Sharp Football’s Rich Hribrar breaks down this Eagles vs Giants NFC Divisional matchup for the 8:15pm ET kickoff on Saturday, Jan 21:
This will be the third time that this NFC East matchup is played. The Eagles won the first two matchups during the regular season, winning the first in New York in Week 14, 48-22. The Eagles cruised through that game, leading 24-7 at halftime and 34-14 heading into the fourth quarter. These teams then met again in the Week 18 season finale, with the Eagles winning 22-16 in a game in which the Giants rested the majority of their core pieces while locked into their playoff seeding.
The Eagles were a bit flat in that game but got out to an early 10-0 lead and led 19-3 heading into the final quarter versus the backups for New York. They needed an onside kick recovery with 1:38 remaining in that game to secure the No. 1 seed in the NFC, but never trailed.
A big component of the matchups between these two teams in the regular season was that the Giants did not have Adoree Jackson, Leonard Williams, or Xavier McKinney available for a single snap against Philadelphia this season. All three played on Sunday, but the Giants did still allow 5.9 yards per play, which was the fourth most of all teams that played on Wild Card weekend and the most of any team that won last week. Although the Giants still gave up plenty of yards, with all three of those players on the field this season, opponents have completed 61.8% of their passes with a 30.4% third down conversion rate as opposed to a 64.9% completion rate and 36.0% third down conversion rate with all of them on the field. The Giants are surely glad to have them on the field.
They will need them here as the Eagles fielded one of the best offenses in the league this season. Philadelphia averaged 5.9 yards per play (sixth), 2.49 points per drive (second), with a touchdown on 30.6% of their drives, second behind only the Chiefs.
The Giants were able to start hot against Minnesota last week, something against their nature this season and a necessary component if hoping to pull out the upset on Saturday night. The Giants scored on their opening four full possessions of the game against the Vikings and all three of their first half drives that weren’t capped by the game clock.
In the regular season, the Giants were notoriously slow starters, averaging 1.57 points per drive (26th) and scoring on 29.9% of their first half drives (28th). The Eagles were the opposite, leading the NFL in points per drive (3.07) and scoring rate per drive (52.2%) in the first half of games. In both games versus these teams, the Eagles outscored the Giants by a combined score of 40-7 in the first half.
Scoring against the Eagles will be a tougher task for this offense than it was against Minnesota, who entered the postseason with the worst defense among all playoff teams. The Eagles are on the other end. Philadelphia has allowed a league-low 4.8 yards per play while opponents have scored on 32.6% of their possessions (sixth). With Daniel Jones under center, the Giants averaged 4.5 yards per play against the Eagles, converted just 27.3% of their third downs, and scored 14 points.
» Read the full Eagles vs Giants Worksheet breakdown
Eagles vs Giants Prediction
The Eagles are predicted to win this NFC Divisional game with a 77.78% implied probability based on current betting lines. The moneyline model also predicts the Eagles will win with 71% confidence.
» Bet it Now: Eagles vs Giants
Eagles vs Giants Odds, Spread, Totals & Moneyline:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +7.5 -110 | 48 -110 | +260 |
| Eagles | -7.5 -110 | 48 -110 | -350 |
Eagles vs Giants Team Comparison:
| NY Giants | Rank | @ | Philadelphia | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | Spread | -7.5 | ||
| 20 | Implied Total | 27.75 | ||
| 22 | 14 | Points/Gm | 28.1 | 3 |
| 21.9 | 18 | Points All./Gm | 20.2 | 8 |
| 64.3 | 14 | Plays/Gm | 66.1 | 5 |
| 63 | 12 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 63.1 | 13 |
| 5.3 | 20 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.9 | 6 |
| 5.7 | 24 | Def. Yards/Play | 4.8 | 1 |
| 47.54% | 10 | Rush% | 48.40% | 6 |
| 52.46% | 23 | Pass% | 51.60% | 27 |
| 42.77% | 15 | Opp. Rush % | 41.60% | 11 |
| 57.23% | 18 | Opp. Pass % | 58.40% | 22 |
Giants Best Bets Against the Spread
- The Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.75 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Giants have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.65 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Giants have scored last in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.85 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Giants have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+7.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Giants have covered the 2H Spread in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.50 Units / 38% ROI)
Eagles Best Bets Against the Spread:
- The Eagles have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.25 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Eagles have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Eagles have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Eagles have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 17 games (+5.55 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Eagles have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.90 Units / 14% ROI)
First & Anytime Touchdown Scorer Prediction & Bet for Eagles vs Giants:
A.J. Brown (WR, Eagles) is our pick for the 1st TD Scorer bet in this NFC Divisional Round matchup.
Kenneth Gainwell (RB, Eagles) is our pick for an anytime TD Scorer bet in this NFC Divisional Round matchup.
» Get Anytime & 1st TD Scorer Bets for every Wild Card game
Eagles Against the Spread Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Eagles have gone 8-9 (-1.9 Units / -10.19% ROI).
- Eagles are 14-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.65 Units / 8.86% ROI
- Eagles are 10-7 when betting the Over for +2.3 Units / 12.3% ROI
- Eagles are 7-10 when betting the Under for -4 Units / -21.39% ROI
Giants Against the Spread Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Giants have gone 14-4 (+9.65 Units / 49.49% ROI).
- Giants are 10-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.95 Units / 35.81% ROI
- Giants are 8-9 when betting the Over for -1.95 Units / -9.82% ROI
- Giants are 9-8 when betting the Under for +0.2 Units / ROI
Continue reading from BetMGM’s Giants vs Eagles game breakdown
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