Commanders vs. Giants Fantasy Football Worksheet, Week 10

The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Commanders vs. Giants Week 10 matchup on Thursday Night Football.

Find a breakdown of every Week 10 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.

Trust = spike production for that player

Commanders vs. Giants Fantasy Quarterback Preview

Jayden Daniels

Daniels has now played in five full games, logging two QB1 scoring weeks in those starts.

He also hasn't finished lower than QB15 in a full game, so he's held a steady floor.

One of his ceiling weeks this year came in Week 5, the first matchup between these teams.

Daniels only passed for 199 yards and did not throw a touchdown pass in the first game.

That game went into overtime, too.

In regulation, Daniels was 12 of 19 passing for 149 yards, connecting on 5 of 6 passes for 50 yards in overtime.

The Giants have been a sturdy pass defense this season.

They are allowing a 61.7% completion rate (8th) and 6.0 yards per pass attempt (2nd).

They allow 177.8 passing yards per game, third in the league.

Over their past five games, the Giants are 13th in pressure rate (36.4%) and sixth in sack rate (9%).

The Giants pressured Daniels on 40.5% of his dropbacks and sacked him 5 times.

We have been highlighting how much the Giants have ramped up their blitz rates.

In that first matchup, the Giants blitzed a season-high 62.2% of the time.

Under pressure, Daniels went 3 for 8 for 45 yards (5.6 Y/A).

When they blitzed, Daniels was 11 of 18 for 107 yards (5.9 Y/A).

When they didn't pressure Daniels, he was 14 of 17 (82.4%) for 154 yards (9.1 Y/A).

That has been the story for Daniels this season.

He is averaging 4.8 Y/A when pressured (25th) compared to 7.9 Y/A without pressure (16th).

The good news is that Daniels has not thrown an interception, the only qualifying passer for league rating without one.

While the passing line in Week 5 was limited, Daniels was dynamic as a runner in the first matchup, rushing 9 times for 103 yards with touchdown runs of 38 and 26 yards.

He scrambled a season-high 18.9% of dropbacks in that game, his highest rate in a full game this season.

The Giants have struggled with mobile passers all year as they sell out to create pressure.

Over their past four games, they have allowed 103 yards to Daniels, 32 yards to Tyler Shough, and 64 yards to Joe Milton, with 4 yards to C.J. Stroud in that sample.

I am less bullish on Daniels repeating his overall point total from the first matchup and still have concerns about his passing ceiling with the surrounding pass-catchers, but his rushing ability and lack of turnovers give him a high floor as a QB1 with added upside if he runs hot with passing efficiency.

J.J. McCarthy

McCarthy has finished as the QB23 and QB25 in his two starts with the Giants.

He ran into more resistance in his second start, throwing for 6.7 yards per pass attempt after 9.0 Y/A before the bye.

He dropped from a 71.4% completion rate against Houston in Week 7 to 63.2% on Sunday.

He has not thrown a touchdown pass in either start.

McCarthy did leave Sunday for a stretch after suffering a hip injury.

Jameis Winston entered the game and threw a touchdown before McCarthy re-entered.

Per Fantasy Points data, 75% of McCarthy's passes have gone to his first read, which matches how the Giants have operated this season.

Jaxson Dart was at a 76.5% throw rate to his first read, and Winston is at 74.1%,

Those three guys rank first, second, and fifth in first-read throw rate among passers with double-digit throws this season.

When McCarthy has thrown to his first read, he is averaging 11.7 Y/A.

When coming off his first read, McCarthy is averaging 5.9 Y/A.

McCarthy is stuck as a QB2 until we see added ceiling, but if you are playing him in 2QB formats or single-game DFS, he has matchup appeal.

Washington is 28th in passing points allowed per game (16.9).

They are only allowing 6.9 yards per pass attempt (13th), but they have allowed a 5.4% touchdown rate (22nd).

They have also been a bit of a pass funnel, facing 36.9 pass attempts per game (4th most).

McCarthy did not play in the first matchup between these teams, but the Giants found success attacking Washington with heavy personnel.

