Every week during the NFL season, our experts will give you their favorite same game parlays from that week’s action.
Same Game Parlays have grown in popularity in recent seasons as recreational gamblers are drawn to parlay bets.
Parlays are especially exciting for casual gamblers looking to win more than double the original bet.
The sportsbook edge or hold on parlays is greater than on single bets because the hold is compounded during each additional bet.
This edge can be reduced by selecting correlated outcomes, as the likelihood of both occurring together may be higher than what the sportsbook’s odds suggest.
By identifying correlated outcomes, there’s a potential to turn a fun and recreational bet into a +EV opportunity.
What is a same game parlay?
A same game parlay is a wager that combines multiple bet outcomes or “legs” from a single game. Combining these bets increases the risk and, therefore, the potential payout if every leg hits.
These wagers are very often correlated, meaning if one of the legs wins, it is more likely the other legs will win as well.
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Same Game Parlay Picks, Predictions & Bets for Week 17
Rams vs. Falcons Same Game Parlay:
- Rams/Falcons Over 49
- Matthew Stafford (Rams) 3+ Passing Touchdowns
This same game parlay is a narrative-based bet in a game that has little importance to the standings.
The Rams are no longer able to clinch first place, and Sean McVay rested his starters last year even though seeding could change, but that is more likely next week.
The NFL MVP is basically a two-horse race between Matthew Stafford and Drake Maye.
Maye torched the Jets for 5 passing touchdowns on Sunday.
Stafford has to “return serve” with a decent showing in what is likely his last game until the playoffs.
The Rams' heavy personnel and man concept run scheme should have success against the Falcons defense, who like to play lighter on defense.
As per Rich Hribar's Worksheet, Stafford has thrown 27 touchdowns and 0 interceptions against the blitz this season, and the Falcons have blitzed opposing quarterbacks at the second-highest rate on the season.
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