The Super Bowl is in the rearview mirror, and all 32 teams are officially in NFL draft mode.

In this 2024 NFL mock draft, I’m projecting what I think each team will do based on a combination of draft needs, available talent, GM tendencies, and scheme fits.

To simplify the process, no trades are projected in this version, which may lead to some players (especially quarterbacks) coming off the board slightly lower in this mock draft than they will on draft day.

All stats are from TruMedia/PFF unless otherwise noted.

2024 NFL Mock Draft

PickTeamPlayerPos.College
1BearsCaleb WilliamsQBUSC
2CommandersJayden DanielsQBLSU
3PatriotsMarvin Harrison Jr.WROhio State
4CardinalsMalik NabersWRLSU
5ChargersJoe AltOTNotre Dame
6GiantsRome OdunzeWRWashington
7TitansOlu FashanuOTPenn State
8FalconsLaiatu LatuEDGEUCLA
9BearsJared VerseEDGEFlorida State
10JetsTaliese FuagaOTOregon State
11VikingsDrake MayeQBNorth Carolina
12BroncosTerrion ArnoldCBAlabama
13RaidersByron Murphy IIDLTexas
14SaintsBrian Thomas Jr.WRLSU
15ColtsNate WigginsCBClemson
16SeahawksBrock BowersTEGeorgia
17JaguarsKool-Aid McKinstryCBAlabama
18BengalsJer'Zhan NewtonDLIllinois
19RamsDallas TurnerEDGEAlabama
20SteelersJC LathamOTAlabama
21DolphinsJackson Powers-JohnsonIOLOregon
22EaglesCooper DeJeanCBIowa
23TexansQuinyon MitchellCBToledo
24CowboysAmarius MimsOTGeorgia
25PackersEnnis Rakestraw Jr.CBMissouri
26BuccaneersJ.J. McCarthyQBMichigan
27CardinalsChop RobinsonEDGEPenn State
28BillsKris JenkinsDTMichigan
29LionsKamari LassiterCBGeorgia
30RavensTyler GuytonOTOklahoma
3149ersPatrick PaulOTHouston
32ChiefsDevontez WalkerWRNorth Carolina

1. Chicago Bears, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Caleb Williams, QB, USC

Best Draft Targets for the Bears with the first pick:

  • Caleb Williams: The most logical reason to move on from Justin Fields would be to swing for the fences with Williams’ incredible upside. Drake Maye might be in the conversation, but he lacks Williams’ historically high ceiling and probably isn’t worth the risk with Fields already showing positive development. 
  • Trade Down: The Bears have Fields under contract for another year, which means they don’t have to accept him as their long-term quarterback just yet. Trading down to accumulate future draft picks would allow them to kick that decision down the road while also maintaining enough draft capital to ensure them the opportunity to land a quarterback in 2025. 
  • Marvin Harrison Jr: If the Bears keep Fields, they could also choose to stay put and snag an elite wide receiver. The pairing of Harrison and D.J. Moore would immediately give Chicago one of the best receiver duos in the league. 

Who Calls the Shots in Bears Draft Room?

GM Ryan Poles (third year) has final say over roster construction. Poles was previously with the Chiefs, working under GM Brett Veach as director of player personnel.

Key Stats & Notes for the Bears heading into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Braxton Jones allowed a 7.8% pressure rate in pass protection, ranked 29th out of 38 qualified left tackles. Larry Borom ranked 37th (11.5%)
  • D.J. Moore had 16 receptions on throws 20 or more yards downfield. The rest of the team combined for just eight
  • Generated 27.4% pressure rate on non-blitzes, ranked 32nd.
  • Defense converted 4.6% of pressures into sacks, ranked 32nd

2. Washington Commanders, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Jayden Daniels, QB, LSU

Best Draft Targets for the Commanders with the second pick:

  • Quarterback: Virtually everyone involved in the process of drafting Sam Howell is gone, all but ensuring the Commanders take either Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels or Drake Maye with this selection. 
  • Trade Down: Since this is the first year for GM Adam Peters and HC Dan Quinn, there’s no pressure to take a quarterback. If they’re concerned the state of the current roster is not conducive to developing a rookie quarterback, they could trade down and get the roster into a better place while giving Howell one more shot. 

Who Calls the Shots in Commanders Draft Room?

GM Adam Peters (first year) has final say over the personnel decisions. He joins the team after seven years with the 49ers, most recently as John Lynch’s Assistant GM. He previously served as the Broncos’ Director of College Scouting under John Elway. HC Dan Quinn will likely have significant input in selecting defensive players, as he’s always had strong preferences on who fits his scheme. 

Key Stats & Notes for the Commanders heading into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Sam Howell took a sack on 24% of his dropbacks versus pressure, the fourth-highest rate out of 33 qualified quarterbacks
  • Generated 27.9% pressure rate on non-blitzes, ranked 29th. 
  • Generated pressure in 2.5 seconds or less on 19.8% of opponent dropbacks, ranked 25th
  • Following the trades of Chase Young and Montez Sweat, Washington generated a 25.3% pressure rate, the lowest rate from Week 9 through the end of the season
  • Defense converted 6.1% of pressures into sacks, ranked 25th
  • Defense allowed 20 or more yards on 6.6% of plays, ranked 27th
  • Forced opponents into a three-and-out on 23.8% of drives, ranked 32nd

3. New England Patriots, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Marvin Harrison Jr, WR, Ohio State

Best Draft Targets for the Patriots with the third pick:

  • Quarterback: The Patriots would likely take Caleb Williams or Drake Maye if available 一 and may even consider a trade up to make it happen. Would they settle for Jayden Daniels as the third quarterback off the board? There’s no pressure on a new head coach and GM to get the quarterback of the future immediately, so the new regime may take a more prudent approach and kick that decision down the road. 
  • Wide Receiver: No one has a worse wide receiver room than the Patriots right now, which makes it a less-than-ideal landing spot for any of the rookie quarterbacks. So perhaps they’ll elect to add Marvin Harrison Jr, Malik Nabers, or Rome Odunze to upgrade the position before adding a quarterback in 2025. 

