The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 7 Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans Sunday afternoon game.
| Indianapolis | Rank | @ | Tennessee | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | Spread | -2.5 | ||
| 20 | Implied Total | 22.5 | ||
| 17.2 | 27 | Points/Gm | 19.2 | 21 |
| 20.2 | 14 | Points All./Gm | 23.6 | 21 |
| 69.5 | 3 | Plays/Gm | 56.4 | 30 |
| 62.8 | 13 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 61.8 | 11 |
| 5 | 24 | Off. Yards/Play | 4.9 | 28 |
| 5.2 | 8 | Def. Yards/Play | 6.3 | 31 |
| 34.29% | 30 | Rush% | 49.65% | 5 |
| 65.71% | 3 | Pass% | 50.35% | 28 |
| 46.95% | 28 | Opp. Rush % | 37.22% | 7 |
| 53.05% | 5 | Opp. Pass % | 62.78% | 26 |
- The Titans have won and covered in four straight games against the Colts.
- The Titans are the only team remaining in the league that has not scored any points in the fourth quarter.
- 85.4% of the points scored by the Titans have come in the first half, the highest rate in the league.
- Tennessee has converted 92.3% (12-of-13) of their red zone possessions for touchdowns, the highest rate in the league.
- The Colts have run one play in the second half this season with the lead, the fewest in the league.
- 92.3% (12-of-13) of the touchdowns allowed by Tennessee have come via passing, the highest rate in the league.
- The Titans are averaging 1.4 yards fewer per play than their opponent, the worst differential in the league.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Matt Ryan (TRUST): Using their mini bye after playing last Thursday paired with the injuries to their backfield, the Colts came into Sunday with a hyper-aggressive approach offensively. The Colts threw the ball 11% over expectation after they were 4% below passing expectation prior.
As a byproduct, Ryan threw a season-high 58 passes, the second-highest total of his career. Ryan connected on 42 of those attempts for 389 yards with three touchdowns. He still averaged just 6.7 yards per attempt, but this was a more productive approach offensively. We will see how sticky it is if the team gets Jonathan Taylor back this week, but this is a matchup for the Colts to remain aggressive through rational coaching.
Tennessee is allowing a 67.2% completion rate (24th), 8.5 yards per pass attempt (32nd), 12.6 yards per completion (30th), and a league-high 6.7% touchdown rate to opposing passers.
The Titans have allowed four consecutive QB1 scoring weeks, which includes Ryan himself back in Week 4 when Ryan was the QB12 (17.8 points).
I doubt we will get the full passing volume of last week, but Ryan is at the front of the streaming list for those gamers missing Josh Allen or Jalen Hurts this week.
