Jets vs. Broncos Fantasy Football Worksheet, Week 6

The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 6 matchup between the Broncos and Jets in London.

Find a breakdown of every Week 6 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.

Trust = spike production for that player

Quarterback

Bo Nix (TRUST): It has not been a stellar start to the year for Nix, who has opened the season QB20 in points per game (16.8).

Nix is averaging 6.3 yards per pass attempt (27th).

He has issues with pressure, completing 47.6% of his passes (22nd) for 4.5 yards per attempt (27th) when pressured.

Nix has not been aggressive, throwing 30.1% of his passes at or behind the line of scrimmage (fourth highest).

Only 26.1% of his passes have been 10 yards or further downfield (31st).

When he has thrown downfield, Nix has completed 37% (17 of 46) of his throws 10 or more yards downfield, which is 29th in the league.

While the start of the season has not been flattering, we have consistently handled Nix as a front-runner and one of the most matchup-contingent passers for fantasy.

Two weeks ago, against a hapless Cincinnati defense, we saw him deliver his best week of the season (QB6).

This is another one of the league’s best matchups.

The Jets are 31st in pressure rate (26.4%).

When they have not gotten pressure, the Jets have allowed a 120.1 rating (26th), surrendering 7.8 Y/A (25th) with an 8% touchdown rate (29th).

As a whole, the Jets are allowing 17.4 passing points per game, 29th in the league.

Justin Fields: Since returning from a concussion, Fields has given us back-to-back premium Justin Fields games.

He has been next to awful in both games until garbage time, turning things on for front-end fantasy outcomes.

Fields has been QB4 (27.1 points) and QB5 (25.9 points) over the past two weeks, once everything settled.

While gamers will gladly take the results, the play for Fields in bulk is pushing the potential that he could end up benched sooner rather than later.

Especially if the Jets continue to lose games to this degree.

Over the past two weeks, Fields has been the QB21 in scoring per game through the first three quarters and the highest-scoring fantasy quarterback in the fourth quarter.

Through three quarters in those games, Fields has completed 27 of 38 passes for 256 yards without a passing touchdown, taking 7 sacks.

In the fourth quarter of those games, he has completed 25 of 35 passes for 253 yards with 3 touchdowns and 0 sacks.

Those games were against the Dolphins and Cowboys, two of the worst defenses in the NFL to open the year.

This week, Fields gets arguably the best pass defense in the league.

Denver is second in the NFL in pressure rate (44.5%), allowing a 58.1% completion rate (2nd) for 6.6 yards per pass attempt (12th) and a 2.3% touchdown rate (2nd).

Fields has been pressured on 47.7% of his dropbacks.

When pressured, he has completed 51.2% of his passes (16th) for 5.3 Y/A (20th) with a 19.6% sack rate (21st).

Fields always has an out for fantasy via his legs, but the Broncos have done a great job against mobile quarterbacks to open the year, allowing single-digit rushing yards to Daniel Jones (2), Justin Herbert (6 yards), and Jalen Hurts (3 yards).

This is a matchup where I would be hesitant to use Fields as more than a rushing-based QB2.

Running Back

Breece Hall: Hall turned 18 touches into 155 total yards on Sunday against the Cowboys.

He did lose a costly fumble early in the game in the red zone as a blemish.

In his first game without Braelon Allen, Hall handled 78.3% of the backfield touches after 61.9% and 67.9% the two weeks prior.

Hall has gone over 100 total yards in three of his opening five games.

He leads all running backs with a run of 10 or more yards on 21.2% of his attempts.

Hall has had a fantastic start to the season in terms of scheduling.

He has faced four defenses in the back-half of the league in rushing efficiency allowed to backs.

In his lone matchup against a front-end run defense in Tampa Bay, Hall rushed 9 times for 21 yards (2.3 YPC).

Denver is eighth in success rate against running back runs (65.6%), allowing a first down or touchdown on 16.7% of those runs (4th).

They have allowed 9.4 rushing points per game to backfields, sixth in the league.

Where Denver has been vulnerable to backs is through the air.

They are allowing 10.2 receiving points per game to backs (20th).

Hall is third among running backs with 24 receptions.

He has 16.2% of the team's targets (RB5) while he has been targeted on 28.9% of his routes.

Only Christian McCaffrey (29.1%) has a higher rate.

That receiving outlet keeps Hall in play as an RB2 in a tougher spot overall.

J.K. Dobbins: Dobbins handled a season-high 21 touches for 84 yards and a touchdown in Sunday’s win.

Dobbins has found the end zone in four of five games and has been efficient.

He has a 41.6% success rate as a runner (17th out of 43 running backs with 30 or more runs), turning 18.2% of his runs into gains of 10 or more yards (3rd), 27.3% into a first down or touchdown (10th), with only a 14.3% stuff rate (12th).

He has done that while running against a heavy box 50.6% of the time (7th highest).

Dobbins has now racked up 40 more touches than RJ Harvey to start the season.

Denver has a 53.6% run rate with Dobbins on the field compared to a 39% rate with Harvey.

Dobbins remains contingent on sustaining a high touchdown total, as he is running a route on 31.4% of the dropbacks with 8 total targets.

However, this is a top-down spot where he is a strong-looking RB2 attached to a high-total favorite.

