2024 NFL Mock Draft From Ryan McCrystal

The Super Bowl is in the rearview mirror, and all 32 teams are officially in NFL draft mode.

In this 2024 NFL mock draft, I’m projecting what I think each team will do based on a combination of draft needs, available talent, GM tendencies, and scheme fits.

To simplify the process, no trades are projected in this version, which may lead to some players (especially quarterbacks) coming off the board slightly lower in this mock draft than they will on draft day.

All stats are from TruMedia/PFF unless otherwise noted.

2024 NFL Mock Draft

PickTeamPlayerPos.College
1BearsCaleb WilliamsQBUSC
2CommandersJayden DanielsQBLSU
3PatriotsDrake MayeQBUNC
4CardinalsMarvin Harrison Jr.WROhio State
5ChargersJoe AltOTNotre Dame
6GiantsJ.J. McCarthyQBMichigan
7TitansMalik NabersWRLSU
8FalconsQuinyon MitchellCBToledo
9BearsRome OdunzeWRWashington
10JetsBrock BowersTEGeorgia
11VikingsDallas TurnerEDGEAlabama
12BroncosByron Murphy IIDLTexas
13RaidersMichael Penix Jr.QBWashington
14SaintsOlu FashanuOTPenn State
15ColtsTerrion ArnoldCBAlabama
16SeahawksTroy FautanuIOLWashington
17JaguarsBrian Thomas Jr.WRLSU
18BengalsAmarius MimsOTGeorgia
19RamsLaiatu LatuEDGEUCLA
20SteelersTaliese FuagaOTOregon State
21DolphinsGraham BartonOTDuke
22EaglesTyler GuytonOTOklahoma
23VikingsJer'Zhan NewtonDLIllinois
24CowboysJC LathamOTAlabama
25PackersKool-Aid McKinstryCBAlabama
26BucsJared VerseEDGEFSU
27CardinalsNate WigginsCBClemson
28BillsAdonai MitchellWRTexas
29LionsChop RobinsonEDGEPenn State
30RavensCooper DeJeanCBIowa
3149ersJordan MorganOTArizona
32ChiefsKingsley SuamataiaOTBYU

Previous 2024 NFL mock drafts from Ryan McCrystal:

Other 2024 NFL mock drafts:

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2024 NFL Mock Draft: Pick Analysis

1. Chicago Bears, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Caleb Williams, QB, USC

Previous selection in Mock Draft 3.0: Williams

Best Draft Targets for the Bears With the First Pick:

  • Caleb Williams: The most logical reason to move on from Justin Fields was to swing for the fences with Williams’ incredible upside. None of the other quarterback prospects in this class can match Williams’ ceiling.

Day 2 Mock Draft Selections

  • No. 75 – Sedrick Van Pran, C, Georgia

Who Calls the Shots in the Bears Draft Room?

GM Ryan Poles (third year) has final say over roster construction. Poles was previously with the Chiefs, working under GM Brett Veach as director of player personnel.

Key Stats & Notes for the Bears Heading Into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Braxton Jones allowed a 7.8% pressure rate in pass protection, ranked 29th out of 38 qualified left tackles. Larry Borom ranked 37th (11.5%)
  • D.J. Moore had 16 receptions on throws 20 or more yards downfield. The rest of the team combined for just eight
  • Generated 27.4% pressure rate on non-blitzes, ranked 32nd.
  • Defense converted 4.6% of pressures into sacks, ranked 32nd

2. Washington Commanders, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Jayden Daniels, QB, LSU

Previous selection in Mock Draft 3.0: Daniels

Best Draft Targets for the Commanders With the Second Pick:

  • Quarterback: Sam Howell has been traded, all but ensuring the Commanders take Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels, or Drake Maye with this selection. If Williams is gone, Daniels would be a good fit in Kliff Kingsbury’s offense.
  • Trade Down: Since this is the first year for GM Adam Peters and HC Dan Quinn, there’s no pressure to take a quarterback. If they’re concerned the state of the current roster is not conducive to developing a rookie quarterback, they could trade down, get the roster into a better place, and use Marcus Mariota as a bridge quarterback.
  • Joe Alt: If they trade down, expect the Commanders to try to stay within range of Alt, who would step in at left tackle. GM Adam Peters attended Alt’s pro day, indicating a strong level of interest, even if it’s just as a contingency plan behind the quarterbacks.

Day 2 Mock Draft Selections

  • No. 36 – Roger Rosengarten, OT, Washington
  • No. 40 – Cooper Beebe, OG, Kansas State
  • No. 67 – Javon Bulloard, S, Georgia
  • No. 100 – Jonah Elliss, EDGE, Utah

Who Calls the Shots in the Commanders Draft Room?

GM Adam Peters (first year) has final say over the personnel decisions. He joins the team after seven years with the 49ers, most recently as John Lynch’s Assistant GM. He previously served as the Broncos’ Director of College Scouting under John Elway. HC Dan Quinn will likely have significant input in selecting defensive players, as he’s always had strong preferences on who fits his scheme. 

Key Stats & Notes for the Commanders Heading Into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Sam Howell took a sack on 24% of his dropbacks versus pressure, the fourth-highest rate out of 33 qualified quarterbacks
  • Generated 27.9% pressure rate on non-blitzes, ranked 29th. 
  • Generated pressure in 2.5 seconds or less on 19.8% of opponent dropbacks, ranked 25th
  • Following the trades of Chase Young and Montez Sweat, Washington generated a 25.3% pressure rate, the lowest rate from Week 9 through the end of the season
  • Defense converted 6.1% of pressures into sacks, ranked 25th
  • Defense allowed 20 or more yards on 6.6% of plays, ranked 27th
  • Forced opponents into a three-and-out on 23.8% of drives, ranked 32nd

3. New England Patriots, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Drake Maye, QB, North Carolina

Previous selection in Mock Draft 3.0: Maye

Best Draft Targets for the Patriots with With Third Pick:

  • Quarterback: The Patriots need a quarterback and will strongly consider Drake Maye, Jayden Daniels, and maybe even J.J. McCarthy. However, keep in mind this front office, led by Eliot Wolf, comes from the Packers front office tree of Ted Thompson and Brian Gutekunst. The Packers have had patience in developing quarterbacks 一 so Wolf may not feel desperate to settle for the third quarterback in class. Perhaps New England will elect to get the roster in a better place with this pick and snag a developmental prospect later. 
  • Wide Receiver: No one has a worse wide receiver room than the Patriots right now, which makes it a less-than-ideal landing spot for any of the rookie quarterbacks. So perhaps they’ll elect to add Marvin Harrison Jr, Malik Nabers, or Rome Odunze to upgrade the position before adding a quarterback on Day 2 or in 2025. 
  • Trade Down: If the Patriots decide this isn’t the time to add a quarterback, they could trade down. However, the lack of teams in the top 10 in need of a quarterback makes this less likely. Would New England really drop back as far as 11 (Minnesota) or 12 (Denver)? You only get so many chances to land premier talent at the top of the draft, so GMs usually don’t want to drop that far down.

Day 2 Mock Draft Selections

  • No. 34 – Darius Robinson, DL, Missouri
  • No. 68 – Ja’Lynn Polk, WR, Washington

Who Calls the Shots in the Patriots Draft Room?

The Patriots have not hired a general manager to take over for Bill Belichick, who held those duties throughout his tenure. That appears to leave Eliot Wolf in control of the roster. Alonzo Highsmith, who worked with Wolf in Green Bay, was also hired this offseason to play a significant role. Matt Groh, who has been in the team’s scouting department for 14 years, will also have a say in the process. 

Key Stats & Notes for the Patriots Heading Into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Gained 20 or more yards on 3.6% of offensive plays, ranked 32nd
  • Went three-and-out on 45.8% of drives, ranked 32nd
  • Allowed pressure in 2.5 seconds or less on 27.8% of dropbacks, ranked 28th
  • Ranked 32nd with 13 completions on throws of 20 or more yards. DeVante Parker and Demario Douglas tied for the team lead with four of those receptions
  • Generated 28.4% pressure rate on non-blitzes, ranked 27th

4. Arizona Cardinals, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Marvin Harrison Jr, WR, Ohio State

Previous selection in Mock Draft 3.0: Harrison

Best Draft Targets for the Cardinals With the Fourth Pick:

  • Wide Receiver: We’ve seen enough of Kyler Murray to know he’s not the type of quarterback who can elevate a below-average group of receivers. He needs a legitimate weapon, and Arizona will have a shot to add Malik Nabers, Rome Odunze, or Marvin Harison Jr.
  • Joe Alt: Arizona drafted Paris Johnson Jr. last year, but the offensive line still needs work. Jonah Williams was signed to a two-year contract, so he’s a short-term solution at best. Alt could be paired with Johnson to give the injury-prone Murray potentially elite protection at both tackle positions. 

