Packers vs. Eagles Fantasy Football Worksheet, Week 10

The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 10 matchup between the Packers and Eagles on Monday Night Football.

Find a breakdown of every Week 10 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.

PhiladelphiaRank@Green BayRank
2.5 Spread-2.5
21.0 Implied Total23.5
26.010Points/Gm25.811
23.119Points All./Gm20.88
57.327Plays/Gm61.118
62.620Opp. Plays/Gm62.119
5.317Off. Yards/Play5.95
5.416Def. Yards/Play4.62
47.60%3Rush%46.63%9
52.40%30Pass%53.37%24
43.31%18Opp. Rush %36.42%2
56.69%15Opp. Pass %63.58%31
  • The Eagles are 9th in EPA as a passing offense (+27.7) over their past four games after ranking 27th over their opening four games (-1.4).
  • Only 39.2% of Philadelphia's sets of downs have reached third down over that span (fourth in the league) after a 55.6% rate prior (29th).
  • 24% of Philadelphia's offensive plays have gained 10 or more yards over that period (third) after a league-low 12% prior.
  • The Packers have averaged 6.0 yards per play (4th) and a 47.2% success rate (4th) on plays with Tucker Kraft on the field this season.
  • On plays without Kraft, they have averaged 5.1 yards per play (24th) with a 38.9% success rate (29th).
  • The Eagles have turned the ball over on a league-low 3.7% of their possessions.
  • Philadelphia has converted a league-high 85% (17 of 20) of its red zone trips into touchdowns and is a perfect 12 of 12 on goal-to-go trips into touchdowns.
  • The Eagles have allowed a touchdown on 46.2% (12 of 26) of opponent red zone trips, third in the league.
  • Opponents have converted a league-high 53.5% of their third downs against the Eagles over their past three games.
  • Philadelphia has converted 10.1% fewer third downs than their opponents, 31st in the league.
  • The Packers have converted 12% more third downs than their opponents, 3rd in the league.
  • Since their Week 5 bye, the Packers have a 53.7% success rate against rushing plays (26th) after a 67.4% rate prior (2nd).

Trust = spike production for that player

Quarterback

Jalen Hurts: It has not always been pretty, but Hurts is coming out of the bye as QB4 in fantasy points per game (21.7).

He has been a QB1 scorer in seven of his eight games.

He has only 1 rushing touchdown over his past five games, so it hasn't all been leaning on the Tush Push.

Hurts has thrown multiple passing touchdowns in five of his past six games.

Hurts remains a QB1 here.

Heading into the bye, we saw the Eagles play more under center.

Hurts was under center for 40.8% and 37.7% of his snaps.

That may not seem like a lot, but those are the two highest rates of his career.

Cam Jurgens played only 15 snaps in those games, and backup center Brett Toth has had issues with shotgun snaps.

Still, it would behoove the Eagles to keep this part of their offense, since it allows for more pre-snap motion and play-action passing.

The Eagles used motion on 57.7% and 55.6% of their dropbacks in those games, two of their three highest rate of the season.

The Eagles used play action whenever Hurts was under center on passing plays.

Using play action this season, Hurts is fifth in rating (130.1), completing 75.6% of his passes for 8.5 yards per attempt with 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

The Packers are a strong test for this offense out of the bye.

Green Bay has allowed a league-low 5.1 Y/A against play action passes this season with a 1.6% touchdown rate (2nd).

The league average is 7.8 Y/A and a 6.2% touchdown rate against play action.

Overall, they are allowing a league-best 5.8 yards per pass attempt.

Green Bay is 11th in passing points allowed per attempt (0.388).

They have had a favorable slate of opposing quarterbacks, but have allowed multiple passing touchdowns in four of their past five games.

Hurts was held in check in two games against this defense last season.

He scored 16.4 and 16.8 fantasy points in those games.

He completed just 60% of his passes in those games for 7.4 Y/A with 4 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, rushing for 33 and 36 yards without a touchdown.

Jordan Love: Love followed up a stellar Week 8 performance with a dud last week against Carolina.

He finished as the QB24 (9 points), completing 26 of 37 passes for 273 yards with 0 touchdowns and an interception.

Love has two QB1 scoring weeks through eight games.

With some moving parts and the matchup, Love is a floor-based QB2.

The loss of Tucker Kraft is significant for this offense, which his already missing Jayden Reed.

Those are their two best pass catchers with the ball in space.

We will also see a new-look Eagles defense, which added Jaelan Phillips, Michael Carter, and Jaire Alexander before the trade deadline.

