Every week during the NFL season, our experts will give you their favorite same game parlays from that week’s action.
Same Game Parlays have grown in popularity in recent seasons as recreational gamblers are drawn to parlay bets.
Parlays are especially exciting for casual gamblers looking to win more than double the original bet.
The sportsbook edge or hold on parlays is greater than on single bets because the hold is compounded during each additional bet.
This edge can be reduced by selecting correlated outcomes, as the likelihood of both occurring together may be higher than what the sportsbook’s odds suggest.
By identifying correlated outcomes, there’s a potential to turn a fun and recreational bet into a +EV opportunity.
What is a same game parlay?
A same game parlay is a wager that combines multiple bet outcomes or “legs” from a single game. Combining these bets increases the risk and, therefore, the potential payout if every leg hits.
These wagers are very often correlated, meaning if one of the legs wins, it is more likely the other legs will win as well.
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Same Game Parlay Picks, Predictions & Bets for Week 16
Eagles vs. Commanders Same Game Parlay:
- Marcus Mariota (Commanders) Over 28.5 Rushing Yards
- AJ Brown (Eagles) 80+ Receiving Yards
- Jalen Hurts (Eagles) 2+ Passing Touchdowns
Despite the offensive struggles, Hurts is one passing touchdown behind his career high and faces a Commanders defense which has allowed the third most passing touchdowns.
Mariota has 10 rush attempts in each of his last two starts and without Laremy Tunsil could be forced to scramble more in a trailing game script.
The Commanders defense has played man coverage on 25% of snaps, which benefits Brown, who had three consecutive 100-yard games prior to last week.
Packers vs. Bears Same Game Parlay:
- Packers/Bears Over 46.5 Points
- Kyle Monangai (Bears) 50+ Rushing Yards
- Jordan Love (Packers) 250+ Passing Yards
The Packers are missing key players on all levels of their defense, providing Ben Johnson avenues of success on offense.
In the past three games both the Packers and their opponents have scored at least 20 points, with an average of 54 points scored in each game.
In the first meeting against the Bears, Love has a completion percentage 12% over expectation but only had 25 passing attempts.
Monangai has at least 10 carries in each of his last 5 games and D'Andre Swift popped up on the injury report with a groin injury.
The Bears had a 67% success rate on rushes in the first meeting and are averaging 151 rushing yards per game.
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