Day 2 Mock Draft Selections

  • No. 35 – Jackson Powers-Johnson, C, Oregon
  • No. 66 – DeWayne Carter, DL, Duke
  • No. 71 – Trey Benson, RB, Florida State
  • No. 90 – Tyler Nubin, S, Minnesota

Who Calls the Shots in the Cardinals Draft Room?

GM Monti Ossenfort (second year) likely has final say over the Cardinals roster, though the team has not officially confirmed this. Ossenfort is a former Director of College Scouting (Patriots) and Director of Player Personnel (Titans), and his Assistant GM is former Lions Director of College Scouting Dave Sears

Key Stats & Notes for the Cardinals Heading Into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Ranked 27th with 17 completions on throws of 20 or more yards. Marquise Brown led the team with five of those receptions
  • Running backs were contacted at or behind the line of scrimmage on 53% of carries, ranked 32nd. 
  • Generated pressure in 2.5 seconds or less on 19.2% of opponent dropbacks, ranked 27th
  • Contacted opposing running backs at or behind the line of scrimmage on 37% of carries, ranked 30th
  • Allowed 31.3% conversion rate on third and long (seven or more yards), ranked 32nd
  • Defense ranked 32nd in third-and-long rate, forcing opponents into third-and-long (seven or more yards) or 17.2% of their set of downs 

5. Los Angeles Chargers, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Joe Alt, OT, Notre Dame

Previous selection in Mock Draft 3.0: Alt

Best Draft Targets for the Chargers With the Fifth Pick:

  • Right Tackle: This may not be the Chargers’ most glaring need, but Jim Harbaugh built Michigan around a deep, dominant offensive line, and GM Joe Horitz has participated in a similar team-building strategy in Baltimore. Trey Pipkins is under contract through 2025, but he was a liability last year. The Chargers must do a better job protecting Justin Herbert
  • Wide Receiver: Mike Williams and Keenan Allen are gone. However, Harbaugh did not make receiver a high priority in recruiting at Michigan. When the 49ers drafted a first-round receiver during his tenure in San Francisco (A.J. Jenkins), he turned into a historic bust. The Ravens were also notoriously poor at drafting and developing receivers while Horitz was there, so both decision makers may hesitate to invest in the position.

Day 2 Mock Draft Selections

  • No. 37 – Roman Wilson, WR, Michigan
  • No. 69 – Zak Zinter, OG, Michigan

Who Calls the Shots in the Chargers Draft Room?

It’s unclear who has the final say over the roster, though it is assumed that power belongs to Jim Harbaugh (first year). However, the draft will likely be run primarily by GM Joe Hortiz (first year), who was the Ravens’ longtime Director of College Scouting and, most recently, their Director of Player Personnel. 

Key Stats & Notes for the Chargers Heading Into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Trey Pipkins allowed a 6.7% pressure rate in pass protection, ranked 28th out of 36 qualified right tackles
  • Allowed three or more yards before contact to running backs on 25% of carries, ranked 26th
  • Generated pressure in 2.5 seconds or less on 18.8% of opponent dropbacks, ranked 29th
  • Defense ranked 23rd in third-and-long rate, forcing opponents into third-and-long (seven or more yards) or 21.1% of their set of downs 
  • Forced opponents into a three-and-out on 28.6% of drives, ranked 28th

6. New York Giants, Top Draft Pick Prediction: J.J. McCarthy, QB, Michigan

Previous selection in Mock Draft 3.0: Malik Nabers, WR

Best Draft Targets for the Giants With the Sixth Pick:

  • Quarterback: There is almost certainly no future for Daniel Jones in New York beyond the 2024 season. The Giants will save $30 million by moving on from Jones next offseason (post June 1). So if the Giants like one of their quarterback options, there’s no reason to delay the selection of Jones’ replacement.
  • Wide Receiver: The Giants stocked up on mediocre slot receivers last offseason, none of whom impressed. If they want to give Jones a legitimate shot at living up to his contract, they must give him a capable No. 1 weapon. Marvin Harrison Jr, Rome Odunze, and Malik Nabers are all viable options. 
  • Offensive Tackle: It’s going to be difficult for Jones to develop behind this offensive line. Evan Neal has been an abject disaster at right tackle, though he doesn’t turn 24 until September, so perhaps the team won’t give up yet. Notre Dame’s Joe Alt and Penn State’s Olu Fashanu are the most likely options. 

Day 2 Mock Draft Selections

  • No. 47 – Troy Franklin, WR, Oregon
  • No. 70 – T’Vondre Sweat, DT, Texas

Who Calls the Shots in the Giants Draft Room?

GM Joe Schoen (third year) has final say over roster decisions. He spent the previous five seasons as the Assistant GM to Brandon Beane in Buffalo.

Key Stats & Notes for the Giants Heading Into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Went three-and-out on 41.7% of drives, ranked 31st
  • Allowed contact at or behind the line of scrimmage on 50% of carries by running backs, ranked 27th
  • Allowed pressure in 2.5 seconds or less on 28.8% of dropbacks, ranked 29th
  • Evan Neal allowed an 8.3% pressure rate in pass protection, ranked 33rd out of 36 qualified right tackles
  • Offense ranked 32nd in third-and-long rate, with 30.9% of set of downs leading to a third-and-long (seven or more yards)
  • Defense converted 5.5% of pressures into sacks, ranked 30th
  • Generated 28.2% pressure rate on non-blitzes, ranked 28th
  • Allowed 10 or more rushing yards on 13.2% of running back attempts, ranked 31st

7. Tennessee Titans, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Malik Nabers, WR, LSU

Previous selection in Mock Draft 3.0: Olu Fashanu, OT

Best Draft Targets for the Titans With the Seventh Pick:

  • Wide Receiver: Although this doesn’t look like a glaring need, there’s never any shame in just taking the best available player, which could be Malik Nabers or Rome Odunze. It’s also worth noting DeAndre Hopkins is in the final year of his contract, so a position group that looks strong right now may take a big step backward next year. And if they’re committed to developing Will Levis, why not give him another weapon?
  • Offensive Line: Derrick Henry covered up a lot of warts on the offensive line, but this unit must improve its run blocking. Penn State’s Olu Fashanu, Oregon State’s Taliese Fuaga, and Notre Dame’s Joe Alt are all in contention to be the top lineman off the board. 

Day 2 Mock Draft Selections

  • No. 38 – Christian Haynes, OG, Connecticut

Who Calls the Shots in the Titans Draft Room?

GM Ran Carthon (second year) has final say over the roster. Carthon was previously the 49ers’ Director of Player Personnel. Director of College Scouting Jon Salge (eighth year) will likely be heavily involved as well. The firing of Mike Vrabel was perceived to be due to, at least in part, a clash with Carthon over roster construction. The hiring of first-year HC Brian Callahan likely gives more control to Carthon. 

Key Stats & Notes for the Titans Heading Into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Allowed pressure in 2.5 seconds or less on 24.3% of dropbacks, ranked 20th
  • Andre Dillard allowed a 12.8% pressure rate in pass protection, ranked 38th out of 38 qualified left tackles
  • Allowed contact at or behind the line of scrimmage on 49% of carries by running backs, ranked 26th
  • Offense ranked 26th in third-and-long rate, with 25.3% of set of downs leading to a third-and-long (seven or more yards)
  • Defense ranked 31st in third-and-long rate, forcing opponents into third-and-long (seven or more yards) or 19.8% of their set of downs 
  • Forced opponents into a three-and-out on 29.5% of drives, ranked 26th

8. Atlanta Falcons, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Quinyon Mitchell, CB, Toledo

Previous selection in Mock Draft 3.0: Dallas Turner, EDGE

Best Draft Targets for the Falcons With the Eighth Pick:

  • Cornerback: The Falcons currently have one cornerback under contract beyond the 2024 season. Toledo’s Quinyon Mitchell and Alabama’s Terrion Arnold probably have the most upside warrant consideration in this slot.
  • Pass Rusher: Leading pass rushers Bud Dupree and Calais Campbell are both free agents. Adding youth to the unit is a must, and there should be multiple options with this pick such as Laiatu Latu, Jared Verse, and Dallas Turner.  
  • Trade Down: Atlanta would probably be satisfied to stay put and add an impact player on defense, but if one of the quarterbacks is still on the board, Fontenot will need to listen to offers.

Day 2 Mock Draft Selections

  • No. 43 – Austin Booker, EDGE, Kansas
  • No. 74 – Ricky Pearsall, WR, Florida
  • No. 79 – Payton Wilson, LB, NC State

Who Calls the Shots in the Falcons Draft Room?

GM Terry Fontenot (third year) has final say over the roster and may actually have more control than in the previous two seasons as Fontenot now reports directly to owner Arthur Blank. CEO Rich McKay (Atlanta’s former GM) is no longer involved in day-to-day football operations.  

