Get the latest NFL MVP betting odds and track movement for all top players during the 2025 NFL season.
2025 NFL MVP Odds to Win
| Player | Team | Current Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Matthew Stafford | Los Angeles Rams | -300 |
| Drake Maye | New England Patriots | +425 |
| Josh Allen | Buffalo Bills | +550 |
| Bo Nix | Denver Broncos | +7500 |
| Jordan Love | Green Bay Packers | +7500 |
| Caleb Williams | Chicago Bears | +10000 |
| Sam Darnold | Seattle Seahawks | +10000 |
| Justin Herbert | Los Angeles Chargers | +10000 |
| Dak Prescott | Dallas Cowboys | +15000 |
| Trevor Lawrence | Jacksonville Jaguars | +15000 |
Favorites to win the 2025 NFL MVP:
Matthew Stafford is the current favorite to win the 2025 NFL MVP at -300 odds. He is followed by:
- Drake Maye (+425)
- Josh Allen (+550)
- Bo Nix (+7500)
- Jordan Love (+7500)
Best Bet to win the 2025 NFL MVP:
Matthew Stafford (-300)
With just three weeks remaining in the 2025 regular season, Stafford has pulled ahead in the MVP race.
He did fall 209 yards behind Dak Prescott as the league's passing yards leader this past week, but he's still thrown 8 more touchdown passes than the next-closest quarterback (Jared Goff with 29).
Stafford also ranks among the top 10 in most major passing metrics: seventh with 7.9 yards per completion, fourth with a 69.7 QBR, and first with a 112.2 passer rating.
NFL MVP Betting Trends
- The last 12 winners of the NFL MVP award have been quarterbacks.
- Since 2001, only 3 non-quarterbacks have won NFL MVP – all were running backs.
- Since 2001, almost every NFL MVP winner has been on a team that won at least 11 games. Adrian Peterson’s MVP season was the only exception, with the Vikings winning 10 games in 2012.
When Should You Bet on NFL MVP?
If you're betting on MVP favorites, you should place bets closer to the start of the season — that way you'll keep funds in your account for an extra couple of months.
When placing a future bet like the 2025 NFL MVP, an important concept to understand is the time value of money, the concept that money is worth more now than the same sum will be worth in the future due to its earning potential in the interim.
Wagering now comes at an opportunity cost as the 2025 NFL MVP bet will not be graded until February 2025, tying up funds wagered for nearly 10 months.
Does this concept mean no MVP bets should be made until closer to the season? No, the offseason is a great time to identify mispriced higher-odds players that could have their odds shift significantly with roster changes. Also, the players with higher odds reduce the time value effect as the potential payout is higher.
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