Every week during the NFL season, our experts will give you their favorite same game parlays from that week’s action.
Same Game Parlays have grown in popularity in recent seasons as recreational gamblers are drawn to parlay bets.
Parlays are especially exciting for casual gamblers looking to win more than double the original bet.
The sportsbook edge or hold on parlays is greater than on single bets because the hold is compounded during each additional bet.
This edge can be reduced by selecting correlated outcomes, as the likelihood of both occurring together may be higher than what the sportsbook’s odds suggest.
By identifying correlated outcomes, there’s a potential to turn a fun and recreational bet into a +EV opportunity.
What is a same game parlay?
A same game parlay is a wager that combines multiple bet outcomes or “legs” from a single game. Combining these bets increases the risk and, therefore, the potential payout if every leg hits.
These wagers are very often correlated, meaning if one of the legs wins, it is more likely the other legs will win as well.
Same Game Parlay Picks, Predictions & Bets for Wild Card Weekend
Rams vs. Panthers Same Game Parlay:
- Rams Over 27.5 Points
- Kyren Williams (Rams) Over 64.5 Rushing Yards
- Kyren Williams (Rams) Anytime Touchdown
This parlay is built around the idea that the Rams will not have three turnovers and the Panthers won't be allowed to pass 24% below expectation.
In the regular season meeting, the Rams had a 76% rushing success rate, averaging 0.53 EPA per rush — a 100th percentile performance.
The Rams averaged 3.05 yards before contact in the first matchup, as their inside run scheme is a nightmare matchup for the Panthers defense.
Packers vs. Bears Same Game Parlay:
- Packers Moneyline
- Josh Jacobs (Packers) Anytime Touchdown
- Kyle Monangai (Bears) Over 44.5 Rushing Yards
In the first 9 games of the season when Jacobs was presumably healthy he scored in 8 of 9 games and totaled 11 rushing touchdowns.
Jacobs is on record stating he is the healthiest he has been in weeks and faces a Bears defense which is 26th in EPA/rush and allowed 15 rushing touchdowns this season.
Monangai has had success against the Packers this season averaging 4.7 yards per rush, the Packers ranks 26th against inside rushes providing a solid matchup for the rookie running back.
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