Who Calls the Shots in Patriots Draft Room?

The Patriots have not hired a general manager to take over for Bill Belichick, who held those duties throughout his tenure. That appears to leave Eliot Wolf in control of the roster. Alonzo Highsmith, who worked with Wolf in Green Bay, was also hired this offseason to play a significant role. Matt Groh, who has been in the team’s scouting department for 14 years, will also have a say in the process. 

Key Stats & Notes for the Patriots heading into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Gained 20 or more yards on 3.6% of offensive plays, ranked 32nd
  • Went three-and-out on 45.8% of drives, ranked 32nd
  • Allowed pressure in 2.5 seconds or less on 27.8% of dropbacks, ranked 28th
  • Ranked 32nd with 13 completions on throws of 20 or more yards. DeVante Parker and Demario Douglas tied for the team lead with four of those receptions
  • Generated 28.4% pressure rate on non-blitzes, ranked 27th

4. Arizona Cardinals, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Malik Nabers, WR, LSU

Best Draft Targets for the Cardinals with the fourth pick:

  • Wide Receiver: We’ve seen enough of Kyler Murray to know he’s not the type of quarterback who can elevate a below-average group of receivers. He needs a legit weapon, and Arizona will have a shot to add Malik Nabers, Rome Odunze, or Marvin Harison Jr.

Who Calls the Shots in Cardinals Draft Room?

GM Monti Ossenfort (second year) likely has final say over the Cardinals roster, though the team has not officially confirmed this. Ossenfort is a former Director of College Scouting (Patriots) and Director of Player Personnel (Titans), and his Assistant GM is former Lions Director of College Scouting Dave Sears

Key Stats & Notes for the Cardinals heading into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Ranked 27th with 17 completions on throws of 20 or more yards. Marquise Brown led the team with five of those receptions
  • Running backs were contacted at or behind the line of scrimmage on 53% of carries, ranked 32nd. 
  • Generated pressure in 2.5 seconds or less on 19.2% of opponent dropbacks, ranked 27th
  • Contacted opposing running backs at or behind the line of scrimmage on 37% of carries, ranked 30th
  • Allowed 31.3% conversion rate on third and long (seven or more yards), ranked 32nd
  • Defense ranked 32nd in third-and-long rate, forcing opponents into third-and-long (seven or more yards) or 17.2% of their set of downs 

5. Los Angeles Chargers, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Joe Alt, OT, Notre Dame

Best Draft Targets for the Chargers with the fifth pick:

  • Right Tackle: This may not be the Chargers’ most glaring need, but Jim Harbaugh built Michigan around a deep, dominant offensive line, and GM Joe Horitz has participated in a similar team-building strategy in Baltimore. Trey Pipkins is under contract through 2025, but he was a liability last year. The Chargers must do a better job protecting Justin Herbert
  • Wide Receiver: Mike Williams and Keenan Allen both enter the final year of their contracts. However, Harbaugh did not make receiver a high priority in recruiting at Michigan, and when the 49ers drafted a first-round receiver during his tenure in San Francisco (A.J. Jenkins), he turned into a historic bust. The Ravens were also notoriously poor at drafting and developing receivers while Horitz was there, so both decision-makers may hesitate to invest in the position. 

Who Calls the Shots in Chargers Draft Room?

It’s unclear who has the final say over the roster, though it is assumed that power belongs to Jim Harbaugh (first year). However, the draft will likely be run primarily by GM Joe Hortiz (first year), who was the Ravens’ longtime Director of College Scouting and, most recently, their Director of Player Personnel. 

Key Stats & Notes for the Chargers heading into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Trey Pipkins allowed a 6.7% pressure rate in pass protection, ranked 28th out of 36 qualified right tackles
  • Allowed three or more yards before contact to running backs on 25% of carries, ranked 26th
  • Generated pressure in 2.5 seconds or less on 18.8% of opponent dropbacks, ranked 29th
  • Defense ranked 23rd in third-and-long rate, forcing opponents into third-and-long (seven or more yards) or 21.1% of their set of downs 
  • Forced opponents into a three-and-out on 28.6% of drives, ranked 28th

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6. New York Giants, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Rome Odunze, WR, Washington

Best Draft Targets for the Giants with the sixth pick:

  • Quarterback: There’s no escaping Daniel Jones’ contract right now, but if he struggles again in 2024, both Joe Schoen and Brian Daboll may find themselves unemployed. If they’re concerned about Jones’ development, investing in a rookie (most likely Jayden Daniels) may buy them more time beyond 2024. 
  • Offensive Tackle: It’s going to be difficult for Jones to develop behind this offensive line. Evan Neal has been an abject disaster at right tackle, though he doesn’t turn 24 until September, so perhaps the team won’t give up yet. Notre Dame’s Joe Alt and Penn State’s Olu Fashanu are the most likely options. 
  • Wide Receiver: The Giants stocked up on mediocre slot receivers last offseason, none of whom impressed. If they want to give Jones a legitimate shot at living up to his contract, they must give him a capable No. 1 weapon. Marvin Harrison Jr, Rome Odunze, and Malik Nabers are all viable options. 

Who Calls the Shots in Giants Draft Room?

GM Joe Schoen (third year) has final say over roster decisions. He spent the previous five seasons as the Assistant GM to Brandon Beane in Buffalo.

Key Stats & Notes for the Giants heading into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Went three-and-out on 41.7% of drives, ranked 31st
  • Allowed contact at or behind the line of scrimmage on 50% of carries by running backs, ranked 27th
  • Allowed pressure in 2.5 seconds or less on 28.8% of dropbacks, ranked 29th
  • Evan Neal allowed an 8.3% pressure rate in pass protection, ranked 33rd out of 36 qualified right tackles
  • Offense ranked 32nd in third-and-long rate, with 30.9% of set of downs leading to a third-and-long (seven or more yards)
  • Defense converted 5.5% of pressures into sacks, ranked 30th
  • Generated 28.2% pressure rate on non-blitzes, ranked 28th
  • Allowed 10 or more rushing yards on 13.2% of running back attempts, ranked 31st

7. Tennessee Titans, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Olu Fashanu, OT, Penn State

Best Draft Targets for the Titans with the seventh pick:

  • Offensive Line: Derrick Henry covered up a lot of warts on the offensive line, but this unit must improve its run blocking. Penn State’s Olu Fashanu, Oregon State’s Taliese Fuaga, and Notre Dame’s Joe Alt are all in contention to be the top lineman off the board. 

