The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 3 matchup between the Titans and Colts.
Find a breakdown of every Week 3 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| Indianapolis | Rank | @ | Tennessee | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | Spread | 3.5 | ||
| 23.5 | Implied Total | 20.0 | ||
| 31.0 | 4 | Points/Gm | 15.5 | 30 |
| 18.0 | 11 | Points All./Gm | 26.5 | 23 |
| 68.5 | 6 | Plays/Gm | 59.5 | 19 |
| 50.0 | 2 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 65.0 | 26 |
| 6.5 | 2 | Off. Yards/Play | 3.2 | 32 |
| 5.4 | 20 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.8 | 24 |
| 52.55% | 3 | Rush% | 39.50% | 20 |
| 47.45% | 30 | Pass% | 60.50% | 13 |
| 36.00% | 8 | Opp. Rush % | 42.31% | 14 |
| 64.00% | 25 | Opp. Pass % | 57.69% | 19 |
- The Colts are 2-0 for the first time since 2009.
- Indianapolis has scored on 82.4% of its drives, the highest rate through two games in the 2000s.
- The Colts have not punted yet through two games, the first team in the Super Bowl era to not punt in either of their first two games in a season.
- The Colts have 32 plays of 10 or more yards, the most in the league.
- The Titans are the only offense without a play of 30 or more yards through two weeks.
- The Titans have 13 more penalties and 119 more penalty yards than their opponents, the worst margins in the league.
- Tennessee has a -9 sack differential from their opponents, the worst margin in the league.
- Indianapolis is third in passing EPA (25.41) through two weeks.
- The Titans are last in passing EPA (-23.55) through two weeks.
- The Colts average only 5.3 yards to gain for a first down on third downs, the lowest rate in the league.
- The Titans have averaged 9.9 yards to gain for a first down on their third downs, the most in the league.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Daniel Jones: Jones demonstrated on Sunday that he needs to be taken seriously for fantasy purposes in this system.
After he finished as the QB3 (29.5 points) against a soft Miami defense in Week 1, we wanted to see Jones run it back against a stingy Denver defense.
He did just that, finishing as QB5 (22.8 points).
Jones was 23 of 34 (67.6%) for 316 yards (9.3 Y/A) with a touchdown against the Broncos.
He added another rushing touchdown to his total, his third of the season.
As we talked about coming out of Week 1, Jones has shown that he can be a high-ceiling fantasy option before. He has just lacked consistency.
In the best offensive environment of his career, we may be seeing that play out.
Jones has some inflation through the three one-yard rushing scores, but that appears to be a part of the offense.
Do we believe he will keep this going?
We were in this same spot last year when Derek Carr opened the year with back-to-back 20-point fantasy games before reverting to his old self.
We also were in a spot where Sam Darnold turned his early-season success into a season-long value.
Like Darnold last year, Jones is in a quarterback-friendly system, only he has mobility and a better running back.
Carr’s team fell apart last season due to injuries.
Tyler Warren, Michael Pittman, Josh Downs, Alec Pierce, and Adonai Mitchell are an attractive group of pass catchers.
All we can do is work with the sample we have at the moment and adjust as more information comes in.
Right now, I would keep riding the wave with Jones as a QB1.
Jones has seen an aggressive approach both weeks.
He has been blitzed on 62% of his dropbacks through two games.
The league rate is 26%.
He has 44 dropbacks against the blitz (17 more than the next highest passer), averaging 10.0 yards per attempt (8th) with a first down or touchdown on 51.2% of those attempts (7th).
Both Denver and Miami have been blitz-heavy in their other games this season.
Tennessee has not been as aggressive, blitzing 24.7% of the time (19th) while ranking 20th in pressure rate (32.5%).
From a clean pocket over the opening two weeks, Jones is 33 of 43 (76.7%) for 10.2 Y/A (3rd) with 2 touchdowns.
After holding Bo Nix to 4.4 Y/A in Week 1, Tennessee allowed 298 yards and 9.0 Y/A to Matthew Stafford on Sunday.
Cam Ward: Ward made some small strides on Sunday, completing 19 of 33 (57.6%) passes for 175 yards (5.3 Y/A) with a touchdown against the Rams.
His first career touchdown pass came on a nine-yard pass, but it was much more than that as Ward bought time rolling out to his right and threw the ball 42.3 yards in the air horizontally.
Ward has been as advertised as a gunslinger to kick off his career.
27.9% of his throws have been 10 or more yards downfield (4th).
He has thrown to running backs just 3.6% of the time, the lowest rate in the league.
Ward has been pressured on 45.3% of his dropbacks, the second-highest rate in the league.
Facing the Broncos and Rams to open his career did him no favors in that department, and he was missing right tackle JC Latham last weekend.
The Colts should provide some relief in that department, ranking last in the league in pressure rate (17.9%).
Ward is stuck as a QB2, but this should be a better spot than his opening two tougher draws against front-end pass rushes.
Running Back
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More Week 3 Fantasy Breakdowns From The Worksheet:
| Matchup | Time |
|---|---|
| Dolphins @ Bills | Thursday Night Football |
| Packers @ Browns | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Colts @ Titans | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Bengals @ Vikings | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Steelers @ Patriots | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Rams @ Eagles | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Jets @ Bucs | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Raiders @ Commanders | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Falcons @ Panthers | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Texans @ Jaguars | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Broncos @ Chargers | Sunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET |
| Saints @ Seahawks | Sunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET |
| Cowboys @ Bears | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Cardinals @ 49ers | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Chiefs @ Giants | Sunday Night Football |
| Lions @ Ravens | Monday Night Football |
