Two of the most popular NFL bets this season are First Touchdown Scorer and Anytime Touchdown Scorer.
Every week during the NFL season, our experts will give you their prediction on which player they think will score the first TD for every game.
These prop bets can be difficult to predict, but they are a fan favorite among many NFL bettors.
What is a first touchdown scorer bet?
To win this bet, you must correctly pick the player to score the first touchdown in the game — the first player who receives a touchdown pass or crosses the goal line with the ball.
A touchdown scorer is defined as the player in possession of the ball in the end zone and not the player who throws the TD.
What is an anytime touchdown scorer bet?
To win this NFL bet, you must correctly pick a player who will score a touchdown. Similar to first touchdown bets, the player is the one who crosses the end zone himself, not the QB who throws to that player.
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First & Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions & Bets for Week 14
Lions vs. Cowboys 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
George Pickens (WR, Cowboys) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+1100)
There are so many good options in what should be a high-scoring game, it is tough to choose a first scorer. Pickens stands out because he has been a monster against single-high coverage, which the Lions play a little over 60% of the time. Against single high even with CeeDee Lamb active, Pickens has 27.7% of the targets and 47.9% of the air yards.
Lions vs. Cowboys Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Isaac TeSlaa (WR, Lions) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+170)
Unsurprisingly given the total, there is not a ton of value in the anytime market for this game, so let's take a shot on a player who should have an expanded role. TeSlaa has not consistently earned targets this season, and that continued last week despite Amon-Ra St. Brown leaving early. When he does catch the ball, though, they tend to be in the end zone. 3 of his 6 catches this season have been touchdowns.
Falcons vs. Seahawks 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR, Seahawks) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+650)
Smith-Njigba posted the lowest totals of his historic season last week against the Vikings, catching just two of four targets for 23 yards. This was largely due to Minnesota’s defense disrupting the passing attack at its source, consistently applying pressure on Sam Darnold. Smith-Njigba will face a more forgiving matchup this week. Atlanta’s defense uses Cover 3 at the NFL’s second-highest rate (48.7%), while Smith-Njigba gains 3.24 yards per route on a team-high 33% of targets against Cover 3.
Falcons vs. Seahawks Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Tyler Allgeier (RB, Falcons) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+230)
Allgeier scored his fourth touchdown in as many games this week after capitalizing on another goal-line stand. Bijan Robinson still trails Allgeier in goal-to-go touches with nine to his 16, which ranks ninth among all rushers this season. Despite seeing just eight carries last week, Allgeier is expected to assume his usual goal-line responsibilities against Seattle, whose typical second-ranked success rate against the run (67.2%) drops to 15th (52.2%) in goal-to-go scenarios.
Bills vs. Bengals 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Chase Brown (RB Bengals) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+700)
Brown recorded his sixth consecutive 100+-yard game on Sunday, with his 113 total scrimmage yards ranking 11th in Week 13. Even with a decreased rate in backfield touches due to Samaje Perine’s return, Brown left his mark on the rushing and receiving battles against the Ravens on Sunday. He’ll look to do so again as Buffalo surrenders a 30th-ranked 5.3 yards per touch to running backs.
Bills vs. Bengals Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Dalton Kincaid (TE, Bills) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+200)
Dalton Kincaid will look to make his return this week after missing the last three with a hamstring ailment. He still ranks 12th among tight ends in receiving yards despite playing only eight games so far, and the Bengals' defense offers even more opportunities to stretch the field. Cincinnati has seen passing offenses target tight ends at the league’s highest rate (10.3 per game), and they rank 31st in yards per target allowed (9.0) and 32nd in touchdown rate (10.5%) on those throws.
Browns vs. Titans 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Jerry Jeudy (WR, Browns) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+1300)
Jerry Jeudy has accounted for 38.9% of Cleveland’s air yards since Shedeur Sanders took over as the starting quarterback. He was on the field for a team-high 88% of dropbacks last week, tied with Harold Fannin Jr. at 88.2% in the two games under Sanders. This degree of participation sets him up nicely in Week 14, as Tennessee’s defense is allowing a 30th-ranked 9.4 yards per target to wide receivers with a 22nd-ranked 5.6% touchdown rate.
Browns vs. Titans Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Harold Fannin Jr. (TE, Browns) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+340)
Fannin’s performance in Santa Clara was a silver lining on an otherwise lacking offensive outing. He caught three of his five targets for a team-high 43 receiving yards and his third touchdown of the season, a 34-yard catch on a well-designed wheel route for Cleveland’s only score on the day. Shedeur Sanders has targeted Fannin on 26.4% of his throws this season.
