)
On 63 total receptions (ranked fifth), Smith-Njigba became the first receiver to crack 1,000 yards in 2025. Although his four-game 100-yard streak snapped against Arizona this week with just 93 yards on five catches, it was still one of only three outings this season in which he hasn’t reached triple digits. To make matters better, the Rams have given up 9.5 yards per target to outside wide receivers (ranked 25th), where Smith-Njigba plays 81% of his snaps.
Rams vs. Seahawks Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Zach Charbonnet (RB, Seahawks) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+140)
Charbonnet found the end zone for the sixth time this season on Sunday on a 6-yard rush in the second quarter to extend Seattle’s lead to 35-0. He totaled 14 touches on the day (his second-highest total behind the 15 in Week 2), tied with Kenneth Walker III, but managed 16 more yards than Walker did. Charbonnet still controls 54.1% of Seattle’s touches inside the ten-yard line.
Cardinals vs. 49ers 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Trey McBride (TE, Cardinals) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+650)
Trey McBride has strung together a four-game scoring streak, aided by the league’s fifth-highest target share since Week 6 (35.5% since Jacoby Brissett took over). He’s got 32 receptions in that time, with nine of those coming on his 13 targets in Seattle just last week.
Cardinals vs. 49ers Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Brian Robinson Jr. (RB, 49ers) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+475)
Through his last two games, Brian Robinson Jr. has taken 11 carries for 94 yards and a pair of touchdowns. One of those scores game on the goal line last week against Los Angeles, a situation where touches had been reserved for Christian McCaffrey until now. He could get through again this week with Arizona allowing 4.5 yards per carry (20th) and a 57.9% success rate (26th) to running backs.
Browns vs. Ravens 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Mark Andrews (TE, Ravens) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+800)
Three of Mark Andrews’ five receptions over the past three games have gone for touchdowns. He’s already got a pair of multi-touchdown games this season, and he’ll have a chance to continue his scoring streak against a Browns defense that has allowed a 30th-ranked 9.3% touchdown rate to tight ends.
Browns vs. Ravens Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
DeAndre Hopkins (WR, Ravens) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+330)
Rashod Bateman missed practice again on Thursday. Without him, DeAndre Hopkins has run a route on 47.5% of Baltimore dropbacks. On those routes, Hopkins has been targeted on 27% of them for 4.08 yards per route against man coverage, which Cleveland runs at the league’s highest rate (44%).
Broncos vs. Chiefs 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Xavier Worthy (WR, Chiefs) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+1100)
Over the past two games, Worthy has averaged a 23% share of Kansas City’s passing targets (behind only Rashee Rice), with a team-leading 27.8% of air yards. He’s also faced Patrick Mahomes’ highest off-target rate in that time, so we could see Worthy return to his early-season pace if the Chiefs can clean up those 21.4% of passes.
Broncos vs. Chiefs Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Troy Franklin (WR, Broncos) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+205)
Sunday saw Denver’s fourth straight game with Troy Franklin as their leader in targets, bringing his total to a team-high 73 on the season (ranked 16th in the league). He’s also managed four touchdowns in that time, thanks to the league’s fifth-highest rate of red zone targets (36.8%) and a team-leading eight end zone targets.
Eagles vs. Lions 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR, Lions) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+950)
Despite his lowest reception total since Week 1, St. Brown still managed to rack up 58 yards and his eighth touchdown of the season in Washington on Sunday. His 693 total yards on the year now rank fifth in the league, and he leads all receivers with a 45.9% share of Detroit’s targets in the red zone.
Eagles vs. Lions Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Sam LaPorta (TE, Lions) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+245)
The Eagles have been tough on tight ends this season, but within his positional group, Sam LaPorta now ranks fifth in yards (489) and ninth in receptions (40), while ranking just 12th in targets (49). His 81.6% receiving rate inspires hope compared to his high rate of targets.
Raiders vs. Cowboys 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Brock Bowers (TE, Raiders) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+1000)
Over the last two weeks, Brock Bowers has caught 81.3% of his targets, and he ranks third with 158 yards. Dallas promises a much more forgiving matchup in the receiving game than Denver offered, as the Cowboys have given up a 23rd-ranked 6.0 receptions per game to tight ends.
Raiders vs. Cowboys Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Jake Ferguson (TE, Cowboys) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+180)
The scoring consistency Ferguson saw between Weeks 4 and 8 hit a wall leading into Dallas’s Week 10 bye, but he bounced back well from the tough loss in Denver by catching five of seven for 50 yards against Arizona in Week 9. While the Raiders' defense has held up well against tight ends through the first ten weeks, they have ranked 21st with a 69.5% reception rate allowed overall.