Who Calls the Shots in Titans Draft Room?

GM Ran Carthon (second year) has final say over the roster. Carthon was previously the 49ers’ Director of Player Personnel. Director of College Scouting Jon Salge (eighth year) will likely be heavily involved as well. The firing of Mike Vrabel was perceived to be due to, at least in part, a clash with Carthon over roster construction. The hiring of first-year HC Brian Callahan likely gives more control to Carthon. 

Key Stats & Notes for the Titans heading into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Allowed pressure in 2.5 seconds or less on 24.3% of dropbacks, ranked 20th
  • Andre Dillard allowed a 12.8% pressure rate in pass protection, ranked 38th out of 38 qualified left tackles
  • Allowed contact at or behind the line of scrimmage on 49% of carries by running backs, ranked 26th
  • Offense ranked 26th in third-and-long rate, with 25.3% of set of downs leading to a third-and-long (seven or more yards)
  • Defense ranked 31st in third-and-long rate, forcing opponents into third-and-long (seven or more yards) or 19.8% of their set of downs 
  • Forced opponents into a three-and-out on 29.5% of drives, ranked 26th

8. Atlanta Falcons, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Laiatu Latu, EDGE, UCLA

Best Draft Targets for the Falcons with the eighth pick:

  • Quarterback: The Falcons are likely done with the Desmond Ridder experiment, though it’s worth noting the front office that drafted him is still intact. If the position isn’t addressed through free agency or trade (Justin Fields? Russell Wilson?), Jayden Daniels and potentially Bo Nix or Michael Penix Jr. could be targeted. 
  • Pass-Rusher: Leading pass-rushers Bud Dupree and Calais Campbell are both set to hit free agency. Adding youth to the unit is a must, and there should be multiple options with this pick such as Laiatu Latu, Jared Verse, and Dallas Turner.  

Who Calls the Shots in Falcons Draft Room?

GM Terry Fontenot (third year) has final say over the roster and may actually have more control than in the previous two seasons as Fontenot now reports directly to owner Arthur Blank. CEO Rich McKay (Atlanta’s former GM) is no longer involved in day-to-day football operations.  

Key Stats & Notes for the Falcons heading into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Went three-and-out on 37.8% of drives, ranked 28th
  • Gained 20 or more yards on 5.2% of offensive plays, ranked 24th
  • Generated pressure in 2.5 seconds or less on 17.6% of opponent dropbacks, ranked 31st
  • Allowed 26.2% conversion rate on third and long (seven or more yards), ranked 22nd

9. Chicago Bears, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Jared Verse, EDGE, Florida State

Best Draft Targets for the Bears with the ninth pick:

  • Pass Rusher: Even after adding Montez Sweat, the Bears still only ranked 24th in pressure rate through the remainder of the season. Yannick Ngakoue also hits free agency 一 and didn’t provide much help anyway. Laiatu Latu, Jared Verse, and Dallas Turner are the most likely available targets. 
  • Wide Receiver: Providing their young quarterback (either Fields or the No. 1 pick) with another weapon certainly couldn’t hurt. If Rome Odunze or Malik Nabers were available, that would be an ideal pairing of need and value. 

See the first pick for more on Bears draft plans. 

10. New York Jets, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Taliese Fuaga, OT, Oregon State

Best Draft Targets for the Jets with the 10th pick:

  • Left Tackle: The Mekhi Becton experience is mercifully over, and 38-year-old Duane Brown is a free agent. Oregon State’s Taliese Fuaga, Alabama’s JC Latham, Oklahoma’s Tyler Guyton, and Georgia’s Amarius Mims are all potential options to step into this role as a rookie. 
  • Wide Receiver: Assistant GM Aaron Rodgers probably disagrees, but Allen Lazard cannot be the second-best option on a contending team. If Malik Nabers or Rome Odunze unexpectedly fell, the Jets would have to consider pairing them with Garrett Wilson

Who Calls the Shots in Jets Draft Room?

GM Joe Douglas (sixth year) has final say over personnel decisions. 

Key Stats & Notes for the Jets heading into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Gained 20 or more yards on 4.4% of offensive plays, ranked 29th
  • Allowed contact at or behind the line of scrimmage on 50% of carries by running backs, ranked 29th
  • Allowed pressure in 2.5 seconds or less on 27.6% of dropbacks, ranked 27th
  • Mekhi Becton allowed a 7.6% pressure rate in pass protection, ranked 26th out of 38 qualified left tackles

11. Minnesota Vikings, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Drake Maye, QB, North Carolina

Best Draft Targets for the Vikings with the 11th pick:

  • Quarterback: The Vikings could re-sign Kirk Cousins, but are they winning a Super Bowl in the final years of Cousins’ career? No. Could they win with Jayden Daniels, Drake Maye or J.J. McCarthy? Maybe. Taking advantage of this draft slot 一 only made possible due to Cousins’ injury 一  would be a wise move for the Vikings, even if it requires a trade into the top 10. 
  • Wide Receiver: This is not a glaring need, but it looks like the NFC North will be dominated by high-powered offenses for the foreseeable future based on what we saw from Detroit and Green Bay last year. Adding someone like Rome Odunze or Brian Thomas Jr. would give Minnesota an elite receiver room and potentially allow the Vikes to win shootouts against their division rivals. 

Who Calls the Shots in Vikings Draft Room?

GM Kwesi Adofo-Mensah (third year) has final say over the roster. He has a background in analytics and previously worked under Andrew Berry in Cleveland. Since Adofo-Mensah’s background is not in scouting, Director of College Scouting Mike Sholiton likely plays a significant role in the draft.

