2024 Fantasy Football Rankings: Best Ball Confidence Rankings

Below you will find our 2024 Best Ball Confidence Rankings utilizing the ADP (average draft position) at Underdog Fantasy.

Unlike traditional fantasy football rankings, these confidence rankings offer more actionable advice by identifying what players are good selections at their current ADP.

Every update, players will be listed as one of the following five rankings:

  • Target (Green): Undervalued at ADP
  • Value (Blue): Slightly undervalued at ADP
  • Neutral (No Color): Correctly valued at ADP
  • Caution (Yellow): Slightly overvalued at ADP
  • Avoid (Red): Overvalued at ADP

Click here for a more detailed explanation of each ranking

The table below can be filtered to only show targets and values, to eliminate all the avoids, or any other combination of the rankings, allowing you to customize your drafting experience.

These rankings are exclusively for our Sharp Football Draft Kit subscribers. Click here for more information about our Draft Kit and how to bundle it with our in-season fantasy coverage. 

2024 Best Ball Confidence Rankings:

Rankings updated on 9/3/2024

Player POS Team POS ADP ADP PREV Δ Ranking
Christian McCaffrey RB San Francisco 49ers RB1 1.2 1.3 0.1 Neutral
CeeDee Lamb WR Dallas Cowboys WR1 2.2 2.3 0.1 Neutral
Tyreek Hill WR Miami Dolphins WR2 3.0 2.8 -0.2 Neutral
Ja'Marr Chase WR Cincinnati Bengals WR3 5.3 4.5 -0.8 Caution
Amon-Ra St. Brown WR Detroit Lions WR4 5.6 5.7 0.1 Neutral
Breece Hall RB New York Jets RB2 5.9 7.1 1.2 Neutral
Justin Jefferson WR Minnesota Vikings WR5 6.4 6.0 -0.4 Neutral
Bijan Robinson RB Atlanta Falcons RB3 7.0 7.0 0.0 Value
A.J. Brown WR Philadelphia Eagles WR6 9.1 8.8 -0.3 Value
Garrett Wilson WR New York Jets WR7 9.8 10.1 0.3 Value
Puka Nacua WR Los Angeles Rams WR8 11.8 11.6 -0.2 Caution
Marvin Harrison WR Arizona Cardinals WR9 13.0 12.9 -0.1 Neutral
Jahmyr Gibbs RB Detroit Lions RB4 14.0 14.0 0.0 Neutral
Jonathan Taylor RB Indianapolis Colts RB5 14.9 15.3 0.4 Caution
Drake London WR Atlanta Falcons WR10 15.5 15.3 -0.2 Neutral
Nico Collins WR Houston Texans WR11 16.9 17.3 0.4 Neutral
Deebo Samuel WR San Francisco 49ers WR12 17.3 16.4 -0.9 Neutral
Saquon Barkley RB Philadelphia Eagles RB6 18.6 18.3 -0.3 Neutral
De'Von Achane RB Miami Dolphins RB7 18.9 20.9 2.0 Neutral
Jaylen Waddle WR Miami Dolphins WR13 19.6 19.2 -0.4 Neutral
Cooper Kupp WR Los Angeles Rams WR14 20.5 21.9 1.4 Neutral
Chris Olave WR New Orleans Saints WR15 22.1 21.0 -1.1 Neutral
Malik Nabers WR New York Giants WR16 23.5 25.0 1.5 Value
Davante Adams WR Las Vegas Raiders WR17 24.7 23.0 -1.7 Neutral
Brandon Aiyuk WR San Francisco 49ers WR18 25.6 26.0 0.4 Caution
Kyren Williams RB Los Angeles Rams RB8 25.8 26.2 0.4 Neutral
Mike Evans WR Tampa Bay Buccaneers WR19 27.6 26.0 -1.6 Neutral
DeVonta Smith WR Philadelphia Eagles WR20 28.0 27.4 -0.6 Neutral
DK Metcalf WR Seattle Seahawks WR21 29.0 28.9 -0.1 Neutral
Derrick Henry RB Baltimore Ravens RB9 29.7 29.4 -0.3 Neutral
D.J. Moore WR Chicago Bears WR22 30.3 30.4 0.1 Value
Isiah Pacheco RB Kansas City Chiefs RB10 32.1 34.2 2.1 Avoid
Tank Dell WR Houston Texans WR23 34.4 34.1 -0.3 Neutral
Stefon Diggs WR Houston Texans WR24 35.1 33.8 -1.3 Neutral
Rashee Rice WR Kansas City Chiefs WR25 35.8 46.1 10.3 Caution
Josh Allen QB Buffalo Bills QB1 37.7 36.8 -0.9 Neutral
Michael Pittman Jr. WR Indianapolis Colts WR26 38.9 36.1 -2.8 Neutral
Sam LaPorta TE Detroit Lions TE1 39.1 37.6 -1.5 Neutral
Travis Etienne Jr. RB Jacksonville Jaguars RB11 39.7 41.2 1.5 Neutral
Zay Flowers WR Baltimore Ravens WR27 40.3 38.9 -1.4 Caution
Jalen Hurts QB Philadelphia Eagles QB2 40.9 40.6 -0.3 Value
Travis Kelce TE Kansas City Chiefs TE2 41.1 39.4 -1.7 Neutral
Tee Higgins WR Cincinnati Bengals WR28 41.7 42.6 0.9 Value
Patrick Mahomes QB Kansas City Chiefs QB3 42.8 43.6 0.8 Value
Amari Cooper WR Cleveland Browns WR29 44.8 42.3 -2.5 Neutral
Josh Jacobs RB Green Bay Packers RB12 46.0 49.4 3.4 Neutral
Trey McBride TE Arizona Cardinals TE3 46.2 46.1 -0.1 Neutral
Terry McLaurin WR Washington Commanders WR30 48.7 51.7 3.0 Value
Lamar Jackson QB Baltimore Ravens QB4 49.0 47.7 -1.3 Neutral
George Pickens WR Pittsburgh Steelers WR31 49.6 45.7 -3.9 Value
Mark Andrews TE Baltimore Ravens TE4 51.2 49.4 -1.8 Value
Xavier Worthy WR Kansas City Chiefs WR32 51.7 58.5 6.8 Neutral
Dalton Kincaid TE Buffalo Bills TE5 52.6 52.2 -0.4 Value
James Cook RB Buffalo Bills RB13 53.6 54.3 0.7 Caution
Christian Kirk WR Jacksonville Jaguars WR33 55.0 51.8 -3.2 Neutral
Calvin Ridley WR Tennessee Titans WR34 56.1 55.4 -0.7 Neutral
Kenneth Walker III RB Seattle Seahawks RB14 57.9 63.5 5.6 Neutral
Rachaad White RB Tampa Bay Buccaneers RB15 60.1 62.6 2.5 Value
Jayden Reed WR Green Bay Packers WR35 60.5 60.1 -0.4 Caution
Kyle Pitts TE Atlanta Falcons TE6 61.5 60.9 -0.6 Value
Rome Odunze WR Chicago Bears WR36 61.6 65.8 4.2 Caution
Anthony Richardson QB Indianapolis Colts QB5 61.7 57.1 -4.6 Neutral
Keenan Allen WR Chicago Bears WR37 63.5 58.1 -5.4 value
Chris Godwin WR Tampa Bay Buccaneers WR38 63.8 61.9 -1.9 Neutral
Joe Mixon RB Houston Texans RB16 63.9 62.1 -1.8 Neutral
George Kittle TE San Francisco 49ers TE7 65.4 64.4 -1.0 Neutral
Diontae Johnson WR Carolina Panthers WR39 67.6 68.5 0.9 Value
Brian Thomas WR Jacksonville Jaguars WR40 68.1 73.7 5.6 Caution
David Montgomery RB Detroit Lions RB17 69.8 69.2 -0.6 Caution
Christian Watson WR Green Bay Packers WR41 71.8 70.2 -1.6 Neutral
C.J. Stroud QB Houston Texans QB6 71.8 70.7 -1.1 Neutral
Kyler Murray QB Arizona Cardinals QB7 72.1 72.9 0.8 Neutral
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR Seattle Seahawks WR42 72.4 75.2 2.8 Neutral
Alvin Kamara RB New Orleans Saints RB18 72.6 72.6 0.0 Neutral
James Conner RB Arizona Cardinals RB19 74.7 76.2 1.5 Neutral
Evan Engram TE Jacksonville Jaguars TE8 75.5 77.7 2.2 Neutral
Keon Coleman WR Buffalo Bills WR43 77.2 76.7 -0.5 Caution
Hollywood Brown WR Kansas City Chiefs WR44 78.0 71.1 -6.9 Value
Ladd McConkey WR Los Angeles Chargers WR45 79.0 76.0 -3.0 Caution
Najee Harris RB Pittsburgh Steelers RB20 79.6 83.2 3.6 Neutral
Jameson Williams WR Detroit Lions WR46 80.9 82.0 1.1 Value
Aaron Jones RB Minnesota Vikings RB21 83.2 80.5 -2.7 Neutral
Jake Ferguson TE Dallas Cowboys TE9 83.4 84.6 1.2 Caution
Raheem Mostert RB Miami Dolphins RB22 85.3 91.1 5.8 Neutral
Rhamondre Stevenson RB New England Patriots RB23 85.8 82.8 -3.0 Neutral
DeAndre Hopkins WR Tennessee Titans WR47 85.8 93.4 7.6 Neutral
Jordan Addison WR Minnesota Vikings WR48 87.5 88.5 1.0 Neutral
D'Andre Swift RB Chicago Bears RB24 88.7 89.6 0.9 Neutral
Courtland Sutton WR Denver Broncos WR49 89.1 96.1 7.0 Neutral
Joe Burrow QB Cincinnati Bengals QB8 90.3 89.0 -1.3 Neutral
Jaylen Warren RB Pittsburgh Steelers RB25 92.1 86.4 -5.7 Target
Jordan Love QB Green Bay Packers QB9 93.2 93.3 0.1 Value
Brock Bowers TE Las Vegas Raiders TE10 94.5 94.9 0.4 Neutral
Zamir White RB Las Vegas Raiders RB26 94.8 88.5 -6.3 Value
Jayden Daniels QB Washington Commanders QB10 95.4 97.6 2.2 Value
Tony Pollard RB Tennessee Titans RB27 96.5 101.0 4.5 Value
Javonte Williams RB Denver Broncos RB28 98.0 105.7 7.7 Neutral
Romeo Doubs WR Green Bay Packers WR50 98.6 98.9 0.3 Caution
Dak Prescott QB Dallas Cowboys QB11 99.4 97.1 -2.3 Value
Joshua Palmer WR Los Angeles Chargers WR51 99.9 102.3 2.4 Neutral
Curtis Samuel WR Buffalo Bills WR52 100.0 86.6 -13.4 Neutral
David Njoku TE Cleveland Browns TE11 100.8 99.0 -1.8 Value
Jonathon Brooks RB Carolina Panthers RB29 101.8 96.0 -5.8 Neutral
Chase Brown RB Cincinnati Bengals RB30 102.2 99.5 -2.7 Neutral
Khalil Shakir WR Buffalo Bills WR53 102.5 105.9 3.4 Neutral
Brian Robinson Jr. RB Washington Commanders RB31 105.2 105.5 0.3 Value
Caleb Williams QB Chicago Bears QB12 105.4 106.4 1.0 Value
Zack Moss RB Cincinnati Bengals RB32 109.1 104.7 -4.4 Value
Devin Singletary RB New York Giants RB33 109.7 111.7 2.0 Neutral
Dontayvion Wicks WR Green Bay Packers WR54 111.4 113.0 1.6 value
Tyjae Spears RB Tennessee Titans RB34 111.7 109.6 -2.1 Value
Rashid Shaheed WR New Orleans Saints WR55 113.3 112.0 -1.3 Neutral
Brock Purdy QB San Francisco 49ers QB13 113.9 112.2 -1.7 Neutral
Jerome Ford RB Cleveland Browns RB35 114.4 122.0 7.6 Neutral
Rico Dowdle RB Dallas Cowboys RB36 115.2 122.3 7.1 Neutral
Blake Corum RB Los Angeles Rams RB37 117.3 121.5 4.2 Neutral
Trevor Lawrence QB Jacksonville Jaguars QB14 118.0 118.1 0.1 Neutral
Tyler Lockett WR Seattle Seahawks WR56 118.0 114.3 -3.7 Neutral
Dallas Goedert TE Philadelphia Eagles TE12 119.3 115.9 -3.4 Value
Jakobi Meyers WR Las Vegas Raiders WR57 119.8 119.4 -0.4 Value
Adonai Mitchell WR Indianapolis Colts WR58 120.6 127.1 6.5 Caution
Gus Edwards RB Los Angeles Chargers RB38 122.6 120.3 -2.3 Caution
Tua Tagovailoa QB Miami Dolphins QB15 123.5 122.0 -1.5 Neutral
Jerry Jeudy WR Cleveland Browns WR59 124.8 123.7 -1.1 Caution
Jared Goff QB Detroit Lions QB16 125.4 124.6 -0.8 Neutral
Ja'Lynn Polk WR New England Patriots WR60 127.2 129.8 2.6 value
Gabe Davis WR Jacksonville Jaguars WR61 127.4 130.6 3.2 Value
Brandin Cooks WR Dallas Cowboys WR62 127.9 118.8 -9.1 Neutral
Austin Ekeler RB Washington Commanders RB39 128.0 130.8 2.8 value
Trey Benson RB Arizona Cardinals RB40 130.2 128.7 -1.5 Caution
Mike Williams WR New York Jets WR63 130.2 133.5 3.3 Value
Nick Chubb RB Cleveland Browns RB41 132.9 126.9 -6.0 Caution
Dalton Schultz TE Houston Texans TE13 134.3 133.7 -0.6 Neutral
Darnell Mooney WR Atlanta Falcons WR64 134.6 138.4 3.8 Caution
Pat Freiermuth TE Pittsburgh Steelers TE14 135.7 128.7 -7.0 Neutral
Ty Chandler RB Minnesota Vikings RB42 137.2 139.0 1.8 Value
Ezekiel Elliott RB Dallas Cowboys RB43 137.7 129.6 -8.1 Neutral
Zach Charbonnet RB Seattle Seahawks RB44 139.6 136.5 -3.1 Neutral
Justin Herbert QB Los Angeles Chargers QB17 140.1 141.2 1.1 Neutral
Michael Wilson WR Arizona Cardinals WR65 141.0 149.9 8.9 Caution
J.K. Dobbins RB Los Angeles Chargers RB45 142.3 145.5 3.2 Neutral
Chuba Hubbard RB Carolina Panthers RB46 142.8 151.4 8.6 Neutral
Tyler Allgeier RB Atlanta Falcons RB47 143.1 144.0 0.9 Neutral
Jaylen Wright RB Miami Dolphins RB48 143.5 146.4 2.9 Neutral
T.J. Hockenson TE Minnesota Vikings TE15 143.6 143.1 -0.5 Neutral
Kirk Cousins QB Atlanta Falcons QB18 144.0 143.5 -0.5 Value
Josh Downs WR Indianapolis Colts WR66 145.3 144.5 -0.8 Neutral
Jaleel McLaughlin RB Denver Broncos RB49 145.5 155.7 10.2 Caution
Matthew Stafford QB Los Angeles Rams QB19 148.2 147.4 -0.8 Neutral
Xavier Legette WR Carolina Panthers WR67 150.2 153.2 3.0 Neutral
Jordan Mason RB San Francisco 49ers RB50 153.6 187.0 33.4 Value
Ray Davis RB Buffalo Bills RB51 153.8 160.5 6.7 Value
Cole Kmet TE Chicago Bears TE16 154.6 142.8 -11.8 Value
Adam Thielen WR Carolina Panthers WR68 154.8 158.4 3.6 Neutral
Luke Musgrave TE Green Bay Packers TE17 154.9 148.8 -6.1 Neutral
DeMario Douglas WR New England Patriots WR69 156.5 157.6 1.1 Neutral
Bucky Irving RB Tampa Bay Buccaneers RB52 157.5 169.2 11.7 Neutral
Aaron Rodgers QB New York Jets QB20 158.3 157.8 -0.5 Neutral
Jalen McMillan WR Tampa Bay Buccaneers WR70 160.7 171.9 11.2 Neutral
Braelon Allen RB New York Jets RB53 161.1 169.0 7.9 Neutral
Jalen Tolbert WR Dallas Cowboys WR71 162.1 172.6 10.5 Neutral
Deshaun Watson QB Cleveland Browns QB21 163.2 153.7 -9.5 Neutral
Khalil Herbert RB Chicago Bears RB54 163.5 171.5 8.0 Neutral
