It’s that time of year to start looking at player props bets for the upcoming 2021 NFL season. In the coming weeks, we’ll take a look at some Over and Under Future bets worth considering at each position group.
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Why You Should Bet the UNDER on Rondale Moore’s Receiving Yards Prop Bet
- Extremely limited experience as a downfield receiver
- Potentially playing a running back-like role in passing game
- Some of Moore’s touches will come on handoffs
- Injury concerns
Arizona Cardinals second-round draft pick Rondale Moore thrived as a versatile weapon at Purdue, and is expected to have an immediate role in head coach Kliff Kingsbury’s offense. However, there are reasons to believe he’ll fall short of these receiving yard prop bets:
- 575.5 receiving yards on FanDuel
- 550.5 receiving yards on BetMGM
- 545.5 receiving yards on DraftKings
In his final season at Purdue, 79.5% of Rondale Moore’s targets came five or fewer yards downfield, according to Sports Info Solutions. And over the final two years of his college career, his average depth of target was just 2.4 yards downfield.
Arizona’s primary slot receivers in 2020, Andy Isabella and Christian Kirk, each saw an average depth of target over 10 yards downfield. So based on their usage and Moore’s experience, it seems unlikely Moore will simply step into that role.
Moore’s explosive ability on short throws will make him valuable in the Arizona offense, but those types of players don’t produce high yardage totals.
Rather than cutting into the workload of Arizona’s more experienced slot receivers, Moore might be taking targets away from running back Chase Edmonds.
39% of Edmonds’s targets came while lined up at receiver, with an average depth of target of 2.8 yards downfield. Edmonds finished with 402 receiving yards on 67 targets 一 a realistic stat line for Moore.
Moore’s role will also not be limited to the passing game. Arizona likely wants to engineer touches for him, but some of those will be in the backfield.
Following the draft, Kingsbury said as much: “We’re going to use him in as many different ways as we can… whether it’s handing the ball from the backfield, toss to him on a sweep, go outside or on a fade route, he does it all.”
It’s also worth noting Moore played only 20 games during his three years at Purdue due to a series of hamstring injuries. Hopefully he stays healthy, but it’s worth factoring the recent injury history into expectations for his rookie campaign.
