The AFC West is heating up heading into the 2026 NFL season.
Our comprehensive odds analysis breaks down each team's chances to win the division, compares betting lines across major sportsbooks, and identifies the smartest wagers for bettors preparing for next year.
AFC West Prediction: 2026 Winner
The Chargers (+175) are predicted to win the AFC West for the 2026 NFL season with an implied probability of 36.4%.
» Bet the Chargers to win the AFC West
2026 AFC West Division Winner Odds
| Team | DraftKings | BetMGM |
|---|---|---|
| Chargers | +175 | +175 |
| Chiefs | +175 | +175 |
| Broncos | +210 | +210 |
| Raiders | +2800 | +3000 |
AFC West Best Bet for 2026
Best Favorite Bet to win the AFC West: Kansas City Chiefs (+175)
The same logic as the Buffalo Bills and Josh Allen. Do the Chiefs still have Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid? If yes, it’s hard to ever pass up on them at these odds to win their division. One year after Kansas City went 11-0 in one-score games in 2024, they went 1-9 in 2025 while going 0-8 against teams that made the playoffs. They were 1-7 on the road and were swept by the Chargers. All of these should regress positively in 2026.
» Bet the Chiefs to win the AFC West
Best Sleeper Bet to win the AFC West: Denver Broncos (+215)
Denver won the AFC West last year by multiple games, went 5-1 in the division, has an elite defense, and a quarterback entering year three who can continue to get better and develop with better coaching. They are +215 to win the division? Yes, Denver was able to take advantage of a schedule featuring 11 games against non-playoff teams (in which they amassed a 10-1 record). Yes, Denver went 11-2 (.846) in one-score games, the best record in the NFL. But they’re a solid look to exceed expectations yet again in 2026.
» Bet the Broncos to win the AFC West
Historical AFC West Trends
- The Chiefs and Broncos have won every AFC West crown since the 2010 season
- Before the Broncos won in 2025, the Chiefs had won the division nine seasons in a row
- The Chargers have not won the AFC West since 2009, and the Raiders have not won the division since 2002