Key Stats & Notes for the Falcons Heading Into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Went three-and-out on 37.8% of drives, ranked 28th
  • Gained 20 or more yards on 5.2% of offensive plays, ranked 24th
  • Generated pressure in 2.5 seconds or less on 17.6% of opponent dropbacks, ranked 31st
  • Allowed 26.2% conversion rate on third and long (seven or more yards), ranked 22nd

9. Chicago Bears, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Rome Odunze, WR, Washington

Previous selection in Mock Draft 3.0: Odunze

Best Draft Targets for the Bears With the Ninth Pick:

  • Wide Receiver: Providing their young quarterback (likely Caleb Williams) with another weapon certainly couldn’t hurt, even after the addition of Keenan Allen. If Rome Odunze or Malik Nabers were available, that would be an ideal pairing of need and value. 
  • Pass Rusher: Even after adding Montez Sweat, the Bears still only ranked 24th in pressure rate through the remainder of the season. Yannick Ngakoue also hits free agency 一 and didn’t provide much help anyway. Laiatu Latu, Jared Verse, and Dallas Turner are the most likely available targets. 
  • Offensive Tackle: The Bears have a few young tackles on the roster (Darnell Wright, Braxton Jones, Larry Borom), but the production has been disappointing. Wright’s job is safe, but the Bears could look for an upgrade in Oregon State’s Taliese Fuaga, Alabama’s JC Latham, or Georgia’s Amarius Mims.

See the first pick for more on Bears draft plans. 

10. New York Jets, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Brock Bowers, TE, Georgia

Previous selection in Mock Draft 3.0: Bowers

Best Draft Targets for the Jets With the 10th Pick:

  • Brock Bowers: The Jets have a small window with the 40-year-old Aaron Rodgers, so Bowers should be in consideration due to his ability to immediately add a unique dimension to the Jets’ offense.
  • Left Tackle: The Mekhi Becton experience is mercifully over, and 38-year-old Duane Brown is a free agent. Oregon State’s Taliese Fuaga, Alabama’s JC Latham, Oklahoma’s Tyler Guyton, and Georgia’s Amarius Mims are all potential options to step into this role as a rookie. 
  • Wide Receiver: Mike Williams is a great No. 2 when healthy, but he is older and coming off an injury. If Malik Nabers or Rome Odunze unexpectedly fell, the Jets would have to consider pairing them with Garrett Wilson

Day 2 Mock Draft Selections

  • No. 72 – Khristian Boyd, DT, Northern Iowa

Who Calls the Shots in Jets Draft Room?

GM Joe Douglas (sixth year) has final say over personnel decisions. 

Key Stats & Notes for the Jets Heading Into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Gained 20 or more yards on 4.4% of offensive plays, ranked 29th
  • Allowed contact at or behind the line of scrimmage on 50% of carries by running backs, ranked 29th
  • Allowed pressure in 2.5 seconds or less on 27.6% of dropbacks, ranked 27th
  • Mekhi Becton allowed a 7.6% pressure rate in pass protection, ranked 26th out of 38 qualified left tackles

11. Minnesota Vikings, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Dallas Turner, EDGE, Alabama

Previous selection in Mock Draft 3.0: J.J. McCarthy, QB

Best Draft Targets for the Vikings With the 11th Pick:

  • Dallas Turner: Minnesota’s front office favors younger prospects with top-tier athletic talent, which almost certainly puts Turner near the top of their non-quarterback wish list to help replace Danielle Hunter.
  • Quarterback: With Kirk Cousins out of the picture, this is now a clear priority for Minnesota. The addition of Sam Darnold was an insurance policy 一 because there’s no guarantee a viable quarterback will be available 一 but if McCarthy is on the board, this should be an easy choice (and it may also happen via a trade into the top 10).
  • Byron Murphy II: The Vikings defensive line needs an overhaul. Murphy’s balanced skill set on the interior would make him an ideal fit. He’s also just 21 years old, which should appeal to a front office that favors younger prospects. 
  • Wide Receiver: This is not a glaring need, but it looks like the NFC North will be dominated by high-powered offenses for the foreseeable future based on what we saw from Detroit and Green Bay last year. Adding someone like Rome Odunze or Brian Thomas Jr. would give Minnesota an elite receiver room and potentially allow the Vikes to win shootouts against their division rivals. 

Day 2 Mock Draft Selections

  • None

Who Calls the Shots in the Vikings Draft Room?

GM Kwesi Adofo-Mensah (third year) has final say over the roster. He has a background in analytics and previously worked under Andrew Berry in Cleveland. Since Adofo-Mensah’s background is not in scouting, Director of College Scouting Mike Sholiton likely plays a significant role in the draft.

Key Stats & Notes for the Vikings Heading Into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Generated 28.7% pressure rate on non-blitzes, ranked 26th
  • Generated pressure in 2.5 seconds or less on 19.8% of opponent dropbacks, ranked 26th
  • Stuffed opposing running backs for negative yards on 6.6% of attempts, ranked 32nd
  • Defense ranked 28th in third-and-long rate, forcing opponents into third-and-long (seven or more yards) or 20.0% of their set of downs 

12. Denver Broncos, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Byron Murphy II, DT, Texas

Previous selection in Mock Draft 3.0: Murphy

Best Draft Targets for the Broncos With the 12th Pick:

  • Byron Murphy II: Murphy stands out as the consensus top interior defensive lineman, and Sean Payton has always valued building from the trenches. Given Denver’s issues on run defense, this would be an easy selection to justify if the Broncos can’t move up for a quarterback.
  • Quarterback: The Broncos will likely explore a trade up for any of the quarterbacks who fall past Chicago and Washington. It’s also possible they could reach for Washington’s Michael Penix Jr. with this selection.
  • Cornerback: According to Sports Info Solutions, opponents completed 54% of their throws at 10 or more yards downfield when targeting outside cornerbacks other than Patrick Surtain II (43% targeting Surtain). Finding someone to pair with Surtain this offseason is a must. Alabama’s Terrion Arnold, Clemson’s Nate Wiggins, and Toledo’s Quinyon Mitchell are all potential targets.
  • Brock Bowers: Sean Payton loved the versatility of Taysom Hill in New Orleans. Bowers brings all that versatility to the table (minus the quarterback play, obviously) while also being more productive in a traditional tight end role. He could be an option if he slips this far. 

Day 2 Mock Draft Selections

  • No. 76 – Gabriel Murphy, EDGE, UCLA

Who Calls the Shots in the Broncos Draft Room?

GM George Paton (fourth year) has final say over personnel decisions. Prior to joining Denver, he spent the majority of his career as Rick Spielman’s right-hand man in Minnesota and Miami. It is assumed that Sean Payton has significant power as well, though the Broncos have stated Paton remains in control of the roster. 

Key Stats & Notes for the Broncos Heading Into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Went three-and-out on 38.6% of drives, ranked 29th
  • Gained 20 or more yards on 5.2% of offensive plays, ranked 25th
  • Allowed pressure in 2.5 seconds or less on 27.2% of dropbacks, ranked 25th
  • Generated pressure in 2.5 seconds or less on 19.1% of opponent dropbacks, ranked 28th
  • Allowed 8.2 yards per attempt when failing to generate pressure, ranked 31st
  • Contacted opposing running backs at or behind the line of scrimmage on 36% of carries, ranked 32nd
  • Defense allowed 20 or more yards on 6.7% of plays, ranked 29th

13. Las Vegas Raiders, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Michael Penix Jr, QB, Washington

Previous selection in Mock Draft 3.0: Taliese Fuaga, OT

Best Draft Targets for the Raiders With the 13th Pick:

  • Michael Penix Jr: This selection is probably more likely to occur after a trade down, but Penix is almost certainly on their radar as a quick fix to the quarterback problem. We also can’t rule out Las Vegas trading up in an effort to get J.J. McCarthy or whichever quarterback slides past the first few selections.
  • Offensive Line: The right tackle job is wide open, and multiple offensive tackles would be a good value with this selection. At least one of Penn State’s Olu Fashanu, Oregon State’s Taliese Fuaga, or Georgia’s Amarius Mims should be on the board.

Day 2 Mock Draft Selections

  • No. 44 – Mike Sainristil, CB, Michigan
  • No. 77 – Jeremiah Trotter Jr, LB, Clemson

Who Calls the Shots in the Raiders Draft Room?

GM Tom Telesco (first year) has final say over the roster. He previously spent 11 years in the same role with the Chargers. 

