Steelers vs Browns Prediction, Odds & Prop Bets – Thursday Night Football

• The Browns (1-1) are -4.5 point favorites vs the Steelers (1-1)
• Total (Over/Under): 38.5 points
• Watch the game on Amazon Prime Video

The Pittsburgh Steelers (1-1) visit FirstEnergy Stadium to take on the Cleveland Browns (1-1) on Sep. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in Cleveland for Thursday Night Football.

The Browns are betting favorites in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Steelers vs. Browns Over/Under is 38.5 total points for the game.

Bet the Browns vs Steelers & all NFL games with BetMGM

Steelers vs. Browns Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 3

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Steelers	+4.5 -110	38.5 -110	+165
Browns	-4.5 -110	38.5 -110	-200

Steelers vs. Browns Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Browns will win this Week 3 game with 57.0% confidence.

Steelers vs Browns Spread Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Steelers will cover the spread this Week 3 with 59.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Steelers and Browns, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.

Best Steelers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Steelers players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Pat Freiermuth has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.90 Units / 41% ROI)
• Najee Harris has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.80 Units / 62% ROI)
• Chase Claypool has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+4.55 Units / 23% ROI)
• Pat Freiermuth has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+3.40 Units / 16% ROI)
• Diontae Johnson has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 17 games (+2.40 Units / 12% ROI)

Best Browns Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Browns players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Nick Chubb has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.30 Units / 28% ROI)
• Donovan Peoples-Jones has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 11 games (+3.80 Units / 30% ROI)
• David Njoku has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 13 games (+3.10 Units / 17% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Browns vs Steelers

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Browns vs Steelers

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Browns vs Steelers

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Browns vs Steelers

Steelers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Steelers have gone 1-0 (+1 Units / 45.45% ROI).

• Steelers are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.65 Units / 82.5% ROI
• Steelers are 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
• Steelers are 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / ROI

Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Browns have gone 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

• Browns are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.55 Units / -43.06% ROI
• Browns are 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
• Browns are 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI

Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns

The Steelers are 3-4-1 (.375) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .172.

Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers

The Browns were winless (0-4) when allowing 27 or more points last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .198.

Additional Matchup Notes for Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns

The Browns have a third down conversion rate of 53.3% this season — fifth-best in NFL. The Steelers defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 53.1% this season — tied for third-worst in NFL.

The Steelers have run successful plays on just 35.5% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field since the 2021 season — second-worst in NFL. Browns have allowed successful plays on just 39.7% of pass attempts on their own side of the field since the 2021 season — best in NFL.

Pittsburgh Steelers Offense: Important Stats for Week 3

The Steelers ran the ball on 27% of plays (39 carries/144 plays) in the red zone last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

Cleveland Browns Offense: Important Stats for Week 3

The Browns have rushed for 4 TDs this season — 2nd-most in NFL.

Pittsburgh Steelers Defense: Important Stats for Week 3

The Steelers defense did not record a sack (35 pass attempts) in Week 2 — tied for worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 16.5.

Cleveland Browns Defense: Important Stats for Week 3

The Browns defense has allowed 7.1 yards after the catch (307 RAC / 43 receptions) this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.0.