Every week, I will go through the players I am targeting to play in DFS for all games, tournaments, and game stacks.
The idea is that this will paint a clearer picture of framing lineups.
| Week 12 DFS Picks |
|---|
| Core Plays |
| Tournament Picks |
| Team & Game Stacks |
It is not that tournament players cannot be used in cash games.
If a player here works out for your team structure in cash games surrounding your primary core, use them.
These are just the players that come with some element of inherent risk, but they also are the primary players I still want to be ahead of the field on, compared to the percentage of rosters they are projected to make this weekend.
I will analyze the player selections and game writeups, but please refer to the Week 12 Worksheet for a detailed breakdown of the players and games.
Quarterback
Patrick Mahomes ($8,100/$6,800)
Mahomes has finished outside of the top-12 weekly scorers in back-to-back games for the first time this season.
He has run into two tougher draws on the road in Buffalo and Denver, who are at the top of the league in creating pressure.
The Colts are 22nd in pressure rate (34%), which dips to 31.4% when DeForest Buckner (on injured reserve) is off the field.
There are matchup notes in the complete breakdown of this game, but we only care about the upside for builds around Mahomes.
Mahomes is averaging 26.0 fantasy points per game at home this year, second to Josh Allen (29.6).
Bo Nix (20.2 points), Matthew Stafford (27.4), Jacoby Brissett (20.7), and Justin Herbert (27.9) have all had front-end weeks against the Colts, with only Herbert stacking junk points in his matchup.
Jalen Hurts ($9,000/$6,600)
Hurts is another quarterback I identified as having potential pitfalls this week, but we still do not know whether this Dallas defense is one we need to avoid, and the game indoors could feature scoring.
Dallas has still allowed a league-high 19.3 passing points per game, along with 4.8 rushing points per game (29th).
Even in Week 1 in this matchup, Hurts still managed 24.3 fantasy points.
Jacoby Brissett ($7,300/$5,300)
Brissett has now been a QB1 scorer in all five of his starts.
What has happened here is not dissimilar to what happened with Joe Flacco in Cincinnati.
Arizona's defense has deteriorated in recent weeks due to injuries and the state of the season, forcing the team to rely heavily on the air.
It does not hurt that they cannot run the ball right now and are deep into their backfield.
Brissett has dropped back 47, 46, 37, 53, and 57 times now in his starts.
Four of those were losses.
Jacksonville is a complete pass-funnel, and Arizona is already bad at the running game.
The Jaguars face 36.7 pass attempts per game (4th most) and the second-highest pass rate in the league.
Until last week, Jacksonville had been a team we targeted for quarterback production.
Before Justin Herbert and the Chargers offense flatlined, the Jaguars had allowed five straight QB1 scoring weeks, which included Geno Smith (26.3 points) and Davis Mills (27.7 points).
Running Back
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