Key Stats & Notes for the Raiders Heading Into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Gained 20 or more yards on 4.2% of offensive plays, ranked 30th
  • Ranked 31st with 15 completions on throws of 20 or more yards. Tre Tucker led the team with six of those receptions. Davante Adams had just four on 26 targets
  • Contacted opposing running backs at or behind the line of scrimmage on 39% of carries, ranked 29th
  • Generated pressure in 2.5 seconds or less on 22.0% of opponent dropbacks, ranked 21st

14. New Orleans Saints, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Olu Fashanu, OT, Penn State

Previous selection in Mock Draft 3.0: Amarius Mims, OT

Best Draft Targets for the Saints With the 14th Pick:

  • Left Tackle: The Saints may be ready to admit they whiffed on the 2022 first-round selection of Trevor Penning. If so, the left tackle job is open. Penn State’s Olu Fashanu would be the ideal fit if available. Georgia’s Amarius Mims has intriguing talent, but do the Saints want to sign up for another developmental project? Oregon State’s Taliese Fuaga and Alabama’s JC Latham are also options, though they each have more experience at right tackle.
  • Quarterback: The Saints likely can’t escape Derek Carr’s contract until after the 2025 season, so there’s no rush to find his replacement. However, they could potentially draft 21-year-old J.J. McCarthy to learn behind Carr. If the Saints do covet McCarthy, a trade up is probably necessary. 
  • Wide Receiver: Chris Olave desperately needs some help at the receiver position. The size and speed of LSU’s Brian Thomas Jr. would be a nice addition to the offense. 
  • Brock Bowers: We know the Saints value athletic, versatile tight ends based on how they’ve treated Taysom Hill over the years. Bowers can provide much of the versatility Hill provides while also having the skills to be a three-down tight end.

Day 2 Mock Draft Selections

  • No. 45 – Bo Nix, QB, Oregon

Who Calls the Shots in the Saints Draft Room?

GM Mickey Loomis likely has final say, though the power dynamic has been unclear since the departure of Sean Payton (who previously had final say). Since Loomis does not have a background in scouting, Assistant GM and Director of College Personnel Jeff Ireland likely has substantial input in the draft.

Key Stats & Notes for the Saints Heading Into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Gained 20 or more yards on 5.0% of offensive plays, ranked 28th
  • Prior to getting benched, Trevor Penning allowed a 7.6% pressure rate in pass protection, ranked 28th out of 38 qualified left tackles. Andrus Peat ranked 24th (6.7%)
  • Contacted opposing running backs at or behind the line of scrimmage on 40% of carries, ranked 25th
  • Generated pressure in 2.5 seconds or less on 16.5% of opponent dropbacks, ranked 32nd
  • Defense converted 5.7% of pressures into sacks, ranked 29th

15. Indianapolis Colts, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Terrion Arnold, CB, Alabama

Previous selection in Mock Draft 3.0: Arnold

Best Draft Targets for the Colts With the 15th Pick:

  • Cornerback: The Colts leaned heavily on rookies Jaylon Jones and JuJu Brents, so perhaps they’ll address this need with a veteran, but it’s clear the secondary needs an upgrade. If either Clemson’s Nate Wiggins or Alabama’s Terrion Arnold are on the board, the Colts may need to pounce. 
  • Brock Bowers: This probably isn’t the most pressing need, but having one of the league’s most athletically unique tight ends as a weapon for one of the most athletically unique quarterbacks (Anthony Richardson) will be tempting. 

Day 2 Mock Draft Selections

  • No. 46 – Marshawn Kneeland, EDGE, Western Michigan
  • No. 82 – Javon Baker, WR, UCF

Who Calls the Shots in the Colts Draft Room?

GM Chris Ballard (eighth year) has final say over roster construction.

Key Stats & Notes for the Colts Heading Into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Allowed pressure in 2.5 seconds or less on 28.9% of dropbacks, ranked 30th
  • Generated 30.0%% pressure rate on non-blitzes, ranked 24th
  • Allowed 8.0 yards per attempt when failing to generate pressure, ranked 27th
  • Defense ranked 30th in third-and-long rate, forcing opponents into third-and-long (seven or more yards) or 19.9% of their set of downs 

16. Seattle Seahawks, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Troy Fautanu, OL, Washington

Previous selection in Mock Draft 3.0: Fautanu

Best Draft Targets for the Seahawks With the 16th Pick:

  • Offensive Line: The offensive line has been an annual area of need for Seattle, yet it’s rarely addressed with early draft picks. The interior offensive line needs the most work, and Oregon’s Jackson Powers-Johnson could be an option. Washington’s Troy Fautanu will certainly get consideration as well, given his connection to new offensive coordinator Ryan Grubb and offensive line coach Scott Huff, who were at Washington last season.
  • Brock Bowers: If Seattle wants to revitalize its offense, a legit weapon at tight end would certainly have an impact. John Schneider has only drafted one tight end before the fourth round (Nick Vannett), but Bowers is a unique talent who could force Schneider to break that trend. 
  • Pass Rusher: Boye Mafe emerged as a legit pass rush threat last season, but the unit could use another weapon at the position. UCLA’s Laiatu Latu should be a strong candidate. The versatility of Missouri’s Darius Robinson would also make him a good fit in Mike Macdonald’s scheme.

Day 2 Mock Draft Selections

  • No. 78 – Cade Stover, TE, Ohio State
  • No. 81 – Chris Braswell, EDGE, Alabama

Who Calls the Shots in the Seahawks Draft Room?

GM John Schneider is entering his 15th year in this role, but it will be his first with final say over the roster, as Pete Carroll previously held that power. Schneider does not have a background in college scouting, so Senior Director of Player Personnel Matt Berry and Director of College Scouting Aaron Hineline likely have strong voices in the draft room. 

Key Stats & Notes for the Seahawks Heading Into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Allowed pressure in 2.5 seconds or less on 29.2% of dropbacks, ranked 31st
  • When failing to make contact at or behind the line of scrimmage, allowed 7.0 yards per attempt to running backs, ranked 28th
  • Ranked 3.3 yards after contact per attempt to running backs, ranked 29th
  • Allowed 30.2% conversion rate on third and long (seven or more yards), ranked 30th
  • Forced opponents into a three-and-out on 26.6% of drives, ranked 30th
  • Defense allowed 20 or more yards on 6.5% of plays, ranked 26th
  • Defense ranked 24th in third-and-long rate, forcing opponents into third-and-long (seven or more yards) or 21.0 % of their set of downs 

17. Jacksonville Jaguars, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Brian Thomas Jr, WR, LSU

Previous selection in Mock Draft 3.0: Thomas

Best Draft Targets for the Jaguars With the 17th Pick:

  • Wide Receiver: The loss of Calvin Ridley makes this a glaring need. Trevor Lawrence needs better weapons to continue his development. 6-foot-4 Brian Thomas Jr. would be an ideal addition if he’s on the board. Texas’ Adonai Mitchell or Florida State’s Keon Coleman could be targets as well. 
  • Cornerback: This may not be a glaring immediate need, but Tyson Campbell is entering the final year of his contract. Toledo’s Quinyon Mitchell and Alabama’s Kool-Aid McKinstry are potential targets. 

Day 2 Mock Draft Selections

  • No. 48 – Ennis Rakestraw Jr, CB, Missouri
  • No. 96 – Maason Smith, DL, LSU

Who Calls the Shots in the Jaguars Draft Room?

GM Trent Baalke (fourth year) and HC Doug Pederson (second year) supposedly share control of the roster. The Jaguars have not publicly stated who has the final say, although it’s likely Baalke considering he participated in the hiring of Pederson and has a background in scouting.

Key Stats & Notes for the Jaguars Heading Into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Allowed contact at or behind the line of scrimmage on 52% of carries by running backs, ranked 31st
  • When failing to make contact at or behind the line of scrimmage, allowed 6.9 yards per attempt to running backs, ranked 27th
  • Defense converted 6.1% of pressures into sacks, ranked 27th

18. Cincinnati Bengals, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Amarius Mims, OT, Georgia

Previous selection in Mock Draft 3.0: JC Latham, OT

Best Draft Targets for the Bengals With the 18th Pick:

  • Right Tackle: Joe Burrow needs better protection. The Bengals did add Trent Brown, but he is not a long-term solution, making this a priority in the draft. Alabama’s JC Latham or Georgia’s Amarius Mims would be ideal targets. 
  • Defensive Tackle: With D.J. Reader in Detroit, we have to consider the Bengals a potential landing spot for Illinois’ Jer’Zhan Newton or Texas’ Byron Murphy II
  • Wide Receiver: Tyler Boyd is unlikely to be re-signed, and Tee Higgins‘ status is uncertain. LSU’s Brian Thomas Jr. would be an ideal fit.

Day 2 Mock Draft Selections

  • No. 49 – Ladd McConkey, WR, Georgia
  • No. 80 – Beaux Limmer, C, Arkansas
  • No. 97 – Ben Sinnott, TE, Kansas State

Who Calls the Shots in the Bengals Draft Room?

Director of Player Personnel Duke Tobin has final say over roster construction.

