Every NFL offseason, Warren Sharp releases his Football Preview Book, which uses expert analysis to break down all 32 teams through in-depth team chapters that are both data driven and actionable.
One of the most popular sections from each team chapter is the Sharp Football team’s write-up on why to bet the Over or Under for a given team.
New York Giants Win Total Over/Under Odds:
How many games will the Giants win this season?
The Giants are predicted to win 7 games in 2022, based on Vegas Odds.
Why You Should Bet the Over: NY Giants Win Total in 2022
#1 Reason to bet the Over:
The Giants have the easiest strength of schedule after having the second most difficult schedule last year.
Only one opponent ranks in the top quarter of Super Bowl odds and six games are against teams in the bottom quarter. The Giants also have a rest advantage in three of their final nine games.
#2 Reason to bet Over:
The Giants’ monumental changes occurred off the field, replacing Dave Gettleman and Joe Judge with Joe Schoen and Brian Daboll.
An instant improvement has been seen with roster management and an even bigger improvement is likely on the field, especially in offensive play calling.
After finishing 31st in early down success, improvement is almost guaranteed as Daboll’s offense will increase pre-snap motion and early down passing which will put Daniel Jones in a better position for success.
#3 Reason to bet Over:
Injury luck is due for positive regression as the Giants had the third-highest adjusted games lost on offense in 2021.
Key offensive pieces such as Andrew Thomas, Daniel Jones, Saquon Barkley, and multiple wide receivers all missed significant time.
Mike Glennon and Jake Fromm combined for six starts and if Daniel Jones were to miss time, the Giants have upgraded the back up quarterback position.
Why You Should Bet the Under: NY Giants Win Total in 2022
#1 Reason to bet the Under:
The new regime still has some spillover from the poor roster management of the previous general manager.
The offseason was a success, adding cornerstone rookies on the offensive and defensive lines, however, with minimal cap flexibility the roster still has several weaknesses.
The interior of the offensive line and secondary could be problematic, especially after losing veterans James Bradberry and Logan Ryan.
#2 Reason to bet the Under:
Comparisons of Daniel Jones taking a Josh Allen step forward are unrealistic. The offensive philosophy is likely to change, favoring a pass-first approach but Jones still must improve as a decision maker and passer.
Jones has fumbled 36 times in his 38 starts and has 29 interceptions to 44 touchdowns.
#3 Reason to bet the Under:
The offensive line should improve upon the fifth-worst Pass Block Win Rate in 2022, however, the improvements may not be immediate.
A rookie tackle combined with three new interior offensive linemen could take some time to develop chemistry as the starting offensive line possibly has four new additions returning only one starter from last year.
New York Giants Strength of Schedule:
The Giants are ranked #1 out of all 32 teams for NFL Strength of Schedule, giving them the easiest schedule for the 2022 NFL season.
For full team chapters, including a dozen more visuals & info-graphics, defensive breakdown, and detailed Fantasy football implications pick up a copy of Warren Sharp’s new ‘2022 Football Preview’ book
All betting lines provided by BetMGM Sportsbook.