Key Stats & Notes for the Vikings heading into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Generated 28.7% pressure rate on non-blitzes, ranked 26th
  • Generated pressure in 2.5 seconds or less on 19.8% of opponent dropbacks, ranked 26th
  • Stuffed opposing running backs for negative yards on 6.6% of attempts, ranked 32nd
  • Defense ranked 28th in third-and-long rate, forcing opponents into third-and-long (seven or more yards) or 20.0% of their set of downs 

12. Denver Broncos, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Terrion Arnold, CB, Alabama

Best Draft Targets for the Broncos with the 12th pick:

  • Quarterback: Russell Wilson is expected to be moved this offseason, and Jarett Stidham isn’t the answer. A trade up for Jayden Daniels is possible, or they could settle for Bo Nix or Michael Penix Jr. Both Penix and Nix excel at keeping things on schedule and avoiding negative plays 一 exactly what Wilson struggles with and likely frustrated Sean Payton.
  • Cornerback: According to Sports Info Solutions, opponents completed 54% of their throws at 10 or more yards downfield when targeting outside cornerbacks other than Patrick Surtain (43% targeting Surtain). Finding someone to pair with Surtain this offseason is a must. Alabama’s Terrion Arnold and Clemson’s Nate Wiggins are likely the first two cornerbacks off the board. 
  • Brock Bowers: Sean Payton loved the versatility of Taysom Hill in New Orleans. Bowers brings all that versatility to the table (minus the quarterback play, obviously) while also being more productive in a traditional tight end role. 

Who Calls the Shots in Broncos Draft Room?

GM George Paton (fourth year) has final say over personnel decisions. Prior to joining Denver, he spent the majority of his career as Rick Spielman’s right-hand man in Minnesota and Miami. It is assumed that Sean Payton has significant power as well, though the Broncos have stated Paton remains in control of the roster. 

Key Stats & Notes for the Broncos heading into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Went three-and-out on 38.6% of drives, ranked 29th
  • Gained 20 or more yards on 5.2% of offensive plays, ranked 25th
  • Allowed pressure in 2.5 seconds or less on 27.2% of dropbacks, ranked 25th
  • Generated pressure in 2.5 seconds or less on 19.1% of opponent dropbacks, ranked 28th
  • Allowed 8.2 yards per attempt when failing to generate pressure, ranked 31st
  • Contacted opposing running backs at or behind the line of scrimmage on 36% of carries, ranked 32nd
  • Defense allowed 20 or more yards on 6.7% of plays, ranked 29th

13. Las Vegas Raiders, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Byron Murphy II, DL, Texas

Best Draft Targets for the Raiders with the 13th pick:

  • Quarterback: There’s no rush for Tom Telesco and Antonio Pierce to solve their quarterback problem in their first year, but we also can’t rule out the possibility they fall in love with Bo Nix, Michael Penix Jr, or J.J. McCarthy.  
  • Offensive Line: The Raiders ranked sixth in pressure rate allowed last year, but three starters are hitting free agency, so the future of the unit is uncertain. Alabama’s JC Latham could be an ideal fit at right tackle. 
  • Defensive Line: Three defensive tackles are hitting free agency from a unit that was already inconsistent. Byron Murphy II’s ability to impact both the run game and pass rush should make him a coveted prospect. Illinois’ Jer’Zhan Newton could be appealing for his interior pass-rush presence. 

Who Calls the Shots in Raiders Draft Room?

GM Tom Telesco (first year) has final say over the roster. He previously spent 11 years in the same role with the Chargers. 

Key Stats & Notes for the Raiders heading into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Gained 20 or more yards on 4.2% of offensive plays, ranked 30th
  • Ranked 31st with 15 completions on throws of 20 or more yards. Tre Tucker led the team with six of those receptions. Davante Adams had just four on 26 targets
  • Contacted opposing running backs at or behind the line of scrimmage on 39% of carries, ranked 29th
  • Generated pressure in 2.5 seconds or less on 22.0% of opponent dropbacks, ranked 21st

14. New Orleans Saints, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Brian Thomas Jr., WR, LSU

Best Draft Targets for the Saints with the 14th pick:

  • Quarterback: The Saints likely can’t escape Derek Carr’s contract until after the 2025 season, so there’s no rush to find his replacement. However, they could potentially draft 21-year-old J.J. McCarthy to learn behind Carr, as McCarthy would benefit from being eased into the NFL. 
  • Wide Receiver: Chris Olave needs a running mate and, unfortunately, hopes of Michael Thomas returning to form are dead. The size and speed of LSU’s Brian Thomas Jr. would be a nice addition to the offense. 
  • Brock Bowers: We know the Saints value athletic, versatile tight ends based on how they’ve treated Taysom Hill over the years. Bowers can provide much of the versatility Hill provides, while also having the skills to be a three-down tight end. 

Who Calls the Shots in Saints Draft Room?

GM Mickey Loomis likely has final say, though the power dynamic has been unclear since the departure of Sean Payton (who previously had final say). Since Loomis does not have a background in scouting, Assistant GM and Director of College Personnel Jeff Ireland likely has substantial input in the draft.

Key Stats & Notes for the Saints heading into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Gained 20 or more yards on 5.0% of offensive plays, ranked 28th
  • Prior to getting benched, Trevor Penning allowed a 7.6% pressure rate in pass protection, ranked 28th out of 38 qualified left tackles. Andrus Peat ranked 24th (6.7%)
  • Contacted opposing running backs at or behind the line of scrimmage on 40% of carries, ranked 25th
  • Generated pressure in 2.5 seconds or less on 16.5% of opponent dropbacks, ranked 32nd
  • Defense converted 5.7% of pressures into sacks, ranked 29th

15. Indianapolis Colts, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Nate Wiggins, CB, Clemson

Best Draft Targets for the Colts with the 15th pick:

  • Cornerback: The Colts leaned heavily on rookies Jaylon Jones and JuJu Brents, so perhaps they’ll address this need with a veteran, but it’s clear the secondary needs an upgrade. If either Clemson’s Nate Wiggins or Alabama’s Terrion Arnold are on the board, the Colts may need to pounce. 
  • Brock Bowers: This probably isn’t the most pressing need, but having one of the league’s most athletically unique tight ends as a weapon for one of the most athletically unique quarterbacks (Anthony Richardson) will be tempting. 

