Two of the most popular NFL bets this season are First Touchdown Scorer and Anytime Touchdown Scorer.
Every week during the NFL season, our experts will give you their prediction on which player they think will score the first TD for every game.
These prop bets can be difficult to predict, but they are a fan favorite among many NFL bettors.
What is a first touchdown scorer bet?
To win this bet, you must correctly pick the player to score the first touchdown in the game — the first player who receives a touchdown pass or crosses the goal line with the ball.
A touchdown scorer is defined as the player in possession of the ball in the end zone and not the player who throws the TD.
What is an anytime touchdown scorer bet?
To win this NFL bet, you must correctly pick a player who will score a touchdown. Similar to first touchdown bets, the player is the one who crosses the end zone himself, not the QB who throws to that player.
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First & Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions & Bets for Week 13
Lions vs. Packers 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Jameson Williams (WR, Lions) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+1200)
The Packers have done a good job limiting Amon-Ra St. Brown in recent meetings with the Lions, which has led to targets for secondary options. In the first meeting, those targets went to Jahmyr Gibbs and Sam LaPorta. Gibbs should remain a big part of the offense, but LaPorta is out for the season. That should allow Williams to soak up some more targets, and we are getting him at a good price coming off a goose egg last week.
Lions vs. Packers Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Romeo Doubs (WR, Packers) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+175)
Doubs remains a favorite for Jordan Love near the end zone, leading the team with 8 end zone targets this season. The next closest players are all at 2. The Packers do love to run near the goal line, but Josh Jacobs is returning from an injury, which could limit him in this tough matchup.
Cowboys vs. Chiefs 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Rashee Rice (WR, Chiefs) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+600)
Rice has been the clear WR1 since returning to the lineup, and this matchup against the Cowboys sets up very well for him. The Cowboys run zone coverage at the fourth-highest rate in the league, and Rice has shredded zone coverage this season. Rice has been targeted on 32% of his routes against zone coverage and is averaging 3.44 yards per route run.
Cowboys vs. Chiefs Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Jake Ferguson (TE, Cowboys) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+220)
Ferguson has seen his role in the offense shrink since CeeDee Lamb returned to action, but he has remained a touchdown threat. He is tied with George Pickens for second with 3 end zone targets in the five games since Lamb returned, and he leads the team with 3 receiving touchdowns in those games. The Chiefs have not faced a ton of tight end targets, but they have given up 8.6 yards per target to the position (29th).
Ravens vs. Bengals 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Mark Andrews (TE, Ravens) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+700)
This one is pretty chalky, but it makes a lot of sense. Andrews has 8 of the 23 end zone targets with Lamar Jackson on the field this season. The Bengals have been beaten up by tight ends all year, allowing an astounding 11.7% touchdown rate per target to the position. Overall, Cincinnati has allowed 13 receiving scores to tight ends. The next worst defense has allowed 7. Andrews also has the added out of Baltimore's version of the Tush Push.
Ravens vs. Bengals Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Mike Gesicki (TE, Bengals) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+360)
The matchup is not as good for Gesicki on the other side, but he has promising splits with Tee Higgins off the field in recent seasons. Last year, Gesicki was targeted on 26.1% of his routes with Higgins off the field. He scored twice in a three-game stretch without Higgins in the middle of last season.
Eagles vs. Bears 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
A.J. Brown (WR, Eagles) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+800)
Brown snapped out of his funk last week, going for 110 yards and a touchdown on 8 catches, and this matchup sets up well for him. He leads the team in target share (33.3%) against man coverage, earning a target on 34.3% of his routes and averaging 3.56 yards per route run this season. This trend has gone back several years, so it is worth buying into. The Bears are only 14th in man coverage rate, but that should spike this week as they get Kyler Gordon and Jaylon Johnson back from injury.
Eagles vs. Bears Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Kyle Monangai (RB, Bears) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+245)
Monangai has held onto his near even split of the backfield even with D'Andre Swift back for the last three games, and he has been an even bigger factor near the goal line. Monangai has 6 snaps to 4 for Swift in goal-to-go situations over the last three games, leads 4 touches to 2, and has 3 touchdowns.
Browns vs. 49ers 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Ricky Pearsall (WR, 49ers) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+1200)
Pearsall is still working his way back into the 49ers lineup after suffering an ankle injury back in Week 4. He’s seen just six targets in his two games back, but he ranked 4th with 327 receiving yards and 6th with 16.4 yards per catch.
Browns vs. 49ers Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Jauan Jennings (WR, 49ers) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+225)
Jennings scored his third touchdown in the last four games, thanks to a team-leading 31.1% of targets in that window. He’s targeted on 31.4% of his routes against man coverage, which the Browns run at a league-leading rate (42.1%).