In that game, the Giants ran 12 personnel on a season-high 40.5% of snaps.

50% of their passing plays came out of 12 personnel, also a season high.

Out of 12 personnel, Winston went 22 of 28 (78.6%) for 227 yards (8.1 Y/A) with a touchdown compared to 11 of 26 (42.3%) for 99 yards (3.8 Y/A) in other personnel groupings.

Commanders vs. Giants Fantasy Running Back Preview

Giants RBs

We will have to track Cam Skattebo‘s status on a short week.

Skattebo was held out on Sunday to have him ready for this game, but he still only worked on the side last week out of the bye.

He is still at risk of re-injury coming off his hamstring, and the Giants have been a subpar rushing team for the majority of the season.

Giants running backs are last in the NFL in success rate (28.9%), 24th in yards per rush (3.7 YPC), and 26th in rate of runs to gain 10 or more yards (26th).

Skattebo has been their best runner, however.

Out of 44 running backs with 50-plus attempts this year, Skattebo ranks 30th in success rate (33.7%), 20th in yards per rush (4.3 YPC), and 22nd in runs of 10 or more yards (9.2%).

In Week 5, Skattebo had 15 touches for 71 total yards, with a lost fumble.

If Skattebo is limited or out, Devin Singletary will work into another large workload.

Singletary played 92% of the offensive snaps on Sunday, handling 23 of 26 backfield touches but managing only 39 total yards.

If Skattebo misses another game, Singletary is a volume-based RB2/RB3.

Washington is allowing 3.7 YPC to running backs (9th) and 79.1 rushing yards per game (11th) to backs.

They held up without Daron Payne and Javon Kinlaw last week against the Rams, allowing 103 rushing yards on 26 backfield attempts (4.0 YPC), but they did allow a rushing score to Blake Corum.

The positive spin is that the Giants are a bet to stick with the run, regardless of success.

They have thrown the ball 3.6% below pass rate expectations (27th).

Commanders RBs

Rachaad White and Austin Ekeler shared work on Sunday.

White played 53.4% of the snaps, handling 9 touches for 69 yards.

Ekeler played 48.3% of the snaps, turning 10 touches into 34 yards.

In a 50/50 split as a road underdog, both White and Ekeler are touchdown-dependent RB3/FLEX options.

White has been pretty rough these past three games as the leading rusher, posting a 36% success rate with 0.60 yards before contact per rush.

Ekeler ran more pass routes (18) than White (13) on Sunday, but White has 3 of 4 backfield touches in goal-to-go situations since Jacory Croskey-Merritt was sent to injured reserve.

The Giants have allowed 4.3 YPC to running backs (22nd).

They do have a 65.9% success rate against backfield runs (8th), but they have allowed a run of 10 or more yards on 10.6% of running back runs (26th).

They are good against backs in the passing game, allowing 7.4 receiving points per game (9th).

In Week 5, Washington backs rushed 21 times for 99 yards (4.7 YPC) and a touchdown, but Croskey-Merritt accounted for 82 of those yards and the score.

Commanders vs. Giants Fantasy Wide Receiver Preview

Malik Nabers (TRUST)

Nabers caught 5 of 8 targets for 43 yards on Sunday.

That snapped a four-game streak of 100-yard receiving games.

The Eagles used Quinyon Mitchell to shadow Nabers on the outside Sunday.

Quarterback play is volatile here, but McCarthy still targeted Nabers on a team-high 31.6% of his throws on Sunday in that tougher individual matchup.

With McCarthy playing, Nabers has seen 31.7% of the targets and 41.1% of the air yards.

Washington does not have a boundary defender on that level, as good as Amik Robertson has played this season.

The Commanders allow the most fantasy points to opposing WR1 targets (21.5 per game), allowing 7.3 catches (31st) for a league-high 96.5 yards per game to those receivers, with 6 touchdowns (31st).

When these teams played in Week 5, Nabers caught 11 of 20 targets for 121 yards and a touchdown.

Stefon Diggs

Diggs grabbed 3 of 5 targets for 51 yards on Sunday.

