2023 NFL MVP Odds: Predictions, Favorites & Best Bets

Get the latest NFL MVP betting odds and track movement for all top players during the 2023 NFL season.

All betting lines provided by BetMGM Sportsbook.

2023 NFL MVP Odds to Win

PlayerCurrent OddsOpening Odds
Lamar Jackson-10000+1600
Dak Prescott+1800+1400
Brock Purdy+2500+2500
Josh Allen+3000+650
Christian McCaffrey+4000+10000

Who is most likely to win NFL MVP?

Lamar Jackson is the current favorite to win the 2023 NFL MVP at -10000 odds.

Favorites to win the 2023 NFL MVP

Lamar Jackson (-10000)

Jackson was our favorite in this spot for several months this season.

Unfortunately, there is no value left on this bet.

» Bet it now: -10000

NFL MVP Betting Trends

  • The last 10 winners of the NFL MVP award have been quarterbacks.
  • Since 2001, only 3 non-quarterbacks have won NFL MVP – all were running backs.
  • Since 2001, every NFL MVP winner was on a team that won at least 11 games. Adrian Peterson’s MVP season was the only exception, with the Vikings winning 10 games in 2012.

When Should you bet on the NFL MVP?

If you’re betting on MVP favorites, you should place bets closer to the start of the season — that way you’ll keep funds in your account for an extra couple of months.

When placing a future bet like the 2023 NFL MVP, an important concept to understand is the time value of money, the concept that money is worth more now than the same sum will be worth in the future due to its earning potential in the interim.

Wagering now comes at an opportunity cost as the 2023 NFL MVP bet will not be graded until February 2024, tying up funds wagered for nearly 10 months.

Does this concept mean no MVP bets should be made until closer to the season? No, the offseason is a great time to identify mispriced higher-odds players that could have their odds shift significantly with roster changes. Also, the players with higher odds reduce the time value effect as the potential payout is higher.

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