The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 11 matchup between the Rams and Seahawks.
Find a breakdown of every Week 11 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| Seattle | Rank | @ | LA Rams | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | Spread | -2.5 | ||
| 23.0 | Implied Total | 25.5 | ||
| 30.6 | 3 | Points/Gm | 27.9 | 5 |
| 19.1 | 5 | Points All./Gm | 17.0 | 2 |
| 57.1 | 28 | Plays/Gm | 63.7 | 11 |
| 66.1 | 30 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 63.6 | 25 |
| 6.3 | 2 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.9 | 8 |
| 4.6 | 4 | Def. Yards/Play | 4.9 | 6 |
| 52.92% | 1 | Rush% | 43.28% | 15 |
| 47.08% | 32 | Pass% | 56.72% | 18 |
| 36.97% | 3 | Opp. Rush % | 39.34% | 7 |
| 63.03% | 30 | Opp. Pass % | 60.66% | 26 |
- Seattle has won 10 consecutive road games, the longest active streak in the league and the longest in franchise history.
- Seattle has led for a league-high 62.3% of their offensive snaps.
- The Rams have led for 54% of their offensive snaps, 2nd in the league.
- Over the past five weeks, the Rams lead the NFL in point differential (+82) while the Seahawks are 2nd (+62).
- The Seahawks have outscored opponents by 103 points in the first half this season (172-69), the largest margin in the league.
- The Rams are allowing 1.62 points per drive, 3rd in the league.
- The Seahawks are allowing 1.63 points per drive, 4th in the league.
- Seattle leads the NFL in passing play success rate (52.1%).
- The Rams are 5th (50.8%).
- The Rams average a league-high 4.1 passing plays of 20 or more yards per game.
- The Seahawks average 4.0 per game, 2nd in the league.
- The Seahawks average 4.0 more yards per passing play than their opponent, the best differential in the league.
- The Rams average 1.6 more yards per passing play than their opponent, 3rd in the league.
- Only 37.8% of the sets of downs for the Rams reach third down, the lowest rate in the league. The league average is 46.3%.
- The Rams have converted 37.1% of their third-and-long situations (requiring 7 or more yards), 2nd in the league.
- Seattle has converted a league-worst 13.2% (7 of 53) of their third and longs.
- Seattle has turned the ball over on 15.2% of their drives, 31st in the league.
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Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Matthew Stafford: Stafford is the hottest quarterback in the league.
He has thrown 20 passing touchdowns and 0 interceptions over his past six games.
He has thrown multiple passing touchdowns in seven of his past eight games, with 3 or more touchdowns in five of his past six.
Stafford is playing under center on a league-high 61% of his snaps (the league rate is 34%).
That has led to Stafford having a career-high 35.5% rate of play action, which leads the league.
It has also led to a 57.5% motion rate, 10th in the league.
Using play action, Stafford has a 135.6 rating (2nd) with a 10.9% touchdown rate (4th).
This game has a ton of weight as these teams are tied for the NFC West lead.
I would not be going out of my way to stream for Stafford in 1QB leagues, but this would be a spot to highlight him slowing down at least a bit from the scorching run he has been on.
There are versions of this game where it plays out as a fistfight, but there is also a path to a shootout.
This will be Stafford’s most challenging task of late.
His five QB1 games have come against the 49ers (twice), the Jaguars, Saints, and Colts.
He has faced only two teams this season in the top 10 of passing points allowed: the Eagles and the Texans.
Those were significantly earlier in the season, but Stafford was QB15 against the Eagles (13.8 points) and QB19 against the Texans (13.6 points).
Even the one defense we would label as competent over this recent run was Baltimore.
He was QB24 (9.3 points) in that game.
Seattle is sixth in passing points allowed per attempt (0.372), allowing a 63.6% completion rate (10th), 6.4 yards per attempt (4th), and a 3.8% touchdown rate (9th).
Against play action, Seattle is allowing 6.5 Y/A (8th) with a league-best 0% touchdown rate.
Teams have not been able to get to Stafford often, but he has a 47.4% completion rate under pressure (22nd).