Alexander is a speculative add who has not shown much in the past two seasons. If he finds a new spark here, then that is house money.

But Carter allows Philadelphia the freedom to move Cooper DeJean out of the slot cornerback while also preventing Adoree Jackson or Kelee Ringo from getting on the field.

Phillips can have a sizable impact.

The Eagles are 24th in sack rate (5.6%) and are 28th in sack rate on pressures (15.2%).

Love is the most sensitive to pressure this season.

Kept clean, Love leads the league with an 85.5% completion rate, is second in yards per attempt (9.9 Y/A), and seventh with a 7.5% touchdown rate.

When pressured, Love has completed a league-low 37.7% of his passes for 4.7 Y/A (32nd) with a 0% touchdown rate.

Even before these trades, the Eagles were eighth in passing points allowed per game (12.0), allowing a 59.6% completion rate (3rd), 6.8 Y/A (9th), and a 3% touchdown rate (4th).

Running Back

Josh Jacobs: Jacobs turned 21 touches into 100 total yards and a touchdown on Sunday.

The 21 touches were a sign that he is getting healthier, but Jacobs was still a bit limited.

He has played fewer than 60% of the snaps in each of the past three games.

After 79.6% of the backfield touches through five games, Jacobs has handled 66.7%, 53.3%, and 70% these past three games.

His touchdown equity remains intact.

Going back to last season, Jacobs has now scored at least 1 touchdown in 19 of his past 20 games, with 26 total touchdowns over that span.

That touchdown production is what keeps Jacobs in play as an RB1 and will be needed here.

This will be a challenging task for this running game.

With Jalen Carter on the field, the Eagles are allowing 3.7 yards per carry with 0.95 yards before contact per rush to running backs, with only 1 rushing touchdown.

Saquon Barkley: Barkley picked up a groin injury in Week 8 and was forced to leave the game.

The Eagles have been consistent in saying that the injury was not serious and that he will play this Monday, but with the game a day later, we do not have an official practice report at the time of writing.

We will follow his status throughout the week and see if he logs a full practice.

Should he be ready to play, Barkley is a boom-or-bust RB1.

When he was last on the field, he finally looked closer to the 2024 version.

He rushed 14 times for 150 yards, including a 65-yard touchdown.

He caught 4 passes for 24 yards and another score.

That was the first time that Barkley reached 100 total yards in a game this season.

It came against a bottom-rung run defense.

Coming out of the bye healthy and effective here will instill a lot of confidence moving forward.

The Packers are coming off allowing 141 yards and 2 touchdowns to Rico Dowdle on Sunday.

Before that, they had not allowed a 100-yard rusher and just one RB1 scoring week.

Even with Dowdle’s big game factored in, they are still 11th in yards per carry allowed to running backs (4.0) and ninth in rushing points allowed per game (10.9) to backs.

37.8% of Barkley’s runs are outside zone.

Green Bay has allowed only 3.2 YPC on outside zone runs this season, third in the league.

Where they have struggled is against inside zone runs, allowing 4.5 YPC (27th).

27.6% of Barkley’s runs are inside zone.

Wide Receiver

A.J. Brown: Brown missed Week 8 with a hamstring injury that was said to be preventative before the bye to get him nearly three weeks of rest, but we will follow his status this week as well to make sure he is up.

When we last saw Brown in Week 7, he secured 4 of 6 targets for 121 yards and 2 scores against the Vikings.

Over his past six games, Brown has had 29.9% of the team’s targets.

That is the type of volume to keep him around the fringe WR1 area, but he has really operated more as a volatile WR2 for fantasy.

Especially in a week missing Ja’Marr Chase, CeeDee Lamb, and Rashee Rice, Brown gets a bump regardless.

Brown does carry some volatility as he still has wide splits against man and zone coverage.

He has been targeted on 36.8% of his routes against man coverage compared to 18.1% against zone looks.

The Packers are in zone coverage 74.8% of the time, 12th in the league.

Green Bay had held up against lead wideouts, allowing 8.1 yards per target to WR1 options (10th).

But they have allowed an 8.2% touchdown rate to those targets (28th).

DeVonta Smith: Smith was playing his best football heading into the bye.

He has been a WR2 or better in four of his past six games played, with only one week outside of the top 36.

He leads the Eagles in yards per route run (2.28) and is right behind Brown (22.3%) in target rate per route (21.3%).

Smith and Brown have run 225 routes together this season.

On those plays, Brown has 50 targets and Smith has 46.

