Jaguars vs. Ravens Fantasy Football Worksheet, Week 9

The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Jaguars vs. Ravens Week 9 matchup on Thursday Night Football.

Find a breakdown of every Week 9 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.

Trust = spike production for that player

Jaguars vs. Ravens Fantasy Quarterback Preview

Trevor Lawrence

Lawrence didn't have to do much on Sunday, but he still cruised to a QB12 (19.4 points) scoring week.

Lawrence completed only 10 of 14 passes in another blowout win, but he averaged 15.0 yards per pass attempt and threw 3 touchdown passes.

He leads the NFL in touchdown rate (8.6%) and rate of passes to result in a first down or touchdown (40.4%).

The Jags were not pushed again on Sunday.

They led 28-0 at the half and 42-7 after three quarters.

Lawrence leads all quarterbacks in passing points per dropback (0.57), but the Jags have not been pushed for four quarters often this season.

Through three quarters of games this year, Lawrence is the QB5 in fantasy scoring (16.1 points per game).

But he is the QB27 in fourth-quarter scoring (3.0 points per game) while averaging a league-low 5.1 dropbacks per game in the final quarter.

He has been pulled before the fourth quarter twice and has another game with 1 fourth-quarter dropback.

It is hard to envision Lawrence and the Jaguars being pushed here.

If this is a competitive game late, it will likely come from an underperformance by the Jacksonville side rather than a strong game state from the current version of the Baltimore offense.

We could see Lawrence's upside capped by a lopsided game script, but if the Jags are cruising and scoring points, he will be the focal point.

That leaves him in the back-end QB1 range, with greater upside if he operates efficiently and the Jags get pushed.

Baltimore has given up points to every viable fantasy quarterback they have faced so far.

Tyler Shough (22.4 points), Dak Prescott (18.9 points), Joe Burrow (28.9 points), and Josh Allen (26.6 points) have all posted good fantasy games versus the Ravens.

Burrow (9.7 yards per pass attempt) and Allen (8.5 Y/A) have been efficient while throwing 6 passing touchdowns against the Ravens over the past two weeks.

The catch, however, is that the Ravens are allowing points in reverse of how Lawrence has scored.

The Baltimore offense hasn't been good enough to make the defense's job easy, and they have broken late.

The Ravens have played well in the first half the past two weeks versus Burrow and Allen (16 total first-half points allowed in those games), but they broke after the half in each.

Burrow was 6 of 12 for 43 yards (3.6 Y/A) with no touchdowns in the first half of Week 7.

Burrow then went 16 of 18 (88.9%) for 249 yards (13.8 Y/A) and 4 touchdowns in the second half.

On Sunday, Allen went 8 of 19 (42.1%) for 112 yards (5.9 Y/A) with an interception in the first half.

He then went 13 of 15 (86.7%) for 177 yards (11.8 Y/A) with 2 touchdowns in the second half.

Joe Fagnano

The nightmare for the Baltimore offense carried on beyond Halloween.

Returning to the field for the first time since Week 3, Lamar Jackson suffered a thumb injury on his first play Sunday that will likely sideline him for the rest of the regular season.

With Jackson off the field this season, the Ravens have averaged 4.6 yards per play, which would rank 30th.

Tyler Huntley then took 10 snaps before suffering a toe injury that is expected to sideline him for multiple weeks.

Undrafted rookie Joe Fagnano was the next man up, completing 10 of 21 passes (47.6%) for 91 yards (4.3 Y/A) with an interception in his first NFL action.

He took 3 sacks (a 12.5% sack rate) and also fumbled.

Fagnano is in line to make his first NFL start on Thursday, with Jesse Minter confirming he would start despite an ankle injury he suffered late in the game on Sunday.

The team signed Austin Reed to the practice squad on Monday.

Reed has not thrown an NFL pass.

He was with the team in the preseason after completing 56.3% of his passes for 6.2 Y/A in the UFL this past season (he did throw 21 touchdowns).

Even with Fagnano expected to play Thursday, I assume Baltimore isn't done here.

Perhaps they could make a push to add Jacoby Brissett, but the timing this week makes everything tight.

