The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 11 matchup between the Titans and Texans.
Find a breakdown of every Week 11 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| Houston | Rank | @ | Tennessee | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -7.5 | Spread | 7.5 | ||
| 23.5 | Implied Total | 16.0 | ||
| 22.7 | 19 | Points/Gm | 14.4 | 32 |
| 16.7 | 1 | Points All./Gm | 28.6 | 30 |
| 64.2 | 7 | Plays/Gm | 57.3 | 27 |
| 56.4 | 5 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 61.1 | 13 |
| 5.2 | 23 | Off. Yards/Play | 4.3 | 31 |
| 4.6 | 2 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.8 | 26 |
| 40.83% | 22 | Rush% | 35.47% | 31 |
| 59.17% | 11 | Pass% | 64.53% | 2 |
| 41.14% | 13 | Opp. Rush % | 47.82% | 26 |
| 58.86% | 20 | Opp. Pass % | 52.18% | 7 |
- The Titans have lost eight consecutive home games, the longest active streak in the league.
- Tennessee has led for a league-low 2.7% of their offensive snaps.
- The Titans are the only team in the league that has not run an offensive play with the lead after halftime.
- Tennessee has allowed a rushing touchdown in 10 straight games, the longest active streak in the league.
- The Titans are averaging a league-low 1.20 points per drive.
- Houston is allowing 1.44 points per drive, 2nd in the league.
- Tennessee has scored a touchdown on a league-worst 9.3% of possessions. The league average is 24%.
- 30.8% (8 of 26) of Tennessee's scoring plays have been touchdowns, the lowest rate in the league.
- 43.9% (18 of 41) of Houston's scoring plays have been touchdowns, the 2nd-lowest rate in the league.
- The Titans have lost a league-worst 71.9 EPA on sacks this season.
- Houston has added 42.2 EPA on sacks as a defense, 9th in the league.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Davis Mills: Houston is preparing to start Mills another week as C.J. Stroud is still recovering from a concussion.
Mills was the QB1 overall last week (27.7 points), using a frantic second half comeback to propel fantasy points.
Through thee quarters on Sunday, Mills only had 6.1 fantasy points, completing 16 of 25 passes for 188 yards no touchdowns and an interception.
He then added 104 passing yards and 2 touchdowns, 20 rushing yards and a rushing score, and a two-point conversion in the fourth quarter in the come from behind win.
This is a good spot for Mills to remain in play as a matchup-based QB2, but the late-game heroics are unlikely to be needed here.
Tennessee is 24th in pressure rate (32.7%).
The Titans have allowed a 71.7% completion rate (31st) for 7.9 Y/A (28th) and a 5.3% touchdown rate (18th).
Cam Ward: Ward comes out of his first bye week looking to improve on a rough start to his career.
Ward is last among qualifying passers in completion rate (57.6%).
His 6.0 yards per pass attempt ranks 31st, ahead of Bryce Young (5.6 Y/A) and Dillon Gabriel (5.0 Y/A).
He is last in touchdown rate (1.7%) while 32nd in sack rate (11.4%), ahead of only Justin Fields (12.3%).
Ward ranks last in the rate of dropbacks resulting in 1.0 EPA or more (16.7%) and in the rate of dropbacks resulting in 1.0 EPA or worse (21.1%).
You can make the case that there is nowhere to go but up, but this is not the matchup to chase any improvement out of the bye that would yield viable fantasy points.
Houston has allowed the lowest completion rate in the league (56.9%), allowing 6.2 Y/A (2nd) and a 3.3% touchdown rate (4th).
When these teams played in Week 4, Ward was QB32 (4.5 points), completing a season-low 38.5% of his passes (10 of 26) for 108 yards (4.2 Y/A) with an interception.
Running Back
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Learn MoreMore Week 11 Fantasy Breakdowns From The Worksheet:
| Matchup | Time |
|---|---|
| Jets @ Patriots | Thursday Night Football |
| Commanders @ Dolphins | Sunday -- 9:30 a.m. ET |
| Panthers @ Falcons | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Bucs @ Bills | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Texans @ Titans | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Bears @ Vikings | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Packers @ Giants | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Bengals @ Steelers | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Chargers @ Jaguars | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Seahawks @ Rams | Sunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET |
| 49ers @ Cardinals | Sunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET |
| Ravens @ Browns | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Chiefs @ Broncos | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Lions @ Eagles | Sunday Night Football |
| Cowboys @ Raiders | Monday Night Football |