Vikings vs. Commanders 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Chris Rodriguez (RB, Commanders) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+950)
Marcus Mariota may have outrushed him by 14 yards last week, but Rodriguez led the Commanders in carries against Denver last week for 41 yards and the game’s opening touchdown. Rodriguez has commanded a team-high 45.8% of Washington’s RB carries over their last four games, with three touchdowns in that window (four in his last six games).
Vikings vs. Commanders Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Zach Ertz (TE, Commanders) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+250)
Ertz set new season-highs in targets, receptions, and yards against Denver on Sunday, leading the Commanders in receiving for the third time this year. Since Week 5 (Washington’s last win), Ertz leads the team with a 22.2% share of targets, and he ranks second behind only Terry McLaurin with five end zone targets in that time. In Week 14, he’ll face a Vikings team that has allowed tight ends to make up a second-ranked 31.8% of their opponents’ receptions, with a 24th-ranked 6.5% touchdown rate surrendered to the position.
Jets vs. Dolphins 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Adonai Mitchell (WR, Jets) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+1300)
Mitchell put up the biggest numbers of his young career against Atlanta on Sunday, catching eight of his 12 targets, including a 52-yard heave from Tyrod Taylor for his first career touchdown. In his three games since joining the Jets, Mitchell accounts for a team-leading 29.8% of New York’s targets and a massive 59.9% of their air yards. He’s also seen an increase in dropback participation rate through each of those last four games.
Jets vs. Dolphins Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Darren Waller (TE, Dolphins) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+225)
Waller caught two of his three targets in his return from injury, accounting for 15% of Miami’s passing targets last week. He also garnered one of just two Dolphins’ end zone targets in their win over New Orleans, although it fell incomplete. This is a convenient matchup for Waller as he works his way back to regular reps, with the Jets allowing a 30th-ranked 8.1% touchdown rate to tight ends. Waller himself scored a pair on the Jets when they visited Miami back in September.
Bucs vs. Saints 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Emeka Egbuka (WR, Bucs) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+700)
Egbuka’s chase for the Offensive Rookie of the Year award continues this week after catching four of eight against the Cardinals on Sunday. He maintains the team lead in targets with 29.4%, and he’s ranked 10th in the league with 15.2 yards per reception through 13 Weeks. With the Saints allowing a 7.8% touchdown rate, ranked 26th in the league, Egbuka will look for his seventh score of the year to boost his already-towering resume.
Bucs vs. Saints Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Chris Godwin (WR, Bucs) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+190)
Godwin saw his greatest share of the Bucs’ receiving workload since Week 4, roping in three of five targets and leading the team with 78 receiving yards on the day. He failed to notch a touchdown in the four games he has suited up for this season, but he is tied for the team lead in end zone targets through the last two games. He’ll have some room to get reacclimated against a Saints team ranked 25th with a 65.4% reception rate and 26th with 11.75 yards per target allowed to wide receivers.
Jaguars vs. Colts 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Tyler Warren (TE, Colts) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+1000)
Warren hit a new low on the season with just 22 total yards in Sunday’s game against Houston, but he did manage his fifth touchdown of the season on his second of three catches. He’s set up for a much more productive day against a Jaguars defense ranked 31st in receptions per game (7.0) and 22nd in touchdown rate (6.2%) against tight ends.
Jaguars vs. Colts Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Jakobi Meyers (WR, Jaguars) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+230)
Meyers posted his best numbers since Week 1 in Tennessee on Sunday, catching all six of his targets for 90 yards and his second touchdown as a Jaguar. He’s now scored in back-to-back games thanks to a 21% share of the team’s targets since joining from Las Vegas three weeks ago. He’s led Jacksonville in receiving in two out of those three games, and he also tied the team in end zone targets in the past two. He’ll look to extend these streaks against a Colts defense that allows the second-most receptions (13.4) and the fifth-most yards (164.2) per game to wideouts.
Ravens vs. Steelers 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Jaylen Warren (RB, Steelers) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+850)
Pittsburgh’s offense stalled against Buffalo last week, but the minimal offense they did see came from Jaylen Warren. He took ten carries and a pair of receptions for 44 total yards and the team’s only touchdown, a goal-line gut punch to open the scoring in the second quarter. Warren also saw action on more passing routes than Kenneth Gainwell, which would benefit him against a Ravens team that ranks 26th in yards per attempt allowed to running backs, with a 26th-ranked 467 total receiving yards allowed to the position.
Ravens vs. Steelers Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Isaiah Likely (TE, Ravens) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+320)
Likely posted his highest receiving totals since last season’s opener against the Chiefs, hauling in five of six targets for 95 yards. Dating back to Baltimore’s Week 7 bye, Likely ranks third on the team with a 14.9% target share, recording a route on 54.1% of the team’s dropbacks. He’s walking into another favorable matchup this week against Pittsburgh’s defense, which has allowed the sixth-highest touchdown rate to tight ends (7.1%).
