Best Same Game Parlay Bets: Picks & Predictions, Week 14

Every week during the NFL season, our experts will give you their favorite same game parlays from that week’s action.

Same Game Parlays have grown in popularity in recent seasons as recreational gamblers are drawn to parlay bets.

Parlays are especially exciting for casual gamblers looking to win more than double the original bet.

The sportsbook edge or hold on parlays is greater than on single bets because the hold is compounded during each additional bet.

This edge can be reduced by selecting correlated outcomes, as the likelihood of both occurring together may be higher than what the sportsbook’s odds suggest.

By identifying correlated outcomes, there’s a potential to turn a fun and recreational bet into a +EV opportunity.

What is a same game parlay?

A same game parlay is a wager that combines multiple bet outcomes or “legs” from a single game. Combining these bets increases the risk and, therefore, the potential payout if every leg hits.

These wagers are very often correlated, meaning if one of the legs wins, it is more likely the other legs will win as well.

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Same Game Parlay Picks, Predictions & Bets for Week 14

Commanders vs. Vikings Same Game Parlay:

Justin Jefferson (Vikings) Anytime Touchdown
JJ McCarthy (Vikings) Alt Over 300+ Passing Yards

This same game parlay is a long shot based on a JJ McCarthy having a breakout passing game.

The Commanders defense has allowed more than 300 passing yards in 3 of their last 4 games and are allowing 9.2 yards per pass attempt over that span.

The Commanders defense is 29th in EPA on deep passes and 30th in EPA on short passes.

McCarthy throws 59.8% of his passes behind the line of scrimmage or 9 yards or less down the field, which can take advantage of the Commanders linebacker group.

Jefferson only has 2 touchdowns this season, but both have been from J.J. McCarthy.

McCarthy has targeted Jefferson on 61.5% of his end zone targets.

» Bet it now +2500

Saints vs. Buccaneers Same Game Parlay:

Emeka Egbuka (Buccaneers) 80+ Receiving Yards
Devin Neal (Saints) 4+ Receptions
Tyler Shough (Saints) 36+ Passing Attempts

Opposing offenses rank 2nd in pass rate over expectation against the Buccaneers, who are a pass-funnel defense.

Shough has averaged 40.5 pass attempts over the past two games and the Saints had 51 pass attempts in the previous meeting, in a game which was 7-3 at half time.

Neal has 3 receptions in three consecutive games and the Buccaneers are ranked 31st in DVOA to running back passes allowing 4.8 receptions and 56.8 yards per game to running backs.

In Egbuka’s last five games he’s accounted for 31.1% of the Buccaneer’s targets and 44.6% of the air yards.

» Bet it now +1300