The Jets are allowing 109 rushing yards per game to backfields (26th), with a touchdown and 100 total yards to three different backs over the past four weeks.

RJ Harvey: Harvey only managed 7 touches for 30 yards on Sunday.

Dobbins is not giving away any ground early this season, which forces Harvey to have to carve out his own niche in the offense.

With the game tight and Denver chasing points last week, the team leaned on Dobbins.

When Denver has trailed, Dobbins has played 58% of the snaps compared to 21% for Harvey.

Harvey’s snap share goes up to 35.8% when Denver has been ahead and up to 43.3% when ahead by double-digits.

Two weeks ago, with Denver largely front-running, Harvey had a season-high 18 touches.

When Harvey has been on the field, he has been targeted on 24.6% of his routes, which is RB7 on the season.

The rub is that he has only run a route on 29.4% of the dropbacks.

With Denver as touchdown favorites, Harvey could end up with more touches as a matchup-based FLEX.

Wide Receiver

Garrett Wilson: Wilson hauled in 6 of 10 targets for 71 yards and a touchdown on Sunday, his third game in a row with a score.

It has not always been a smooth ride, but Wilson continues to eventually get home for fantasy purposes as long as gamers remain patient for garbage time.

Over the past three weeks, Wilson has had 13 catches for 140 yards through three quarters, but 9 catches for 97 yards and 3 touchdowns in the fourth quarter.

If he received better quarterback play early in games, Wilson could be near Puka Nacua and Jaxon Smith-Njigba as a front-end WR1.

Wilson has 32.4% of the team’s targets (WR3) and 45.6% of the air yards (WR4).

We have been sucking out against teams like Miami and Dallas late, but this matchup is more of a more challenging ask.

We need that volume to come through for Wilson as a volume-based WR2 here.

Denver has allowed a league-low 7.5 fantasy points per game to opposing WR1 targets.

They have allowed only 4.8 yards per target to those feature wideouts.

Denver has allowed 1 touchdown to a wide receiver through five games.

Courtland Sutton: Sutton delivered a strong game against a good opponent on Sunday, catching 8 of 10 targets for 99 yards against the Eagles.

Sutton’s target share has jumped around this season, going from 24.3%, 13.3%, 34.8%, 14.3%, and 27.8% from Week 1 through Sunday.

The Jets are another team who have done well against WR1 targets, deploying Sauce Gardner on feature wideouts.

They have allowed 11.1 points per game to WR1 targets (6th), but we have seen George Pickens and Mike Evans get into the end zone.

We just saw Sutton have 10 targets while drawing a full game of Quinyon Mitchell, so we don’t need to run away here.

Sutton is another big-body target who can win near the end zone, keeping him on the board as a WR2.

Nix will give him shots in one-on-one coverage.

Sutton has been targeted on 33.3% of his routes against man coverage compared to 18.8% against zone coverage.

The Jets are eighth in the rate of man coverage (30.9%).

Troy Franklin (TRUST): Franklin ran into a tough draw last week, catching 3 of 5 targets for 35 yards and a two-point conversion.

While the box score was light against a stingy pass defense, Franklin remained locked on as the WR2 in the offense.

He was on the field for 79.1% of the dropbacks, giving him an 84.1% rate since Week 1.

The Jets have been an early-season target for WR2 production.

While Gardner has followed around lead targets, we have seen some secondary options post stronger outings against them.

Ryan Flournoy (6-114-0), Sterling Shepard (4-80-0), and Calvin Austin (4-70-1) have all turned in spike weeks for them against the Jets.

Marvin Mims: Mims caught 2 of 5 targets for 10 yards on Sunday, rushing once for 9 yards.

He ran fewer routes (19) than Pat Bryant (23), although Bryant was not targeted.

Mims has only been on the field for 52.1% of the dropbacks, which leaves him as a splash-play or bust option for single-game DFS.

Tight End

Mason Taylor: Taylor built on his Week 4 breakout, catching 9 of 12 targets for 67 yards on Sunday against the Cowboys.

Taylor has received 25.9% and 27.3% of the targets these past two weeks.

On Sunday, he was on the field for a season-high 84.9% of the dropbacks.

He ran a season-high 45 routes.

Taylor has worked his way into the TE2 range and a streaming option, but he has run into back-to-back weeks against matchups we have circled as targets.

This week, he gets a Denver defense that has allowed a 55.6% catch rate (2nd), 5.9 yards per target (9th), and a 2.8% touchdown rate (7th) to tight ends.

Evan Engram: Engram collected 4 of 6 targets for 33 yards and his first touchdown of the season on Sunday.

Engram was still a limited player, running a route on just 53.5% of the dropbacks.

He has a 53.1% route participation rate in the games he has played this season (TE28).

Engram has been targeted on 22.1% of his routes (TE6).

If he were playing more snaps, I would be more bullish on Engram as a TE1 streamer, but he has plenty of matchup-appeal here for gamers in need of an option.

Teams have targeted tight ends at a 27.9% rate against the Jets, the fourth-highest rate in the league.

The Jets are only allowing 5.3 yards per target to tight ends (4th) and have not allowed 50 yards to a tight end in a game this season.

However, they have allowed a league-high 13.2% touchdown rate to the position, with 4 touchdowns to tight ends in their past two games.

More Week 6 Fantasy Breakdowns From The Worksheet: