Every week during the NFL season, our experts will give you their favorite same game parlays from that week’s action.
Same Game Parlays have grown in popularity in recent seasons as recreational gamblers are drawn to parlay bets.
Parlays are especially exciting for casual gamblers looking to win more than double the original bet.
The sportsbook edge or hold on parlays is greater than on single bets because the hold is compounded during each additional bet.
This edge can be reduced by selecting correlated outcomes, as the likelihood of both occurring together may be higher than what the sportsbook’s odds suggest.
By identifying correlated outcomes, there’s a potential to turn a fun and recreational bet into a +EV opportunity.
What is a same game parlay?
A same game parlay is a wager that combines multiple bet outcomes or “legs” from a single game. Combining these bets increases the risk and, therefore, the potential payout if every leg hits.
These wagers are very often correlated, meaning if one of the legs wins, it is more likely the other legs will win as well.
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Same Game Parlay Picks Predictions & Bets for Divisional Playoff Round
Rams vs. Eagles Same Game Parlay:
- Rams Team Total Under 19.5
- Matthew Stafford (Rams) Over 1 Interception
- Dallas Goedert (Eagles) 40+ Receiving Yards
If you combined every leg from this same game parlay, the odds would be +495.
The deck is stacked against the Rams, who are playing on a short week traveling from Arizona to Los Angeles to Philadelphia while dealing with a close to home natural disaster.
In addition to the travel schedule, a dome team travels to the cold Philadelphia environment with forecasts of snow and wind.
Matthew Stafford has struggled in snow/rain games and now faces the opposite defense of last week as Vic Fangio blitzes at a bottom-five rate.
Jalen Hurts looked rusty in his return from a multi-week concussion absence, which bodes well for Goedert, who has been a safety blanket for Hurts this season catching 80.7% of the targets.
The Rams allowed 63.8 yards per game to opposing tight ends including 64 yards and a touchdown to T.J. Hockenson on Monday night.
Ravens vs. Bills Same Game Parlay:
- First Half Under 24.5
- Isaiah Likely (Ravens) 50+ Receiving Yards
- Amari Cooper (Bills) Over 21.5 Receiving Yards
If you combined every leg from this same game parlay, the odds would be +900.
It is a biased assumption that Sean McDermott will approach this game similarly to last week, a conservative gameplan in which the Bills orchestrated an 11-play 39-yard drive late in the second quarter of a 3-point game.
One bugaboo of the Ravens defense has been passes which are 15 or more air yards.
Russell Wilson completed all three passes at that distance last week, and the Ravens ranked 26th in the regular season allowing a 47.8% completion rate.
Amari Cooper averaged 14.8 air yards in the regular season after joining the Bills, so it would make sense for his usage to increase in this matchup.