He also has 7.0 Y/A (9th) and a 6.3% touchdown rate (9th) under pressure.
If you look for any weaknesses, it comes when you can get the Rams into traditional dropbacks without play action and motion.
In those situations, Stafford has completed 59.3% of his passes (23rd) for 6.4 Y/A (22nd).
This is equally challenging for the Seattle defense.
They have not been pressed much this season, facing Spencer Rattler, Aaron Rodgers, Kyler Murray, Trevor Lawrence, and Jacoby Brissett in their sample, while also facing Brock Purdy, Baker Mayfield, C.J. Stroud, and Jayden Daniels.
Mayfield and Brissett are the only QB1 scorers they have allowed.
Sam Darnold: Darnold only had 13 dropbacks on Sunday as the game completely got out of hand early on.
He only had 3 dropbacks in the second half.
He did have 3 turnovers, so Mike Macdonald wasn't taking any chances with running out the clock.
The turnovers are the one bugaboo still looming here for Darnold.
He has a 2.6% interception rate and has had 5 fumbles this season.
But overall, Darnold leads the NFL in yards per pass attempt (9.9 Y/A) and yards per completion (14.0).
Darnold is second in the NFL in snaps under center (56.1%), which has also allowed him to take advantage of play-action passing.
Using play action, Darnold is averaging a league-high 13.9 yards per attempt and 20.2 yards per completion.
The NFL average for qualifiers on play-action passes is 8.0 Y/A and 11.8 yards per completion.
Like Stafford, Darnold’s spike weeks have been identifiable, and he has not been nearly as reliable for fantasy purposes.
He has already been more of a floor-based QB2 with spike-week potential.
Darnold has only four QB1 scoring weeks, all against the Commanders, Jaguars, Saints, and a depleted version of the Tampa Bay defense.
He has only had three games against teams in the top 10 in passing points allowed per attempt, facing Arizona twice and the Texans.
He was the QB18 (16.1 points) and the QB26 (4.9 points) against Arizona, though he averaged 9.3 and 14.8 Y/A in those games.
Against Houston, he was the QB24 (8.6 points) with 6.9 Y/A.
The Rams are seventh in passing points allowed per attempt (0.379).
They are allowing 6.7 Y/A (7th) and a 3.8% touchdown rate (8th).
They have allowed 8.2 Y/A on play-action passes (20th) but have only allowed a 1.6% touchdown rate (3rd) on those attempts.
The Rams have faced three offenses we would label as fantasy competent.
Mac Jones has two QB1 scoring weeks against them, throwing for 342 and 319 yards (22.2 and 23.1 fantasy points).
Jalen Hurts threw 3 passing touchdowns against them as part of a QB1 scoring week (29 points).
Their best game was against Daniel Jones, limiting him to a QB27 week (10.4 points).
Outside of that, they have faced C.J. Stroud, Cam Ward, Trevor Lawrence, Cooper Rush, and Tyler Shough.
This will be a test for them as well.
It was with Minnesota, but the Rams got after Darnold in both matchups last year, pressuring him on 44.8% and 54% of his dropbacks with 12 sacks.
Like Stafford, I would not go out of my way to stream for Darnold if I were rolling with him in 1QB leagues.
There is volatility for both sides, but I actually prefer Darnold here since Seattle should be pushed to drop back more than usual, and we have seen the bulk of functional passing offenses accrue fantasy points against the Rams.
Running Back
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Learn MoreMore Week 11 Fantasy Breakdowns From The Worksheet:
| Matchup | Time |
|---|---|
| Jets @ Patriots | Thursday Night Football |
| Commanders @ Dolphins | Sunday -- 9:30 a.m. ET |
| Panthers @ Falcons | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Bucs @ Bills | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Texans @ Titans | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Bears @ Vikings | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Packers @ Giants | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Bengals @ Steelers | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Chargers @ Jaguars | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Seahawks @ Rams | Sunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET |
| 49ers @ Cardinals | Sunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET |
| Ravens @ Browns | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Chiefs @ Broncos | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Lions @ Eagles | Sunday Night Football |
| Cowboys @ Raiders | Monday Night Football |