The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 7 Chicago Bears at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Sunday afternoon game.
| Chicago | Rank | @ | Tampa Bay | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Spread | -13 | ||
| 17.3 | Implied Total | 30.3 | ||
| 16.3 | 30 | Points/Gm | 32.5 | 3 |
| 20.7 | 8 | Points All./Gm | 24 | 16 |
| 57.7 | 30 | Plays/Gm | 68.8 | 5 |
| 61.2 | 11 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 60.2 | 4 |
| 4.3 | 32 | Off. Yards/Play | 6.2 | 5 |
| 5.4 | 12 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.6 | 16 |
| 50.58% | 2 | Rush% | 32.45% | 31 |
| 49.42% | 31 | Pass% | 67.55% | 2 |
| 44.41% | 25 | Opp. Rush % | 27.15% | 1 |
| 55.59% | 8 | Opp. Pass % | 72.85% | 32 |
- Tampa Bay is 4-0 against the spread with a rest advantage since acquiring Tom Brady.
- Chicago games are averaging 118.8 combined plays per game, the fewest in the league. The league average is 127.3.
- Games involving the Bears are averaging 37.0 combined points per game, the fewest in the league.
- Chicago has just three passing touchdowns, the fewest in the league.
- The Buccaneers have 17 passing touchdowns, second in the league.
- Tampa Bay leads the league in red zone plays per game (13.7).
- Justin Fields has been sacked on 24.3% of third down passing plays, the highest rate in the league.
Trust = spike production for that player
Bust = down-week production for that player’s standards
Quarterback
Tom Brady: Brady has been so good to open the season that he made a 297-yard, 17.9 fantasy point game feel somewhat disappointing last week. Brady still closed the week as the QB13 in overall scoring.
This week he faces a Chicago defense that is 26th in pressure rate (21.6%), the lowest rate of any opponent he has faced yet this season. The only hang-up is that the Bears play slow, and their games do not involve a lot of plays overall, which has led them to face just 30.5 pass attempts per game, which is the second-fewest in the league. That is not the end of the world as Chicago is allowing 8.1 yards per pass attempt (25th) and 12.2 yards per completion (22nd), but it has kept them respectable in allowing 15.2 passing points per game (14th). Brady enters Week 7 leading the league in dropbacks per game at 46.8, so the Bucs are going to throw while they can, but this has the feel of a similar setup as a week ago where Brady offers a strong floor, but not a week-altering spike score.