Key Stats & Notes for the Bengals Heading Into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Purposefully target prospects with experience in the College Football Playoff. Every first-round pick since 2017 fits that criteria, and five of seven second-round picks do as well.
  • Allowed 9.2 yards per attempt when failing to generate pressure, ranked 32nd
  • Contacted opposing running backs at or behind the line of scrimmage on 40% of carries, ranked 28th
  • Defense allowed 20 or more yards on 7.8% of plays, ranked 32nd

19. Los Angeles Rams, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Laiatu Latu, EDGE, UCLA

Previous selection in Mock Draft 3.0: Jared Verse, EDGE

Best Draft Targets for the Rams With the 19th Pick:

  • Edge Rusher: Byron Young was among the most impressive rookie pass rushers last year, but there’s limited talent on the edge behind him. UCLA’s Laiatu Latu, Florida State’s Jared Verse, and Penn State’s Chop Robinson are potential targets. 
  • Defensive Tackle: This was an area worth addressing even before the retirement of Aaron Donald, and now it’s a glaring need. Texas’ Byron Murphy II and Illinois’ Jer’Zhan Newton are the most likely targets. Murphy has a more traditional skillset, while Newton would be the closest comparison to Donald in terms of style of play.

Day 2 Mock Draft Selections

  • No. 52 – Jaden Hicks, S, Washington State
  • No. 83 – Kris Abrams-Draine, CB, Missouri
  • No. 99 – Brandon Dorlus, DT, Oregon

Who Calls the Shots in the Rams Draft Room?

GM Les Snead (13th year) has final say over personnel decisions.

Key Stats & Notes for the Rams Heading Into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Allowed three or more yards before contact to running backs on 27% of carries, ranked 29th
  • Defense allowed 20 or more yards on 6.2% of plays, ranked 23rd

20. Pittsburgh Steelers, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Taliese Fuaga, OT, Oregon State

Previous selection in Mock Draft 3.0: Jackson Powers-Johnson, C

Best Draft Targets for the Steelers With the 20th Pick:

  • Offensive Tackle: Broderick Jones will return to a starting role despite a tough rookie year, but it’s time to move on from Dan Moore Jr. at left tackle. Oregon State’s Taliese Fuaga, Alabama’s JC Latham, and Georgia’s Amarius Mims are the top targets, with Oklahoma’s Tyler Guyton as a backup plan. All three would be likely to play right tackle with Jones moving to the left side. The Steelers typically favor elite size in their lineman, and each of these prospects fits that profile.
  • Jackson Powers-Johnson: The Steelers have a long history of dominant play at center and have invested heavily in the position, most recently with Maurkice Pouncey (18th overall, 2010). The position has been a revolving door since Pouncey’s retirement, and Powers-Johnson could quickly solve that issue. 
  • Cornerback: Joey Porter Jr. is the only cornerback with a long-term future in Pittsburgh. Iowa’s Cooper DeJean, Alabama’s Kool-Aid McKinstry, and Toledo’s Quinyon Mitchell are viable targets. 

Day 2 Mock Draft Selections

  • No. 51 – DeVontez Walker, WR, North Carolina
  • No. 84 – Junior Colson, LB, Michigan
  • No. 98 – Mason McCormick, OG, South Dakota State

Who Calls the Shots in the Steelers Draft Room?

GM Omar Khan (second year) took over last year from Kevin Colbert, who ran the team for 23 years. Khan likely has final say over the roster, though it is a collaborative effort with Assistant GM Andy Weidl (second year) and Mike Tomlin. Khan has been with Pittsburgh since 2001, but his background is in the administrative side of the team. Weidl joined the team from the Eagles, where he was Vice President of Player Personnel and has extensive experience in scouting. 

Key Stats & Notes for the Steelers Heading Into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Went three-and-out on 37.6% of drives, ranked 27th
  • Dan Moore Jr. allowed a 9.9% pressure rate in pass protection, ranked 36th out of 38 qualified left tackles
  • Broderick Jones allowed an 8.2% pressure rate in pass protection, ranked 32nd out of 36 qualified right tackles
  • Stuffed opposing running backs for negative yards on 8.3% of attempts, ranked 23rd
  • Defense allowed 20 or more yards on 6.7% of plays, ranked 28th

21. Miami Dolphins, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Graham Barton, OL, Duke

Previous selection in Mock Draft 3.0: Ja’Tavion Sanders, TE

Best Draft Targets for the Dolphins With the 21st Pick:

  • Interior Offensive Line: Given the importance of the run game to Mike McDaniel’s offense, retooling the offensive line needs to be a priority. Oregon’s Jackson Powers-Johnson may be the top center on the board, but he may lack the athleticism Miami is looking for at the position. Duke’s Graham Barton played left tackle in college, but has the skill set needed for a position change and may be the ideal fit.
  • Pass Rusher: Jaelan Phillips (Achilles) and Bradley Chubb (ACL) are both returning from significant injuries, which makes this a greater area of need than if both were healthy. Since Miami is in win-now mode, adding insurance in the form of UCLA’s Laiatu Latu or Penn State’s Chop Robinson would make sense.
  • Defensive Line: The loss of Christian Wilkins creates a significant hole on the defensive line. Texas’ Byron Murphy II would be a natural fit if available. 
  • Ja’Tavion Sanders: This selection is more likely to occur after a trade down 一 which is a strong possibility given Miami’s lack of draft capital 一 but Sanders is definitely on Miami’s radar. Mike McDaniel met with Sanders at the combine and attended his Pro Day.
  • Cornerback: This could be the final year of Jalen Ramsey in Miami, so addressing the need a year early is an option, especially considering the wealth of talent in this class. Toledo’s Quinyon Mitchell or Iowa’s Cooper DeJean could be options. 

Day 2 Mock Draft Selections

  • No. 55 – Braden Fiske, DL, Florida State

Who Calls the Shots in the Dolphins Draft Room?

GM Chris Grier (eighth year) has final say over personnel decisions but accepts significant input from Mike McDaniel.

Key Stats & Notes for the Dolphins Heading Into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Allowed 7.8 yards per attempt when failing to generate pressure, ranked 22nd
  • Contacted opposing running backs at or behind the line of scrimmage on 40% of carries, ranked 27th
  • Defense ranked 25th in third-and-long rate, forcing opponents into third-and-long (seven or more yards) or 21.0% of their set of downs 

22. Philadelphia Eagles, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Tyler Guyton, OT, Oklahoma

Previous selection in Mock Draft 3.0: Quinyon Mitchell, CB

Best Draft Targets for the Eagles With the 22nd Pick:

  • Offensive Line: Philly could probably enter the season with the current offensive line personnel, but Howie Roseman is always thinking ahead and looking for upgrades at the position. Oklahoma’s Tyler Guyton is raw but has similar athletic upside that once attracted the Eagles to Lane Johnson. Alabama’s JC Latham, Duke’s Graham Barton, and BYU’s Kinglsey Suamataia are also potential targets. 
  • Cornerback: Veterans Darius Slay and James Bradberry are still in place, but adding young depth to the secondary is an option. Iowa’s Cooper DeJean, Alabama’s Kool-Aid McKinstry, and Toledo’s Quinyon Mitchell are potential targets. That said, year after year Roseman neglects to address this position early in the draft 一 it may be something he’s philosophically against.
  • Wide Receiver: The Eagles have a top-tier duo, but there is little depth beyond DeVonta Smith and A.J. Brown. To add another dimension to the offense, Philly could add a bigger outside weapon, such as LSU’s Brian Thomas Jr. or Texas’ Adonai Mitchell

Day 2 Mock Draft Selections

  • No. 50 – Ja’Tavion Sanders, TE, Texas
  • No. 53 – T.J. Tampa, CB, Iowa State

Who Calls the Shots in the Eagles Draft Room?

GM Howie Roseman (13th year) has final say over the roster. Roseman has held the title of General Manager and/or Executive Vice President of Football Operations since 2010, however, he did not control the roster during Andy Reid‘s and Chip Kelly’s tenures. Roseman gained full control of personnel decisions in 2016.

Key Stats & Notes for the Eagles Heading Into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Allowed 10 or more rushing yards on 11.1% of running back attempts, ranked 25th
  • Defense converted 6.2% of pressures into sacks, ranked 24th
  • Allowed 29.5% conversion rate on third and long (seven or more yards), ranked 29th
  • Forced opponents into a three-and-out on 28.0% of drives, ranked 29th

23. Minnesota Vikings, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Jer’Zhan Newton, DL, Illinois

Previous selection in Mock Draft 3.0: Newton

Best Draft Targets for the Vikings With the 23rd Pick:

  • Jer’Zhan Newton: If the Vikings don’t select Byron Murphy II at No. 11, they could turn their attention to Newton with this pick. Newton would be a good pairing of value and need, and he’s also among the youngest prospects in this class (he turns 22 in August). 
  • Trade up for quarterback: There is a high probability Minnesota acquired this pick to use as extra ammo to move up for a quarterback. Based on the traditional Jimmy Johnson trade value chart, picks 11 and 23 provide enough value to get the Vikings as high as the fourth pick (Arizona) and within negotiating distance of the third selection (New England).
  • Cornerback: It looks like the Vikings swung and missed on 2022 second-round pick Andrew Booth Jr, so it may be time to try again 一 especially given the talent at the position in this class. Clemson’s Nate Wiggins, Toledo’s Quinyon Mitchell, and Iowa’s Cooper DeJean should all be on Minnesota’s radar. 