Who Calls the Shots in Colts Draft Room?

GM Chris Ballard (eighth year) has final say over roster construction.

Key Stats & Notes for the Colts heading into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Allowed pressure in 2.5 seconds or less on 28.9% of dropbacks, ranked 30th
  • Generated 30.0%% pressure rate on non-blitzes, ranked 24th
  • Allowed 8.0 yards per attempt when failing to generate pressure, ranked 27th
  • Defense ranked 30th in third-and-long rate, forcing opponents into third-and-long (seven or more yards) or 19.9% of their set of downs 

16. Seattle Seahawks, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Brock Bowers, TE, Georgia

Best Draft Targets for the Seahawks with the 16th pick:

  • Brock Bowers: If Seattle wants to revitalize its offense, a legit weapon at tight end would certainly have an impact. John Schneider has only drafted one tight end before the fourth round (Nick Vannett), but Bowers is a unique talent who could force Schneider to break that trend. 
  • Offensive Line: The offensive line has been an annual area of need for Seattle, yet it’s rarely addressed with early draft picks. The interior offensive line needs the most work, and Oregon’s Jackson Powers-Johnson could be an option. 

Who Calls the Shots in Seahawks Draft Room?

GM John Schneider is entering his 15th year in this role, but it will be his first with final say over the roster, as Pete Carroll previously held that power. Schneider does not have a background in college scouting, so Senior Director of Player Personnel Matt Berry and Director of College Scouting Aaron Hineline likely have strong voices in the draft room. 

Key Stats & Notes for the Seahawks heading into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Allowed pressure in 2.5 seconds or less on 29.2% of dropbacks, ranked 31st
  • When failing to make contact at or behind the line of scrimmage, allowed 7.0 yards per attempt to running backs, ranked 28th
  • Ranked 3.3 yards after contact per attempt to running backs, ranked 29th
  • Allowed 30.2% conversion rate on third and long (seven or more yards), ranked 30th
  • Forced opponents into a three-and-out on 26.6% of drives, ranked 30th
  • Defense allowed 20 or more yards on 6.5% of plays, ranked 26th
  • Defense ranked 24th in third-and-long rate, forcing opponents into third-and-long (seven or more yards) or 21.0 % of their set of downs 

17. Jacksonville Jaguars, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Kool-Aid McKinstry, CB, Alabama

Best Draft Targets for the Jaguars with the 17th pick:

  • Cornerback: This may not be a glaring immediate need, but both Darious Williams and Tyson Campbell are entering the final year of their contracts. Toledo’s Quinyon Mitchell and Alabama’s Kool-Aid McKinstry are potential targets. 
  • Wide Receiver: If Calvin Ridley can’t be re-signed, this becomes a glaring need. Trevor Lawrence needs better weapons to continue his development. 6-foot-4 Brian Thomas Jr. would be an ideal addition if he’s on the board. Texas’ Adonai Mitchell or Florida State’s Keon Coleman could be targets as well. 

Who Calls the Shots in Jaguars Draft Room?

GM Trent Baalke (fourth year) and HC Doug Pederson (second year) supposedly share control of the roster. The Jaguars have not publicly stated who has the final say, although it’s likely Baalke considering he participated in the hiring of Pederson and has a background in scouting.

Key Stats & Notes for the Jaguars heading into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Allowed contact at or behind the line of scrimmage on 52% of carries by running backs, ranked 31st
  • When failing to make contact at or behind the line of scrimmage, allowed 6.9 yards per attempt to running backs, ranked 27th
  • Defense converted 6.1% of pressures into sacks, ranked 27th

18. Cincinnati Bengals, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Jer’Zhan Newton, DL, Illinois

Best Draft Targets for the Bengals with the 18th pick:

  • Defensive Tackle: Re-signing D.J. Reader would probably eliminate this need, at least in the first round. Until that happens though, we have to consider the Bengals a potential landing spot for Illinois’ Jer’Zhan Newton or Texas’ Byron Murphy II
  • Wide Receiver: Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd are hitting free agency, and they probably can’t retain both, especially with Ja’Marr Chase due for an extension soon. LSU’s Brian Thomas Jr. or Texas’ Adonai Mitchell could step into Higgins’ role. 

Who Calls the Shots in Bengals Draft Room?

Director of Player Personnel Duke Tobin has final say over roster construction.

Key Stats & Notes for the Bengals heading into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Allowed 9.2 yards per attempt when failing to generate pressure, ranked 32nd
  • Contacted opposing running backs at or behind the line of scrimmage on 40% of carries, ranked 28th
  • Defense allowed 20 or more yards on 7.8% of plays, ranked 32nd

19. Los Angeles Rams, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Dallas Turner, EDGE, Alabama

Best Draft Targets for the Rams with the 19th pick:

  • Edge Rusher: Byron Young was among the most impressive rookie pass rushers last year, but there’s limited talent on the edge behind him. Alabama’s Dallas Turner and Penn State’s Chop Robinson are potential targets. 
  • Jer’Zhan Newton: Newton has some Aaron Donald-like traits as an interior pass rusher, which should interest the Rams. Since Donald has flirted with retirement already and is entering the final year of his contract, addressing this need before he’s gone would be wise. 

Who Calls the Shots in Rams Draft Room?

GM Les Snead (13th year) has final say over personnel decisions.

Key Stats & Notes for the Rams heading into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Allowed three or more yards before contact to running backs on 27% of carries, ranked 29th
  • Defense allowed 20 or more yards on 6.2% of plays, ranked 23rd

20. Pittsburgh Steelers, Top Draft Pick Prediction: JC Latham, OT, Alabama

Best Draft Targets for the Steelers with the 20th pick:

  • Offensive Tackle: Broderick Jones will return to a starting role despite a tough rookie year, but it’s time to move on from Dan Moore Jr. at left tackle. Alabama’s JC Latham and Georgia’s Amarius Mims are options, though both would likely play right tackle with Jones moving to the left side. The Steelers typically favor elite size in their linemen, and both Latham and Mims fit that profile.
  • Cornerback: Joey Porter Jr. is the only cornerback with a long-term future in Pittsburgh. Patrick Peterson may return, but Levi Wallace and Chandon Sullivan are both free agents. Iowa’s Cooper DeJean, Alabama’s Kool-Aid McKinstry, and Missouri’s Ennis Rakestraw Jr. are viable targets. 