You can make a strong case that Smith belongs right next to Brown as a 1B option and fantasy WR2.

Smith has tighter splits regardless of coverage, which is why he has had a higher floor than Brown, even if the ceiling has been a tick lower.

Smith has been targeted on 23.2% of his routes against man coverage and 20.8% against zone coverage.

He has some of the better signals here when the Eagles do throw against zone coverage.

Green Bay's primary coverage has been Cover 3 on 37% of its snaps.

Smith leads the Eagles with 2.39 yards per route against those looks.

Romeo Doubs: Doubs has been a steady fantasy option, benefiting from all of the injuries to the Green Bay pass catchers.

He has been a WR4 or better in every game but one this season and a top-30 scorer in three of his past four games.

He has been targeted on a career-high 22.1% of his routes, with a current career-high 1.88 yards per route run.

He also leads the team with 8 end zone targets, while no other player has more than 2.

Doubs has touchdown upside, but he is more of a WR3 for me this week due to the matchup.

The Eagles are third in catch rate allowed to outside receivers (57.1%) and fifth in touchdown rate (2.7%) to those receivers.

He will be drawing the most of Quinyon Mitchell while the Eagles have improved their secondary over the bye.

Packers WRs: As it stands right now, Christian Watson is the best and healthiest pass catcher in this offense outside of Doubs.

Watson was on the field for 78.9% of the dropbacks on Sunday, catching 2 of 4 targets for 58 yards.

He has receptions of 33 and 52 yards since returning to action.

With all of the injuries here, Watson could be pushed into a larger role in the passing game.

Tucker Kraft is leaving behind 18.8% of the targets, and we know Luke Musgrave isn't getting all of them.

Matthew Golden left last week’s game with a shoulder injury and is considered day-to-day.

Golden’s production has dipped in recent weeks, with 50 yards over his past three games.

He needs to be utilized more in the passing game, but now he is dealing with that injury.

Dontayvion Wicks has missed the past two games.

I would not be surprised to see Savion Williams get more opportunities, but he is more of a manufactured touch option.

We will have to see who is available for Monday and how things are spread out post-injury to Kraft.

The only player I would have confidence throwing a dart on here is Watson as an upside WR4/FLEX.

Tight End

Dallas Goedert: Goedert comes out of the bye with a career-high 7 touchdowns.

He has 30.4% of the team’s targets in the red zone, which ranks third among tight ends.

That has covered up a career-low 9.6 yards per catch.

41.6% of Goedert’s fantasy points have come via touchdowns, the highest dependency at the position among full-time tight ends.

The Eagles are running more designed plays for him near the end zone this season, so we do not have to throw that out; it just lowers his floor potential when he does run without a score.

Tight ends have 26.5% of the targets against Green Bay this season, the fourth-highest rate in the league.

They are only allowing 5.7 yards per target on those targets (second in the league), but a 6.9% touchdown rate (20th), overlapping with Goedert’s own production this season.

Luke Musgrave: Musgrave will be thrown into a larger role now that Tucker Kraft has been lost for the season.

Musgrave ran a route on 90% of the dropbacks on Sunday that Kraft was off the field for, getting 16.7% of the targets and catching 3 passes for 34 yards.

We have not seen Musgrave be a major target earner early in his career.

He has been targeted on 16.1% of his career routes with 1.18 yards per route.

Musgrave is a good athlete, but he does not have the run blocking or after-the-catch ability of Kraft.

If you need a body as a tight end, throwing a dart here is more than palatable since you are buying an offense we believe in big picture.

For this week, however, Musgrave is a TE2.

The Eagles have smothered tight ends again this season.

They are allowing a league-low 4.9 yards per target to the position with a league-low 1.9% touchdown rate.

More Week 10 Fantasy Breakdowns From The Worksheet:

MatchupTime
Raiders @ BroncosThursday Night Football
Falcons @ ColtsSunday -- 9:30 a.m. ET
Giants @ BearsSunday -- 1 p.m. ET
Bills @ DolphinsSunday -- 1 p.m. ET
Ravens @ VikingsSunday -- 1 p.m. ET
Browns @ JetsSunday -- 1 p.m. ET
Patriots @ BucsSunday -- 1 p.m. ET
Saints @ PanthersSunday -- 1 p.m. ET
Jaguars @ TexansSunday -- 1 p.m. ET
Cardinals @ SeahawksSunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET
Rams @ 49ersSunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET
Lions @ CommandersSunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET
Steelers @ ChargersSunday Night Football
Eagles @ PackersMonday Night Football
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