The first wave of free agency is in the books, and it brought some big swings in the power rankings.

The most notable is the Falcons’ addition of Kirk Cousins, which immediately turns them into a threat for the playoffs, but other smaller moves caused some ripples, as well.

Next up on the calendar is the NFL Draft, which is also sure to bring some changes.

NFL Power Rankings, 2024:

Power RankTeamChangeSB59 Odds
149ers0+550
2Chiefs0+650
3Lions+2+1200
4Ravens0+900
5Bengals-2+1400
6Eagles+2+1600
7Texans+2+2000
8Bills-2+1200
9Cowboys-2+1800
10Packers0+2000
11Dolphins+1+2500
12Jets+1+2800
13Browns+2+4000
14Falcons+10+3000
15Bears-1+4000
16Rams-5+3000
17Steelers+6+5000
18Colts-2+6600
19Jaguars-2+4000
20Seahawks-2+6600
21Chargers-2+3000
22Buccaneers0+6600
23Saints-2+8000
24Vikings-4+8000
25Raiders0+8000
26Titans+5+15000
27Cardinals-1+10000
28Patriots0+12500
29Commanders+1+15000
30Giants-1+15000
31Broncos-4+10000
32Panthers0+25000

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NFL Team Rankings:

Super Bowl 59 odds in parentheses

1. San Francisco 49ers (+550)

The 49ers were forced to move on from Arik Armstead and lost Chase Young in free agency, but they also added the underrated Leonard Floyd and took several other shots along the defensive line. This was always going to be an uneventful offseason…that is if the Brandon Aiyuk rumors remain just rumors.

2. Kansas City Chiefs (+650)

The Chiefs kept Chris Jones and Drue Tranquill, but L’Jarius Sneed was traded to the Titans. Kansas City did add much-needed help at receiver in Marquise Brown. Brown has not been a hyper-effective downfield threat throughout his career, but his quarterback play especially the last two years has been lacking. That will not be a problem with Patrick Mahomes.

3. Detroit Lions (+1200)

The Lions understandably focused on the defense this offseason, and it is hard to argue they are not better heading into the draft. They also could still make a move at defensive back with several quality players available. Even after an extremely successful 2023, this roster had questions. Those are beginning to disappear.

4. Baltimore Ravens (+900)

The Ravens did not have a ton of room to make moves, but they spent big to re-sign Justin Madubuike and brought in Derrick Henry to revamp the run game. There were some key losses on defense, however, and there are several question marks on an offensive line that is now down three starters. Lamar Jackson papers a lot of cracks, but there are more on this roster now than there were when they lost to the Chiefs.

5. Cincinnati Bengals (+1400)

The Bengals lost two key defenders in Chidobe Awuzie and D.J. Reader, but they also added Sheldon Rankins, Geno Stone, and Vonn Bell. On offense, they shook things up at running back by trading away Joe Mixon and signing Zack Moss off his solid season with the Colts. The one outstanding issue is with Tee Higgins, who is franchised but also the source of trade rumors. This is a good roster getting back a healthy Joe Burrow.

6. Philadelphia Eagles (+1600)

After a disastrous end to the season and watching a couple of franchise cornerstones retire, the Eagles reloaded in free agency. Saquon Barkley and Bryce Huff are the headliners, but bringing home C.J. Garnder-Johnson and taking a shot on Devin White could also end up being big moves. There are still some concerns on defense, especially if Haason Reddick ends up being moved, but Philly had a good March.

7. Houston Texans (+2000)

The Texans lost some big names on defense, but they arguably replaced them with better players, landing Dnaielle Hunter, Denico Autry, and Azeez Al-Shaair. While Joe Mixon is probably not a huge upgrade at running back at this point in his career, they traded peanuts for him, and they took a bunch of cheaper shots on defense as well. This roster is ready to make noise if C.J. Stroud continues to build on his spectacular rookie season.

8. Buffalo Bills (+1200)

The salary cap demon came for the Bills this offseason. Six players who played at least 50% of the snaps are gone, and that does not include names like Dane Jackson and Tre’Davious White. They did bring in Curtis Samuel, but receiver once again looks like a concern, and the secondary has some questions. Such is life with a highly-paid quarterback.