Diggs has been living on touchdown equity, failing to top 55 yards receiving in a game this season.

Dan Quinn said they would keep him in the same role after Terry McLaurin‘s injury, and that has been true.

Diggs has run a route on 78.8% and 70.7% of the dropbacks in the past two games.

He still has appeal as a WR3/WR4 option since he has high utilization per route.

Diggs has been targeted on a team-high 25.3% of his routes.

He leads the team with 21.7% of the red-zone targets and 25% of the end-zone targets.

Diggs did not play in the first matchup between these teams, but the Giants have been good against receivers, especially from the slot, where he plays 63.6% of his snaps.

Against slot receivers, the Giants have allowed 5.9 yards per target (2nd) and a 2% touchdown rate (5th).

Antonio Williams

Williams grabbed 3 of 6 targets for 25 yards on Sunday.

He led the team in routes (90.2%) for the second game in a row since McLaurin's injury, but was third on the team in targets.

Williams still has an appealing opportunity to facilitate a second-half breakout this season, but he has not logged a WR3-or-better scoring week since Week 1 (his only game with a touchdown).

That keeps him as more of a WR4/FLEX option here.

The Giants have allowed limited passing output overall, which shows up in the production they allow to receivers.

They have allowed a 57.1% completion rate to receivers (2nd), 6.6 yards per target (3rd), and 11.6 yards per catch (6th).

The one thing they have allowed on those targets is a 6% touchdown rate (25th), keeping the lights on for Williams getting his second touchdown of the season.

Van Jefferson

Jefferson caught 5 of 7 targets for 58 yards and a touchdown on Sunday.

Elevated due to Treylon Burks‘ injury, Jefferson tied for the team lead in targets.

He ran a route on only 61% of his dropbacks, so we are not going to chase last week's box score outside of single-game DFS based on the matchup.

Jefferson is a WR5/FLEX in deeper formats if Burks remains out in a short week.

Malachi Fields

Fields caught 3 of 5 targets for 40 yards on Sunday.

While he's still more of a single-game DFS play than anything else, Fields ran a route on 86.1% of dropbacks out of the bye, while Darnell Mooney was at 61.1%.

We don't have much faith in this passing game supporting a consistent third target in the offense, but Fields has his two highest reception totals in his last two games if you're looking at him as a potential stash in deeper leagues.

Commanders vs. Giants Fantasy Tight End Preview

Isaiah Likely

Likely collected 5 of 6 targets for 53 yards and a touchdown against the Eagles.

That was his 6th touchdown of the year, matching a career high.

Likely caught his touchdown when Jameis Winston entered the game.

He had 4 catches for 48 yards with McCarthy in the game, receiving 21.1% of the targets.

Likely has been targeted on 15.5% of his routes for 1.46 yards per route run with McCarthy playing, compared to a 30.1% target rate per route with 1.78 yards per route without McCarthy.

That is still a smaller sample (71 routes) with McCarthy, so we will let things breathe since the Giants have prioritized Likely this season as a secondary target.

That said, we'll still track things in case McCarthy is out here to jam Malik Nabers with targets and cannot support a consistent target after him.

As we let that sample flesh out, Likely remains a TE1 option in a matchup that offers upside.

Washington has allowed the most fantasy points per target to tight ends (2.34), allowing 8.5 yards per target (28th) and a 12.3% touchdown rate (31st) to the position.

Likely caught 11 of 13 targets for 94 yards and 2 touchdowns in this matchup in Week 5.

Chig Okonkwo

Okonkwo caught 6 of 7 targets for 57 yards Sunday against the Rams.

Okonkwo has been active these past two weeks, running a route on 88.9%, 81.8%, and 85.4% of the dropbacks.

Over his past four games, he has 20.2% of the Washington targets (TE7) with 1.72 yards per route run (TE6).

He is still without a touchdown this season but has worked his way into the fringe TE1 conversation, with larger appeal in full-PPR and TE-Premium formats.

Okonkwo had 26% of the team's targets in the first game between these teams, catching 4 of 6 targets for 60 yards.

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