Every week, I will go through the players I am targeting to play in DFS for all games, tournaments, and game stacks.
The idea is that this will paint a clearer picture of framing lineups.
| Week 14 DFS Picks |
|---|
| Core Plays |
| Tournament Picks |
| Team & Game Stacks |
It is not that tournament players cannot be used in cash games.
If a player here works out for your team structure in cash games surrounding your primary core, use them.
These are just the players that come with some element of inherent risk, but they also are the primary players I still want to be ahead of the field on, compared to the percentage of rosters they are projected to make this weekend.
I will analyze the player selections and game writeups, but please refer to the Week 14 Worksheet for a detailed breakdown of the players and games.
Quarterback
Jordan Love ($7,400/$5,900)
Love has been a boom-or-bust fantasy option this season.
The Chicago pass defense is also boom-or-bust.
The Bears lead the NFL in interception rate (4.5%) but also are allowing a 67.4% completion rate (26th), 7.6 yards per pass attempt (27th), 11.2 yards per completion (25th), and a 6.4% touchdown rate (29th).
The Bears have also not faced a robust quarterback schedule of late.
Since Week 7, they have faced Spencer Rattler, Tyler Huntley, Joe Flacco, Jaxson Dart, J.J. McCarthy, Mason Rudolph, and Jalen Hurts.
Love is easily the best passer they have faced over this run.
Love has been at his best against man coverages, throwing for 7.4 Y/A (8th) and a 13.3% touchdown rate (4th), which was where he had the most success against the Lions.
Love threw 3 of his 4 touchdowns on Thursday against man coverage.
Daniel Jones ($7,500/$6,200)
A lot has been made about Jones playing through a stress fracture in his fibula.
We can no longer count on a rushing outlet for Jones for fantasy, forcing him to be hyper-efficient as a passer to score fantasy points.
Even with that injury, the Colts did not alter their passing game plan.
Jones was in the shotgun for 67.9% of his passing snaps, which was lower than his season average (81%).
The team still ran a lot of motion (85.7%) and play action (40.7%).
There is a path for this game to be high-scoring and make Jones an intriguing DFS play in stacks, but it also comes with volatility.
As noted, Indianapolis still used play action at a high rate last week, which has been a foundation of their passing game this year.
Jones has used play action on 34.7% of his dropbacks, second in the league.
Using play action, Jones has completed 71.8% of his passes (9th) for 9.3 Y/A (5th).
Without play action, Jones has completed 65.9% of his passes (15th) for 7.4 Y/A (6th).
Jacksonville has been more vulnerable to the play-action pass.
On non-play-action passes, they have allowed a 61.8% completion rate (8th) and 6.0 Y/A (third).
Against play-action passes, they have allowed a 66.4% completion rate (16th) and 7.9 Y/A (14th).
Jacksonville has faced a few passers using play-action at a high rate in Sam Darnold and Matthew Stafford, allowing QB1 scoring weeks for both.
Over their past eight games, the Jaguars have allowed six QB1 weeks.
The Jaguars have been a pass funnel this season, facing the league’s highest pass rate.
Sam Darnold ($7,300/$5,500)
Darnold has five QB1-scoring weeks while finishing as QB18 or lower in his other seven games.
If operating with reservations and treating Darnold as a boom-or-bust player, you can make the case for his upside and efficiency here.
The Falcons play single-high safeties on 64% of their defensive snaps, second in the league.
Darnold leads the league in fantasy points per dropback against single-high looks (0.63), throwing for 9.6 yards per pass attempt (3rd) with 12 touchdowns.
Atlanta is blitzing 36.7% of the time, second in the league.
Darnold has a league-high 10.0 Y/A when blitzed.
Running Back
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