As things stand now, Joe Fagnano is a low-end QB2, only in play for 2QB gamers who need to fill a requirement.

The Jags have allowed some efficiency, allowing 7.6 yards per pass attempt (26th), but they have allowed only a 3.3% touchdown rate (4th) and have handled streaming types all season.

The only QB1 scoring weeks they have allowed have been to Joe Burrow and C.J. Stroud.

The Baltimore offensive line is also a major question mark here.

The Jaguars are sixth in pressure rate (39.2%), and the Ravens are 26th in pressure rate allowed (40.9%).

Jaguars vs. Ravens Fantasy Running Back Preview

Bhayshul Tuten

Tuten racked up a career-high 159 yards from scrimmage on 18 touches Sunday.

He ran a 39-yard touchdown through defenders to put the Jaguars up 21-0, then added a 25-yard touchdown on a screen to make it 35-7 in the third quarter.

That was Tuten's third receiving touchdown over the past two games.

Chris Rodriguez had 7 touches for 58 yards and a touchdown, but Tuten controlled the backfield until things went off the rails.

Tuten played 65.6% of the snaps in the first half with 13 of 15 backfield touches.

Tuten is in the midst of a true breakout.

He has a 40.9% success rate (13th) as a runner despite averaging 0.66 yards before contact per rush (37th).

He is averaging 3.81 yards after contact per rush (5th) on the strength of 31 forced missed tackles as a runner, fourth in the league.

We do have to shout that Tuten picked up a foot injury in the first quarter on Sunday.

He stayed in the game and had a big afternoon despite that, but he was listed as a non-participant in the early-week walkthrough.

It is a short week, and the Jaguars are huge favorites here, so we will monitor Tuten's status leading into Thursday night in case there is more to it than early-week rest due to a time crunch.

As long as Tuten gets back to practice before the game and is tracking to play, he is an upside RB2 here.

If something goes south and Tuten sits, Rodriguez would be in play as a volume-based RB2.

The Ravens have played the run well, allowing 3.7 yards per rush to backs (10th), a 19.4% stuff rate (10th), and 0.93 yards allowed before contact per rush (10th).

They have allowed 7 rushing touchdowns to backs, however (23rd).

Derrick Henry

Henry turned 13 touches into 60 yards and a touchdown on Sunday.

He had a second touchdown called back due to penalty, which would have at least boosted his afternoon through touchdown production.

Henry has been held to 60 or fewer total yards in each of the past three games.

He has been scripted out of the past two games, handling 64.3% and 59.1% of backfield touches, his two lowest rates of the season.

Henry has 1 fourth-quarter touch in the past two weeks out of 12 backfield opportunities.

The Ravens have run the ball on 62.3% of Henry's snaps, which is the second-highest rate in the league for a back after Emanuel Wilson (63.2%).

I imagine Baltimore will run the ball as much as they can to insulate their quarterback situation, but how long can that be sustainable?

Not many teams are in a spot to sit Henry, but he is a touchdown-dependent RB2 here.

The Jaguars have also been a dominant run defense while the Baltimore offensive line is creating little space.

Henry is averaging 0.87 yards before contact per rush (33rd).

The Jaguars have allowed 3.3 yards per rush to running backs (2nd) and a league-low 57.7 yards rushing per game to backs.

Interior run stopper DaVon Hamilton suffered a season-ending quad injury on Sunday, which we will monitor for its impact on this run defense.

The Jags have only allowed 3.6 YPC on 48 runs with Hamilton off the field this season, but they spiked to 4.8 YPC allowed with him off the field in 2025 (112 runs).

If the team does end up in a poor game state, Justice Hill caught 4 of 8 targets for 20 yards on Sunday.

Jaguars vs. Ravens Fantasy Wide Receiver Preview

Parker Washington

Washington caught 1 pass for 16 yards (2 targets) on Sunday and rushed once for 10 yards.

The game conditions mushed Washington.

Lawrence only threw 14 passes and targeted six different players.

Washington's underlying metrics still show a high-ceiling asset, but Jacksonville crushing some teams and spreading the ball around has made him a volatile fantasy player.

Washington has been a top-24 scorer in one of his past five games.

Over that span, he is the WR29 in expected points per game.