9. Dallas Cowboys (+1800)

The Cowboys have the third-most expensive offense right now, and they do not have a running back, need help at receiver, and have two spots to fill on the offensive line. Dallas finished first in points per drive last season and is second in that metric over the last three seasons, but keeping that high level going could be difficult if they don’t hit big with limited draft picks.

10. Green Bay Packers (+2000)

It is notable the Packers are on the other end of the offensive spending spectrum from the Cowboys and were nearly as good over the second half of the 2023 season – third in points per drive from Week 11 on. While replacing Aaron Jones with Josh Jacobs might not be a real upgrade, Green Bay’s offense is filled with young players with upside, and they added much needed defensive help with Xavier McKinney in free agency. That side of the ball still could use some help, but Green Bay is on the rise.

11. Miami Dolphins (+2500)

Like the Bills, the Dolphins watched several key players walk out the door including Christian Wilkins. They also have both Bradley Chubb and Jaelan Phillips recovering from serious injuries. This team is still talented and has a very good coach, but the roster looks to be in a worse spot than it was in 2023.

12. New York Jets (+2800)

The Jets attacked where they needed to in March, adding several offensive linemen and taking a swing on Mike Williams. If Williams returns at close to the level he was before getting injured last year, New York will finally have a worthy No. 2 for Garrett Wilson. The roster is there. Now they just need Aaron Rodgers to deliver.

13. Cleveland Browns (+4000)

Cleveland is in a similar situation as the Bears below, but their questions at quarterback are a little different. We know how good Deshaun Watson can be. He has not been that thus far in Cleveland. Outside of him, the roster is ready to compete with the top teams in the division, especially if a change of scenery is the cure for Jerry Jeudy’s struggles.

14. Atlanta Falcons (+3000)

Easily the biggest movers from my post Super Bowl rankings, the Falcons immediately made themselves playoff contenders by signing Kirk Cousins. The fact is they were already playoff contenders last season with awful quarterback play and questionable coaching decisions. The defense still needs to come together, but this is a legitimately dangerous team that I may still have too low.

15. Chicago Bears (+4000)

Justin Fields is gone, and Caleb Williams will almost assuredly be the No.1 overall pick. Chicago did their best to welcome the rookie quarterback into a good situation, adding D’Andre Swift and Keenan Allen to an already solid array of weapons. This roster was better than it was given credit for last year, and it improved in March. It all comes down to Williams.

16. Los Angeles Rams (+3000)

The Rams nailed everything last season and made a couple of good additions in free agency, but the biggest March storyline was Aaron Donald hanging up his cleats. There are some quality defensive line prospects the Rams can target in the draft, but there is no replacing Donald, and the knock-on effect on some of those promising now sophomores will be interesting.

Fantasy Package

17. Pittsburgh Steelers (+5000)

While they did not get the same bump as the Falcons, the Steelers did get an on-paper boost to their quarterback room, but it does come with some caveats. Russell Wilson has not been a quality quarterback for a while, and Justin Fields has had his own struggles thus far in his career. Pittsburgh had to take a swing, but there is a decent chance they find themselves once again in quarterback purgatory at this time next year.

18. Indianapolis Colts (+6600)

Indy mostly focused on re-signing their own players, which makes some sense for a young team on the rise. That said, they could still use another pass catcher, and the defense also needs some help. As it stands, they look like a mid-pack roster. The development of Anthony Richardson will go a long way to determine whether they can be more than that in 2024.

19. Jacksonville Jaguars (+4000)

This time last year, the Jaguars were the clear favorites in the division, and it looked like that would be the case for a while to come. Now? They are in a battle to be the second-best team, and they better hope Will Levis is not the Titans’ savior. Losing Calvin Ridley is a big blow, and Gabe Davis is not the No. 1 they need. Perhaps they could get by with Davis, Christian Kirk, and Zay Jones, but dipping into this hyper-talented rookie receiver class makes a lot of sense.

20. Seattle Seahawks (+6600)

The Seahawks are in an interesting position. They have some key areas of need still – most notably guard – but they have a solid roster that arguably underperformed last season, especially on defense. That should not be a problem with Mike Macdonald taking over, so the real question is at quarterback. Seattle will need more from Geno Smith to be real competitors in the division.

