The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 9 Los Angeles Chargers at Atlanta Falcons Sunday afternoon game.
| LA Chargers | Rank | @ | Atlanta | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -3 | Spread | 3 | ||
| 25.75 | Implied Total | 22.75 | ||
| 23.4 | 11 | Points/Gm | 25 | 6 |
| 27 | 31 | Points All./Gm | 25.6 | 29 |
| 69.3 | 2 | Plays/Gm | 58.1 | 30 |
| 60.1 | 9 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 66.4 | 27 |
| 5.3 | 20 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.5 | 13 |
| 5.9 | 29 | Def. Yards/Play | 6.3 | 31 |
| 34.43% | 30 | Rush% | 57.63% | 2 |
| 65.57% | 3 | Pass% | 42.37% | 31 |
| 40.14% | 11 | Opp. Rush % | 37.48% | 5 |
| 59.86% | 22 | Opp. Pass % | 62.52% | 28 |
- 45.1% of the drives against the Falcons have reached the red zone or scored prior, the highest rate in the league.
- Atlanta is allowing 6.9 yards per play on first down, 31st in the league.
- The Chargers are allowing 6.8 yards per play on first down, 30th in the league.
- 36.0% of the Atlanta passing plays have resulted in a first down or touchdown, trailing only the Chiefs (41.4%), Bills (37.6%), and Dolphins (36.2%).
- Only two teams (Bears and Titans) have run fewer passing plays than the Falcons.
- 35.8% of the passing plays against Atlanta have resulted in a first down or touchdown, the second-highest rate in the league.
- The Falcons are allowing 1.65 yards prior to contact to opposing running backs (28th) while the Chargers are allowing 1.89 yards prior to contact (31st).
- Atlanta is allowing 77.3 non-passing fantasy points per game, the most in the league.
- The Chargers are averaging 82.0 non-passing fantasy points per game, fourth in the league.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Justin Herbert (TRUST): Herbert is exiting the bye coming off two mixed performances in which the Chargers struggled offensively. Herbert threw 57 and 51 passes Weeks 6-7 but failed to throw for 300 yards in either game.
Herbert now sits 16th in EPA per dropback (0.04), 32nd in yards per pass attempt (6.5 Y/A), 37th in air yards per completed pass (4.4 yards), and 20th in passing points per attempt (0.391).
That said, the passing volume was enough to overcome all of those lackluster rate stats in Week 7 as he was still the QB7 (18.1 points).
Herbert also runs into a soft Atlanta defense. The Falcons are 30th in pressure rate (24.0%) to alleviate some of the lingering offensive line concerns we still have with the Chargers and they have not remotely slowed down the pass. Atlanta is allowing a 68.8% completion rate (27th), 7.9 yards per pass attempt (30th), and a 4.4% touchdown rate (22nd), a cocktail that has them allowing 18.5 passing points per game (30th).