Who Calls the Shots in Steelers Draft Room?

GM Omar Khan (second year) took over last year from Kevin Colbert, who ran the team for 23 years. Khan likely has final say over the roster, though it is a collaborative effort with Assistant GM Andy Weidl (second year) and Mike Tomlin. Khan has been with Pittsburgh since 2001, but his background is in the administrative side of the team. Weidl joined the team from the Eagles, where he was Vice President of Player Personnel and has extensive experience in scouting. 

Key Stats & Notes for the Steelers heading into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Went three-and-out on 37.6% of drives, ranked 27th
  • Dan Moore Jr. allowed a 9.9% pressure rate in pass protection, ranked 36th out of 38 qualified left tackles
  • Broderick Jones allowed an 8.2% pressure rate in pass protection, ranked 32nd out of 36 qualified right tackles
  • Stuffed opposing running backs for negative yards on 8.3% of attempts, ranked 23rd
  • Defense allowed 20 or more yards on 6.7% of plays, ranked 28th

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21. Miami Dolphins, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Jackson Powers-Johnson, IOL, Oregon

Best Draft Targets for the Dolphins with the 21st pick:

  • Interior Offensive Line: Robert Hunt, Connor Williams, and Isaiah Wynn are all set to hit free agency, leaving some gaping holes in the middle of Miami’s offensive line. Given the importance of the run game to Mike McDaniel‘s offense, retaining those players or finding suitable replacements is a priority. Oregon’s Jackson Powers-Johnson has experience at guard and center and may be the top interior lineman on the board. 
  • Defensive Line: Losing Christian Wilkins to free agency would create a significant hole on the defensive line. Texas’ Byron Murphy II would be a natural fit if available. 

Who Calls the Shots in Dolphins Draft Room?

GM Chris Grier (eighth year) has final say over personnel decisions but accepts significant input from Mike McDaniel.

Key Stats & Notes for the Dolphins heading into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Allowed 7.8 yards per attempt when failing to generate pressure, ranked 22nd
  • Contacted opposing running backs at or behind the line of scrimmage on 40% of carries, ranked 27th
  • Defense ranked 25th in third-and-long rate, forcing opponents into third-and-long (seven or more yards) or 21.0% of their set of downs 

22. Philadelphia Eagles, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Cooper DeJean, CB, Iowa

Best Draft Targets for the Eagles with the 22nd pick:

  • Cornerback: Veterans Darius Slay and James Bradberry are still in place, but adding young depth to the secondary is an option. Iowa’s Cooper DeJean, Alabama’s Kool-Aid McKinstry, and Missouri’s Ennis Rakestraw Jr. are potential targets. 
  • Wide Receiver: The Eagles have a top-tier duo, but there is little depth beyond DeVonta Smith and A.J. Brown. To add another dimension to the offense, Philly could add a bigger outside weapon, such as LSU’s Brian Thomas Jr. or Texas’ Adonai Mitchell

Who Calls the Shots in Eagles Draft Room?

GM Howie Roseman (13th year) has final say over the roster. Roseman has held the title of General Manager and/or Executive Vice President of Football Operations since 2010, however, he did not control the roster during Andy Reid‘s and Chip Kelly’s tenures. Roseman gained full control of personnel decisions in 2016.

Key Stats & Notes for the Eagles heading into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Allowed 10 or more rushing yards on 11.1% of running back attempts, ranked 25th
  • Defense converted 6.2% of pressures into sacks, ranked 24th
  • Allowed 29.5% conversion rate on third and long (seven or more yards), ranked 29th
  • Forced opponents into a three-and-out on 28.0% of drives, ranked 29th

23. Houston Texans, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Quinyon Mitchell, CB, Toledo

Best Draft Targets for the Texans with the 23rd pick:

  • Cornerback: Derek Stingley Jr. established himself as a top-tier cornerback last season, but Steven Nelson and Tavierre Thomas are both free agents. Finding another young corner to pair with Stingley should be an offseason goal. Toledo’s Quinyon Mitchell and Iowa’s Cooper DeJean are potential fits. 

Who Calls the Shots in Texans Draft Room?

GM Nick Caserio has final say over the roster. This is Caserio’s fourth year with Houston, but just his second year since the firing of Executive VP Jack Easterby, who played a confusing role in the organization and held significant power as well. So it’s fair to say this is only Caserio’s second year with full control. 

Key Stats & Notes for the Texans heading into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Ranked 24th in third-and-long rate, with 24.6% of set of downs leading to a third-and-long (seven or more yards)
  • Allowed 7.9 yards per attempt when failing to generate pressure, ranked 26th
  • Defense allowed 20 or more yards on 6.0% of plays, ranked 22nd

24. Dallas Cowboys, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Amarius Mims, OT, Georgia

Best Draft Targets for the Cowboys with the 24th pick:

  • Offensive Line: A once dominant offensive line has been trending in the wrong direction for a couple of years. Terrence Steele is now coming off a rough year, and left tackle Tyron Smith hits free agency. Georgia’s Amarius Mims or Alabama’s JC Latham could be upgrades at right tackle.

Who Calls the Shots in Cowboys Draft Room?

Director of Player Personnel Stephen Jones effectively acts as the General Manager with significant input from VP of Player Personnel Will McClay. Obviously, owner Jerry Jones has been known to step in and make decisions as well.

Key Stats & Notes for the Cowboys heading into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Terence Steele allowed 7.8% pressure rate in pass protection, ranked 31st out of 36 qualified right tackles
  • Allowed three or more yards before contact to running backs on 29% of carries, ranked 32nd

25. Green Bay Packers, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Ennis Rakestraw Jr, CB, Missouri

Best Draft Targets for the Packers with the 25th pick:

  • Cornerback: Injuries have derailed Eric Stokes’ promising career, and it’s unclear what his future looks like in Green Bay. Jaire Alexander’s status is also up in the air, as he’s owed an $8 million roster bonus in late March. Missouri’s Ennis Rakestraw, Iowa’s Cooper DeJean, and Georgia’s Kamari Lassiter are all potential targets. 
  • Interior Offensive Line:  Green Bay may be looking for a replacement for free agent guard Jon Runyan. Washington’s Troy Fautanu or Duke’s Graham Barton would be natural fits. 