See 11th pick for more on Vikings draft plans.

24. Dallas Cowboys, Top Draft Pick Prediction: JC Latham, OT, Alabama

Previous selection in Mock Draft 3.0: Kingsley Suamataia, OL

Best Draft Targets for the Cowboys With the 24th Pick:

  • Offensive Line: A once dominant offensive line has been trending in the wrong direction for a couple of years. Dallas has to decide whether to keep Tyler Smith at left guard or move him to left tackle. BYU’s Kingsley Suamataia has similar traits to Smith, potentially giving the team some flexibility with each player. Arizona’s Jordan Morgan offers similar versatility. Alabama’s JC Latham is probably less versatile but could push for the starting job at right tackle. Oregon’s Jackson Powers-Johnson or Duke’s Graham Barton would be candidates to take over at center.

Day 2 Mock Draft Selections

  • No. 56 – Keon Coleman, WR, Florida State
  • No. 87 – Jonathon Brooks, RB, Texas

Who Calls the Shots in the Cowboys Draft Room?

Director of Player Personnel Stephen Jones effectively acts as the General Manager with significant input from VP of Player Personnel Will McClay. Obviously, owner Jerry Jones has been known to step in and make decisions as well.

Key Stats & Notes for the Cowboys Heading Into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Terence Steele allowed 7.8% pressure rate in pass protection, ranked 31st out of 36 qualified right tackles
  • Allowed three or more yards before contact to running backs on 29% of carries, ranked 32nd

25. Green Bay Packers, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Kool-Aid McKinstry, CB, Alabama

Previous selection in Mock Draft 3.0: Cooper DeJean, CB

Best Draft Targets for the Packers With the 25th Pick:

  • Cornerback: Injuries have derailed Eric Stokes’ promising career, and it’s unclear what his future looks like in Green Bay. There’s also little depth beyond Stokes and Jaire Alexander. Alabama’s Kool-Aid McKinstry and Iowa’s Cooper DeJean are likely the top targets among those likely to be available.
  • Interior Offensive Line:  Green Bay lost Jon Runyan to free agency, so there’s a potential job opening at right guard. Washington’s Troy Fautanu or Duke’s Graham Barton would be natural fits.

Day 2 Mock Draft Selections

  • No. 41 – Cole Bishop, S, Utah
  • No. 58 – Christian Mahogany, OG, Boston College
  • No. 88 – Adisa Isaac, EDGE, Penn State
  • No. 91 – Xavier Legette, WR, South Carolina

Who Calls the Shots in the Packers Draft Room?

GM Brian Gutekunst (sixth year) has final say over the roster, but Gutekunst, Director of Football Operations Russ Ball, and HC Matt LaFleur all report directly to President/CEO Mark Murphy. This structure theoretically gives more personnel influence to Ball and LaFleur than if they reported directly to the GM, as most front offices are organized.

Key Stats & Notes for the Packers Heading Into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Allowed 8.2 yards per attempt when failing to generate pressure, ranked 29th
  • Ranked 3.1 yards after contact per attempt to running backs, ranked 25h
  • Defense allowed 20 or more yards on 6.1% of plays, ranked 30th
  • Allowed 28.7% conversion rate on third and long (seven or more yards), ranked 28th
  • Forced opponents into a three-and-out on 28.9% of drives, ranked 27th

26. Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Jared Verse, EDGE, Florida State

Previous selection in Mock Draft 3.0: Laiatu Latu, EDGE

Best Draft Targets for the Buccaneers With the 26th Pick:

  • Pass Rusher: Former first-round pick Joe Tryon-Shoyinka has yet to make his mark, so it may be time to invest in another edge rusher. If Florida State’s Jared Verse, Penn State’s Chop Robinson, or UCLA’s Laiatu Late are available, this could be an easy choice for Tampa.

Day 2 Mock Draft Selections

  • No. 57 – Zach Frazier, C, West Virginia
  • No. 89 – Elijah Jones, CB, Boston College
  • No. 92 – Michael Hall Jr, DT, Ohio State

Who Calls the Shots in the Buccaneers Draft Room?

GM Jason Licht (11th year) has final say over the roster. 

Key Stats & Notes for the Buccaneers Heading Into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Ranked 28th in third-and-long rate, with 26.4% of set of downs leading to a third-and-long (seven or more yards)
  • Allowed contact at or behind the line of scrimmage on 47% of carries by running backs, ranked 23rd
  • Generated 27.9% pressure rate on non-blitzes, ranked 31st
  • Defense allowed 20 or more yards on 6.5% of plays, ranked 25th
  • Allowed 27.6% conversion rate on third and long (seven or more yards), ranked 25th

27. Arizona Cardinals, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Nate Wiggins, CB, Clemson

Previous selection in Mock Draft 3.0: Wiggins

Best Draft Targets for the Cardinals With the 27th Pick:

  • Cornerback: The addition of Sean Murphy-Bunting helps, but none of Arizona’s other cornerbacks should feel good about their job security. Clemson’s Nate Wiggins and Iowa’s Cooper DeJean are ideal targets.
  • Edge Rusher: Arizona doesn’t have any pass rusher the offense specifically needs to game plan around. It’s tough to develop a defense capable of contending without one of those game-wreckers. Penn State’s Chop Robinson or UCLA’s Laiatu Latu could potentially be that guy for the Cards. 
  • Right Tackle: If Arizona wants to move Paris Johnson Jr. to the left side, there could be some quality right tackles on the board, such as Alabama’s JC Latham or Oklahoma’s Tyler Guyton. The Cards signed Jonah Williams to a two-year contract this offseason, so it’s not a glaring need, but they likely will still consider the position given the importance of protecting Kyler Murray.

See the fourth pick for more on Cardinals draft plans. 

28. Buffalo Bills, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Adonai Mitchell, WR, Texas

Previous selection in Mock Draft 3.0: Chop Robinson, EDGE

Best Draft Targets for the Bills With the 28th Pick:

  • Wide Receiver: The loss of Stefon Diggs obviously makes his a glaring need in Buffalo. There isn’t an ideal Diggs replacement, but LSU’s Brian Thomas Jr, Texas’ Adonai Mitchell, and Oregon’s Troy Franklin have the traits to step into Gabriel Davis’ role as taller receivers who can stretch the field. 
  • Pass Rusher: Von Miller’s production fell off a cliff last year, and a bounce-back performance at the age of 35 seems unlikely. Buffalo also may be thinking toward the future with this selection. A.J. Epenessa recently re-signed but only for two years. And a decision needs to be made soon on Greg Rousseau’s fifth-year option. Buffalo likely won’t reach to fill this need, but UCLA’s Laiatu Latu, Penn State’s Chop Robinson, or Missouri’s Darius Robinson may provide enough value to interest the Bills.
  • Defensive Tackle: The Bills ranked 28th in yards per attempt allowed on the ground. Michigan’s Kris Jenkins would be an ideal fit, and it’s worth noting Brandon Beane was in Carolina when the Panthers drafted his father. 

Day 2 Mock Draft Selections

  • No. 60 – Patrick Paul, OT, Houston

Who Calls the Shots in the Bills Draft Room?

GM Brandon Beane (eighth year) officially has final say over the roster, but HC Sean McDermott’s opinion is believed to carry equal weight. McDermott and Beane were hired together in 2017 and also worked together for six seasons in Carolina.

