- Spread: Chiefs -1.5
- Total: O/U 49.5
- Defense Advantage: Over the last 16 games, the Eagles are 15-1 and held every team they beat under 24 points.
- Offensive Mismatch: Eagles tight end Dallas Goedert had 60 yards in Super Bowl 57 and could play a bigger role against a defense that allowed the most yards (1,191) to tight ends in 2024.
- BetMGM bonus code SFAPLAY: Get up to $1,500 in bonus bets if your first bet loses.
- Risk Factors: The Chiefs have allowed five of their top six games in rushing yards in the last six weeks — Saquon Barkley awaits.

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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Philadelphia Eagles Breakdown & Prediction
With the Kansas City Chiefs eyeing a historic three-peat, the Philadelphia Eagles should have revenge on their mind for Super Bowl 57. They scored the most points (35) ever by a Super Bowl loser, and the offense didn't get a shot at a game-winning drive after a defensive holding penalty on James Bradberry. The Eagles have Saquon Barkley now, their pass coverage is even better, and the Chiefs have been winning one-score games all year. It should be an epic battle, with the Chiefs just a 1.5-point favorite at BetMGM.
Those looking to use a Super Bowl promo offer on this game should read on as we explain why the Chiefs should win this game, too.
Are the Chiefs Due for Some Takeaways?
Steve Spagnuolo's defense is great, but can the Chiefs force a big takeaway? The Jalen Hurts fumble returned for a touchdown by Nick Bolton was arguably the play of the game two years ago:
- The Chiefs played a record five games this season where neither team turned the ball over.
- Patrick Mahomes has won his last nine starts where the Chiefs didn't force a takeaway.
- The Chiefs have yet to force a turnover this postseason.
- The Eagles have not turned the ball over in five straight games, tied for the fourth-longest streak in NFL history.
- The Eagles are +10 in turnover differential this postseason.
Can Vic Fangio Force the Mahomes to Hold the Ball?
The Eagles had 70 sacks two years ago but couldn't get much pressure on Mahomes in the Big Game. Can new defensive coordinator Vic Fangio do a better job of making Mahomes hold the ball with superior coverage this year?
- Mahomes is just 19-15 when he holds the ball for an average of 3.0 seconds, but he has won almost 90% of his games when he's under 3.0 seconds in his career.
- The Eagles have only forced two quarterbacks to hold the ball longer than 3.0 seconds this season: Lamar Jackson (3.30 seconds) and Bryce Young (3.19 seconds)
- When Baker Mayfield got the ball out in 2.22 seconds (fastest against Philly), the Eagles lost 33-16, their worst game this season.
- Quarterbacks are getting the ball out in 2.69 seconds against the Eagles, the third-fastest mark.
- Mahomes has gotten the ball out in 2.62 seconds or faster in four straight starts, all among his top five games in 2024.
Offensive Edge: Philadelphia
The Chiefs vs. Eagles feels like a chess match that could come down to who wins the turnover battle or who gets the explosive plays:
- Kansas City's longest run all year was a 34-yard scamper by Isiah Pacheco.
- Saquon Barkley has 13 runs of 34+ yards this year, including a record seven touchdown runs of 60-plus yards.
- The Chiefs have allowed one run of 34+ yards this year (a 62-yard touchdown by Cleveland's Jerome Ford).
- The Chiefs have allowed a 33-yard run to James Cook (Bills) and a 28-yard scramble to C.J. Stroud (Texans) in the playoffs.
- The Chiefs have only allowed one offense (Buffalo) to score 30 points in the last two seasons against their starters.
BetMGM Bonus Code SFAPLAY: Chiefs vs. Eagles Betting Offer
New players at BetMGM can enhance their Super Bowl Sunday experience with a Super Bowl offer from BetMGM. Simply enter the BetMGM bonus code SFAPLAY to get up to $1,500 back in bonus bets if your first bet loses.
BetMGM Super Bowl Promo | Get $1,500 back if first bet doesn't win |
BetMGM Bonus Code | SFAPLAY |
Minimum deposit | $10 |
Minimum bet | $10 |
Eligible bet types | Sports bets |
Mobile App | iOS & Android |
Offer validity | December 31, 2025 |
Last verified | February 2025 |
$1,500 First Bet Safety Net
- Minimum deposit: $10
- Bet $10 on Chiefs vs. Eagles with odds of -10000 or greater using the First Bet Token
- Can bet on player props (Dallas Goedert over in receiving yards) or the moneyline
- If your first bet loses, you will receive 100% of your stake (up to $1,500) in bonus bet tokens
- If your stake was $50 or more, you will receive five bonus tokens, each worth 20% of your stake
- Bonus bet tokens expire 7 days after reception
How to Claim the Bonus Before Kickoff
- Visit the BetMGM site or download the BetMGM app
- Register your account using the BetMGM bonus code “SFAPLAY”
- Deposit at least $10 into your account.
- Place a $10 bet on any of the markets we covered in our Chiefs vs. Eagles preview:
- Try a Same Game Parlay with player props and sides (over, Chiefs ML)
- Bet on Saquon Barkley to score another touchdown for the Eagles this postseason
- Back the Chiefs to win again
- If your bet loses, you'll receive a bonus bet token of up to $1,500
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