Baker Mayfield QB Tampa Bay Buccaneers QB22 165.9 164.3 -1.6 Neutral
Rashod Bateman WR Baltimore Ravens WR72 166.4 164.6 -1.8 Value
Hunter Henry TE New England Patriots TE18 167.2 160.7 -6.5 Neutral
Geno Smith QB Seattle Seahawks QB23 168.6 168.7 0.1 Neutral
Jahan Dotson WR Philadelphia Eagles WR73 169.9 142.0 -27.9 Caution
Noah Fant TE Seattle Seahawks TE19 170.1 165.8 -4.3 Neutral
Antonio Gibson RB New England Patriots RB55 170.1 168.5 -1.6 Neutral
MarShawn Lloyd RB Green Bay Packers RB56 170.6 163.9 -6.7 Value
Tyler Conklin TE New York Jets TE20 172.4 167.4 -5.0 Neutral
Isaiah Likely TE Baltimore Ravens TE21 174.4 176.5 2.1 Caution
Kimani Vidal RB Los Angeles Chargers RB57 175.1 195.0 19.9 Caution
Greg Dortch WR Arizona Cardinals WR74 175.5 181.6 6.1 Neutral
Wan'Dale Robinson WR New York Giants WR75 175.9 167.7 -8.2 Neutral
Will Levis QB Tennessee Titans QB24 176.6 174.9 -1.7 Neutral
Ricky Pearsall WR San Francisco 49ers WR76 178.4 151.4 -27.0 Avoid
Cade Otton TE Tampa Bay Buccaneers TE22 181.3 175.9 -5.4 Neutral
Demarcus Robinson WR Los Angeles Rams WR77 182.1 171.2 -10.9 Neutral
Samaje Perine RB Kansas City Chiefs RB58 183.4 215.9 32.5 Value
Ben Sinnott TE Washington Commanders TE23 184.3 185.3 1.0 Neutral
Jermaine Burton WR Cincinnati Bengals WR78 184.5 178.7 -5.8 Caution
Tyrone Tracy RB New York Giants RB59 184.7 188.8 4.1 Caution
Sam Darnold QB Minnesota Vikings QB25 184.9 191.1 6.2 Neutral
Bo Nix QB Denver Broncos QB26 186.2 199.8 13.6 Value
Andrei Iosivas WR Cincinnati Bengals WR79 187.4 189.3 1.9 Value
Tank Bigsby RB Jacksonville Jaguars RB60 188.7 204.3 15.6 Neutral
Quentin Johnston WR Los Angeles Chargers WR80 188.8 181.8 -7.0 Neutral
Marvin Mims Jr. WR Denver Broncos WR81 190.7 179.3 -11.4 Value
Jonnu Smith TE Miami Dolphins TE24 190.9 186.6 -4.3 Value
Drake Maye QB New England Patriots QB27 192.7 203.2 10.5 Neutral
Juwan Johnson TE New Orleans Saints TE25 193.1 198.5 5.4 Neutral
Luke McCaffrey WR Washington Commanders WR82 195.1 207.0 11.9 Caution
Justice Hill RB Baltimore Ravens RB61 195.9 200.3 4.4 Neutral
Bryce Young QB Carolina Panthers QB28 196.6 196.1 -0.5 Neutral
Malik Washington WR Miami Dolphins WR83 198.6 214.2 15.6 Neutral
Colby Parkinson TE Los Angeles Rams TE26 198.9 200.7 1.8 Neutral
Malachi Corley WR New York Jets WR84 200.0 187.4 -12.6 Neutral
Audric Estime RB Denver Broncos RB62 201.9 197.8 -4.1 Value
Daniel Jones QB New York Giants QB29 203.2 189.4 -13.8 Target
Jordan Whittington WR Los Angeles Rams WR85 203.9 206.9 3.0 Caution
Derek Carr QB New Orleans Saints QB30 205.4 203.6 -1.8 Neutral
Tyler Boyd WR Tennessee Titans WR86 205.7 198.7 -7.0 Caution
Dyami Brown WR Washington Commanders WR87 206.1 215.3 9.2 Neutral
Cam Akers RB Houston Texans RB63 206.8 215.8 9.0 Value
Justin Fields QB Pittsburgh Steelers QB31 208.6 184.8 -23.8 Value
