The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 14 Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants Sunday afternoon game.
|40.67%||10||Opp. Rush %||43.97%||22|
|59.33%||23||Opp. Pass %||56.03%||11|
- The Eagles are averaging a league-high 6.6 yards per play in the first half of games this season.
- The Eagles are allowing 4.8 yards per play on first down (third) while the Giants are allowing 6.5 yards per play on first down (31st).
- The Giants are allowing a first down or touchdown on 30.1% of all first and second down plays, the highest rate in the league.
- The Giants are allowing just 4.4 yards per play on third down (fifth).
- The Giants are averaging an offensive play of 20 or more yards once every 25.0 snaps, the lowest rate in the league.
- The Eagles are averaging a gain of 20 or more yards once every 14.4 plays, fifth in the league.
- The Eagles are allowing a gain of 20 or more yards once every 23.4 plays defensively, second in the league.
- Philadelphia is averaging 2.4 more yards per passing play than their opponent, the largest differential in the league.
- 79.6% of the scoring plays by the Eagles have been touchdowns, the highest rate in the league.
- 54.2% of the scoring plays by the Giants have been touchdowns, 21st in the league.
Trust = spike production for that player
Jalen Hurts: Hurts continued to deliver tons of fantasy points last week, pacing the position in points scored last week against the Titans. It was actually the first time that Hurts outright was the highest-scoring quarterback in a week, but it was also his 10th time in 12 games that he has been a top-six scorer.
Hurts threw for a season-high 380 passing yards, throwing touchdown passes of 34, 40, and 29 yards.
When you face the Giants, you better handle the blitz. They are blitzing on a league-high 45.5% of passing plays. Hurts has been no stranger to extra pass rushers. He has been blitzed on 33.3% of his dropbacks (seventh highest rate). When blitzed, Hurts is completing 62.6% of his passes for 7.2 Y/A with seven passing touchdowns and one interception. The only real thing of note is that Hurts has an average depth of target of 6.6 yards downfield when blitzed (30th in the league) compared to an 8.8 aDOT (13th) when he isn’t blitzed.
The Giants have faced two other mobile passers this season in Justin Fields (52 yards rushing) and Lamar Jackson (77 yards). He remains at the front-end of the QB1 tie while Hurts double stacks will be viable again this weekend in DFS.
Daniel Jones: Jones goes as his rushing goes for fantasy and last week the Giants used his legs as a focal point in the offense. Jones rushed 12 times for 71 yards, the most attempts he has had in a game this season.
Jones was able to use that rushing yardage to slide in as the QB11 (17.1 points). He now has four QB1 scoring weeks on the season. In those games, he has had 53.6 rushing points, 58.2% of his scoring output those weeks. In his non-QB1 scoring weeks, Jones has 29.7 rushing points in total.
Jones will need to use his legs again here because the Eagles are allowing a league-low 9.9 passing points per game. The Eagles have not allowed a QB1 scorer yet this season, with a high-scoring week of QB14. Jones is a rushing-dependent QB2.
Saquon Barkley: Barkley ground out 83 yards on 23 touches, managing to find the end zone for the eighth time to get over the hump and smooth out his rushing inefficiency in a tough matchup. Barkley has now found the end zone four times over his past five games.
Since Week 8, Barkley is averaging just 3.32 YPC, which ranks 46th out of 49 backs with 25 or more carries. 22.2% of his carries have failed to gain yardage (41st) while 18.2% have gained a first down or touchdown (38th).
The good news is that the Giants keep feeding him touches because they have to. Only Josh Jacobs (284) has more touches than Barkley (282). We are still looking for more consistent production in the passing game, but Barkley does have at least five targets in each of the past three games. Barkley is a volume-based RB1. Barkley is dealing with neck soreness and listed as questionable, but it would be surprising if he missed the game after he still practiced this week.
