Vikings vs. Bears Fantasy Football Worksheet, Week 11

The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 11 matchup between the Vikings and Bears.

Find a breakdown of every Week 11 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.

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Trust = spike production for that player

Quarterback

Caleb Williams: It was a mixed ride for Williams on Sunday.

Williams completed only 55.6% of his passes, but this was not just a typical off-target performance.

Chicago dropped six passes on Sunday.

Williams made some stellar plays on the move.

His wideouts (looking at you, Olamide) did him no favors, or we would have seen a few of his throws on highlight reels this weekend.

Williams added 63 yards and a rushing touchdown.

When the dust settled, he ended the week as the QB4 (25.1 points).

This was his third top-five scoring week of the season for fantasy purposes and his fifth QB1 scoring week of the season.

Williams has had a favorable runout since the Week 5 bye.

Over the past five weeks, he has faced the Commanders, Saints, Ravens, Bengals, and Giants.

We have been solid at diagnosing the spike week potential for Williams and when to push him into the upside QB2 range.

This is one where I am placing him in the latter department.

Four of those teams since the bye are in the bottom 10 in pressure rate, which we always pay attention to with Williams, since he is one of the most sensitive quarterbacks with and without pressure.

When pressured, Williams has completed just 40% of his passes (29th) for 5.2 yards per pass attempt (25th) and a 2.4% touchdown rate (21st).

24.7% of his passes under pressure have resulted in a first down or touchdown, 25th.

Williams has the highest inaccurate throw rate in the league (22.4%) under pressure.

Without pressure, Williams still has some accuracy issues, but that is where he hits his big plays.

Kept clean, he has completed 69.2% of his passes (25th) for 8.1 yards per attempt (11th) and a 5.3% touchdown rate (16th).

He has a 12% inaccurate throw rate, which ranks 27th, but it is cut in half compared to when he is pressured.

Minnesota now leads the league in pressure rate (44.7%).

Like Williams, they are night and day depending on whether they get to the quarterback.

When they get to the quarterback, Minnesota is allowing a 55.9% completion rate and 6.3 Y/A.

Without pressure, they are allowing a 73.6% completion rate and 8.2 Y/A.

These teams kicked off the season back in Week 1.

Williams opened that game by connecting on his first 10 passes and going 13 of 16 in the first half.

The second half was not as strong, with Williams hitting 8 of 19 passes (42.1%) for 98 yards (5.2 Y/A) after the break.

Brian Flores was passive in the first half, blitzing Williams on only 20% of his dropbacks.

In the second half, he sent a blitz 43.5% of the time.

When blitzed, Williams was 4 of 11 for 33 yards (3.0 Y/A).

22.9% of his throws were inaccurate in Week 1, the highest rate of any passer.

Williams was third in expected completion rate per Next Gen Stats in Week 1, but his -13.2% completion rate versus expectation was the worst in the league that week.

Outside of the uneven passing night, Williams got a boost for fantasy through his legs.

He rushed for 58 yards and his first career rushing touchdown, coming up just one yard short of a second rushing score (he did throw a touchdown the next play).

Williams scrambled on 14% of his dropbacks in Week 1, second in the league.

That rushing component gives Williams upside.

This game also has some shootout appeal, so I do not believe Williams is an avoid, either.

I am just tempering expectations based on recent results in more advantageous setups.

J.J. McCarthy: McCarthy continues to be a work in progress as a passer.

He was 20 of 42 (47.6%) on Sunday for 248 yards (5.9 Y/A) with a touchdown and an interception.

Under pressure, McCarthy was 9 of 20 (45%) for 5.2 Y/A, but he was also the lowest-rated passer without pressure on Sunday (52.3), completing 11 of 22 passes for 145 yards (6.6 Y/A) with no touchdowns and an interception.

27.3% of his throws were inaccurate when kept clean on Sunday, 24th out of 26 passers.

The biggest issue he had on Sunday was getting the ball to his playmakers.

McCarthy was 7 of 23 for 72 yards with 2 interceptions when throwing the ball to Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison.

In his two games since returning to the lineup, McCarthy has thrown for 5.7 and 5.9 yards per pass attempt.

Despite nondescript passing performances, McCarthy has still been viable in fantasy in both weeks, as he can add rushing points.

He was the QB14 (18.9 points) in Week 9 in Detroit and the QB16 (14.7 points) on Sunday against Baltimore.

McCarthy has finished QB16 or higher in three of his four starts this season.

In bulk, McCarthy has faced three good pass defenses (taking liberty with the current Ravens) as well.

Here, he gets a pass defense we have regularly targeted.

I prefer to use McCarthy as a matchup-based QB2 because he hasn't been efficient as a passer yet, but he also has DFS appeal this weekend.

Chicago is 30th in passing points allowed per attempt (0.545) and is 26th in passing points allowed per game (16.8).

They are 31st in touchdown rate allowed (7.2%).

The Bears have also allowed the most rushing yards to quarterbacks (28.4 per game).

This is McCarthy’s first NFL rematch.

We expected McCarthy to have some struggles in his first career start.

That happened out of the blocks against Chicago in Week 1.

In the first half of Week 1, McCarthy was only 5 of 8 for 48 yards (6.0 Y/A) with 1 passing first down.

He then threw a pick-6 on his first pass attempt of the second half.

Down 6-17 after that turnover, McCarthy then went 8 of 11 for 95 yards with 2 touchdowns, adding a 14-yard touchdown run.

Putting it all together, McCarthy ended the week as the QB12 (20.1 points).

Running Back

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