We tend to only focus on NFL referees after a controversial decision or a bad no-call.
Yet, each head NFL referee and his respective crew interprets the game differently.
Gaining insight into the way a game will be officiated can have immense value in the betting market.
A referee who calls more penalties for defensive holding and roughing the passer has a far different impact on game flow than a ref who focuses more on offensive holding and false starts.
Referee style one week may hide a team's weakness (defensive backs), but a different official who leans heavily on calling pass interference will compound that weakness the next week.
Same team. Different outcomes.
Throughout this 2025 NFL season, we'll help to identify important trends and tendencies by different NFL referees to help you gain an edge when placing a bet.
NFL Referee Assignments for Super Bowl 60
| Super Bowl 60 | Referee |
|---|---|
| Patriots vs. Seahawks | Shawn Smith |
Super Bowl 60 Officiating Crew preview
Head Referee – Shawn Smith
- Super Bowl LX will be Shawn Smith's eighth postseason assignment as a head referee. Favorites are 2-5 ATS in his first seven playoff contests, favored by an average of 5 points in those games.
- Smith-officiated playoff contests average 9.4 penalties per game for 84 yards.
- Since 2010, the Super Bowl has averaged 11.4 penalties per game for 92.8 yards.
- The 2025 NFL playoffs have averaged 7.5 penalties per game for 62.5 yards.
- The Patriots' most recent encounter with Smith was their Divisional Round win over the Texans. The nucleus of officials from that game will be present on Super Bowl Sunday, and that game provides insight into how this matchup will be called — bookmark this page for the official game preview late next week.
- A below average 32.5% of Smith's regular season penalties were assessed via false start and offensive holding, categories in which he ranked 12th (of 17) and 16th.
- A league-leading 35% of Smith’s penalties assessed resulted in automatic first downs in the regular season, compared to the NFL average of 28.3% in this category. Two major contributors were defensive holding and defensive pass interference, categories in which Smith’s crew ranked third and fourth.
- Primetime contests like Sunday Night Football and Monday Night Football traditionally see a higher rate of discipline-related penalty enforcement for infractions like unnecessary roughness. It is no surprise that the Super Bowl stage has seen a higher-than-average volume of unnecessary roughness penalties. There have been 14 unnecessary roughness penalties called since 2010, representing a significantly higher average than the thousands of non-Super Bowl games played over the same time.
- Knowing that, it is worth noting that no crew has called more unnecessary roughness penalties than Smith’s since the start of the 2022 NFL season, including ranking fourth overall in 2025. The addition of a Shawn Hochuli crew member is also noteworthy here, as they led the league in this category this season. There are often specific prop bets in certain penalty categories, and a yes on unnecessary roughness being called at plus money is worth an investment.
- Conversely, roughing the passer penalties drop in Super Bowls versus all other games on the NFL calendar, with just two called since 2010.
- Since 2010, offensive penalties accounted for 47.4% of third down infractions in all non-Super Bowl games. However, the offense accounts for just 28.5% of third down penalties in the Super Bowl, where officiating provides leeway at a higher rate than normal.
- The Smith and Alex Moore crews ranked 16th and 15th in calling the lowest percentage of third down penalties on the offense in the 2025 regular season. That continued in the Divisional Round, with three of four third down infractions assessed on the defense.
- There have only been 11 defensive pass interference penalties called in a Super Bowl since 2010, with one of those infractions declined.
Umpire – Roy Ellison (Adrian Hill)
Down Judge – Dana McKenzie (Alex Moore)
Line Judge – Julian Mapp (Adrian Hill)
- Those three officials will work with Smith in monitoring the area in and around the line of scrimmage.
- The Adrian Hill and Alex Moore-led crews ranked first and second in calling offensive holds in the 2025 regular season. However, officials from those crews were present on the Texans at Patriots game, and it had zero offensive holding, so we should expect a continuation of that approach in Super Bowl 60.
Field Judge – Jason Ledet (Shawn Hochuli)
Side Judge – Eugene Hall (Carl Cheffers)
Back Judge – Greg Steed (Adrian Hill)
- Of the three officials patrolling downfield action, Ledet and Hall officiated with Smith in the Texans at Patriots game.
- One category that stands out among the three officials assigned to patrol the back end on a Smith-led crew for the Super Bowl is defensive pass interference. Adrian Hill’s crew ranked second, Shawn Hochuli's ranked third, and Carl Cheffers' co-ranked fourth, with Smith's.
- In raw per game numbers, the Moore, Hochuli, and Smith-led crews ranked first, second, and third in awarding automatic first downs via penalty in the 2025 regular season. Circling back to the aforementioned Texans at Patriots Divisional Round game, four of the seven penalties resulted in automatic first downs, with three coming via defensive pass interference.
