Every week during the NFL season, our experts will share their favorite same game parlay picks from this week's action.
Same Game Parlays have grown in popularity in recent seasons as recreational gamblers are drawn to parlay bets.
Parlays are especially exciting for casual gamblers looking to win more than double the original bet.
The sportsbook edge on parlays is greater than on single bets because the edge is compounded during each additional bet.
This edge can be reduced by selecting correlated outcomes, as the likelihood of both occurring together may be higher than what the sportsbook's odds suggest.
By identifying correlated outcomes, there's a potential to turn a fun and recreational bet into a +EV opportunity.
What is a same game parlay?
A same game parlay is a wager that combines multiple bet outcomes or “legs” from a single game. Combining these bets increases the risk and, therefore, the potential payout if every leg hits.
These wagers are very often correlated, meaning if one of the legs wins, it is more likely the other legs will win as well.
Week 1 NFL Parlay Picks
Bills vs. Texans Same Game Parlay Picks
- Alt Over 47.5 Points
- Nico Collins 80+ Receiving Yards
- D.J. Moore 60 + Receiving Yards
- David Montgomery 12+ Receiving Yards
Odds: +1600
This Parlay is based on both offenses having a legitimate path to more success than projected.
Bills players have had some interesting quotes regarding the changes from Sean McDermott‘s defense to the Jim Leonhard system.
Ed Oliver said, “Everything you did in the last relationship, throw that out.”
Given the significant changes to Buffalo's defense, the potential growing pains of learning an entirely new system, and the fact that Houston showed up in Rich Hribar's offensive regression series, the Texans offense could exceed expectations at home in Week 1.
Josh Allen has had a miserable time against DeMeco Ryans in recent years.
However, this is the best and healthiest group of receivers he's had since the departure of Stefon Diggs.
Should Leonhard increase the defensive aggressiveness, Nico Collins would benefit, as he is an elite producer against man coverage.
Bears vs. Panthers Same Game Parlay Picks
- Bryce Young Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
- Bryce Young 230+ Passing Yards
- Colston Loveland 70+ Receiving Yards
- Tetairoa McMillan 5+ Receptions
Odds: +1000
The Bears finished last season ranking 31st in ESPN's Pass Rush Win Rate, which bodes well for the Panthers who are banged up along the offensive line to start the season.
Bryce Young finished the 2025 campaign with back-to-back 264 and 266 yard passing performances against the Buccaneers and Rams defenses, who were elite at rushing the passer.
Along with an underwhelming pass rush, the Bears are thin in the secondary as Kyler Gordon and Cobe Bryant are on the IR and Xavier Woods is questionable with a groin injury.
The Bears have the ingredients for an over game environment with a strong offense and defense with several question marks.
Colston Loveland finished his rookie season as the Bears most reliable pass catcher racking up 378 receiving yards in his final four games, including the playoffs.
Bryce Young finished the 2025 campaign with back-to-back 264 and 266 yard passing performances against the Buccaneers and Rams defenses, who were elite at rushing the passer.
Cowboys vs. Giants Same Game Parlay Picks
- Under 48.5 Points
- Dak Prescott Under 260.5 Passing Yards
- Cam Skattebo Under 2.5 Receptions
- Javonte Williams Over 76.5 Rushing Yards
Odds: +750
Christian Parker‘s debut as an NFL defensive coordinator.
Get to know the name, as there is a solid chance he is a top candidate for head coaching jobs after this season.
Despite scoring a lot of points, Brian Schottenheimer‘s offenses have passed at a very neutral rate and passed slightly below expectations in 2025.
The vibes around Cam Skattebo and John Harbaugh are notable as Skattebo's unique persona may not mesh with Harbaugh's old school coaching style.
Skattebo is returning from gruesome injury and the Giants currently have more active running backs (including the fullback) than wide receivers on the roster, signaling the possibility of a limited snapshare.
The Cowboys cut both second year running backs Phil Mafah and Jaydon Blue and Malik Davis was placed on the IR on Friday leaving Williams and Emari Demercado as the lone running backs on the roster along with fullback Hunter Luepke.
Williams could be in for a large workload in Week 1, given the matchup as favorites and the injury to Davis, as Demercado was claimed on waivers a week ago.
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