Same Game Parlays have grown in popularity in recent seasons.
Every week during the NFL season, our experts will give you their favorite same game parlays from that week’s action.
Like all parlays, these are hard to hit, but the payouts make them a fun option for those interested in NFL betting.
Sharp Football Analysis has every angle of Chiefs vs. 49ers covered in our Super Bowl 58 Hub.
What is a same game parlay?
A same game parlay is a wager that combines multiple bet outcomes or “legs” from a single game. Combining these bets increases the risk and, therefore, the potential payout if every leg hits.
These wagers are very often correlated, meaning if one of the legs wins, it is more likely the other legs will win as well.
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This year has been another outstanding time to be a betting client at Sharp Football Analysis, with Warren Sharp‘s betting recommendations running extremely hot late in the season:
- Final 11 weeks in NFL: 58-32 (64%)
- Final 2023 Profits: $100 Bettors finished up $8,148
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Historically, we’ve been outstanding in the Super Bowl:
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Same Game Parlay Picks Predictions & Bets for Super Bowl 58
Chiefs vs. 49ers Same Game Parlay:
- Isiah Pacheco (Chiefs) Over 65.5 rushing yards
- Brock Purdy (49ers) Over 12.5 rushing yards
- Deebo Samuel (49ers) Over 4.5 receptions
If you combined all three legs from this same game parlay, the odds would be +435. If you wagered $100 on this, you would profit $435.
Despite the Lions being unable to hang on to their NFC Championship lead against the 49ers, David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs totaled 138 rushing yards on 27 attempts.
That was the second week in a row that the 49ers defense allowed the opposing team to rush for more than 100 yards. Along with the damage done by Lions running backs, Jameson Williams had a 42-yard rushing touchdown.
Look for the Chiefs and Isiah Pacheco to take full advantage of the opposing team’s glaring weakness.
Pacheco had 68 rushing yards against the Ravens in the AFC Championship, but in the Chiefs’ three postseason games, the former Rutgers back has averaged 84.6 yards rushing.
What is also working in the favor of the Chiefs running back is the volume of attempts he is getting.
Along with garnering 49% of the Chiefs’ rushing attempts this season, Pacheco has had more than 20 rushing attempts in two out of his last three games.
Circling back to the 49ers defense, they allowed the second-fewest rushing yards to running backs but they also faced the fewest rushing attempts.
Among the 10 teams with the fewest rushing yards allowed to running backs during the regular season, the 49ers allowed more yards per attempt (4.1) than the other nine teams.
With how opposing teams have attacked the 49ers defense, look for Pacheco to surpass 68.5 yards rushing.
While Christian McCaffrey will be the unquestioned focal point of the 49ers rushing attack, looking for Brock Purdy to scramble for more than 11.5 yards.
Of the many highlights surrounding the 49ers Championship comeback, Purdy had multiple scrambles during the second half and finished with 48 yards rushing.
In his five postseason games played, the 49ers quarterback has surpassed 11.5 yards rushing three times.
In terms of the Chiefs defense, they have allowed 20.1 yards rushing on a per-game basis to quarterbacks during the regular season.
During the postseason, the Chiefs have allowed 50.3 rushing yards per game to the position.
While it might trigger some to compare Purdy’s rushing yards to Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen, it should be noted Tua Tagovailoa had 25 rushing yards in the Wild Card round.
When Purdy is not scrambling, look for the second-year signal caller to lean on Deebo Samuel in the passing game.
While most bettors were concerned about Samuel’s shoulder headed into Championship Sunday, the 49ers star receiver hauled in eight of nine targets.
That would make Samuel’s seventh game this season with more than 4.5 receptions.
In each of the Chiefs’ three games during the playoffs, the defense allowed an opposing wide receiver to record five or more receptions.
The 49ers will look to get their offense rolling with short passes on early downs to Samuel.
Six of the previously mentioned eight receptions in the NFC Championship were attempts of fewer than 10 yards. In the regular season, 75.2% of Samuel’s targets came in first and second down situations.
This is when Samuel will be deployed to attack the Chiefs, and this is where he will surpass his receptions prop.