Titans vs. Jaguars 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Parker Washington (WR, Jaguars) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+1100)
While this backfield has seen a mostly even split of touches between Tony Pollard and Tyjae Spears over the last seven games, Pollard has been favored inside the 20-yard line. He accounts for 35.2% of Tennessee’s rushes in the red zone and 40% in goal-to-go situations behind only Cam Ward. The Jaguars have played well against the run, but their sample size is smaller than almost anyone’s, with just 17.4 backfield runs faced per game (ranked 31st).
Titans vs. Jaguars Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Tony Pollard (RB, Titans) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+280)
Since Travis Hunter’s rookie season ended prematurely, Parker Washington has led Jacksonville in targets in three of their last four games. He’s generated 214 yards and a pair of touchdowns on his 18 catches in that timeframe. With his 71-yard performance in Arizona last week, Washington has now overtaken Brian Thomas Jr. for the team lead in receiving yards. He finds himself in another advantageous matchup this week as the Titans allow a league-worst 71.1% catch rate and a 22nd-ranked 5.6% touchdown rate to wide receivers.
Colts vs. Texans 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Woody Marks (RB, Texans) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+900)
After last Thursday’s upset win over Buffalo, Woody Marks has now led the Texans’ backfield in carries and rushing yards for the third consecutive week. Of all 30 backs with 30 or more carries in that timeframe, Marks ranks tenth in success rate (43.8%) and EPA per rush (0.04). He’s only scored once in that timeframe, but the Colts have let up touchdowns to RBs in five of their last six games.
Colts vs. Texans Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Michael Pittman Jr. (WR, Colts) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+220)
Pittman bounced back from the odd two-target outing against the Falcons in Berlin to catch five of eight targets in Kansas City. He also logged his seventh touchdown of the season on the game’s opening drive, tying him with five other players for the fourth-most through 12 weeks. Houston has allowed the 5th-highest rate of receptions from slot receivers, where Pittman plays 32% of his snaps. That rate could increase this week, as the Texans have effectively shut down outside receivers.
Dolphins vs. Saints 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Jaylen Waddle (WR, Dolphins) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+600)
Jaylen Waddle ranks 17th with 722 receiving yards this season, despite Miami dropping back to pass at the second-lowest rate in the league. The Saints have been particularly vulnerable to WR1s this season, ranking 27th in yards per target allowed (9.6) and 29th in touchdown rate (8.5%).
Dolphins vs. Saints Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Ollie Gordon II (RB, Dolphins) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+255)
After seeing a reduced role in the two games prior, Ollie Gordon saw some meaningful action again in Madrid against Washington. The second year back took his nine carries for 45 yards and his third touchdown of the season (his first since Week 8) courtesy of four goal-to-go touches. The Saints rank 22nd in yards allowed per game to running backs (131.4), with a 24th-ranked 45.8% success rate against goal-to-go rushes.
Jets vs. Falcons 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Breece Hall (RB, Jets) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+650)
While Hall had another rough day on the ground in Week 12, his real impact came in the receiving game. The fourth year back posted a season-high 75 receiving yards on just four catches, making him New York’s receiving leader as well as their rushing leader in last week’s loss to Baltimore. The Falcons have allowed 40+ receiving yards to a running back in each of their previous three games.
Jets vs. Falcons Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Darnell Mooney (WR, Falcons) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+245)
Mooney led Atlanta in receiving yards for just the second time this season last week, catching all three of his targets for 74 yards and his first touchdown of 2025. He ranks second on the Falcons behind only the injured Drake London with a 29.5% share of the team’s air yards and 14.2% of their end zone targets. He sees the majority of his targets against man coverage, which the Jets run at an 8th-ranked 30.2% clip.
Bucs vs. Cardinals 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Coming soon!
Bucs vs. Cardinals Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Coming soon!
Panthers vs. Rams 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Rico Dowdle (RB, Panthers) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+900)
Dowdle saw a season-low six carries in Santa Clara on Sunday, but he still generated 6.3 yards per carry (on top of 9.0 yards for each of his four receptions) for 74 all-purpose yards on Sunday. Even if Carolina carries over the pass-heavy script they brought against the 49ers, Dowdle could still benefit, as he’s seen 17 passing targets in the last four games (the same total as he posted through the season’s first eight games). While the Rams typically rank 3rd in yards per completion allowed, that rank falls to 13th on throws targeting running backs.
Panthers vs. Rams Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Colby Parkinson (TE, Rams) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+250)
After coming up with just seven receptions in his first six games, Parkinson has pulled in 12 of his 13 targets for 106 yards in his four games through the month of November. Parkinson has now scored touchdowns in three consecutive games, largely due to a team-leading 66.7% share of red zone targets during that time. It certainly doesn’t hurt his odds that Carolina still ranks dead last in yards per target to tight ends (9.4).
