The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Jaguars vs. Titans Week 10 matchup.
Find a breakdown of every Week 10 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| Jacksonville | Rank | @ | Tennessee | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -10.5 | Spread | 10.5 | ||
| 28.5 | Implied Total | 18.0 | ||
| 28.6 | 4 | Points/Gm | 18.0 | 28 |
| 15.1 | 2 | Points All./Gm | 24.9 | 22 |
| 58.8 | 28 | Plays/Gm | 56.3 | 31 |
| 58.9 | 4 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 66.4 | 31 |
| 5.9 | 6 | Off. Yards/Play | 4.8 | 26 |
| 5.4 | 20 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.8 | 28 |
| 48.9% | 5 | Rush% | 42.0% | 21 |
| 51.1% | 28 | Pass% | 58.0% | 12 |
| 41.2% | 12 | Opp. Rush % | 45.0% | 21 |
| 58.8% | 21 | Opp. Pass % | 55.0% | 12 |
- Jacksonville has scored 65.4% of the points in their games this season, the highest share in the league.
- The Jaguars have outscored opponents 127-43 in the first half this season (+84), the best margin in the league.
- The Titans have been outscored 113-50 in the first half (-63), the worst margin in the league.
- The Titans have been outscored 86-3 in the second quarter this season, the worst margin in the league.
- The Jaguars allow 2.9 scoring plays per game, 2nd in the league.
- The Titans average 3.3 scoring plays per game, 29th.
- The Jaguars lead the NFL in turnover margin (+9).
- 38.3% of Tennessee's drives fail to gain a first down, 31st in the league.
- 33.3% of Jacksonville's passing plays gain 10 or more yards, the highest rate in the league.
- The Titans have allowed 29.8% of the passing plays against them to gain 10 or more yards, 29th in the league.
- The Jaguars have scored 11 touchdowns from outside of the red zone, tied for the most in the league.
Trust = spike production for that player
Jaguars vs. Titans Fantasy Quarterback Preview
Trevor Lawrence
Lawrence leads all quarterbacks in passing points per dropback (0.57), yards per pass attempt (8.6 Y/A), and touchdown rate (8%) this season.
But since the Jaguars have blown the doors off so many teams, Lawrence only has two top-10 scoring weeks for fantasy purposes.
Lawrence is the QB5 in points scored in quarters 1, 2, and 3 this season, but he is the QB24 in fourth-quarter scoring.
Lawrence averages 5.0 dropbacks per game in the fourth quarter, the fewest in the league.
He has sat out two fourth quarters completely, has a game with 1 dropback before being pulled, and another with 4 dropbacks.
Lawrence can light up this Tennessee defense before leaving the game as a QB1, but we likely need that outcome again this week as a double-digit favorite.
The Titans are out of a bye, and when we last saw them, they pushed the Bengals hard at home.
But we need a larger sample of them doing that before leaning into them as a real contender here.
If that does happen, then Lawrence has QB1 overall in his range of outcomes.
While the Jags are throwing, expect Lawrence to be efficient.
The Titans are 31st in completion rate allowed (70.9%) while allowing 8.0 yards per pass attempt (28th).
In their past two games, the Titans have allowed 308 passing yards to Deshaun Watson (8.6 Y/A) and 462 yards to Joe Burrow (9.6 Y/A).
Cam Ward
Before the bye, Ward had the best game of his early career against the Bengals, completing 26 of 40 passes (65%) for a career-high 304 yards (7.6 Y/A) with 2 touchdowns.
He rushed for 41 yards, closing the week as the QB4 (26.3 points).
His 20.2 passing points were a career high.
His previous season high was 10.9 passing points, so we need to see Ward build on that showing before we can confidently use him as more than a QB2.
That said, this is a game environment that should push the Titans to throw and chase points.
One thing the Titans were doing going into the bye was starting to push the tempo and let Ward play.
In Week 7, the Titans ran 18 no-huddle plays.
In Week 8, they ran 29.
Those are the most and third-most no-huddle snaps for a team in a game this season.
Both of those were neutral-script games.
In those games, the Titans were No. 1 in neutral-script pace with a 36% no-huddle rate.
Using no-huddle this year, Ward has averaged 7.1 Y/A (8th) compared to 5.7 Y/A without (30th).
Jacksonville is allowing 7.3 yards per pass attempt (21st), and we should have plenty of volume here, but Ward still has plenty of volatility since we have not seen him stack usable weeks ever.
Jacksonville has only allowed a 3.1% touchdown rate (4th), and they have the second-highest interception rate (4.2%).
Ward threw for 3.7 Y/A in his one full game versus the Jaguars as a rookie.
The Jaguars were big spenders at the deadline, acquiring Jessie Bates, Jordan Davis, and Davon Godchaux on defense.
Jaguars vs. Titans Fantasy Running Back Preview
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More Week 10 Fantasy Breakdowns From The Worksheet:
| Week 10 NFL Games | Time |
|---|---|
| Commanders @ Giants | Thursday Night Football |
| Patriots vs. Lions | Sunday -- 9:30 a.m. ET |
| Chiefs @ Falcons | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Texans @ Browns | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Vikings @ Packers | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Jaguars @ Titans | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Dolphins @ Colts | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Panthers @ Saints | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Bills @ Jets | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Seahawks @ Raiders | Sunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET |
| Rams @ Cardinals | Sunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET |
| 49ers @ Cowboys | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Steelers @ Bengals | Sunday Night Football |
| Chargers @ Ravens | Monday Night Football |