The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Commanders vs. 49ers Week 6 matchup on Monday Night Football.
Find a breakdown of every Week 6 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| Washington | Rank | @ | San Francisco | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | Spread | -7.5 | ||
| 21.5 | Implied Total | 29.0 | ||
| 23.0 | 17 | Points/Gm | 30.8 | 3 |
| 29.8 | 30 | Points All./Gm | 18.6 | 3 |
| 64.0 | 10 | Plays/Gm | 56.8 | 30 |
| 64.2 | 24 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 63.6 | 22 |
| 5.1 | 19 | Off. Yards/Play | 6.4 | 3 |
| 5.5 | 19 | Def. Yards/Play | 4.7 | 4 |
| 46.25% | 13 | Rush% | 48.94% | 6 |
| 53.75% | 20 | Pass% | 51.06% | 27 |
| 38.01% | 5 | Opp. Rush % | 41.82% | 14 |
| 61.99% | 28 | Opp. Pass % | 58.18% | 19 |
- The 49ers lead the NFL in offensive plus defensive EPA (73.4). The next closest team (Jacksonville) is at 53.3.
- San Francisco has converted a league-high 51.9% (27 of 52) of their third downs.
- Washington has converted 31.9% (22 of 69) of their third downs, 29th in the league.
- The 49ers have converted a league-high 87.5% (14 of 16) of their red-zone trips into touchdowns.
- Washington has allowed opponents to convert a league-high 83.3% (15 of 18) of red-zone trips into touchdowns.
- San Francisco has allowed a touchdown on 15.4% of opponent drives, third in the league.
- Washington has been outscored by 34 points in the second half this season (95 to 61), the second-worst margin in the league.
- San Francisco has outscored opponents by 31 points in the second half (89 to 58), third in the league.
- The Commanders have allowed a league-high 55 points in the fourth quarter.
Trust = spike production for that player
Commanders vs. 49ers Fantasy Quarterback Preview
Brock Purdy (TRUST)
Purdy enters the week completing 69.5% of his passes (4th), averaging 8.5 yards per attempt (4th), and posting a league-high 9.2% touchdown rate.
41.8% of his passes have resulted in a first down or touchdown (2nd).
He has thrown multiple touchdowns in every game.
He has been sacked on a league-low 2.1% of his dropbacks.
31.4% of Purdy's dropbacks have resulted in 1.0 EPA or more (2nd), while only 13.5% have lost 1.0 EPA or worse (6th).
That is with another revolving door of pass catchers.
Purdy survived back-to-back tough matchups against Denver (19.6 points) and Seattle (16.2 points), and he now gets to come up for air as a massive home favorite with a team total just under 30 points.
Washington is allowing 20.6 passing points per game (30th).
They have allowed QB1 scoring weeks in four of five games, allowing 3 or more passing touchdowns to Jalen Hurts, Dak Prescott, Sam Darnold, and Jameis Winston.
The Commanders have played base defense on 45% of their defensive snaps, the fifth-highest rate in the league.
Against base defenses, Purdy leads the NFL in rating (147.6), completing 36 of 47 passes (76.6%) for 10.1 Y/A with 9 touchdowns and zero interceptions.
Jayden Daniels
Returning to action two weeks after another scary elbow injury, Daniels was the QB2 in overall scoring last week (32.3 points).
As a passer, Daniels was fine.
He was 17 of 25 (68%) for 199 yards (8.0 Y/A) with no touchdowns or interceptions.
But as a rusher, he was dynamic, rushing 9 times for 103 yards with touchdown runs of 38 and 26 yards.
Some worried about how much Daniels would run or whether he could protect himself, but he scrambled on 18.9% of his dropbacks, the second-highest rate in Week 5 behind Josh Allen.
Daniels still has the rushing ability to keep him in play as a fringe QB1, but we aren't expecting a huge ceiling through the air.
The 49ers allow 11.2 passing points per game (4th) while ranking third in passing points allowed per attempt (0.32).
San Francisco is only allowing 6.1 yards per pass attempt (3rd) and 9.4 yards per completed pass (2nd).
They have masked a limited pass rush by forcing opponents to throw short and outside the numbers.
Passers are averaging a league-low 6.1 air yards per attempt against the 49ers.
They have thrown between the numbers only 27.6% of the time, the second-lowest rate in the league.
San Francisco has faced mostly pocket passers.
The only other runner they have faced is Malik Willis, whom they held to 6 yards on the ground.
Commanders vs. 49ers Fantasy Running Back Preview
Christian McCaffrey
McCaffrey had 14 touches for 83 yards and a touchdown in Seattle in Week 5.
In a stingy matchup, that was a solid outcome.
McCaffrey has now punched it in as a runner in four straight games.
He has only posted one 100-yard game in total yards so far, so that touchdown equity is holding him up some.
San Francisco has been responsible with him.
He has the fewest rushes per game since his rookie season, at 12.2.
His 3.8 receptions per game are tied for the fewest in a season, which came in only a four-game sample in 2024.
McCaffrey is still the RB10 in expected fantasy points per game, so the sky isn't falling, but he is more of a floor-based RB1 than the true hammer we are used to.
At least for now.
The 49ers could turn the dial up at any point when pressed.
That said, the 49ers are getting more from him per touch, especially as a runner.
McCaffrey has a 45.9% success rate (5th among backs with 50-plus attempts) with a run of 10 or more yards on 16.4% of his runs (3rd).
He has failed to gain yardage on only 11.5% of his runs (5th).
This is a spot where the 49ers can manage his workload as a huge home favorite.
Washington has been tough on backs so far, similar to Seattle.
They should consider being worse against the run since it's just pushing teams to throw all over their struggling secondary.
But running backs have scored 21.2% of the fantasy points against Washington, the second-lowest share in the league.
They are allowing 9.8 rushing points per game to backs (4th) and 6.8 receiving points per game (9th).
They are allowing 3.8 YPC (9th).
Commanders RBs
Washington continued to run a committee backfield on Sunday.
Rachaad White led the team in snaps (60%), handling 8 touches for 20 yards.
He ran 12 routes, and the team threw the ball on 77.8% of his snaps.
Jacory Croskey-Merritt led the backfield with 11 touches for 82 yards and a touchdown.
He ran for a 33-yard touchdown on the opening drive and then was largely absent again, which was odd.
The Commanders were in a game script that should have fed him touches.
The Commanders ran the ball on 61.9% of his snaps.
Despite leading the game throughout, Croskey-Merritt played only 9 snaps in the second half on 4 touches.
Austin Ekeler added 4 touches for 14 yards.
The backfield is messy overall, but at least the roles are defined.
Croskey-Merritt is a touchdown-dependent RB3.
White is a floor-based FLEX in PPR formats.
The implied total and the matchup favor White's role.
The 49ers allow 3.7 YPC to backs (8th) and a run of 10+ yards on a league-low 2.5% of those runs.
They have allowed a first down or touchdown on 16.9% of backfield runs (3rd).
However, out of the backfield, they rank 30th in receiving points allowed per game (13.4).
The 49ers allow a league-high 33.0% of receptions to running backs.
Commanders vs. 49ers Fantasy Wide Receiver Preview
Mike Evans (TRUST)
Evans was beastly Sunday in Seattle, catching 7 of 10 targets for 113 yards and his 3rd touchdown of the season.
Last week was the first time Evans wasn't on the injury report.
He ran a route on a season-high 76.5% of the dropbacks, drawing a season-high 37% target share.
Any increase in routes is welcomed.
Evans is third among receivers in fantasy points per route (0.72), behind Jaxon Smith-Njigba (0.95) and Zay Flowers (0.90).
His 3.05 yards per route rank fourth, behind those two guys and Drake London.
61.8% of his targets have resulted in a first down, second among receivers.
Evans has a league-high 48.6% target share on third downs.
He can put that efficiency and those high-leverage targets to work against a Washington defense that ranks 30th in points allowed to WR1 targets (22.5).
They have allowed monster games to Smith-Njigba (10-128-2), CeeDee Lamb (8-153-2), and Malik Nabers (11-121-1).
