Indianapolis | Rank | @ | Tennessee | Rank |
---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Spread | -3 | ||
20.5 | Implied Total | 23.5 | ||
24 | 19 | Points/Gm | 43 | 2 |
30 | 25 | Points All./Gm | 13 | 6 |
62 | 18 | Plays/Gm | 56 | 27 |
59 | 11 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 63 | 17 |
53.2% | 4 | Rush% | 50.0% | 7 |
46.8% | 29 | Pass% | 50.0% | 26 |
35.6% | 13 | Opp. Rush % | 31.8% | 9 |
64.4% | 20 | Opp. Pass % | 68.3% | 24 |
- The Colts are 12-2 against the Titans over the past seven seasons, with both Tennessee wins coming in starts made by Jacoby Brissett.
- Over his past five games played dating back to last season, Derrick Henry has posted 159, 106, 92, 170 and 238 yards from scrimmage.
- Henry has 10 total touchdowns over his past six games played with at least one rushing touchdown in five of his past six games played.
- Henry averages 6.1 yards per rushing attempt in six games against the Colts, his highest YPC against any team he’s faced multiple times.
- The Titans targeted their wide receivers just 41.7 percent of the time in Week 1, ahead of only the Ravens (31.8 percent).
- Marlon Mack has a rushing touchdown in five consecutive games dating back to last season, tied with Chris Carson for the longest active streak in the league.
Trust (spike production for that player)
- Derrick Henry: He carried over his tear from a year ago and continued to dominate the touches in this backfield. We still need to see him tested with a bad game script, but that’s hard to anticipate here as a home favorite against a defense he’s had success against, including a 17-touch, 106-yard game against the Colts in a 16-point loss in Week 17 a year ago.
On the Cusp (proxy of a player’s average)
- Marlon Mack: In a game the Colts never had a lead, Mack out-snapped Nyheim Hines 48-to-17 and led the league in rushing attempts and yards. The Colts’ offensive line is one of the league’s best and Mack now has a rushing touchdown in five of his past six games played. The only objective shade is the team total and being road dog again in back-to-back games, but both elements existed in Week 1.
- Delanie Walker: Walker posted a 5-52-2 line in Week 1 after missing a year on the field. The 35-year-old commanded 25% of the Tennessee targets, which ranked fourth among all tight ends in Week 1. The only slight rub is that he played just 47.5 percent of the snaps (29 total), which was behind both Jonnu Smith and MyCole Pruitt.
- T.Y. Hilton: Hilton accounted for 33 percent of the Colts team targets (nine), 38.1 percent of their receptions and 45.8% of the team receiving yardage in Week 1. The Colts now also lost Devin Funchess to injury. Hilton has had at least 50 receiving yards in nine straight games, the longest active streak in the league.
Bust (down-week production for that player’s standards)
- Titans WRs: This unit is going to be a problem to navigate throughout the season. Corey Davis led the team with 45 snaps, but had just three targets and didn’t catch a pass. Rookie A.J. Brown caught 3-of-4 targets for 100 yards in a strong debut, but played just 26 snaps, which was behind Tajae Sharpe. Adam Humphries is a third-wideout on a team that just isn’t going to run a lot of three-wide sets if they are leading. A sum of parts unit, Davis is the best bet to make based solely on playing time.
- Jacoby Brissett: The Colts asked him to be more of a caretaker in Week 1 as he averaged just 7.0 yards per pass attempt. The Titans secondary just got all over Baker Mayfield on the road and Brissett once again runs into the attachment of being a low-total road dog.
- Colts TEs: Jack Doyle played 43 snaps compared to 25 for Eric Ebron, but Ebron ran 16 pass routes compared to 13 for Doyle as they combined for just 28 yards on five targets. With Devin Funchess out, Ebron may get more of a role as a receiver and is the better bet to chase a touchdown, but both of these players hurt each other’s true opportunities.
If You Must (intriguing bench option or deeper league play)
- Marcus Mariota: His QB9 scoring week on the road in Week 1 is definitely a positive, but he also completed just 58.3% of his passes, had just 24 pass attempts, and was aided by the third-highest touchdown rate of Week 1. But finally healthy, he’s a home favorite against a Colts team that was 31st in completion rate (70.1%) in 2018 and allowed a 73.5% rate in Week 1.