Every week during the NFL season, our experts will give you their favorite same game parlays from that week’s action.
Same Game Parlays have grown in popularity in recent seasons as recreational gamblers are drawn to parlay bets.
Parlays are especially exciting for casual gamblers looking to win more than double the original bet.
The sportsbook edge or hold on parlays is greater than on single bets because the hold is compounded during each additional bet.
This edge can be reduced by selecting correlated outcomes, as the likelihood of both occurring together may be higher than what the sportsbook’s odds suggest.
By identifying correlated outcomes, there’s a potential to turn a fun and recreational bet into a +EV opportunity.
What is a same game parlay?
A same game parlay is a wager that combines multiple bet outcomes or “legs” from a single game. Combining these bets increases the risk and, therefore, the potential payout if every leg hits.
These wagers are very often correlated, meaning if one of the legs wins, it is more likely the other legs will win as well.
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Same Game Parlay Picks, Predictions & Bets for Week 16
Jaguars vs. Broncos Same Game Parlay:
- Jaguars/Broncos Over46.5
- Bo Nix (Broncos) 260+ Passing Yards
- Courtland Sutton (Broncos) 70+ Receiving Yards
- Brenton Strange (Jaguars) Over 38.5 Receiving Yards
This same game parlay is built around both teams passing at a high rate as both defenses are elite against the run.
Nix has averaged 38.5 pass attempts over the past month and the Broncos have passed 6% over expectation over that span.
Strange has had limited usage, however, he has had receptions of 20 yards or more in four of his last five games.
The Broncos have allowed 90 yards per game to opposing tight ends over the past 4 games.
Ravens vs. Patriots Same Game Parlay:
- Ravens -6.5
- Keaton Mitchell (Ravens) Over 24.5 Rushing Yards
This same game parlay is built around the Ravens taking care of business in a must-win game at home.
The game is also very important for the Patriots, who are still chasing down a No. 1 seed, but the Ravens' playoff odds would drop to 27% if they lose on Sunday night.
Keaton Mitchell has consistently gotten more work over the last few weeks, and the Patriots' run defense has not been the same since losing Milton Williams.
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