21. Los Angeles Chargers (+3000)

The Chargers always get offseason buzz, so I guess their current Super Bowl odds are not a shock, but the roster simply does not support that number. That said, they still have Justin Herbert, and Jim Harbaugh simply wins wherever he goes. Perhaps this is the year the Chargers outperform rather than under.

22. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+6600)

The Bucs brought back Mike Evans, Antoine Winfield, Baker Mayfield, and Lavonte David. That in itself is a pretty successful offseason, but they have the same problem as the Saints below. The Falcons are a lot better than they were in 2023, and the Bucs do not seem to be even without considering some possible regression for Mayfield.

23. New Orleans Saints (+8000)

The Saints did not lose a ton and brought in both Chase Young and Willie Gay to help on defense. Still, the offensive line is a mess, Chris Olave needs some help around him at receiver, and Derek Carr is not the kind of quarterback that can hide a lot of holes. The Falcons got a lot better, and the Saints just have not to this point in the offseason.

24. Minnesota Vikings (+8000)

Welp. The quarterback situation is less than ideal with Kirk Cousins now in Atlanta. Minnesota telegraphed a trade up when they acquired the No. 23 overall pick from the Texans, but can they get high enough to land one of the top guys? Are they targeting J.J. McCarthy? Will they just bite the bullet and start Sam Darnold? It could all work out, but this team would look a lot better if Cousins was at quarterback.

25. Las Vegas Raiders (+8000)

The Raiders went big by adding Christian Wilkins, giving them a formidable combo on the front line, but the real story continues to be at quarterback. Las Vegas did bring in Gardner Minshew, who had the Colts on the brink of the playoffs last year, and they have expressed some optimism about Aidan O’Connell. Given where they are in the draft, they will likely need one of them to hit.

26. Tennessee Titans (+15000)

I remain skeptical about Will Levis based on everything he showed in college, but he was given an impossible job in last season’s version of the Titans offense. Tennessee is doing its best to make sure that will not be the case this season, signing Calvin Ridley, Tony Pollard, and Lloyd Cushenberry. Tennessee also brought in Chidobe Awuzie and traded for L’Jarius Sneed. Fair play to them for giving Levis as much help as possible to prove he can be the guy.

27. Arizona Cardinals (+10000)

Arizona still has a lot of work to do on their roster, but they quietly had a solid outing in free agency. They also have easily the most draft capital and could get more if they decide to trade down from No. 4 overall. Given how bare the cupboard was at this time last year, it would be a tall task for Arizona to compete this season, especially in their division. That said, they were better than expected in 2023, and they have a chance to add a lot of talent in April.

28. New England Patriots (+12500)

The Patriots have a talented defense that did not take any big hits in free agency, and they should land a quarterback in the draft. The situation around that quarterback remains a major concern, however, and taking a quarterback at No. 3 overall removes the possibility of landing the blue chip receiver New England desperately needs.

29. Washington Commanders (+15000)

The Commanders caught some flak for some of the older names they signed, but they also added Frankie Luvu, Tyler Biadasz, and Dorance Armstrong. Those are solid players still in the right part of the age curve. This team is still not good, but they have some talent on offense and are going to add a quality quarterback prospect at No. 2 overall. That at least makes them interesting.

30. New York Giants (+15000)

The Giants made a big splash with Brian Burns and a solid addition with Jon Runyan, but they also watched easily their best offensive player walk out the door. To add insult to injury, Saquon Barkley ended up with the Eagles. The Giants are where they are with Daniel Jones’ contract. Now they need to add some help around him.

31. Denver Broncos (+10000)

The rebuild is on. The Broncos are no better than mid-pack in total draft capital despite trading away Jerry Jeudy, do not have many strengths on the roster, and will still have $32 million in dead cap for Russell Wilson in 2025. Other than that, things are going well. All of that said, they do own the No. 12 overall pick, and things will look a lot better if they can use that to acquire a quarterback.

32. Carolina Panthers (+25000)

The Panthers had to overpay in the free agent market, but they at least added some decent players including a trade for Diontae Johnson. That said, losing Brian Burns, Frankie Luvu, and Yetur Gross-Matos on defense hurts, and the roster still is not in a great spot. Of course, none of it will matter if Bryce Young does not take a step forward in his second season.

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