Raiders vs. Broncos 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Brock Bowers (TE, Raiders) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+1000)
Bowers found the end zone for the first time since Week 9 on Sunday, scoring on a pair of six-yard receptions from Geno Smith for the Raiders’ only points at SoFi Stadium. He led the team in receiving for the third time in five games since the Week 8 bye, despite being targeted just four times. He could be poised for another team-leading day as Denver’s defense drops from fourth in yards per attempt allowed (6.3) down to 19th (7.4) when opponents target tight ends.
Raiders vs. Broncos Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Pat Bryant (WR, Broncos) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+340)
Only Evan Engram saw more targets than Pat Bryant in Washington last week. Unfortunately, 14.3% of those throws were off-target, the team’s second-highest rate in Week 13 behind only Tyler Badie. Still, Bryant ran more routes than Engram and Troy Franklin and just three fewer than Courtland Sutton, with participation on a season-high 77.1% of the team’s dropbacks. He also led Denver with 34.4% of their air yards last week on just three receptions.
Packers vs. Bears 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Christian Watson (WR, Packers) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+950)
Watson’s four receptions for 80 yards (including his third touchdown of the season) trailed only Dontayvion Wicks’ season-high 6-94-2 stat line last week, as he led the team with 10 targets. Watson has seen 27.5% of his targets in man coverage compared to just 19.2% in zone, which should give him an edge as the Bears run man coverage at the league’s eighth-highest rate (30.6% of plays).
Packers vs. Bears Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Kyle Monangai (RB, Bears) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+200)
Chicago’s backfield saw a relatively even split last week, with Monangai out-touching D’Andre Swift 22 to 19, but gaining eight fewer yards. Both notched touchdowns against Philadelphia, but Monangai’s increased usage since his 176-yard breakout game in Week 9 (which Swift missed with a groin injury) bodes well for his continued scoring potential. Since Swift’s return in Week 10, Monangai has out-touched him 5-2 inside the 10, with a touchdown in each of those last four games.
Cardinals vs. Rams 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Puka Nacua (WR, Rams) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+600)
Puka Nacua has been held out of the end zone since the team faced San Francisco a month ago, but he’s led the team with a 31.8% target share in the three games since. The Rams opt to throw to Nacua on a team-leading 37% of routes against Cover 4 defenses, which the Cardinals run at a first-ranked 26.7% clip.
Cardinals vs. Rams Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Michael Wilson (WR, Cardinals) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+215)
Marvin Harrison Jr. has been ruled out for this week. In the last two-week stretch Harrison missed (Weeks 11 and 12), Michael Wilson led the Cardinals with 32.4% of their targets, 57% of their air yards, and 3.06 yards per route run.
Chiefs vs. Texans 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Nico Collins (WR, Texans) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+850)
Since Houston’s Week 6 bye, Nico Collins ranks seventh in the NFL with 483 receiving yards and second (tied with four other receivers behind only Davante Adams) with eight end zone targets. He caught five of a team-high 10 targets for 98 yards in last week’s win over Indianapolis, leading the Texans in receiving for the fourth straight game.
Chiefs vs. Texans Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Travis Kelce (TE, Chiefs) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+205)
Kelce caught five of six against Dallas on Thanksgiving, cashing in one of Patrick Mahomes’ four passing scores in the process. The two-yard touchdown reception at the end of the first quarter was Kelce’s third in five games dating back to Week 8, with a 21.2% share of the team’s targets in that time behind only Rashee Rice. This level of usage, especially in the red zone, should factor into Kansas City’s game plan as the Texans’ defense allows a 19th-ranked 5.7% touchdown rate to tight ends.
Chargers vs. Eagles 1st TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Keenan Allen (WR, Chargers) is our pick for the first TD scorer bet (+1900)
While his target share isn’t quite what it was through the first seven games of the season, his 72.3% catch rate over the last two games is a step in the right direction compared to the 53.3% rate he posted between Weeks 8-10. He caught four of five targets last week as he ran routes on a season-high 82.1% of L.A.’s dropbacks. Since Week 12, Allen leads the Chargers with 26.6% of their air yards. The Eagles’ defense ranks 31st in the league with 8.87 air yards allowed per target.
Chargers vs. Eagles Anytime TD Scorer Bet Prediction:
Kimani Vidal (RB, Chargers) is our pick for the anytime TD scorer bet (+310)
Omarion Hampton is looking to work his way back into the lineup this week after being reactivated off of injured reserve, but his workload will likely rebuild gradually. This should allow Kimani Vidal to build on the 4.07 yards-per-carry pace he built up in Hampton’s absence. With Jalen Carter out for another week and the Eagles allowing 5.4 yards per carry without him, Vidal will look to repeat the 126-yard total he put up against the Raiders last week (which featured his third touchdown of the season).