Every week during the NFL season, our experts will give you their favorite same game parlays from that week’s action.
Same Game Parlays have grown in popularity in recent seasons as recreational gamblers are drawn to parlay bets.
Parlays are especially exciting for casual gamblers looking to win more than double the original bet.
The sportsbook edge or hold on parlays is greater than on single bets because the hold is compounded during each additional bet.
This edge can be reduced by selecting correlated outcomes, as the likelihood of both occurring together may be higher than what the sportsbook’s odds suggest.
By identifying correlated outcomes, there’s a potential to turn a fun and recreational bet into a +EV opportunity.
What is a same game parlay?
A same game parlay is a wager that combines multiple bet outcomes or “legs” from a single game. Combining these bets increases the risk and, therefore, the potential payout if every leg hits.
These wagers are very often correlated, meaning if one of the legs wins, it is more likely the other legs will win as well.
Don't Miss Out on the Best Betting Recommendations Available
Warren Sharp is entering his 20th year providing winning betting recommendations to clients.
He has hit on 57% of his lifetime college recommendations, including 73% of his top selections.
A $100 bettor was up $15,636 following Warren’s picks for both college and the NFL last season.
Click here to learn more about 2025 Betting Packages!
Same Game Parlay Picks, Predictions & Bets for Week 3
Dolphins vs. Bills Same Game Parlay:
- Josh Palmer (Bills) Anytime Touchdown
- De'Von Achane (Dolphins) Over 38.5 Receiving Yards
- Buffalo Bills -6.5
The Buffalo Bills were touchdown or more favorites three times last season, and they scored a single touchdown in the first half of each of those games.
Head coach Sean McDermott is 7-0 on Thursday Night Football with Josh Allen as his quarterback, with an average winning margin of 14.4 points.
Mike McDaniel is 0-3 on Thursday Night Football with an average losing margin of 15.3 points.
The Dolphins defense has allowed a 31st-ranked 49.6% success rate, which has resulted in a league-low 23:16 time of possession.
The Bills lead the league with 36:35 time of possession.
As a result of the defense being on the field at the highest rate, the Dolphins offense is averaging 49 offensive plays per game, posing a problem for offensive player stats.
Achane's speed looks like it could pose a problem against this Bills defense.
Achane was the leading rusher and receiver in Week 2 against the Bills last year, and he was the leading rusher with 58 receiving yards in the rematch.
The Dolphins have allowed receiving touchdowns to Michael Pittman, Mack Hollins, and Kayshon Boutte in the first two weeks.
This matchup is solid for both Keon Coleman and Josh Palmer, but we are taking the larger payout with Palmer, who leads the Bills in red zone routes.