Every week during the NFL season, our experts will give you their favorite same game parlays from that week’s action.
Same Game Parlays have grown in popularity in recent seasons as recreational gamblers are drawn to parlay bets.
Parlays are especially exciting for casual gamblers looking to win more than double the original bet.
The sportsbook edge or hold on parlays is greater than on single bets because the hold is compounded during each additional bet.
This edge can be reduced by selecting correlated outcomes, as the likelihood of both occurring together may be higher than what the sportsbook’s odds suggest.
By identifying correlated outcomes, there’s a potential to turn a fun and recreational bet into a +EV opportunity.
What is a same game parlay?
A same game parlay is a wager that combines multiple bet outcomes or “legs” from a single game. Combining these bets increases the risk and, therefore, the potential payout if every leg hits.
These wagers are very often correlated, meaning if one of the legs wins, it is more likely the other legs will win as well.
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Same Game Parlay Picks, Predictions & Bets for Week 17
Cowboys vs. Commanders Same Game Parlay:
- Cowboys -7
- CeeDee Lamb (Cowboys) Over 5.5 Receptions
- Chris Rodriguez Jr. (Commanders) Over 52.5 Rushing Yards
The Commanders have quietly quit after multiple Jayden Daniels injuries, losing nine of their last 10 games.
Since Week 10, the Commanders have passed 15% below expectation on first downs.
Over the past 10 games, the Commanders have allowed 30.3 points per game and have a -128 point differential.
The Cowboys offense is first in drive distance and fifth in points per drive, whereas the Commanders defense is last in drive distance and second to last in points per drive allowed.
Rodriguez had 15 carries in his return after a one-game absence, but more importantly, he had all 9 running back carries in the second half against the Eagles.
Lions vs. Vikings Same Game Parlay:
- Vikings +7.5
- Vikings/Lions Under 43.5
- Justin Jefferson (Vikings) Over 4.5 Receptions
This parlay is correlating taking the points with a home underdog and the under in what is potentially a low-scoring division game.
Brian Flores has been in his bag over the back half of the season.
The Vikings defense has held opposing teams under 100 passing yards in three of the past four games.
The Lions are dealing with cluster injuries on their offensive line.
Even if Taylor Decker and Graham Glasgow return on a short week, the Vikings should be able to pressure Jared Goff.
The secondary of the Lions is also dealing with cluster injuries.
Justin Jefferson has 8 targets in consecutive games, and the Lions rank 22nd in DVOA against WR1s.
Broncos vs. Chiefs Same Game Parlay:
- Chris Oladokun (Chiefs) 20+ Rushing Yards
- RJ Harvey (Broncos) 70+ Rushing Yards
As double-digit favorites against a team missing multiple members of the offensive line and starting its third-string quarterback, Broncos running backs are likely to see a big workload playing with a lead.
Oladokun faces a defense that leads the league in sacks and is playing with a makeshift offensive line.
It's safe to say he could be on the move, scrambling enough to hit this alternative rushing total.
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