Every week during the NFL season, our experts will give you their favorite same game parlays from that week’s action.
Same Game Parlays have grown in popularity in recent seasons as recreational gamblers are drawn to parlay bets.
Parlays are especially exciting for casual gamblers looking to win more than double the original bet.
The sportsbook edge or hold on parlays is greater than on single bets because the hold is compounded during each additional bet.
This edge can be reduced by selecting correlated outcomes, as the likelihood of both occurring together may be higher than what the sportsbook’s odds suggest.
By identifying correlated outcomes, there’s a potential to turn a fun and recreational bet into a +EV opportunity.
What is a same game parlay?
A same game parlay is a wager that combines multiple bet outcomes or “legs” from a single game. Combining these bets increases the risk and, therefore, the potential payout if every leg hits.
These wagers are very often correlated, meaning if one of the legs wins, it is more likely the other legs will win as well.
Same Game Parlay Picks, Predictions & Bets for Championship Round
Patriots vs. Broncos Same Game Parlay: AFC Championship Game
- Patriots/Broncos Over 42.5
- Jarrett Stidham (Broncos) 20+ Completions
- Evan Engram (Broncos) 25+ Receiving Yards
This same game parlay is focused on two potential inefficiencies in public perception: Jarrett Stidham and the Broncos defense.
The Broncos defense finished third, allowing 18.3 points per game this season, but did not face a team that finished in the top five in terms of points scored all season.
The Broncos played three teams that ranked from six to 10 in points scored: the Jaguars, Cowboys, and Colts.
Those teams averaged 29 points per game against the Broncos.
Since joining the Broncos, Sean Payton‘s offense has thrown 27.6% of the passes behind the line of scrimmage, the third-highest rate in the league.
The Patriots are a pass funnel with Milton Williams on the field, and RJ Harvey averages 3.7 yards per carry, increasing the likelihood that Stidham will pass more than expected.
Rams vs. Seahawks Same Game Parlay: NFC Championship Game
- Rams/Seahawks Under 46.5 Points
- Kyren Williams (Rams) Over 54.5 Rushing Yards
- Rashid Shaheed (Seahawks) Under 2.5 Receptions
After opening the playoffs with 8 straight completions, Matthew Stafford has completed 44.4% of his passes as he is potentially dealing with a hand injury.
Shaheed has played three consecutive games with a single target and has only one reception in 12-personnel formations since joining the Seahawks.
The Seahawks offense has averaged 5.3 yards per rush out of 12-personnel and could lean on heavy sets against a Rams defense that has been below average against runs with multiple tight ends.
Williams had 77.8% of the Rams' carries last week and rushed for at least 70 yards in the first two meetings against the Seahawks.
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