He has topped 64 yards once since Week 2, and three of his past five games dipped below a 20% target share (with Lawrence in the game).

Washington was the WR6 and WR9 in expected usage in his two games before Sunday, showcasing his upside, but those were spots where the Jaguars were pushed.

We need to take a step of faith on that front here.

We may not have Washington as the front-end WR1 due to the game environment, but he still belongs in the upside WR2 range since he can work efficiently and contribute to the scoring the Jaguars do have.

Washington is averaging 2.27 yards per route run (WR15).

He has accounted for 24.5% of Jacksonville's targets (WR14) and 34.9% of air yards (WR14).

Baltimore has been vulnerable to lead wideouts, allowing 10.3 yards per target (30th) to WR1 targets.

Zay Flowers

Flowers did not catch a pass (5 targets) for the first time in his career on Sunday.

With Lamar Jackson looking like he will miss the rest of the season, we may miss out on a potential high-end season from Flowers that was tracking to be the best of his early career.

We only saw Flowers run 46 total routes with Jackson on the field, averaging 7.67 yards per route (1.42 fantasy points per route) with a target on 43.5% of his routes.

With Jackson off the field (147 routes), Flowers has been targeted on 25.9% of his routes, averaging 1.73 yards per route (0.39 fantasy points per route).

With Jackson on the field, Flowers averaged 10.5 air yards per target compared to 6.4 air yards per target with him off the field.

Baltimore still has the option to add a veteran pocket passer like Jacoby Brissett to help Flowers regain value as a target hog. Still, this week, with the current quarterback room, Flowers is an unstable WR3.

If Flowers can get peppered with targets, the Jaguars have given up production to wideouts, allowing 9.7 yards per target (31st) and 14.4 yards per catch (29th) to receivers.

Jakobi Meyers

Meyers is the best bet among the other Jacksonville receivers to play snaps and run routes.

He was on the field for 73.7% of Lawrence's dropbacks on Sunday, second among the receivers.

But Meyers is still a touchdown-dependent WR4/FLEX, with low usage and an offense that may not have much top-down passing volume.

Lawrence has targeted Meyers on 16.7% of his routes.

Meyers has been inside the top-50 scoring three times, with a touchdown anchoring two of those weeks

Ja'Kobi Lane

Lane caught his lone target on Sunday for 13 yards.

He was still playing behind Rashod Bateman, running a route on 67.7% of the dropbacks compared to 83.9% for Bateman.

You can hold Lane short-term if Baltimore adds a veteran pocket passer, but without Jackson, his overall upside takes a severe hit.

For Thursday night, he is a touchdown-or-bust WR5.

Jaguars WRs

We continued to see Brian Thomas and Josh Cameron work in a limited rotation.

Thomas caught a 12-yard touchdown (his only reception) but was still on the field for only 47.4% of Lawrence's dropbacks.

Cameron did not catch a pass and was targeted once.

Travis Hunter ran 3 routes with Lawrence on the field and failed to catch his lone target.

All of these guys are touchdown-or-bust plays for single-game DFS.

Jaguars vs. Ravens Fantasy Tight End Preview

Brenton Strange

Strange led the team with 55 receiving yards on Sunday.

He had only 2 catches, but one was a 46-yard catch-and-run, the longest of his career.

Strange has some promising underlying efficiency.

He has been targeted on 22.2% of his routes (TE11), averaging 2.11 yards per route (TE4), and is the TE9 in fantasy points per route (0.43).

The only thorn outside of team passing volume has been a limited role near the end zone.

Strange has only 8.6% of targets in the red zone, compared to 19.9% outside the red zone.

That makes Strange more of a higher-end TE2.

The Ravens do offer matchup appeal while the Jaguars are throwing.

Baltimore is 29th in fantasy points allowed per target to tight ends (2.25), allowing 7.8 yards per target (22nd) and a 12.5% touchdown rate (30th) to the position.

Mark Andrews

Catching 3 of 4 targets for 14 yards on Sunday, Andrews has not had more than 28 yards in a game since Week 2.

Andrews is averaging 0.71 yards per route run and has a 13.8% target share when Lamar Jackson is off the field.

He is a low-ceiling TE2.

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