Every week during the NFL season, our experts will give you their favorite same game parlays from that week’s action.
Same Game Parlays have grown in popularity in recent seasons as recreational gamblers are drawn to parlay bets.
Parlays are especially exciting for casual gamblers looking to win more than double the original bet.
The sportsbook edge or hold on parlays is greater than on single bets because the hold is compounded during each additional bet.
This edge can be reduced by selecting correlated outcomes, as the likelihood of both occurring together may be higher than what the sportsbook’s odds suggest.
By identifying correlated outcomes, there’s a potential to turn a fun and recreational bet into a +EV opportunity.
What is a same game parlay?
A same game parlay is a wager that combines multiple bet outcomes or “legs” from a single game. Combining these bets increases the risk and, therefore, the potential payout if every leg hits.
These wagers are very often correlated, meaning if one of the legs wins, it is more likely the other legs will win as well.
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Same Game Parlay Picks, Predictions & Bets for Week 15
Dolphins vs. Steelers Same Game Parlay:
- Dolphins +3
- Jaylen Wright (Dolphins) 20+ Rushing Yards
- Dolphins/Steelers Under 42.5 Points
Correlated pick taking the underdog plus the points and the under in this Monday Night Football matchup.
Aaron Rodgers is known for slowing down the offense, and the Dolphins have pivoted to a higher rush rate.
Both teams rank in the bottom three in offensive plays per game as a result.
Without T.J. Watt, the Steelers are in a tough spot against a Dolphins run game that has averaged 5.7 yards per carry since Week 10.
The Dolphins have quietly improved on defense over the back half of the season, holding five of their previous 6 opponents under 220 passing yards.
They have held their four previous opponents to 17 points or fewer.
De'Von Achane is suiting up on Monday but is playing at less than 100% in some frigid temperatures, and Ollie Gordon tends to be the short-yardage back, increasing the likelihood that Jaylen Wright is involved.
Wright had 24 carries last week in a game Achane left early.
The sophomore running back is likely to be used between the 20s when Achane is off the field.
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