Who Calls the Shots in Packers Draft Room?

GM Brian Gutekunst (sixth year) has final say over the roster, but Gutekunst, Director of Football Operations Russ Ball, and HC Matt LaFleur all report directly to President/CEO Mark Murphy. This structure theoretically gives more personnel influence to Ball and LaFleur than if they reported directly to the GM, as most front offices are organized.

Key Stats & Notes for the Packers heading into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Allowed 8.2 yards per attempt when failing to generate pressure, ranked 29th
  • Ranked 3.1 yards after contact per attempt to running backs, ranked 25h
  • Defense allowed 20 or more yards on 6.1% of plays, ranked 30th
  • Allowed 28.7% conversion rate on third and long (seven or more yards), ranked 28th
  • Forced opponents into a three-and-out on 28.9% of drives, ranked 27th

26. Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Top Draft Pick Prediction: J.J. McCarthy, QB, Michigan

Best Draft Targets for the Buccaneers with the 26th pick:

  • Quarterback: An extension for Baker Mayfield seems likely, but we’ll need to see the details of the contract to understand how much of a commitment they’re actually making to him. If they draft a quarterback, Michael Penix Jr. and Bo Nix are best suited to play immediately while J.J. McCarthy offers upside as a developmental project. 
  • Wide Receiver: If Mike Evans is not re-signed, there will be options for the Bucs with this selection. Florida State’s Keon Coleman is the closest prospect to Evans in terms of style of play. North Carolina’s Devontez Walker and Texas’ Adonai Mitchell could also fit into the Bucs’ offense. 

Who Calls the Shots in Buccaneers Draft Room?

GM Jason Licht (11th year) has final say over the roster. 

Key Stats & Notes for the Buccaneers heading into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Ranked 28th in third-and-long rate, with 26.4% of set of downs leading to a third-and-long (seven or more yards)
  • Allowed contact at or behind the line of scrimmage on 47% of carries by running backs, ranked 23rd
  • Generated 27.9% pressure rate on non-blitzes, ranked 31st
  • Defense allowed 20 or more yards on 6.5% of plays, ranked 25th
  • Allowed 27.6% conversion rate on third and long (seven or more yards), ranked 25th

27. Arizona Cardinals, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Chop Robinson, EDGE, Penn State

Best Draft Targets for the Cardinals with the 27th pick:

  • Edge Rusher: Arizona doesn’t have anyone the offense specifically needs to game plan around. It’s tough to develop a defense capable of contending without one of those game-wreckers. Penn State’s Chop Robinson or Alabama’s Chris Braswell could potentially be that guy for the Cards. 
  • Cornerback: None of Arizona’s cornerbacks should feel good about their job security. Georgia’s Kamari Lassiter and Missouri’s Ennis Ratestraw Jr. are possible targets. 

See the fourth pick for more on Bears draft plans. 

28. Buffalo Bills, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Kris Jenkins, DT, Michigan

Best Draft Targets for the Bills with the 28th pick:

  • Defensive Tackle: The Bills ranked 28th in yards per attempt allowed on the ground and, entering the offseason, Ed Oliver is their only defensive tackle under contact. Michigan’s Kris Jenkins would be an ideal fit, and it’s worth noting Brandon Beane was in Carolina when the Panthers drafted his father. 
  • Wide Receiver: Stefon Diggs likely isn’t going anywhere, but he also doesn’t sound excited about continuing his career in Buffalo 一 and he has a history of being disruptive, as he forced his way out of Minnesota as well. Even if he returns, Buffalo can’t count on a full effort from Diggs in 2024 and should add depth. North Carolina’s Devontez Walker, Texas’ Adonai Mitchell, and Michigan’s Roman Wilson have traits that could fit Buffalo’s offense. 

Who Calls the Shots in Bills Draft Room?

GM Brandon Beane (eighth year) officially has final say over the roster, but HC Sean McDermott’s opinion is believed to carry equal weight. McDermott and Beane were hired together in 2017 and also worked together for six seasons in Carolina.

Key Stats & Notes for the Bills heading into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Gained 20 or more yards on 5.2% of offensive plays, ranked 26th
  • Allowed pressure in 2.5 seconds or less on 27.5% of dropbacks, ranked 26th
  • Allowed 8.1 yards per attempt when failing to generate pressure, ranked 28th
  • Allowed 10 or more rushing yards on 11.5% of running back attempts, ranked 27th
  • When failing to make contact at or behind the line of scrimmage, allowed 7.2 yards per attempt to running backs, ranked 30th
  • Allowed 3.3 yards after contact per attempt to running backs, ranked 30th

29. Detroit Lions, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Kamari Lassiter, CB, Georgia

Best Draft Targets for the Lions with the 29th pick:

  • Cornerback: Detroit needs upgrades at cornerback, but it’s unclear if Brad Holmes will invest in one 一 he may believe it’s better to develop late-round picks or trade/sign an established veteran. If he is willing to draft one, there should be a few options: Georgia’s Kamari Lassiter, Missouri’s Ennis Rakestraw, Iowa’s Cooper DeJean, or Toledo’s Quinyon Mitchell

Who Calls the Shots in Lions Draft Room?

GM Brad Holmes (fourth year) has final say over personnel decisions. Holmes was a longtime Director of College Scouting with the Rams before joining Detroit, and managing the draft is his strength. 

