Best Ball Fantasy Football: Best Ball Confidence Rankings Update

We have finally made it! All our hard work comes to fruition for good or bad starting Thursday when NFL regular season football returns.

In the meantime one last update to our bestball confidence rankings.

As a reminder, here are short explanations of the rankings.

Tiers can be as few as two to three players very early in drafts and could be one to three rounds later in drafts.

• Target: Someone who you can safely draft a tier above ADP and maybe two, although I will rarely draft someone two tiers ahead because I can normally wait and add them.
• Value: Someone I favor within a tier. Someone you will reach some for but will almost always take if they are the top ADP on the board.
• Neutral: About 50% of players are neutral at any given time. I rarely will reach for them unless they complete a stack or help with a particular build.
• Caution: Someone I typically will not pick at ADP unless they complete a stack or positionally they are the best player on the board. Ideally, I get my exposure to caution players when they drop a tier below ADP.
• Avoid: Someone who typically is going two tiers or more ahead of when I value them. I rarely take an avoid player unless they fall a full tier and are a stack partner with someone on my roster.

Click here for Tod's updated Best Ball Confidence Rankings as part of the Sharp Football Draft Kit

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2024 Best Ball Rankings Update

Keep in mind something very important with Best Ball Mania 5 closing.

One of the main things we will discuss in this update is the difference between long term contests like the Sprint and the Marathon that are still open and the “time box” tournaments like the German Shepard.

Late breaking news is much more important for the longer running contests as the players who are the subject of that news are on fewer rosters in the longer running drafts.

With that in mind, here are some of the biggest changes in this update:

• Christian McCaffery is back to neutral. Back from his injury and with the Ja'Marr Chase situation so uncertain, McCaffrey is a fine pick.
• Speaking of Chase, I would be hesitant to take him until after Garrett Wilson considering his unhappiness and hold out with a very stubborn owner.
• We talked last week about Samaje Perine coming to Kansas City. I have moved Isiah Pacheco to avoid. He is going a round plus too early, and the opportunity cost of taking a running back there is also a big issue.
• Rashee Rice may have been the best value all offseason, but he is a caution to me in the longer running contests so have moved him to caution. He is “ok” in a time box contest.
• George Pickens started to slide when the news of Brandon Aiyuk to Pittsburgh started. Now that isn’t happening, and once again Pickens fell last week. He is now a value.
• Rome Odunze is up another four spots and ahead of Keenan Allen, who fell another five spots. I now have Allen as a value and Odunze as a caution.
• Brian Thomas is a player I really like, but he has gotten too much steam and is now a caution. He might be the third or fourth option in certain weeks.
• Hollywood Brown is down another SEVEN spots off what is probably a one to two week injury. He is value overall now and a TARGET for me in time box contests.
• Jaylen Warren is another “injured but not out long if at all player” who fell another SIX spots and is now a TARGET of mine.
• Tony Pollard is up five spots and is now especially with Warren falling down from target to value.
• Jaleel Mclaughlin has risen 10 spots in a week. As a part time player who doesn’t have a path to superior volume even with injury to the starter, he is now a caution.
• Cole Kmet fell another 11 spots, and while his time on the field is limited, he still had plenty of targets in the preseason and is a value.
• Jordan Mason and Samaje Perine have flown up boards with good reason. In longer running contests, they are going to be less than 30-40% owned, so I don’t mind paying the price. But they are cautions to me in time box contests with Mason starting in the 11th round and Perine starting in the 13th.
• Daniel Jones has continued to plummet and is a TARGET now when combined with Malik Nabers and a value if not.

That is going to do it for this update and the season.

Thank you for following along, and if you take down a big prize please let me know!

2024 Best Ball Confidence Rankings: Top 36 Preview

Click here for Tod's updated full rankings

• Target (Green): Undervalued at ADP
• Value (Blue): Slightly undervalued at ADP
• Neutral (No Color): Correctly valued at ADP
• Caution (Yellow): Slightly overvalued at ADP
• Avoid (Red): Overvalued at ADP