Should You Bet the Over/Under Tua Tagovailoa Prop Bet for Passing Yards in 2021?

It’s that time of year to start looking at player props bets for the upcoming 2021 NFL season. In the coming weeks, we’ll take a look at some Over and Under Future bets worth considering at each position group. 

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Why You Should Bet the OVER on Tua Tagovailoa’s Passing Yards Prop Bet

  • The Dolphins have new co-offensive coordinators 
  • No Ryan Fitzpatrick competing for his QB job
  • The Dolphins receiving corps is much improved
  • Likely in more favorable game scripts for passing

After a shaky rookie season, available props for Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa have a larger range than most, so be sure to shop around for the best number. Here’s where he stands at a few popular legal sportsbooks:

  • 3850.5 passing yards at DraftKings
  • 3899.5 passing yards at FanDuel
  • 3950.5 passing yards at BetMGM

In his nine starts last year, Tagovailoa averaged 200.6 yards per game, which averages out of 3,409 in a 17-game schedule. That’s not ideal, but the offense in 2020 was clearly geared more towards Ryan Fitzpatrick’s skill set.

With new offensive coordinators (George Godsey and Eric Studesville) and added weapons in receivers Will Fuller and Jaylen Waddle, there’s reason to believe the game plan will be better suited for Tagovailoa to shine. 

Game scripts may also force the Dolphins to throw more often this year. In 2020, Miami held a lead on 58% of its second-half drives in Tagovailoa’s nine starts. In 2021, however, Miami is currently favored by a field goal or more in just six games.