Theo Johnson TE New York Giants TE27 208.6 208.8 0.2 Neutral
Roman Wilson WR Pittsburgh Steelers WR88 208.7 205.8 -2.9 Neutral
Greg Dulcich TE Denver Broncos TE28 209.4 212.3 2.9 Value
Will Shipley RB Philadelphia Eagles RB64 209.5 208.6 -0.9 Value
Jalen Nailor WR Minnesota Vikings WR89 210.3 213.3 3.0 Neutral
Josh Reynolds WR Denver Broncos WR90 210.4 215.3 4.9 Neutral
Chig Okonkwo TE Tennessee Titans TE29 211.1 207.5 -3.6 Neutral
Carson Steele RB Kansas City Chiefs RB65 211.8 215.5 3.7 Neutral
Dalvin Cook RB Dallas Cowboys RB66 211.8 216.0 4.2 Neutral
Tucker Kraft TE Green Bay Packers TE30 212.0 213.9 1.9 Target
Noah Brown WR Washington Commanders WR91 212.1 215.8 3.7 Neutral
Mike Gesicki TE Cincinnati Bengals TE31 212.2 208.7 -3.5 Neutral
Roschon Johnson RB Chicago Bears RB67 212.7 209.6 -3.1 Neutral
Darius Slayton WR New York Giants WR92 213.1 213.8 0.7 Neutral
Alexander Mattison RB Las Vegas Raiders RB68 213.2 213.5 0.3 Caution
Dameon Pierce RB Houston Texans RB69 213.2 190.0 -23.2 Caution
Gardner Minshew II QB Las Vegas Raiders QB32 213.5 215.0 1.5 Neutral
Zach Ertz TE Washington Commanders TE32 213.7 214.2 0.5 Neutral
Trey Sermon RB Indianapolis Colts RB70 213.8 215.8 2.0 Neutral
DJ Chark Jr. WR Los Angeles Chargers WR93 213.8 198.7 -15.1 Neutral
Jalin Hyatt WR New York Giants WR94 214.0 210.8 -3.2 Value
Tre Tucker WR Las Vegas Raiders WR95 214.2 215.3 1.1 Neutral
Troy Franklin WR Denver Broncos WR96 214.2 208.3 -5.9 Caution
Kalif Raymond WR Detroit Lions WR97 214.2 214.5 0.3 Neutral
Dawson Knox TE Buffalo Bills TE33 214.2 213.3 -0.9 Neutral
Russell Wilson QB Pittsburgh Steelers QB33 214.3 212.8 -1.5 Neutral
Jamaal Williams RB New Orleans Saints RB71 214.3 215.1 0.8 Neutral
Keaton Mitchell RB Baltimore Ravens RB72 214.3 215.0 0.7 Avoid
Javon Baker WR New England Patriots WR98 214.5 207.0 -7.5 Caution
Emanuel Wilson RB Green Bay Packers RB73 214.5 216.0 1.5 Neutral
Taysom Hill QB New Orleans Saints QB34 214.7 215.3 0.6 Neutral
Kendre Miller RB New Orleans Saints RB74 214.9 207.1 -7.8 Neutral
Ja'Tavion Sanders TE Carolina Panthers TE34 214.9 215.2 0.3 Neutral
Dylan Laube RB Las Vegas Raiders RB75 215.0 214.9 -0.1 Neutral
Ray-Ray McCloud III WR Atlanta Falcons WR99 215.0 213.8 -1.2 Neutral
Brenden Rice WR Los Angeles Chargers WR100 215.1 215.6 0.5 Neutral
Mack Hollins WR Buffalo Bills WR101 215.1 215.8 0.7 Neutral
John Metchie III WR Houston Texans WR102 215.2 216.0 0.8 Neutral
Kylen Granson TE Indianapolis Colts TE35 215.3 215.9 0.6 Neutral
Elijah Moore WR Cleveland Browns WR103 215.3 215.0 -0.3 Caution
Hayden Hurst TE Los Angeles Chargers TE36 215.3 215.4 0.1 Neutral
Alec Pierce WR Indianapolis Colts WR104 215.4 215.6 0.2 Neutral
Kendrick Bourne WR New England Patriots WR105 215.4 215.8 0.4 Neutral
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