Super Bowl LIX is a great matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles. This is the first time in NFL history that teams from different conferences will meet for the fourth year after the Chiefs defeated the Eagles 38-35 in Super Bowl LVII. Patrick Mahomes was Super Bowl MVP that night, but Saquon Barkley will also be looking for his moment to shine on his 28th birthday.

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We have a Super Bowl preview for Chiefs vs. Eagles as well as an exciting offer for new users who want to take advantage of the DraftKings Super Bowl promo while it's still here.

  • Spread: Chiefs -1
  • Total: O/U 48.5
  • Defense Advantage: The Eagles have forced 10 turnovers this postseason while the Chiefs have not had one in their last three games.
  • Offensive Mismatch: Saquon Barkley has 7 touchdown runs of 60-plus yards this season (the previous NFL record was 4).
  • Risk Factors: The Chiefs have had five of their six worst games in rushing yards allowed down the stretch this season.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Philadelphia Eagles Analysis & Prediction

The Eagles have a lot of edges in this game, but the Chiefs are still a 1.5-point favorite at DraftKings with a total of 48.5 points. The Chiefs also have a great equalizer in Patrick Mahomes, who has yet to lose an NFL game that's played indoors (16-0).

We have some matchup analysis below for those looking to make their best bets using the DraftKings Super Bowl promo.

Will Turnover Regression Hurt the Eagles?

Turnovers are usually a decisive factor in Super Bowls, but will we see any in this game, or will we see a bunch? It feels like one or the other is most likely instead of just one or two turnovers.

  • The Chiefs have already played a record five games where neither team turned the ball over.
  • Patrick Mahomes has still won his last nine starts where the Chiefs failed to force a takeaway.
  • The Chiefs have yet to create a takeaway this postseason.
  • All 58 Super Bowl winners have created at least 3 takeaways in the postseason.
  • Philadelphia's offense has not turned the ball over in five straight games, tied for the fourth-longest streak in NFL history.
  • The Eagles are +10 in turnover differential this postseason, including an absurd +6 in fumble recoveries.
  • The Chiefs failed to recover all 5 of the fumbles in their AFC Championship Game vs. Buffalo.

Can the Eagles Pressure Mahomes?

This Philadelphia pass rush doesn't have anything close to the 70 sacks it had two years ago, but that unit failed to get in Patrick Mahomes' face. Can Jalen Carter and company frustrate Mahomes?

  • Mahomes is just 19-15 when his average time to throw is 3.0 seconds.
  • Mahomes is 45-2 when his time to throw is under 2.8 seconds.
  • The Eagles are allowing quarterbacks to get the ball out in 2.69 seconds, the third-fastest time.
  • Only Lamar Jackson (3.30 seconds) and Bryce Young (3.19 seconds) held the ball long against the 2024 Eagles.
  • Mahomes is 25-2 when you blitz him at least 12 times.
  • Vic Fangio (Philadelphia's defensive coordinator) blitzed Mahomes 18 times in the playoffs last year with the Dolphins.

Close Game Edge: Kansas City 

The Chiefs vs. Eagles games have all been within one score in the fourth quarter since 2021. Can the Eagles close in a tight game?

  • The Chiefs are 13-0 in close games this season with no blown leads.
  • The Eagles are 9-2 in close games but blew late leads to Atlanta and Washington with failures on all sides of the ball.
  • The Chiefs have won 17 straight games decided by one score (NFL record).
  • Mahomes has led eight game-winning drives this season, tied for the single-season record.
  • Nineteen of the last 21 Super Bowls have been within one score in the fourth quarter.
  • The Chiefs have won six of the last eight NFL playoff games with a spread of 0-to-2 points.

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