The Kansas City Chiefs (17-2) and Philadelphia Eagles (17-3) will clash in a rare Super Bowl rematch after the Chiefs won 38-35 just two years ago in Arizona. There is plenty of history on the line for the Chiefs' three-peat, Saquon Barkley's rushing record chase, and a shot at redemption for Jalen Hurts, who can become the fourth quarterback to win a Super Bowl after losing his first appearance.
Our Super Bowl 59 preview details the key stats and trends that fans should know before watching (and betting) on the big game in New Orleans. We also have links and a guide to claim the best Super Bowl betting promos for Chiefs vs. Eagles.
- Spread: Chiefs -1.5
- Total: O/U 49.5
- Defense Advantage: The Eagles have allowed one team since October to score more than 23 points.
- Offensive Mismatch: Patrick Mahomes should have the greenlight to run as much as possible after facing the Eagles on a high-ankle sprain and in the rain the last two seasons.
- Risk Factors: Kansas City's 17-game winning streak in one-score games exceeds the old record by four games, so they are in rare air for a split known to regress to the mean.
Chiefs vs. Eagles in Super Bowl 59: Best Stats and Trends
Let the chess match begin as these teams are meeting for the fourth season in a row, a first for any AFC vs. NFC matchup. Here are some of the best stats and trends to consider for this intriguing rematch:
Run the Ball and Stop the Run?
We know the Eagles will want to run wild with Saquon Barkley, but are we overlooking the Chiefs' running game with Kareem Hunt leading the way?
- The 2024 Eagles defend the run with a light box (six or fewer defenders) on 68.5% of runs, almost 10 percentage points higher than any other team.
- The Eagles allow 3.45 yards after contact per run in a light box, the sixth-highest average.
- The 2024 Chiefs have been stuffed on 6.3% of runs against light boxes, the second-lowest rate.
- In Super Bowl 57, the Chiefs had 13 carries for 89 yards against light boxes (+0.28 EPA/rush), a key part of their offensive efficiency that night.
Throw to Win for the Eagles?
No running back has won Super Bowl MVP since Terrell Davis (1997 Broncos), and the Chiefs already faced Christian McCaffrey in this spot last year. What if the key to the Eagles winning is actually Jalen Hurts throwing the ball, maybe even hitting a trick play out of the Tush Push formation?
- The Chiefs stuffed Josh Allen on three QB sneaks last week, the most in any game since 2016.
- The Eagles are 9-0 when Jalen Hurts passes for 200 yards this year.
- Hurts' most passing yards in the regular season (387) and postseason (304) were both in games against the Chiefs in 2021-22.
- The Chiefs rank No. 30 in EPA/pass play when they don't blitz this season.
Make Patrick Mahomes Hold the Ball
- This is Philadelphia's chance to prove its great pass coverage can make Mahomes hold the ball, which has become a key to beating him.
- The Chiefs are just 19-15 in games where Mahomes holds the ball for an average of 3.0 seconds.
- Mahomes held the ball for 3.35 seconds in Buffalo (Week 11), his highest average this season and his only loss.
- Mahomes wins almost 90% of his games when his time to throw is under 3.0 seconds.
- Mahomes has not held the ball longer than 2.65 seconds in any of his last four games, so getting it out quicker has been key to their late-season success.
- The Eagles allow quarterbacks to get the ball out in 2.70 seconds, the third-fastest time.
Best NFL Super Bowl Betting Promos for Chiefs vs. Eagles
Sportsbook | NFL Super Bowl Promos | Sign up |
---|---|---|
BetMGM | $1,500 in bonus bets if your first bet loses | |
Bet365 | Bet $5 and get $150 in bonus bets | |
Caesars | $1,059 first bet insurance (or) double winnings on first 10 bets | |
FanDuel | Bet $5 and get $200 in bonus bets if you win | |
DraftKings | Bet $5 and get $200 in bonus bets guaranteed |
How to Claim an NFL Super Bowl Betting Bonus for Chiefs vs. Eagles
With $5,000 in bonus offers for the Super Bowl from top-rated sportsbooks, you have plenty of ways to earn bonus bets. Fortunately, it only takes a few simple steps to claim these offers no matter which ones you choose. Just follow our process below:
- Choose from the NFL Super Bowl promos above.
- Visit the sportsbook's mobile site or download the mobile app.
- Click Sign Up/Register and follow the on-screen instructions.
- Enter the required information, such as your name, address, and other personal information.
- Apply the promo code if required when signing up or making your first deposit.
- Locate the Chiefs vs. Eagles Super Bowl matchup.
- Make a qualifying deposit and bet (read the terms and conditions of the promo first).
- Bonus bets will be credited to your account once your bet is settled.
- Bonus bets have an expiration date (usually 7 or 14 days).
Final Thoughts for Super Bowl 59
From our Super Bowl 59 preview it sure sounds like an exciting matchup that should go down to the wire again. Both teams have been known for squandering big leads this year before still pulling out the win.
The Chiefs are really hard to bet against, so their spread or moneyline would be a preferred choice as they try to clinch the three-peat. The Eagles also are likely to get touchdown scores out of Barkley and Hurts again. Both tight ends could be in for good nights, and you can't overlook someone like Xavier Worthy being the latest Kansas City receiver to score a big touchdown like Kadarius Toney (2022) and Mecole Hardman (2023) in the last two years. It's a great game with plenty of great betting promos to use for it.