Key Stats & Notes for the Lions heading into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Defense allowed 20 or more yards on 7.1% of plays, ranked 31st
  • Allowed 30.5% conversion rate on third and long (seven or more yards), ranked 31st

30. Baltimore Ravens, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Tyler Guyton, OT, Oklahoma

Best Draft Targets for the Ravens with the 30th pick:

  • Offensive Line: Holes are opening up on the interior offensive line, and there is a long-term question at right tackle as 33-year-old Morgan Moses enters the final year of his contract. Oklahoma’s Tyler Guyton would be an ideal fit at right tackle. Duke’s Graham Barton may also have the versatility to play guard initially before shifting outside to tackle. 
  • Wide Receiver: They just added Zay Flowers last year, but to win the AFC you need to keep pace with Kansas City. Giving Lamar Jackson another weapon is never a bad idea. Michigan’s Roman Wilson would be a perfect fit given his physical style of play and ability to contribute as a blocker in the run game. 

Who Calls the Shots in Ravens Draft Room?

GM Eric DeCosta (sixth year as GM, 27th year in the organization) controls roster construction and has maintained a similar approach to his former boss Ozzie Newsome.

Key Stats & Notes for the Ravens heading into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Contacted opposing running backs at or behind the line of scrimmage on 41% of carries, ranked 22nd
  • Allowed 10 or more rushing yards on 11.6% of running back attempts, ranked 28th

31. San Francisco 49ers, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Patrick Paul, OT, Houston

Best Draft Targets for the 49ers with the 31st pick:

  • Right Tackle: The 49ers can probably find an upgrade over Colton McKivitz with this selection. The experience of someone like Houston’s Patrick Paul, who played nearly 3,000 snaps in college, could appeal to a Super Bowl contender. Duke’s Graham Barton and Arizona’s Jordan Morgan offer similar production and experience. 

Who Calls the Shots in 49ers Draft Room?

GM John Lynch (eighth year) has final say over personnel decisions.

Key Stats & Notes for the 49ers heading into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Allowed pressure in 2.5 seconds or less on 29.9% of dropbacks, ranked 32nd
  • When failing to make contact at or behind the line of scrimmage, allowed 6.9 yards per attempt to running backs, ranked 26th
  • Allowed 26.5% conversion rate on third and long (seven or more yards), ranked 24th

32. Kansas City Chiefs, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Devontez Walker, WR, North Carolina

Best Draft Targets for the Chiefs with the 32nd pick:

  • Wide Receiver: Patrick Mahomes covered up for one of the worst receiver rooms in the league, but the Chiefs can’t keep asking him to carry such a heavy load. Texas’ Adonai Mitchell and North Carolina’s Devontez Walker both have the traits to the stretch the field from the outside.
  • Defensive Line: The Chiefs run defense struggled throughout the year, so adding an interior run defender like Michigan’s Kris Jenkins would be justified. 

Who Calls the Shots in Chiefs Draft Room?

GM Brett Veach (eighth year) officially has final say over the roster, but Andy Reid’s opinion carries significant weight. The two have worked together since Reid hired Veach as a coaching intern in 2004, and Veach followed Reid to Kansas City in 2013. 

Key Stats & Notes for the Chiefs heading into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Donovan Smith allowed a 7.6% pressure rate in pass protection, ranked 27th out of 38 qualified left tackles. Wanya Morris ranked 34th (9.0%)
  • Receivers had the third most drops in the league (34)
  • Contacted opposing running backs at or behind the line of scrimmage on 37% of carries, ranked 31st

33. Carolina Panthers, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Roman Wilson, WR, Michigan

Best Draft Targets for the Panthers with the 33rd pick:

  • Wide Receiver: Bryce Young clearly needs more weapons to continue his development. Michigan’s Roman Wilson has some similar traits to Adam Thielen and could benefit from playing with the veteran. North Carolina’s Devontez Walker could be an option to add some explosive ability to the unit. 

Who Calls the Shots in Panthers Draft Room?

GM Dan Morgan (first year) was promoted from Assistant GM to replace Scott Fitterer, who only had final say over the roster for one season after taking control when Matt Rhule was fired. Carolina has not stated who has final say, but it is likely Morgan given his experience in the organization and Dave Canales’ status as a first-year head coach. 

Key Stats & Notes for the Panthers heading into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Bryce Young took a sack on 25% of his dropbacks versus pressure, the second highest rate out of 33 qualified quarterbacks
  • Allowed contact at or behind the line of scrimmage on 51% of carries by running backs, ranked 30th
  • Went three-and-out on 38.9% of drives, ranked 30th
  • Gained 20 or more yards on 3.6% of offensive plays, ranked 31st
  • Defense converted 5.3% of pressures into sacks, ranked 31st
  • Ranked 31st in third-and-long rate, with 28.6% of set of downs leading to a third-and-long (seven or more yards)
  • Generated 27.9% pressure rate on non-blitzes, ranked 30th
  • Allowed 10 or more rushing yards on 10.8% of running back attempts, ranked 24th

54. Cleveland Browns, Top Draft Pick Prediction: Jonathon Brooks, RB, Texas

Best Draft Targets for the Browns with the 54th pick:

  • Running back: Nick Chubb enters the final year of his contract at age 28. Improving the backfield depth and potentially adding his replacement should be one of Cleveland’s priorities. Jonathon Brooks offers a similar balanced skill set to Chubb.
  • Linebacker:  The second level of the Browns run defense struggled, and now Anthony Walker hits free agency. Texas A&M’s Edgerrin Cooper would be an ideal fit. NC State’s Payton Wilson and Clemson’s Jeremiah Trotter Jr. are possibilities as well. 

Who Calls the Shots in Browns Draft Room?

GM Andrew Berry (fifth year) has final say with input from Chief Strategy Officer Paul DePodesta (ninth year) and HC Kevin Stefanski (fifth year).

Key Stats & Notes for the Browns heading into the 2024 NFL Draft

  • Gained 20 or more yards on 5.2% of offensive plays, ranked 23rd
  • Jedrick Wills allowed 9.5% pressure rate in pass protection, ranked 35th out of 38 qualified left tackles
  • Receivers led the league in drops with 39
  • Ranked 29th in third-and-long rate, with 26.5% of set of downs leading to a third-and-long (seven or more yards)
  • Allowed 10 or more rushing yards on 13.7% of running back attempts, ranked 32nd
  • When failing to make contact at or behind the line of scrimmage, allowed 8.7 yards per attempt to running backs, ranked 32nd

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