Best Wild Card Round Quarterbacks: Fantasy Outlook for Every QB

The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Wild Card Round. Find a breakdown of every Wild Card Round NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.

Full Game Wild Card Round Fantasy Football Previews

Josh Allen

Although Allen's counting stats declined in 2025, he had another excellent season.

Allen had career lows in touchdown passes (25) and passing yards per game (215.8), but he had career highs in completion rate (69.3%) and yards per pass attempt (8.0).

Those rates were good for fourth and fifth in the league this season.

Although his passing touchdowns dropped from the year prior for the fifth consecutive season, Allen still posted a 5.4% touchdown rate, his sixth consecutive season over 5%.

No other quarterback over that span can say the same.

On top of the passing efficiency, Allen added 579 rushing yards and 14 touchdowns on the ground, his third season in a row with double-digit rushing scores.

If there is one nit to pick with Buffalo, it is that they do not throw it more.

Skeptics will point to Buffalo’s strengths being the offensive line, James Cook, Allen’s own rushing ability, and the subpar group of pass catchers they have as the primary components for leaning into the run, but any time that Buffalo has been pressed to throw the football this season, they have been successful.

Buffalo may not have a great group of pass catchers, but Allen raises that tide.

Buffalo has a 46.7% success rate on passing plays, seventh in the league.

That is what makes this matchup so compelling.

The Bills are 28th in pass rate compared to expectations (-3%).

Opponents against the Jaguars have thrown the ball 4.4% over expectations, the second-highest rate over expectations in the league.

The Bills are going to run against anyone, but anytime fantasy gamers have a spot where Buffalo could be coaxed into being more aggressive throwing the football, our ears perk up a bit.

These big games are typically when Buffalo puts more on Allen.

Allen has averaged 26.4 fantasy points per game in 13 career playoff games.

He has been held below 20 fantasy points in just three of those, with one game below 17 points.

As a passer in the postseason, Allen has thrown 25 touchdowns to 4 interceptions,

As a runner, he averages 51.4 yards per game on the ground with 7 touchdowns.

Jacksonville has good top-down metrics against the pass, but they also faced the second-easiest slate of passing opponents this season.

The Jaguars are sixth in passing points allowed per attempt (0.356), allowing a 62.5% completion rate (8th), 6.3 yards per attempt (3rd), and a 4.2% touchdown rate (12th).

Since the Week 8 bye, however, they have faced Geno Smith, Davis Mills, Justin Herbert, Jacoby Brissett, Cam Ward, Riley Leonard, Brady Cook, Bo Nix, Philip Rivers, and Brandon Allen as the primary passers.

Not exactly the most daunting rogue’s gallery.

To their credit, they did smother Herbert over that span, but they did allow 352 passing yards to Nix (although just 1 touchdown).

Before their bye, they faced Brock Purdy (17.7 points), Patrick Mahomes (26.7 points), Sam Darnold (20 points), and Matthew Stafford (27.4 points), who all posted strong fantasy output.

Allen is much more in the bucket of the latter group than the former.

Jacksonville is middle-of-the-pack with a 36.2% pressure rate (19th) and at the bottom of the league with a 4.8% sack rate (30th).

The Jaguars are also 21st in rushing points allowed to top quarterbacks (3.2 per game) as a pipeline for Allen, assuming nothing is pressing here about a foot injury he was working through to close the season.