Every week during the NFL season, our experts will give you their favorite same game parlays from that week’s action.
Same Game Parlays have grown in popularity in recent seasons as recreational gamblers are drawn to parlay bets.
Parlays are especially exciting for casual gamblers looking to win more than double the original bet.
The sportsbook edge or hold on parlays is greater than on single bets because the hold is compounded during each additional bet.
This edge can be reduced by selecting correlated outcomes, as the likelihood of both occurring together may be higher than what the sportsbook’s odds suggest.
By identifying correlated outcomes, there’s a potential to turn a fun and recreational bet into a +EV opportunity.
What is a same game parlay?
A same game parlay is a wager that combines multiple bet outcomes or “legs” from a single game. Combining these bets increases the risk and, therefore, the potential payout if every leg hits.
These wagers are very often correlated, meaning if one of the legs wins, it is more likely the other legs will win as well.
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Same Game Parlay Picks, Predictions & Bets for Week 18
Panthers vs. Buccaneers Same Game Parlay:
- Panthers/Buccaneers 1st half Under 21.5
- Bucky Irving (Buccaneers) Over 60.5 Rushing Yards
In the Week 16 matchup, the Bucs took a run centric approach against the Panthers with a -24% pass rate above expectation on first downs.
Irving has handled 71% of the running back carries over the past three weeks, including 82% of the carries outside of the redzone.
The Panthers rank 29th on the season with a -5.8 pass rate over expectation, both teams could open the game leaning on the rushing attack.
The Carolina Panthers average 8.0 points in the first half of games this season.
Seahawks vs. 49ers Same Game Parlay:
- Seahawks Moneyline
- Zach Charbonnet (Seahawks) Anytime Touchdown
Even though it's Week 18 the betting markets have not adjusted for the Seahawks running back usage this season as both Charbonnet and Kenneth Walker are lined too close for anytime touchdowns.
Charbonnet has scored 11 rushing touchdowns this season compared to Walker's 5 and Charbonnet has handled 69.2% of the running back carries inside the 5-yard line this season.
Over the past 7 games the 49ers have allowed 7 running back rushing touchdowns.
The 49ers enter a short week game with several key players on the injury report including Trent Williams and George Kittle.
Over the past three weeks the 49ers have allowed an average of 29.7 points per game, which includes matchups against Cam Ward and Phillip Rivers.
The 49ers have out produced the struggling defense, which is a difficult task against the Seahawks who rank 1st in DVOA.
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