NFL Rushing Yards Odds: Best Bets & Predictions for Week 15

Tony Pollard had his first 100-yard rushing game of the season, in large part due to 69 and 32-yard rushing touchdowns.

Pollard racked up 25 carries as the Titans scored twice in the first quarter, which were the Titans' 2nd and 3rd offensive touchdowns in the opening quarter of the season.

Four running backs reached 100 rushing yards in Week 14.

Of the four, three had at least 20 carries, and three were on the winning team.

Week 15 NFL Odds
NFL Passing Leader Odds
NFL Receiving Leader Odds
NFL Rushing Leader Odds

Volume remains a critical component chasing rushing leaders, and volume is often correlated with a favorable game script.

The top eight single game rushing performances this season have come from running backs on the winning team.

Up to this point, 16 of the top 17 highest rushing totals on the season are from running backs on the winning team.

The one that was on the losing side lost by a single point in the final minute of the game.

In chasing most rushing yards or rushing yards over prop bets, identifying favorites or short dogs is a key component.

There are four games with double-digit favorites this week, which should be the starting point when searching for running backs who could be propelled to early leads and favorable volume for a spike week.

NFL Weekly Rushing Leaders, 2025:

WeekRunning BackRushing YardsOpponent
1Derrick Henry169Buffalo Bills
2Jonathan Taylor165Denver Broncos
3David Montgomery151Baltimore Ravens
4Ashton Jeanty138Chicago Bears
5Rico Dowdle206Miami Dolphins
6Rico Dowdle183Dallas Cowboys
7Jahmyr Gibbs136Tampa Bay Buccaneers
8James Cook216Carolina Panthers
9Kyle Monangai176Cincinnati Bengals
10Jonathan Taylor244Atlanta Falcons
11De'Von Achane120Washington Commanders
12Jahmyr Gibbs219New York Giants
13James Cook144Pittsburgh Steelers
14Tony Pollard161Cleveland Browns

Don't Miss Out on the Best Betting Recommendations Available

Warren Sharp is entering his 20th year providing winning betting recommendations to clients.

A $100 bettor has won $7,240 following Warren’s picks so far this season.

A $100 bettor won $15,636 following Warren’s picks last season.

Click here to learn more about 2025 Betting Packages!

Most Week 15 Rushing Yards Prediction (Sunday): Travis Etienne (+1400)

Bhayshul Tuten fumbled twice on two carries last week, earning himself a spot as a spectator for the remainder of the game.

As the Jaguars chase a division championship and playoff spot, they are likely to rely on the veteran running back down the stretch.

Etienne had a season-high 90.2% of the running back carries on Sunday and has a solid matchup.

The Jaguars are 13.5-point favorites against a team starting an undrafted rookie quarterback.

The Jets have allowed 25.7 running back attempts per game this season and have struggled to stop teams on the ground over the past couple of weeks.

Over the past two weeks, the Jets have allowed opposing running backs to average 5.6 yards per rush and 189 rushing yards per game.

As two-touchdown underdogs, they are likely to face another 30 running back touches on Sunday.

Etienne can get to a spike week with sheer volume alone, but the Jets have allowed 5 explosive rushes in each of the last two games, which improves Etienne’s ceiling.

Week 15 Running Back Longshot Bet: D’Andre Swift-Kyle Monangai Combined Rushing Yards

  • 125+ rushing yards (+104)
  • 150+ rushing yards (+267)
  • 175+ rushing yards (+640)

The Cleveland Browns have a great down-to-down rush defense, but they are starting to leak explosive runs as they close out the season.

The Browns rank first in rush success rate, but have been susceptible to allowing some long runs.

Since Week 7, they have allowed the third-most rushes of 25+ yards.

Ben Johnson has the Bears at the top of the league in yards before contact per rush, which can help negate the Browns' down-to-down success.

Over the past six games, the Bears have averaged 28.7 running back carries per game and enter Sunday as home favorites of more than a touchdown.

On the other side of the ball, the Browns are dealing with significant offensive line injuries.

When healthy, it is a unit that has ranked in the bottom half of the league in ESPN’s run block and pass block win rate.

Home favorites on a cold Chicago day provide the Bears an opportunity to try and replicate the rushing success from a couple of weeks ago against the Eagles.

Both running backs have been used in a very similar role over the past couple of weeks, which makes the combined line more attractive.

Articles