2025 NFL MVP Odds: Predictions, Favorites & Best Bets

Get the latest NFL MVP betting odds and track movement for all top players during the 2025 NFL season.

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All betting lines provided by BetMGM Sportsbook.

2025 NFL MVP Odds to Win

PlayerTeamCurrent Odds
Patrick MahomesKansas City Chiefs+120
Josh AllenBuffalo Bills+350
Drake MayeNew England Patriots+500
Matthew StaffordLos Angeles Rams+1200
Baker MayfieldTampa Bay Buccaneers+1400
Daniel JonesIndianapolis Colts+1600
Jonathan TaylorIndianapolis Colts+1800
Jordan LoveGreen Bay Packers+2000
Jared GoffDetroit Lions+2000
Jalen HurtsPhiladelphia Eagles+2500

Favorites to win the 2025 NFL MVP:

Patrick Mahomes is the current favorite to win the 2025 NFL MVP at +120 odds. He is followed by:

  • Josh Allen (+350)
  • Drake Maye (+500)
  • Matthew Stafford (+1200)
  • Baker Mayfield (+1400)
  • Daniel Jones (+1600)

Best Bet to win the 2025 NFL MVP:

Baker Mayfield (+1400)

Even as he continues to lose offensive weapons to injury, Baker Mayfield maintains one of the league's best passing resumes through eight weeks. He ranks 6th in passing yards with 13 touchdowns and just two interceptions on 172  attempts (ranked 8th). He's helped rookie wideout Emeka Egbuka to a 7th-ranked 562-yard total in his first eight games as well, as he's been missing his usual go-to connection in Mike Evans. Mayfield's path to the MVP is made even clearer by the jump in Tampa's strength of schedule. The Buccaneers survived the hard part of their season with a 6-2 record (.750), and they'll take the leap from the 25th-easiest schedule to the 6th for the remainder of 2025.

» Bet it now: +1400

NFL MVP Betting Trends

  • The last 12 winners of the NFL MVP award have been quarterbacks.
  • Since 2001, only 3 non-quarterbacks have won NFL MVP – all were running backs.
  • Since 2001, almost every NFL MVP winner has been on a team that won at least 11 games. Adrian Peterson’s MVP season was the only exception, with the Vikings winning 10 games in 2012.

When Should You Bet on NFL MVP?

If you're betting on MVP favorites, you should place bets closer to the start of the season — that way you'll keep funds in your account for an extra couple of months.

When placing a future bet like the 2025 NFL MVP, an important concept to understand is the time value of money, the concept that money is worth more now than the same sum will be worth in the future due to its earning potential in the interim.

Wagering now comes at an opportunity cost as the 2025 NFL MVP bet will not be graded until February 2025, tying up funds wagered for nearly 10 months.

Does this concept mean no MVP bets should be made until closer to the season? No, the offseason is a great time to identify mispriced higher-odds players that could have their odds shift significantly with roster changes. Also, the players with higher odds reduce the time value effect as the potential payout is higher.

Before placing your MVP Bet, be sure to check out BetMGM Sportsbook bonus code

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