Terry McLaurin
Returning to the lineup after a Week 4 hamstring injury, McLaurin caught all 4 of his targets for 62 yards, including a two-point conversion.
Despite a sloppy field, he still matched a team-high 75.7% route rate.
Looking for another bump in usage a week removed from injury, McLaurin is a WR2/WR3 here.
As noted, the 49ers aren't giving up much passing production.
That said, they are 21st in points allowed to WR1 targets (16.9 per game).
They have allowed a top-30 scoring week to four of the lead targets they faced: Puka Nacua (5-74-0), Michael Wilson (11-89-1), Jaylen Waddle (5-35-1), and Jaxon Smith-Njigba (5-102-1).
A lot of that has come from touchdown production over high yardage totals.
49ers WRs
The 49ers are forced to go into the bag again with their wide receiver depth.
Deebo Samuel suffered a hamstring injury on Sunday that will cost him time.
Jacob Cowing has an ankle injury and is questionable for Week 6.
Those were WR2 and WR3 on the team in routes run Sunday.
Next up was the ghost of Brandin Cooks, who ran 13 routes and caught 1 of 2 targets for a 7-yard touchdown.
Jordan Watkins ran 9 routes but was not targeted.
If Cowing is out, Cooks is live to chase a touchdown as a WR5/FLEX and in single-game DFS, since we love the spot for Purdy.
Washington has allowed a 6.9% touchdown rate to perimeter receivers (26th).
Commanders WRs
We are entering the week unsure of the status of Stefon Diggs, who missed Week 5 with a hamstring injury.
We will follow his status and availability for Monday night.
If Diggs can play, he is a floor-based WR4.
Diggs is running 61.6% of his snaps from the slot, where the 49ers have allowed a 55% catch rate (2nd) and 7.2 fantasy points per game (7th).
If Diggs misses, Antonio Williams will fill that role.
Williams ran 28 routes on Sunday (75.7%), catching all 3 targets for 31 yards.
Williams played 68% of his snaps from the slot with Diggs sidelined.
Treylon Burks ran 27 routes, catching 2 of 5 targets for 26 yards.
Dyami Brown ran 11 routes, catching 1 of 2 targets for 2 yards.
All of those guys are best left for single-game DFS over firing in managed leagues, with Williams having the most appeal.
Commanders vs. 49ers Fantasy Tight End Preview
George Kittle (TRUST)
Kittle was held in check last week, catching 5 of 6 targets for 24 yards.
Despite the limited box score, he remained a full-time player, running a route on 85.3% of dropbacks.
He gets to trade last week's tough assignment for a much more favorable matchup, while the 49ers are down multiple pass catchers.
Washington has allowed a league-high 2.71 fantasy points per target to tight ends.
They are allowing 9.1 yards per target (29th) and a league-high 17.1% touchdown rate to the position.
The Commanders have allowed touchdown games to Dallas Goedert, Jake Ferguson, and Isaiah Likely.
Chig Okonkwo
Okonkwo led the team with a 26.1% target share on Sunday, catching 4 of 6 targets for 60 yards.
He still ran a route on only 67.6% of dropbacks, but Washington's wide receiver injuries gave him a bump in targets.
If Diggs remains out, then Okonkwo gets another lift as a TE2.
The matchup isn't great, though.
San Francisco allows 4.8 yards per target to tight ends (4th) and still hasn't surrendered a touchdown to the position.
More Week 6 Fantasy Breakdowns From The Worksheet:
| Week 6 NFL Games | Time |
|---|---|
| Seahawks @ Broncos | Thursday Night Football |
| Texans vs. Jaguars | Sunday -- 9:30 a.m. ET |
| Panthers @ Eagles | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Titans @ Colts | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Steelers @ Buccaneers | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Bears @ Falcons | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Ravens @ Browns | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Jets @ Patriots | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Saints @ Giants | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Cardinals @ Rams | Sunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET |
| Chargers @ Chiefs | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Bills @ Raiders | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Cowboys @ Packers | Sunday Night Football |
| Commanders @ 49ers | Monday Night Football |