Since the start of 2024, a running back has reached 32 or more carries four times.
Jonathan Taylor has three of those games, including a 32-carry, 244-yard performance against the Falcons on Sunday.
Over the past three weeks, 17 running backs have reached the 100-yard rushing mark, and all 17 have been on the victorious team.
To date this season, 51 running backs have reached 100 rushing yards in a game, 42 of which were on the winning team.
Although Matt LaFleur is trying to will his team to wins via rushing, game state matters for rushing yards as leading or winning is generally correlated with increased rushing volume.
In chasing most rushing yards or rushing yards over prop bets, favorites or short dogs who can win should be on the list of running backs to target.
NFL Weekly Rushing Leaders, 2025:
| Week | Running Back | Rushing Yards | Opponent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Derrick Henry | 169 | Buffalo Bills |
| 2 | Jonathan Taylor | 165 | Denver Broncos |
| 3 | David Montgomery | 151 | Baltimore Ravens |
| 4 | Ashton Jeanty | 138 | Chicago Bears |
| 5 | Rico Dowdle | 206 | Miami Dolphins |
| 6 | Rico Dowdle | 183 | Dallas Cowboys |
| 7 | Jahmyr Gibbs | 136 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
| 8 | James Cook | 216 | Carolina Panthers |
| 9 | Kyle Monangai | 176 | Cincinnati Bengals |
| 10 | Jonathan Taylor | 244 | Atlanta Falcons |
Most Week 11 Rushing Yards Prediction (Sunday): Derrick Henry (+1200)
The Browns rush defense is trending in the wrong direction.
In the first three weeks of the season, the Browns didn’t allow a single running back carry over 10 yards.
In three of their last four games, opposing running backs have had 4 carries in each game over 10 yards.
The Browns rank 29th in explosive rush rate allowed over the past four weeks despite remaining reasonably efficient on a down-to-down basis.
The Browns did not allow a single running back carry over 25 yards in the first six games, but have allowed one in each of the past three games.
Henry has had 19 or more carries in each of the past four games and should be expected to have a large workload against the Browns as a touchdown favorite in a game that could have limited passing due to heavy winds off the lake.
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Week 11 Running Back Longshot Bet: Jaylen Warren Bets
- Over 77.5 Rushing Yards (-112)
- 100 + Rushing Yards (+209)
- 2+ Touchdowns (+330)
Three things are certain in life: death, taxes, and the Bengals defense getting gashed by opposing running backs.
The Bengals are allowing opposing running backs a league-high 141 rushing yards per game, 20 yards more than the 31st-ranked defense.
The Bengals are also 29th in running back receiving yards allowed per game.
The Bengals have allowed over 100 rushing yards to opposing running backs in every game since Week 2 and are allowing 7.9 yards per carry over their past three games.
Warren has taken over as the lead back in the Steelers backfield, accounting for 80.3% of the running back carries over the past four games.
The Steelers are home favorites and face the worst rushing defense in the league, which should provide Warren with plenty of opportunity to compile yards on Sunday.
Trey Hendrickson has been ruled out for the Bengals, which improves Warren’s outlook.