Every Sunday in the weekly fantasy chats, I get asked about my favorite plays of the week or who is my player pool that weekend for DFS.
This article series covers exactly that.
I will go through the players I am targeting as the tournament plays for all formats here. I will cover core players and games to target for stacks in other posts.
The idea is that this will paint a clearer picture of framing lineups.
Week 16 DFS Content:
It is not that all tournament players cannot be used in cash games. If a player here works out for your team structure in cash games surrounding your primary core, use them.
These players just come with some element of inherent risk, but they are the primary players I still want to be ahead of the field on compared to the percentage of rosters they are projected to make this weekend.
I will have some analysis on the player selections and game writeups, but check out the Week 16 Worksheet for a fully detailed breakdown of the players and games.
Quarterback
Jared Goff ($6,900/$7,800)
Gamers may overlook Goff this week since many are either just going to pay up for Justin Fields, Dak Prescott, or Tua Tagovailoa, or just pay all the way down for their preferred flavor of cheap quarterback.
We can make a play in tournaments on Goff’s splits indoors.
Over nine games playing inside this season, Goff has completed 69.4% of his passes for 8.1 yards per pass attempt with 274.0 yards per game to go along with 21 touchdowns.
In five outdoor games, he has completed 63.6% of his passes for 6.5 Y/A with 252.2 yards per game to go with five touchdowns and four interceptions.
Trevor Lawrence ($6,600/$7,900)
Lawrence has cleared concussion protocol and is set to start on Sunday.
Tampa Bay is allowing 16.9 passing points per game over their past 10 games, 30th in the league.
Over that span, they have allowed a 66.7% completion rate (27th), 8.1 yards per pass attempt (31st), and a 4.1% touchdown rate (17th).
Joe Flacco ($5,500/$7,100)
Flacco has paid off his price in DFS in all three of his starts.
He has thrown for 311 and 374 yards over the past two weeks.
Cleveland has not been scared to throw the football under Flacco, passing the ball 4%, 6%, and 6% above expectation in his three starts.
In the previous two games without Deshaun Watson, Cleveland had thrown the ball -4% below expectations.
Houston can defend the run well but are objectively weaker against the pass, so Cleveland should attack them through the air and remain aggressive here.
Since their Week 7 bye, Houston has allowed a 66.9% completion rate (28th), 8.2 yards per pass attempt (30th), and a 3.9% touchdown rate (14th).
Nick Mullens ($5,300/$7,000)
Mullens closed last week with 20.1 DraftKings points, completing 78.8% of his passes for 9.2 Y/A with two touchdowns.
The Vikings were aggressive with Mullens under center, throwing the ball 4% over expectation.
Mullens did take advantage of a Cincinnati defense that we have picked on regularly, but he gets another matchup here to stay on the board.
Detroit has allowed a QB1 scorer in six of their past eight games.
Over that span, they have allowed 8.2 yards per pass attempt (30th) and a 5.9% touchdown rate (29th).