Key Stats & Notes for the Bills Heading Into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Gained 20 or more yards on 5.2% of offensive plays, ranked 26th
  • Allowed pressure in 2.5 seconds or less on 27.5% of dropbacks, ranked 26th
  • Allowed 8.1 yards per attempt when failing to generate pressure, ranked 28th
  • Allowed 10 or more rushing yards on 11.5% of running back attempts, ranked 27th
  • When failing to make contact at or behind the line of scrimmage, allowed 7.2 yards per attempt to running backs, ranked 30th
  • Allowed 3.3 yards after contact per attempt to running backs, ranked 30th

29. Detroit Lions, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Chop Robinson, EDGE, Penn State

Previous selection in Mock Draft 3.0: Graham Barton, OL

Best Draft Targets for the Lions With the 29th Pick:

  • Pass Rusher: The Lions addressing this need by signing Marcus Davenport to a one-year contract was probably a sign it’s a priority in the draft. Davenport gives them some security in case the draft board doesn’t fall their way, but doesn’t prevent them from adding someone like Penn State’s Chop Robinson or UCLA’s Laiatu Latu.
  • Defensive Tackle: There’s depth at the position for now, but D.J. Reader was only signed to a two-year contract and Levi Onwuzurike and Alim McNeill both hit free agency after the 2024 season. Illinois’ Jer’Zhan Newton would be an ideal fit 一 he’s undersized, but it was GM Brad Holmes who helped push for the Rams to draft Aaron Donald once upon a time.
  • Offensive Guard: The addition of Kevin Zeitler makes this less of an immediate need, but he’s only signed to a one-year contract. Duke’s Graham Barton stands out as an ideal fit due to his versatility. In 2025, he could step in for Zeitler, or he could take over at center for Frank Ragnow, who was the subject of retirement rumors this offseason. BYU’s Kingsley Suamataia and Arizona’s Jordan Morgan are also potential targets, though with less versatility than Barton.
  • Cornerback: Detroit needs upgrades at cornerback, but it’s unclear if Brad Holmes will invest in one 一 he may believe it’s better to develop late round picks or trade/sign an established veteran. If he is willing to draft one, there should be a few options available in this range: Alabama’s Kool-Aid McKinstry, Missouri’s Ennis Rakestraw, or Iowa’s Cooper DeJean.

Day 2 Mock Draft Selections

  • No. 61 – Khyree Jackson, CB, Oregon
  • No. 73 – Kiran Amegadjie, OL, Yale

Who Calls the Shots in the Lions Draft Room?

GM Brad Holmes (fourth year) has final say over personnel decisions. Holmes was a longtime Director of College Scouting with the Rams before joining Detroit, and managing the draft is his strength. 

Key Stats & Notes for the Lions Heading Into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Defense allowed 20 or more yards on 7.1% of plays, ranked 31st
  • Allowed 30.5% conversion rate on third and long (seven or more yards), ranked 31st

30. Baltimore Ravens, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Cooper DeJean, CB, Iowa

Previous selection in Mock Draft 3.0: Kool-Aid McKinstry, CB

Best Draft Targets for the Ravens With the 30th Pick:

  • Cornerback: Brandon Stephens, who enters the final year of his contract, failed to convincingly lock down a starting job after taking on a larger role in 2023, and Baltimore may be looking for an upgrade. Alabama’s Kool-Aid McKinstry would be an ideal fit. Iowa’s Cooper DeJean or Missouri’s Ennis Rakestraw Jr. could be options as well. 
  • Offensive Line: The Ravens have potential openings at three spots on the offensive line. Oklahoma’s Tyler Guyton would be an ideal fit at right tackle. Duke’s Graham Barton and Washington’s Troy Fautanu have the flexibility to compete at tackle and guard.
  • Wide Receiver: They just added Zay Flowers last year, but to win the AFC you need to keep pace with Kansas City. Giving Lamar Jackson another weapon is never a bad idea. Michigan’s Roman Wilson would be a perfect fit given his physical style of play and ability to contribute as a blocker in the run game. The size of Texas’ Adonai Mitchell would also add a new dimension to the passing attack.

Day 2 Mock Draft Selections

  • No. 62 – Ruke Orhorhoro, DL, Clemson
  • No. 93 – Blake Corum, RB, Michigan

Who Calls the Shots in the Ravens Draft Room?

GM Eric DeCosta (sixth year as GM, 27th year in the organization) controls roster construction and has maintained a similar approach to his former boss Ozzie Newsome.

Key Stats & Notes for the Ravens Heading Into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Contacted opposing running backs at or behind the line of scrimmage on 41% of carries, ranked 22nd
  • Allowed 10 or more rushing yards on 11.6% of running back attempts, ranked 28th

31. San Francisco 49ers, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Jordan Morgan, OT, Arizona

Previous selection in Mock Draft 3.0: Darius Robinson, DL

Best Draft Targets for the 49ers With the 31st Pick:

  • Right Tackle: The 49ers can probably find an upgrade over Colton McKivitz with this selection. The experience of Duke’s Graham Barton or Arizona’s Jordan Morgan would likely appeal to a team hoping to get back to the Super Bowl.
  • Darius Robinson: San Francisco can probably get by without a significant addition to the defensive line, but Robinson’s skill set matches well with what the Niners lost in Arik Armstead in terms of his length, athleticism, and versatility.

Day 2 Mock Draft Selections

  • No. 63 – Theo Johnson, TE, Penn State
  • No. 93 – Andru Phillips, CB, Kentucky

Who Calls the Shots in the 49ers Draft Room?

GM John Lynch (eighth year) has final say over personnel decisions.

Key Stats & Notes for the 49ers Heading Into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Allowed pressure in 2.5 seconds or less on 29.9% of dropbacks, ranked 32nd
  • When failing to make contact at or behind the line of scrimmage, allowed 6.9 yards per attempt to running backs, ranked 26th
  • Allowed 26.5% conversion rate on third and long (seven or more yards), ranked 24th

32. Kansas City Chiefs, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Kingsley Suamataia, OT, BYU

Previous selection in Mock Draft 3.0: Jordan Morgan, OT

Best Draft Targets for the Chiefs With the 32nd Pick:

  • Offensive Line: It would be surprising if Kansas City didn’t add someone to at least compete with Wanya Morris for the starting job at left tackle. BYU’s Kingsley Suamataia and Alabama’s JC Latham are the most natural fits for the Chiefs’ tendencies given their youth (both 21 years old) and length (arms over 34 inches long).
  • Wide Receiver: Patrick Mahomes covered up for one of the worst receiver rooms in the league, but the Chiefs can’t keep asking him to carry such a heavy load. Texas’ Xavier Worthy would be the ideal fit for his ability to contribute in the screen game and stretch the field with his speed. Worthy is also just 20 years old, a key factor for a team that favors younger prospects.

Day 2 Mock Draft Selections

  • No. 64 – Malachi Corley, WR, Western Kentucky
  • No. 95 – Trevin Wallace, LB, Kentucky

Who Calls the Shots in the Chiefs Draft Room?

GM Brett Veach (eighth year) officially has final say over the roster, but Andy Reid’s opinion carries significant weight. The two have worked together since Reid hired Veach as a coaching intern in 2004, and Veach followed Reid to Kansas City in 2013. 

Key Stats & Notes for the Chiefs Heading Into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Veach has never drafted a prospect in the first round who was over the age of 21 on draft day.
  • Donovan Smith allowed a 7.6% pressure rate in pass protection, ranked 27th out of 38 qualified left tackles. Wanya Morris ranked 34th (9.0%)
  • Receivers had the third most drops in the league (34)
  • Contacted opposing running backs at or behind the line of scrimmage on 37% of carries, ranked 31st

33. Carolina Panthers, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Xavier Worthy, WR, Texas

Previous selection in Mock Draft 3.0: Kamari Lassiter, CB

Best Draft Targets for the Panthers With the 33rd Pick:

  • Wide Receiver: The addition of Diontae Johnson lessens this need, but giving Bryce Young another weapon would certainly not be a poor use of his pick. The speed of Texas’ Xavier Worthy would add a new dimension to the offense. Michigan’s Roman Wilson or Texas’ Adonai Mitchell could also be options.
  • Cornerback: Jaycee Horn can’t stay on the field, so the Panthers have to improve their depth at cornerback. This is a deep class, so a talented corner is likely to fall out of the first round. Georgia’s Kamari Lassiter and Iowa’s Cooper DeJean are candidates to be available.

More Day 2 Mock Draft Selections

  • No. 39 – Kamari Lassiter, CB, Georgia
  • No. 65 – Bralen Trice, EDGE, Washington

Who Calls the Shots in the Panthers Draft Room?

GM Dan Morgan (first year) was promoted from Assistant GM to replace Scott Fitterer, who only had final say over the roster for one season after taking control when Matt Rhule was fired. Carolina has not stated who has final say, but it is likely Morgan given his experience in the organization and Dave Canales’ status as a first-year head coach. 

