Best Longshot NFL Player Prop Bets For Super Bowl 58

Sorting through the endless list of prop bets available for Super Bowl 58 is a challenge, so we’re here to help.

In addition to my favorite props to bet on the Kansas City Chiefs and the San Francisco 49ers, here are a few longshot props to consider.

Sharp Football Analysis has every angle of Chiefs vs. 49ers covered in our Super Bowl 58 Hub.

Consider the Super Bowl rushing record prop

This is appropriately priced as an extreme longshot, but let’s throw a little something on any running back to record 205 or more rushing yards

Super Bowl rushing record prop, current line:

In Super Bowl XXII, Washington rookie Timmy Smith 一 despite rushing for just 146 yards in the entire regular season 一 set a Super Bowl record with 204 rushing yards against the Denver Broncos. Could Christian McCaffrey break that mark on Sunday?

Obviously it’s a longshot, but the Chiefs run defense is its weak link, so there’s reason to expect a big game from McCaffrey.

We’re also not expecting to see much of backup Elijah Mitchell, who has just four carries in the postseason.

But another connection might give Kyle Shanahan an incentive to push McCaffrey to the record if he gets close. 

Mike Shanahan was the Broncos offensive coordinator, still searching for his first Super Bowl ring, when Smith ran all over Denver’s defense 一 and I’m betting Kyle, who was eight years old at the time, remembers that performance.

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Consider Kyle Juszczyk’s anytime touchdown prop

If you’re looking for a longshot scoring prop, consider taking Kyle Juszczyk’s anytime touchdown prop. 

Kyle Juszczyk’s anytime touchdown, current line:

Although he has scored only twice this season, Kyle Juszczyk’s participation makes him a candidate to score in a few ways. 

Juszczyk is frequently on the field near the goal line and will occasionally get carries 一 he has four career rushing touchdowns with the 49ers. 

He’s also a factor in the passing game, which is how he scored twice this season and also how he scored in Super Bowl LIV against the Chiefs.

There’s also the sentimental factor here. The 49ers may attempt to manufacture a scoring opportunity for Juszczyk, one of the team’s longest-tenured players, if the opportunity presents itself late in the game.  

At +1000 this looks like a good value compared to some other 49ers. For example, Juszczyk has more touchdowns and more targets inside the 10-yard line than Jauan Jennings, whose touchdown prop is listed at +650.

Consider Ji’Ayir Brown’s interception prop

If you think there’s a chance Patrick Mahomes throws an interception in this game, take a chance on 49ers safety Ji’Ayir Brown to record an interception

Ji’Ayir Brown’s interception prop, current line:

When Mahomes makes a mistake, he’s typically taking a shot downfield. Half of his 14 interceptions were on throws of 15 or more yards. And if a defender is able to make a play on the deep ball, it’s often a roaming safety. 

That trend means we should look to Ji’Ayir Brown or Tashaun Gipson, the 49ers’ primary free safeties. 

It’s reasonable to throw a little money on both, but if choosing between the two I would take Brown.

Gipson shifts into the box or the slot on 37% of his snaps, whereas Brown will stay in the deep secondary when the team shifts into single-high safety formations.