Seahawks vs. Vikings 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Aaron Jones (RB, Vikings) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+1000)
Seattle has been one of the league’s best defenses against the run this season. That being said, the Vikings are down to their third-string quarterback, Max Brosmer, which would indicate a more run-heavy script this week. Jones has only broken 10 carries in a single outing so far this season, but he has seen an increase in usage since his return from injury. We could also see Jones incorporated more heavily into the passing attack this week, as he’s pulled in at least three receptions in each of his last three games (averaging 5.3 targets per game in that span).
Seahawks vs. Vikings Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Rashid Shaheed (WR, Seahawks) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+260)
Shaheed hasn’t seen many targets since joining the Seahawks a few short weeks ago, but his playstyle fills an intriguing niche considering the matchup at hand. The Vikings haven’t registered much experience against the deep ball this season, with opponents attempting passes of 20 or more yards at the third-lowest rate. His gradual uptick in route participation is a sign that we could see his field-flipping talents on display in Seattle sooner rather than later.
Steelers vs. Bills 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Khalil Shakir (WR, Bills) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+1100)
Shakir continues to dominate Buffalo’s receiving attack with little competition this season, seeing action on 80% of dropbacks compared to just 60% for the next-closest receiver. He roped in a season-high eight of ten targets last Thursday, for his first 100+-yard outing of the campaign. He plays 64.8% of his snaps from the slot, where Pittsburgh is giving up a 20th-ranked 8.1 yards per target to receivers.
Steelers vs. Bills Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Kenneth Gainwell (RB, Steelers) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+220)
Kenneth Gainwell has been one of the league’s best pass-catching backs this season. Among RBs, he ranks 6th with a 25.8% share of Pittsburgh's targets and 10th with a route run on 61.4% of dropbacks. In the run game, he averages a solid 5.2 yards per carry in 12 and 13 personnel sets, which Buffalo allows a 32-ranked 6.7 yards per carry against.
Chargers vs. Raiders 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Oronde Gadsden II (TE, Chargers) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+900)
Gadsden got L.A.’s bye week to work off the last remnants of the quad bruise he sustained in week 10. Following back-to-back games with his two lowest catch rates of the season, he’ll look to get back on track against a downtrodden Raiders secondary. Gadsden is used most often against Cover 3 defenses, seeing targets on 26.9% of routes for 3.19 yards per route. Las Vegas runs Cover 3 at a league-leading 49.8% rate.
Chargers vs. Raiders Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Ladd McConkey (WR, Chargers) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+220)
McConkey saw his lowest target total of the season against Jacksonville in Week 11, catching three of just four for his fewest receiving yards since Week 4. This was a minor speed bump in the young wideout’s impressive season, as he still upholds the team lead in receiving yards with just two fewer targets than Keenan Allen. The Raiders' defense ranks 27th, allowing receptions on 75.5% of targets to slot receivers, where McConkey lines up a team-high 61.2% of the time.
Commanders vs. Broncos 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Troy Franklin (WR, Broncos) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+850)
Franklin led Denver in receiving for the third time this season against the Chiefs last Sunday, posting a season-high 21.0 yards per catch on four total receptions. Franklin’s rate of 20+-yard targets ranks second on the Broncos roster behind only Marvin Mims, who sees the field for less than 50% of dropbacks compared to Franklin’s 80.9%. The Commanders rank 29th in completion rate allowed to receivers on such throws (46.4%).
Commanders vs. Broncos Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Bo Nix (QB, Broncos) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+400)
While he hasn’t scored on the run since Week 7, he still ranks 12th among quarterbacks with 50 total carries on the season. Of those 12 quarterbacks, Nix ranks 6th with 16% of his rushes going for 10 or more yards. He also ranks fourth with 3.04 yards per carry on average. He’ll look to reach the end zone again against a Washington team ranked dead last with a 22.2% success rate against rushing quarterbacks.
Patriots vs. Giants 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Stefon Diggs (WR, Patriots) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+700)
Diggs may have seen his lowest target count since Week 6 this weekend, but he maintains New England’s highest target share on the season (24.8%). 27.6% of his targets have come against man coverage, for 2.59 yards per route. With Shane Bowen as their defensive coordinator, the Giants ran man coverage at the 3rd-most frequent rate (32.6%).
Patriots vs. Giants Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Hunter Henry (TE, Patriots) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+205)
Hunter Henry just posted his third career 100-yard outing on Sunday, catching seven of 10 for 115 and his fifth touchdown of the season against the Bengals. In terms of targets and receptions, this was his biggest day since he caught eight of 11 for 90 yards and a pair of scores against Pittsburgh in Week 3. He now ranks 4th among all tight ends with 537 total yards on the season. The Giants rank 17th with a 5.8% touchdown rate allowed to tight ends.