• The Browns (1-1) are -4.5 point favorites vs the Steelers (1-1)
  • Total (Over/Under): 38.5 points
  • Watch the game on Amazon Prime Video

The Pittsburgh Steelers (1-1) visit FirstEnergy Stadium to take on the Cleveland Browns (1-1) on Sep. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in Cleveland for Thursday Night Football.

The Browns are betting favorites in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Steelers vs. Browns Over/Under is 38.5 total points for the game.

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Steelers vs. Browns Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 3

Spread Total (O/U) Moneyline
Steelers +4.5 -110 38.5 -110 +165
Browns -4.5 -110 38.5 -110 -200

Steelers vs. Browns Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Browns will win this Week 3 game with 57.0% confidence.

Steelers vs Browns Spread Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Steelers will cover the spread this Week 3 with 59.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Steelers and Browns, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.

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Best Steelers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Steelers players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Pat Freiermuth has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.90 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Najee Harris has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.80 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Chase Claypool has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+4.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Pat Freiermuth has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+3.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Diontae Johnson has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 17 games (+2.40 Units / 12% ROI)

Best Browns Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Browns players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Nick Chubb has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.30 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Donovan Peoples-Jones has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 11 games (+3.80 Units / 30% ROI)
  • David Njoku has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 13 games (+3.10 Units / 17% ROI)

First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Browns vs Steelers

PLAYER NAME 1ST TD ODDS
Nick Chubb +400
Kareem Hunt +600
Najee Harris +750
Diontae Johnson +900
Pat Freiermuth +1000

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Browns vs Steelers

PLAYER NAME ANYTIME TD ODDS
Nick Chubb -190
Kareem Hunt -115
Najee Harris +110
Diontae Johnson +145
Pat Freiermuth +160

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Browns vs Steelers

PLAYER NAME OVER UNDER
Kareem Hunt 15.5 -110 15.5 -115
Nick Chubb 8.5 -110 8.5 -120
Chase Claypool 39.5 -115 39.5 -115
George Pickens 27.5 -115 27.5 -115
Pat Freiermuth 38.5 -110 38.5 -115

Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Browns vs Steelers

PLAYER NAME OVER UNDER
Mitchell Trubisky 12.5 -120 12.5 -110
Najee Harris 52.5 -115 52.5 -110
Kareem Hunt 43.5 -115 43.5 -115
Nick Chubb 79.5 -125 79.5 -105
Jacoby Brissett 11.5 -105 11.5 -125
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Steelers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Steelers have gone 1-0 (+1 Units / 45.45% ROI).

  • Steelers are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.65 Units / 82.5% ROI
  • Steelers are 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
  • Steelers are 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / ROI

Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Browns have gone 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Browns are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.55 Units / -43.06% ROI
  • Browns are 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Browns are 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI

Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns

The Steelers are 3-4-1 (.375) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .172.

The Steelers were undefeated (5-0) vs top 10 run defenses last season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .429.

The Steelers were winless (0-4-1) when committing 2 or more turnovers last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .259.

The Steelers are undefeated (5-0) vs top 10 run defenses since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .437.

Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers

The Browns were winless (0-4) when allowing 27 or more points last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .198.

The Browns are winless (0-5) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .172.

The Browns were winless (0-6) when rushing for less than 100 yards last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .322.

The Browns were winless (0-2) when rushing less than 20 times last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .121.

Additional Matchup Notes for Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns

The Browns have a third down conversion rate of 53.3% this season — fifth-best in NFL. The Steelers defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 53.1% this season — tied for third-worst in NFL.

The Browns had a third down conversion rate of 66.7% last week — best in NFL. The Steelers defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 56.2% in Week 2 — fourth-worst in NFL.

Browns RBs have rushed for 10 or more yards on 17.1% of 484 carries since the 2021 season — best in NFL. The Steelers have allowed 10+ yards on 13.0% of carries to RBs since the 2021 season — third-worst in NFL.

The Steelers have run successful plays on just 35.5% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field since the 2021 season — second-worst in NFL. Browns have allowed successful plays on just 39.7% of pass attempts on their own side of the field since the 2021 season — best in NFL.

Steelers RBs have averaged just 48.0 rushing yards per game this season — tied for second-worst in NFL. The Browns have allowed an average of just 74.5 rushing yards per game this season — fourth-best in NFL.

The Steelers have run successful plays on just 40.7% of pass attempts since the 2021 season — third-worst in NFL. Browns have allowed successful plays on just 41.2% of pass attempts since the 2021 season — third-best in NFL.

Pittsburgh Steelers Offense: Important Stats for Week 3

The Steelers ran the ball on 27% of plays (39 carries/144 plays) in the red zone last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 47%.

The Steelers have run 23% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 1st quarter since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Steelers are averaging 12.9 drives per TD in the 1st quarter since the 2020 season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.2.

The Steelers have run successful plays on 31% of pass attempts in the 2nd half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

Cleveland Browns Offense: Important Stats for Week 3

The Browns have rushed for 4 TDs this season — 2nd-most in NFL.

The Browns started 5 drives inside their own 10 yard line last season — fewest in NFL.

The Browns had a third down conversion rate of 67% in Week 2 — best in NFL; League Avg: 38%.

The Browns went three and out on 7% of their drives in the 1st quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 21%.

Pittsburgh Steelers Defense: Important Stats for Week 3

The Steelers defense did not record a sack (35 pass attempts) in Week 2 — tied for worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 16.5.

The Steelers defense allowed 20+ yard rushes 24 times last season — most in NFL.

The Steelers defense has averaged 2.5 interceptions per game (5/2) this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: 0.9.

The Steelers defense forced three and outs on 27% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.

Cleveland Browns Defense: Important Stats for Week 3

The Browns defense has allowed 7.1 yards after the catch (307 RAC / 43 receptions) this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.0.

The Browns defense have allowed 35 broken tackles since Week 16 of the 2021 Season — most in NFL.

The Browns defense has tackled opponents for a loss on 7 of 35 rushing attempts (20% TFL%) this season. — 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: 12%.

28% of the plays run against the Browns have been in the red zone in the 4th quarter this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 16%.

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