Every week during the NFL season, our experts will share their favorite same game parlay picks from this week's action.
Same Game Parlays have grown in popularity in recent seasons as recreational gamblers are drawn to parlay bets.
Parlays are especially exciting for casual gamblers looking to win more than double the original bet.
The sportsbook edge on parlays is greater than on single bets because the edge is compounded during each additional bet.
This edge can be reduced by selecting correlated outcomes, as the likelihood of both occurring together may be higher than what the sportsbook's odds suggest.
By identifying correlated outcomes, you can turn a fun, recreational bet into a +EV opportunity.
What is a same game parlay?
A same game parlay is a wager that combines multiple bet outcomes or “legs” from a single game. Combining these bets increases the risk and, therefore, the potential payout if every leg hits.
These wagers are very often correlated, meaning if one of the legs wins, it is more likely the other legs will win as well.
Week 5 NFL Parlay Picks
Ram vs Bills Same Game Parlay Picks
- Khalil Shakir Over 45.5 Receiving Yards
- James Cook Over 11.5 Receiving Yards
- Josh Allen Over 34+ Passing Attempts
Odds:+375
The Buffalo Bills enter Monday Night Football with significant injuries at the wide receiver position, as Joshua Palmer has been ruled out and DJ Moore is fighting through a significant shoulder injury.
The Rams off-season additions include Trent McDuffie and Jaylen Watson, who are likely to limit Keon Coleman in man-coverage.
Shakir led the Bills in routes last week and had a season high 85.7% route rate on Bills drop backs, leading to 8 targets.
The Bills are 3.5 point underdogs and there defense is currently ranked 28th in defensive series success rate, Sean McVay should have success against this Bills defense, forcing the Bills to lean on Josh Allen.
James Cook has not had an increased receiving role, despite the wish casting from his fantasy managers based on coach speak, but he has been targeted on 45% of his routes in 12 personnel this season.
Given the lack of healthy options at wide receiver and the tight end depth chart of Dalton Kincaid, Dawson Knox, and Jackson Hawes it wouldn't be shocking to see the Bills elevate their multiple tight end usage tonight.
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