The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 2 matchup between the Chiefs and Eagles.
Find a breakdown of every Week 2 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
Philadelphia | Rank | @ | Kansas City | Rank |
---|---|---|---|---|
-1.0 | Spread | 1.0 | ||
23.0 | Implied Total | 24.0 | ||
24.0 | 10 | Points/Gm | 21.0 | 13 |
20.0 | 14 | Points All./Gm | 27.0 | 25 |
62.0 | 13 | Plays/Gm | 58.0 | 20 |
56.0 | 9 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 62.0 | 16 |
4.9 | 19 | Off. Yards/Play | 6.0 | 8 |
5.5 | 22 | Def. Yards/Play | 6.4 | 28 |
61.29% | 2 | Rush% | 29.31% | 30 |
38.71% | 31 | Pass% | 70.69% | 3 |
39.29% | 11 | Opp. Rush % | 40.32% | 14 |
60.71% | 22 | Opp. Pass % | 59.68% | 19 |
- Only 9.7% of Philadelphia's plays gained 10 or more yards in Week 1, ahead of just the Titans (9.1%). Their rate was 18.6% in 2024.
- 5.3% of Philadelphia's completions went for 10 or more yards, the lowest rate in Week 1. The next closest team was at 19.4% and the league was at 40.6%.
- Jalen Hurts targeted his wide receivers 35% of the time in Week 1, the lowest rate in a start for his career.
- The Eagles had a 49.2% defensive success rate in Week 1 (29th) after ranking third in 2024 (61.1%).
- The Chiefs allowed 15.4 yards per attempt on play action passes in Week 1 (29th) compared to 6.5 Y/A without play action (16th).
- The Chiefs averaged 8.0 yards per play on first downs (third) in Week 1 but only 3.2 yards per play on second and third downs (30th).
- The Eagles allowed a league-high 10.2 yards per play on third downs in Week 1.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Jalen Hurts: The first game of the year was an odd one for Hurts.
He completed a league-high 82.6% of his passes but only managed 152 yards passing (6.6 Y/A) and 0 passing touchdowns.
Matt Eberflus played completely passive defense, playing man coverage on 3.2% of the plays (zero of which resulted in passes).
As a byproduct, Hurts threw the football to his wide receivers at a career-low rate.
Only 34.8% of his passes traveled 5 or more yards in the air, the lowest rate in the league in Week 1 (the league average was 54.2%).
Only 13% of his throws were 10 or more yards downfield.
The next closest quarterback was at 22.5% while the league rate was 34.4%.
Another component of that approach is that it forced Hurts to scramble more than he ever has.
Hurts scrambled on a career-high 27.3% of his dropbacks.
He had 2 rushing touchdowns on scrambles after only 2 scrambling touchdowns over the previous two seasons.
To go along with 63 scramble yards, Hurts still managed 24.3 fantasy points (QB8).
That dual-threat ability is what keeps him in play weekly as a QB1.
We also had Kevin Patullo’s first game as offensive coordinator, which was more of a mixed bag.
The Eagles never attempted to counterpunch the Dallas defense.
There was a weird weather delay that slowed the game down, but nearly all of the early success outside of the opening script that the Eagles had on offense stemmed from Hurts scrambling.
The Eagles ran a lot of static shotgun snaps in the passing game.
51.5% of the dropbacks for Hurts in Week 1 came in shotgun without pre-snap motion or play action.
The Eagles have hardly ever played under center with Hurts, but there was a consistent lack of creativity from this offense to open the year.
Many of the first-time play callers in Week 1 had unflattering outcomes.
This was a first-time play caller in his first game, so we will follow how this offense calibrates things.
These teams are no strangers, having met in each of the past three seasons, two of which were Super Bowls.
In those three games, Hurts has scored 41.2, 18.9, and 28.0 fantasy points.
Steve Spagnuolo has called those games in the direction that Eberflus went, just not as extreme.
Kansas City has lowered its rate of man coverage in each meeting against Hurts, going from a 36.4% rate to 30.8% and then 22.9% last year.
He has blitzed Hurts at a lower rate each matchup as a byproduct, going from a 35.7% blitz rate in the first Super Bowl to a 32.1% rate and 27.6% rate in the follow-up meetings.
The Kansas City pass defense had a rough opening to the year itself, picking up from that Super Bowl when Hurts averaged 10.0 yards per attempt.
In Week 1, the Chiefs allowed 9.4 yards per attempt (28th) and 304 passing yards (30th).
Patrick Mahomes: Mahomes made things work the best he could in Week 1, dealing with several moving parts on offense to open the year.
With Rashee Rice already serving a suspension, Xavier Worthy was knocked out of the game on the opening drive, the second year in a row a Kansas City wide receiver was taken out by friendly fire against the Chargers.
The loss of Worthy was felt over the course of the first half.
In the opening half, Mahomes was 12 of 21 (57.1%) for 98 yards (4.7 Y/A) with no touchdowns.
The offense came together after the break, in a large part through Mahomes channeling the ridiculous ability he has.
In the second half, Mahomes went 12 of 18 (66.7%) for 160 yards (8.9 Y/A) with a touchdown.
He also ran more.
Mahomes scrambled four times for 42 yards and a touchdown in the second half.
It was not always the prettiest, but Mahomes managed to squeeze out a QB6 (26.0 points) scoring week.
The state of the Kansas City offense is a concern for ceiling production when Mahomes does not have 12 rushing points to lean on, especially if the Eagles are not lighting things up through the air like the Chargers were in Week 1.
I am handling Mahomes as a fringe QB1 in Week 2, with tempered expectations for a ceiling outcome.
In most outcomes of this game, I think we will have a lower-scoring game than the two Super Bowls.
This could be closer to the 2023 regular season matchup, which was 21-17.
In the three matchups between these teams, Mahomes has posted 23.7, 16.9, and 22.8 fantasy points.
His points in last year’s Super Bowl came late in the game, mainly through Worthy.
That said, there is still an outcome where this game is high scoring through the quarterback talent.
The Eagles have lost several defenders who played in that Super Bowl and were missed in Week 1.
The Eagles had several defensive issues with their new personnel in Week 1, and Dallas made several self-inflicted errors.
Running Back
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Learn MoreMore Week 2 Fantasy Breakdowns From The Worksheet:
Matchup | Time |
---|---|
Commanders @ Packers | Thursday Night Football |
Jaguars @ Bengals | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
Giants @ Cowboys | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
Bears @ Lions | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
Rams @ Titans | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
Patriots @ Dolphins | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
49ers @ Saints | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
Bills @ Jets | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
Seahawks @ Steelers | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
Browns @ Ravens | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
Broncos @ Colts | Sunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET |
Panthers @ Cardinals | Sunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET |
Eagles @ Chiefs | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
Falcons @ Vikings | Sunday Night Football |
Bucs @ Texans | Monday Night Football |
Chargers @ Raiders | Monday Night Football |