The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 10 Seattle Seahawks vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Sunday morning game in Germany.
| Seattle | Rank | @ | Tampa Bay | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | Spread | -2.5 | ||
| 21 | Implied Total | 23.5 | ||
| 26.8 | 4 | Points/Gm | 18 | 25 |
| 24.4 | 22 | Points All./Gm | 18.2 | 5 |
| 59.8 | 27 | Plays/Gm | 66.1 | 6 |
| 65.9 | 28 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 63.2 | 17 |
| 6 | 4 | Off. Yards/Play | 5 | 25 |
| 5.5 | 18 | Def. Yards/Play | 5 | 6 |
| 43.31% | 12 | Rush% | 30.76% | 32 |
| 56.69% | 21 | Pass% | 69.24% | 1 |
| 44.01% | 22 | Opp. Rush % | 42.88% | 20 |
| 55.99% | 11 | Opp. Pass % | 57.12% | 13 |
- 42.2% of the drives against Tampa Bay have failed to gain a first down or touchdown, the highest rate in the league. League average is 32.0%.
- The Buccaneers are allowing 1.61 points per drive, sixth in the league.
- Seattle is fifth in the NFL in points per drive (2.34).
- Opponents have scored on 20.5% of their drives against Seattle the past four weeks (lowest in the league) after 51.9% Weeks 1-5 (highest in the league).
- 37.1% (13-of-35) of the Tampa Bay scoring plays have been touchdowns, the lowest rate in the league.
- The Buccaneers have scored a touchdown on 4-of-47 (8.5%) first half possessions this season, 30th in the league.
- Seattle is averaging 6.4 yards per play on first down, second in the league.
- The Buccaneers are allowing 4.7 yards per play on first down, third in the league.
- Tampa Bay is averaging 3.3 yards per first down rushing attempt, the fewest in the league.
- 6.9% of the Tampa Bay rushes have gained 10 or more yards, lowest rate in the league.
- 17.0% of the Seattle rushing attempts have gained 10 or more yards, second in the league.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Geno Smith: Smith delivered again this past week, closing as the QB5 (20.8 points) against the Cardinals. It was Smith’s fifth QB1 scoring week over his past five games.
Halfway through the NFL season, Smith is ninth in the NFL in EPA per dropback (0.08), first in completion rate (73.1%), and sixth in yards pass attempt (7.8 Y/A).
We know that Todd Bowles is going to try and dial up some heat as the Bucs 32.1% of the time (ninth), but Tampa Bay is just 22nd in the league in pressure rate (31.3%).
Smith has been blitzed on 32.7% of his dropbacks (ninth highest) and has completed 71.7% of his passes against the blitz (third) for 7.3 Y/A (13th).
Tampa Bay is a tougher task overall, however. The Bucs are allowing 13.5 passing points per game, which is 14th in the league. Smith has faced three defenses higher in that department in the Broncos, 49ers, and Giants, closing as the QB15, QB30, and QB11 in those games. That fringe QB1 area is where Smith will sit again this weekend.