2025 NFL Referees Stats & Their Historical Betting Trends
A comprehensive breakdown for every NFL Referee working games for the 2024 season, plus a deeper look at their penalty-calling historical trends, statistics, and how it may impact betting opportunities, plus the pace of gameplay.
Adrian Hill: Referee Penalty Trends & How it may impact betting
- Home teams are 53-46 ATS in true home games with Adrian Hill officiating
- Adrian Hill is 52-45-1 under in his career
- In Divisional games, Hill is 16-11-1 Under in his career
Alex Kemp: Referee Penalty Trends & How it may impact betting
- Home teams are 57-58-2 ATS in Kemp's career
- Divisional home teams are 16-19 on the moneyline and 14-21 ATS in Alex Kemp’s career
- Kemp is 18-17 over the total in career Divisional games
Alan Eck: Referee Penalty Trends & How it may impact betting
- Home teams are 24-8 on the moneyline and 20-12 ATS in Eck’s two year head referee career
- Alan Eck was 9-6-1 Under in 2024
Bill Vinovich: Referee Penalty Trends & How it may impact betting
- True home teams are 50-63-4 ATS with Vinovich since 2018, including an 8-9 ATS record in 2024
- Bill Vinovich is 67-48-3 under since 2018, although he went 10-6-1 over in 2024
Brad Allen: Referee Penalty Trends & How it may impact betting
- Home teams are 74-53-1 on the moneyline with Brad Allen since 2016
- Home teams are 69-56-3 ATS in those Allen officiated games since 2016
- Brad Allen is 73-55 under since 2016
Brad Rogers: Referee Penalty Trends & How it may impact betting
- True home teams are 44-47 on the moneyline and 44-47 ATS in Brad Rogers' career
- Brad Rogers is 50-42 over the total in his career
- Brad Rogers is 20-15 over in career Divisional games
Carl Cheffers: Referee Penalty Trends & How it may impact betting
- Home teams are 91-57 on the moneyline since 2016 with Carl Cheffers officiating
- Home teams are 77-68-3 ATS with Cheffers since the start of the 2016 NFL season
- Divisional home teams are 32-19 ATS with Carl Chaffers since 2016
Clay Martin: Referee Penalty Trends & How it may impact betting
- Clay Martin is 54-41-3 under in his career
- True home teams in Clay Martin's career are 53-55 on the moneyline & 43-61-3 ATS
- Divisional home teams are 17-23 on the moneyline & 13-27 ATS in Clay Martin officiated contests
Clete Blakeman: Referee Penalty Trends & How it may impact betting
- Home teams are 67-78-3 ATS with Blakeman since the start of 2016
- Divisional home teams are 27-26 on the moneyline since 2016
- Blakeman is 28-25 on divisional totals, including 5-2 over in 2024
Craig Wrolstad: Referee Penalty Trends & How it may impact betting
- Home teams are 70-73 on the moneyline and 57-83-3 ATS since 2016 in Craig Wrolstad officiated games
- Home underdogs are 22-40-2 ATS with Wrolstad since 2016, including a 2-4-1 ATS in 2024
John Hussey: Referee Penalty Trends & How it may impact betting
- Home teams are 102-46 on the moneyline with John Hussey since 2016
- Home teams are 89-53-5 ATS with John Hussey since 2016
- Home teams were 10-6 on the moneyline and 11-5 ATS with John Hussey in 2024
Land Clark: Referee Penalty Trends & How it may impact betting
- Home teams are 32-46-2 ATS in Land Clark’s career
- Clark is 44-35-1 under the total in his career, although Clark was 9-8 over in 2024
Scott Novak: Referee Penalty Trends & How it may impact betting
- Home teams are 37-55-3 ATS in Scott Novak's career, the lowest ATS percentage of any referee since his debut in 2019
- Divisional home teams are 11-22-1 ATS in Scott Novak's career
Shawn Hochuli: Referee Penalty Trends & How it may impact betting
- Home teams are 51-58-4 ATS in Shawn Hochuli’s career, including an 8-7-1 ATS record in 2024
- Shawn Hochuli is 65-47-2 under the total in his career
- In Divisional games, Shawn Hochuli is 27-15-1 under the total in his career
Shawn Smith: Referee Penalty Trends & How it may impact betting
- Home teams were 10-7 on the moneyline and 11-5-1 ATS with Shawn Smith in 2024
- Home teams are 55-60-2 ATS in Shawn Smith's career
- Shawn Smith was 9-8 Over in 2024 but is 57-56-1 Under the total in his career













