Every week during the NFL season, our experts will give you their favorite same game parlays from that week’s action.
Same Game Parlays have grown in popularity in recent seasons as recreational gamblers are drawn to parlay bets.
Parlays are especially exciting for casual gamblers looking to win more than double the original bet.
The sportsbook edge or hold on parlays is greater than on single bets because the hold is compounded during each additional bet.
This edge can be reduced by selecting correlated outcomes, as the likelihood of both occurring together may be higher than what the sportsbook’s odds suggest.
By identifying correlated outcomes, there’s a potential to turn a fun and recreational bet into a +EV opportunity.
What is a same game parlay?
A same game parlay is a wager that combines multiple bet outcomes or “legs” from a single game. Combining these bets increases the risk and, therefore, the potential payout if every leg hits.
These wagers are very often correlated, meaning if one of the legs wins, it is more likely the other legs will win as well.
Same Game Parlay Picks, Predictions & Bets for Super Bowl LX
Seahawks vs. Patriots Same Game Parlay: Super Bowl 60
- Seahawks -4.5
- Sam Darnold (Seahawks) 21+ Completions
- A.J. Barner (Seahawks) 26+ Receiving Yards
This Same Game Parlay is designed around a Seahawks Super Bowl victory.
The Patriots defense has smothered opposing rushers in the postseason, allowing 3.1 yards per rush and a 29.8% success rate.
If the Seahawks have success, it is likely correlated with Sam Darnold having success in the passing game.
From Week 13 on, the Seahawks have focused on a shorter, higher success rate passing game, ideally reducing Darnold's mistakes.
Darold's average air yards decreased to 6.0, increasing his expected completion percentage to 69.0%.
A.J. Barner has been relatively quiet in the postseason, but he has a 76.3% route participation percentage rate, up from 69.1% in the regular season.
The Patriots' pass defense has impressed in the postseason, holding opposing quarterbacks to a 51.4% completion rate.
However, passes to tight ends have generated a 70% completion rate over that span.
Seahawks vs. Patriots Same Game Parlay: Super Bowl 60
- Patriots +4.5
- Patriots/Seahawks Under 45.5
- Sam Darnold (Seahawks) 1+ Interception Thrown
- Hunter Henry (Patriots) 4+ Receptions
This Same Game Parlay is designed for those looking to take the Patriots against the spread or potentially the moneyline to increase the odds.
The Seahawks committed 8 offensive turnovers in their three losses this season, including 5 interceptions by Sam Darnold.
The Patriots defense has forced 5 interceptions in their past two games.
They have forced pressure on 51.9% of opponent drop-backs in the playoffs, up 13.5% from the regular season.
The Patriots offense has struggled in the postseason, averaging 4.3 yards per play and a 37.5% success rate.
The path to victory against the Seahawks is most likely in a lower-scoring game.
Tight ends have had success against this top-tier Seahawks defense in comparison to wide receivers.
The Seahawks allowed 63.5 yards to opposing tight ends this season.
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