As the full Sunday slate kicks off for the 2024 NFL season, Week 1 offers a fresh look at opportunities for bettors to capitalize on player props.
With new rosters, breakout candidates, and offseason storylines coming to life, now is the time to find value before the oddsmakers adjust.
Let’s dive into the best player props for the opening week.
Week 1 Prediction: Micah Parsons Over 0.75 Sacks
Micah Parsons, one of the NFL’s most dynamic pass rushers, has a strong chance of sacking Deshaun Watson at least once in the Week 1 matchup against the Cleveland Browns.
Browns’ offensive line vulnerabilities
The Browns are grappling with significant offensive line challenges.
Jedrick Wills, their starting left tackle, is recovering from an MCL injury and may not be ready for the season opener. This could force a reshuffle, potentially moving Jack Conklin to left tackle – a position he hasn’t played since 2017.
Conklin himself is returning from a torn ACL and MCL suffered in Week 1 of the 2023 season. His lack of recent game experience could give Parsons a substantial advantage.
Parsons has never recorded fewer than 13 sacks in a season with 14 last year.
This consistency, coupled with his versatility to line up as a defensive end, outside linebacker, or even defensive tackle, makes him an unpredictable and formidable threat.
While Watson’s mobility could help him evade pressure, Parsons’ ability to attack from various positions presents a significant challenge.
Impact of Nick Chubb’s absence
The absence of Nick Chubb, the Browns’ primary rushing weapon, further complicates their offensive strategy.
This loss makes the offense more predictable, allowing the Cowboys defense, particularly Parsons, to focus on pass-rushing.
The Browns may be forced to rely more heavily on passing plays, especially if they fall behind, increasing opportunities for Parsons to pressure Watson.
Additionally, Chubb’s absence removes a capable blocker, potentially leaving less experienced players to contend with Parsons’ relentless pursuit.
Leverage Warren Sharp’s 18-year Track Record of Providing Winning NFL Recommendations
Warren Sharp is coming off one of his best seasons as a handicapper. He made subscribers money in 15 of 18 weeks in 2023!
A $100 bettor was up $8,022 following Warren’s picks last season!
His algorithm for totals has won 62.3% of all recommendations since 2006.
Click here for more information about our betting packages!
Week 1 Prediction: Jayden Daniels Anytime Touchdown +195
Commanders rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels presents a compelling option for scoring a rushing touchdown in his NFL debut against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Daniels’ dual-threat prowess
Daniels’ college career showcased his exceptional mobility.
He averaged 8.4 yards per carry in his final season, surpassing other notable mobile quarterbacks drafted in early rounds, and recorded 22 rushing touchdowns in two years at LSU.
New Commanders offensive coordinator Kliff Kingsbury is known for maximizing mobile quarterbacks.
He’s known for incorporating designed quarterback runs (draws, read-options), allowing quarterback improvisation on broken plays, and utilizing spread formations to create potential running lanes.
Buccaneers’ vulnerability to mobile quarterbacks
Tampa Bay’s defense showed some susceptibility to rushing quarterbacks last season, conceding 6 rushing scores to quarterbacks: Justin Fields, Desmond Ridder (twice), Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts, and even Gardner Minshew.
Given Daniels’ rushing ability, Kingsbury’s offensive scheme, and the Buccaneers’ past struggles against mobile quarterbacks, Daniels has a legitimate chance to find the end zone on the ground in Week 1.