Key Stats & Notes for the Panthers Heading Into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Bryce Young took a sack on 25% of his dropbacks versus pressure, the second highest rate out of 33 qualified quarterbacks
  • Allowed contact at or behind the line of scrimmage on 51% of carries by running backs, ranked 30th
  • Went three-and-out on 38.9% of drives, ranked 30th
  • Gained 20 or more yards on 3.6% of offensive plays, ranked 31st
  • Defense converted 5.3% of pressures into sacks, ranked 31st
  • Ranked 31st in third-and-long rate, with 28.6% of set of downs leading to a third-and-long (seven or more yards)
  • Generated 27.9% pressure rate on non-blitzes, ranked 30th
  • Allowed 10 or more rushing yards on 10.8% of running back attempts, ranked 24th

42. Houston Texans, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Max Melton, CB, Rutgers

Previous selection in Mock Draft 3.0: Braden Fiske, DL

Best Draft Targets for the Texans With the 42nd Pick:

  • Cornerback: Derek Stingley Jr. established himself as a top-tier cornerback last season, but there is limited depth around him. Finding another young corner to pair with Stingley should be an offseason goal. Iowa State’s T.J. Tampa, Georgia’s Kamari Lassiter, and Rutgers’ Max Melton are potential second-round targets.
  • Defensive Tackle: Houston has already addressed this need in free agency, but exclusively on short-term contracts 一 none of their defensive tackles are under contract beyond 2025. Florida State’s Braden Fiske is a disruptive force who could provide a boost to the interior pass rush while Michigan’s Kris Jenkins would be a nice addition to the run defense.  

More Day 2 Mock Draft Selections

  • No. 59 – Edgerrin Cooper, LB, Texas A&M
  • No. 86 – Dominick Puni, OL, Kansas

Who Calls the Shots in the Texans Draft Room?

GM Nick Caserio has final say over the roster. This is Caserio’s fourth year with Houston, but just his second year since the firing of Executive VP Jack Easterby, who played a confusing role in the organization and held significant power as well. So it’s fair to say this is only Caserio’s second year with full control. 

Key Stats & Notes for the Texans Heading Into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Ranked 24th in third-and-long rate, with 24.6% of set of downs leading to a third-and-long (seven or more yards)
  • Allowed 7.9 yards per attempt when failing to generate pressure, ranked 26th
  • Defense allowed 20 or more yards on 6.0% of plays, ranked 22nd

54. Cleveland Browns, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Kris Jenkins, DT, Michigan

Previous selection in Mock Draft 3.0: T.J. Tampa, CB

Best Draft Targets for the Browns With the 54th Pick:

  • Defensive Tackle: The Browns’ top interior linemen are 32-year-old Shelby Harris, 31-year-old Quinton Jefferson, and 30-year-old Dalvin Tomlinson. Clearly the unit needs some youth. Michigan’s Kris Jenkins would help the run defense, while Florida State’s Braden Fiske could give a boost to the interior pass rush.
  • Cornerback: Though not an immediate need, Greg Newsome is entering the final year of his contract. The Browns are in a tight cap space situation, so an extension is not likely. Adding some depth and a potential future starter is an option with this selection. Iowa State’s T.J. Tampa and Rutgers’ Max Melton are potential targets.
  • Running back: Nick Chubb enters the final year of his contract at age 28. Improving the backfield depth and potentially adding his replacement should be one of Cleveland’s priorities. Texas’ Jonathon Brooks and Florida State’s Trey Benson offer similar balanced skill sets to Chubb.

More Day 2 Mock Draft Selections

  • No. 85 – Marshawn Lloyd, RB, USC

Who Calls the Shots in the Browns Draft Room?

GM Andrew Berry (fifth year) has final say with input from Chief Strategy Officer Paul DePodesta (ninth year) and HC Kevin Stefanski (fifth year).

Key Stats & Notes for the Browns Heading Into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Gained 20 or more yards on 5.2% of offensive plays, ranked 23rd
  • Jedrick Wills allowed 9.5% pressure rate in pass protection, ranked 35th out of 38 qualified left tackles
  • Receivers led the league in drops with 39
  • Ranked 29th in third-and-long rate, with 26.5% of set of downs leading to a third-and-long (seven or more yards)
  • Allowed 10 or more rushing yards on 13.7% of running back attempts, ranked 32nd
  • When failing to make contact at or behind the line of scrimmage, allowed 8.7 yards per attempt to running backs, ranked 32nd

3.0 NFL Mock Draft from Ryan McCrystal (Mar 26)

PickTeamPlayerPosCollege
1BearsCaleb WilliamsQBUSC
2CommandersJayden DanielsQBLSU
3PatriotsDrake MayeQBUNC
4CardinalsMarvin Harrison Jr.WROhio State
5ChargersJoe AltOTNotre Dame
6GiantsMalik NabersWRLSU
7TitansOlu FashanuOTPenn State
8FalconsDallas TurnerEDGEAlabama
9BearsRome OdunzeWRWashington
10JetsBrock BowersTEGeorgia
11VikingsJ.J. McCarthyQBMichigan
12BroncosByron Murphy IIDLTexas
13RaidersTaliese FuagaOTOregon State
14SaintsAmarius MimsOTGeorgia
15ColtsTerrion ArnoldCBAlabama
16SeahawksTroy FautanuOLWashington
17JaguarsBrian Thomas Jr.WRLSU
18BengalsJC LathamOTAlabama
19RamsJared VerseEDGEFSU
20SteelersJackson Powers-JohnsonIOLOregon
21DolphinsJa'Tavion SandersTETexas
22EaglesQuinyon MitchellCBToledo
23VikingsJer'Zhan NewtonDLIllinois
24CowboysKingsley SuamataiaOLBYU
25PackersCooper DeJeanCBIowa
26BucsLaiatu LatuEDGEUCLA
27CardinalsNate WigginsCBClemson
28BillsChop RobinsonEDGEPenn State
29LionsGraham BartonOLDuke
30RavensKool-Aid McKinstryCBAlabama
3149ersDarius RobinsonDLMissouri
32ChiefsJordan MorganOTArizona

2.0 NFL Mock Draft from Ryan McCrystal (Mar 15)

PickTeamPlayerPosCollege
1BearsCaleb WilliamsQBUSC
2CommandersJayden DanielsQBLSU
3PatriotsDrake MayeQBUNC
4CardinalsMarvin Harrison Jr.WROhio State
5ChargersJoe AltOTND
6GiantsMalik NabersWRLSU
7TitansOlu FashanuOTPenn State
8FalconsDallas TurnerEDGEAlabama
9BearsRome OdunzeWRWash.
10JetsTaliese FuagaOTOregon St
11VikingsJ.J. McCarthyQBMichigan
12BroncosTerrion ArnoldCBAlabama
13RaidersAmarius MimsOTGeorgia
14SaintsJared VerseEDGEFSU
15ColtsBrock BowersTEGeorgia
16SeahawksLaiatu LatuEDGEUCLA
17JaguarsBrian Thomas Jr.WRLSU
18BengalsJC LathamOTAlabama
19RamsByron Murphy IIDLTexas
20SteelersTyler GuytonOTOklahoma
21DolphinsQuinyon MitchellCBToledo
22EaglesKool-Aid McKinstryCBAlabama
23VikingsNate WigginsCBClemson
24CowboysJackson Powers-JohnsonIOLOregon
25PackersCooper DeJeanCBIowa
26BucsChop RobinsonEDGEPenn State
27CardinalsDarius RobinsonDLMissouri
28BillsKris JenkinsDLMichigan
29LionsKingsley SuamataiaOTBYU
30RavensTroy FautanuIOLWash.
3149ersGraham BartonOTDuke
32ChiefsTroy FranklinWROregon

1.0 NFL Mock Draft from Ryan McCrystal (Feb 20)

PickTeamPlayerPos.College
1BearsCaleb WilliamsQBUSC
2CommandersJayden DanielsQBLSU
3PatriotsMarvin Harrison Jr.WROhio State
4CardinalsMalik NabersWRLSU
5ChargersJoe AltOTNotre Dame
6GiantsRome OdunzeWRWashington
7TitansOlu FashanuOTPenn State
8FalconsLaiatu LatuEDGEUCLA
9BearsJared VerseEDGEFlorida State
10JetsTaliese FuagaOTOregon State
11VikingsDrake MayeQBNorth Carolina
12BroncosTerrion ArnoldCBAlabama
13RaidersByron Murphy IIDLTexas
14SaintsBrian Thomas Jr.WRLSU
15ColtsNate WigginsCBClemson
16SeahawksBrock BowersTEGeorgia
17JaguarsKool-Aid McKinstryCBAlabama
18BengalsJer'Zhan NewtonDLIllinois
19RamsDallas TurnerEDGEAlabama
20SteelersJC LathamOTAlabama
21DolphinsJackson Powers-JohnsonIOLOregon
22EaglesCooper DeJeanCBIowa
23TexansQuinyon MitchellCBToledo
24CowboysAmarius MimsOTGeorgia
25PackersEnnis Rakestraw Jr.CBMissouri
26BuccaneersJ.J. McCarthyQBMichigan
27CardinalsChop RobinsonEDGEPenn State
28BillsKris JenkinsDTMichigan
29LionsKamari LassiterCBGeorgia
30RavensTyler GuytonOTOklahoma
3149ersPatrick PaulOTHouston
32ChiefsDevontez WalkerWRNorth Carolina

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