The Eagles got Jordan Davis back on the field last week and their run defense has slowly started to turn around here in recent weeks. Philadelphia is eighth in the league in yards allowed prior to contact to running back runs (1.14 yards) over the past four weeks while allowing 3.73 YPC to backs over that span (seventh).
Miles Sanders: Sanders found little room to run last week against a tough Tennessee run defense, carrying 10 times for 24 yards. The Eagles were able to get him into the end zone to salvage his day. It was his ninth rushing score on the season after rushing for nine scores over his first three seasons in the league.
We know what we have here in Sanders as a touchdown-dependent RB2. He is averaging 19.2 points per game in weeks he has found the end zone and 7.3 points per game when kept out of the paint.
This matchup is a good spot for the running game of the Eagles. New York is allowing a league-high 2.18 yards prior to contact on running back carries. The Giants have a 58.8% success rate against backfield carries over the past four weeks (24th) while allowing five rushing scores to backs over that span. Over that period, the Giants have allowed 96, 150, 152, and 136 yards to the Texans, Lions, Cowboys, and Commanders backs.
A.J. Brown (TRUST): We all knew that last week was a prime spot for Brown to turn in a spike week and he did not let down, catching 8-of-10 targets for 119 yards and a pair of touchdowns against his former team.
Brown now has 61 catches for 950 yards and nine touchdowns while all Tennessee wide receivers have combined for 90 catches for 1,204 yards and four touchdowns.
The Giants are still beaten up in the secondary. Adoree Jackson is out again this weekend. With him absent, the Giants have allowed CeeDee Lamb (6-106-0) and Terry McLaurin (8-105-1) to go over 100 yards.
What is particularly appealing in this matchup is that the Giants play man coverage on a league-high 49.6% of passing plays. Against man coverage, Brown has been targeted on 32.5% of his routes compared to a 20.9% rate against zone. Against man coverage. His 36.5% target share ranks fifth in the league while he is tied for the league lead with five touchdown grabs versus man.
On blitzes, Brown has 45.8% of the Philadelphia air yards (sixth).
DeVonta Smith: Smith continued to enjoy a target spike with Dallas Goedert sidelined on Sunday, catching 5-of-8 targets for 102 yards and his fourth touchdown of the season.
Smith has now seen at least eight targets in each of the past four games after three times over the first eight weeks. It was his first 100-yard game since Week 3.
Smith is a strong WR2 play here again as he is right behind Brown in target share when Hurts is blitzed (27.4%) while he also sees a spike in target rate per route against man coverage (25.2%) versus zone (20.1%).
Darius Slayton: Slayton continues to be a solid floor-based fantasy play after catching 6-of-8 targets for 90 yards Sunday. Slayton has now been a WR3 or better in six of his past eights games and a WR2 or better in five of those games.
This is a tough matchup for the wideouts here, which is why only Slayton is being mentioned as a fantasy play this week since he is getting consistent usage. Slayton has over 20% of the team targets in four straight games with a 22.1% target share over the past eight games.
Philadelphia is allowing just 6.8 yards per target (second) and a league-low 57.1% catch rate to opposing wideouts. They have also allowed a 3.9% touchdown rate (11th), leaving Slayton more as a floor-based WR3 option this week.
Daniel Bellinger: Bellinger came back this past week to play a season-high 97% of the snaps and run a route on 82.5% of the team dropbacks. Both Lawrence Cager and Tanner Hudson were out on Sunday, so we could see some recoil there when more bodies are dressing at the position, but Bellinger ran a route on 81.3% of the dropbacks in his last full game prior to his injury.
He only posted 24 yards on his five catches. Averaging just 8.4 yards per catch as a rookie, he is still a touchdown or bust TE2 play with his two TE1 scoring weeks coming in games he has scored. But if you need a body that will be out there on the field, we have that here.
The Eagles are allowing just 6.2 yards per target (sixth) with a 3.7% touchdown rate (12th) to tight ends.
More Week 14 Fantasy breakdowns from The Worksheet: